Jump to content

Smurf

Regular Members
  • Posts

    183
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Smurf

  1. Re: Norway - Tippeligaen (12-13 May) Great to see Lisandri back in action on the Scandinavian leagues and great to see the impressive Meatman turn his hat from the Frenchies to already give some very very good write-ups. Unlike most, this is my favourite time of the year for football bets. Scandinavian leagues are great to play on along with some other lesser leagues. Thank you both for the interesting write-ups over the last few weeks and keep it up as you are both providing invaluable information.

  2. Re: Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th

    I think there is huge value in Monaco tonight and I have already placed some units on them. Monaco showed against Arsenal that they aren't the elite misfits everyone seems to think they are by putting in a superb display (whilst having some key injuries) at the Emirates to take home a great advantage for the next round of the champions league. After watching the Arsenal game it's plain to see why Monaco have a good record in the past season or two against the "bigger" teams. Monaco play a very similar to that of Athletico Madrid last season where they are an ultra organised team unit that can soak up bags of pressure and then hit their opponent on the counter. This works far better against the bigger teams as the opponents will mount pressure on Monaco which then leads to space being opened up and gaps for Monaco to attack. Against the lesser teams Monaco are forced to do the pressure mounting and this often doesn't suit their game and therefore why they may not pick up the wins they should on a regular enough basis in the league for example. Their record against the three teams above them in the league this season (Lyon. PSG & Marseille) reads as follows: P6 W2 D3 L1 which is very impressive and backs up the way they can play against the better teams. PSG are obviously the most dominant team here in terms of class but may find it hard to break Monaco down. PSG will be looking to mount pressure from the start (especially as they play at home) but Monaco haved proved (as they did last Sunday) that they can soak up the pressure from PSG adequately. PSG will be without their main man and main goal threat Zlatan Ibrahimovic tonight along with attacking winger Lucas and creative midfielder Cabaye. This is going to make PSG's chances of breaking down a stubborn Monaco far harder as they can not rely on a special perfomance from Zlatan to get them through the game. For this reason PSG will likely have to press harder and take even more risks in their aim to find a break through, which will (as we saw against Arsenal) only play into Monaco's hands and this is where Monaco can then mount attacks from themselves. Also note Monaco have a very impressive record against PSG. The last 6 meetings between the teams have ended in draws. All but one of these draws have been score draws (5x 1-1 & 1x 2-2 1x 0-0). If Monaco can find the back of PSG's net which isn't usually the most difficult of tasks then they have a great chance to win the game as PSG will have a tough night scoring without key attacking players against such a well drilled team IMO. All this information collated together makes me feel that Monaco are at least in with a very good chance of not losing the game but also have a good chance of sneaking a win so I will back the following as the odds are far too generous IMO. Monaco - DNB @ 4.50 with bet365 (6 points) Monaco @ 7.00 with bet365 (4 points) Monaco to win to nil @ 9.5 (2 points) Note - for those who want to be more cautious you can even get Monaco (+1.0 AH) @ 1.80 with bet365
    Bad call in the end as PSG fully deserved the win. FT - PSG 2-0 Monaco - 12 points lost
  3. Re: Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th

    Watched the game on Sunday and got the feeling that PSG ripped Monaco totally apart. There were several intervales during the match where almost every attack PSG made was dangerous' date=' but really bad finishing cost them. Monaco is a side built for defensive football which they are constantly showing very successfully during entire season but they had great deal of luck against PSG and Arsenal but that can't last forever. According to my source tonight they are without four regular centrebacks (Raggi and Cravalho are long time absentees, [b']but Abdennour and Wallace are fresh). I hate to go against the trends such as defensive style of Monaco, but PSG to sore more than 1,5 and 2,5 goals looks to me like outstanding bets.
    Abdennour missed out against PSG at the weekend but I didn't know Wallace was injured. This would be cause for concern.
  4. Re: Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th

    Slightly speculative, but I do think Monaco could be too long here at over 6.0. The two sides drew 0-0 at Monaco and drew 1-1 in Paris in October. The last SIX meetings between the two have been draws. PSG haven't beaten Monaco at home since 2007. According to reports I read, PSG dominated the game on Sunday, but couldn't finish. http://www.theguardian.com/football/2015/mar/01/monaco-psg-ligue-1-match-report One preview suggests Monaco have every chance tonight: http://frenchfootballweekly.com/2015/03/02/paris-saint-germain-v-as-monaco-coupe-de-france-preview/ Perhaps there is some value on Monaco at long odds?
    I think there is huge value in Monaco tonight and I have already placed some units on them. Monaco showed against Arsenal that they aren't the elite misfits everyone seems to think they are by putting in a superb display (whilst having some key injuries) at the Emirates to take home a great advantage for the next round of the champions league. After watching the Arsenal game it's plain to see why Monaco have a good record in the past season or two against the "bigger" teams. Monaco play a very similar to that of Athletico Madrid last season where they are an ultra organised team unit that can soak up bags of pressure and then hit their opponent on the counter. This works far better against the bigger teams as the opponents will mount pressure on Monaco which then leads to space being opened up and gaps for Monaco to attack. Against the lesser teams Monaco are forced to do the pressure mounting and this often doesn't suit their game and therefore why they may not pick up the wins they should on a regular enough basis in the league for example. Their record against the three teams above them in the league this season (Lyon. PSG & Marseille) reads as follows: P6 W2 D3 L1 which is very impressive and backs up the way they can play against the better teams. PSG are obviously the most dominant team here in terms of class but may find it hard to break Monaco down. PSG will be looking to mount pressure from the start (especially as they play at home) but Monaco haved proved (as they did last Sunday) that they can soak up the pressure from PSG adequately. PSG will be without their main man and main goal threat Zlatan Ibrahimovic tonight along with attacking winger Lucas and creative midfielder Cabaye. This is going to make PSG's chances of breaking down a stubborn Monaco far harder as they can not rely on a special perfomance from Zlatan to get them through the game. For this reason PSG will likely have to press harder and take even more risks in their aim to find a break through, which will (as we saw against Arsenal) only play into Monaco's hands and this is where Monaco can then mount attacks from themselves. Also note Monaco have a very impressive record against PSG. The last 6 meetings between the teams have ended in draws. All but one of these draws have been score draws (5x 1-1 & 1x 2-2 1x 0-0). If Monaco can find the back of PSG's net which isn't usually the most difficult of tasks then they have a great chance to win the game as PSG will have a tough night scoring without key attacking players against such a well drilled team IMO. All this information collated together makes me feel that Monaco are at least in with a very good chance of not losing the game but also have a good chance of sneaking a win so I will back the following as the odds are far too generous IMO. Monaco - DNB @ 4.50 with bet365 (6 points) Monaco @ 7.00 with bet365 (4 points) Monaco to win to nil @ 9.5 (2 points) Note - for those who want to be more cautious you can even get Monaco (+1.0 AH) @ 1.80 with bet365
  5. Re: West Ham - Crystal Palace > Saturday February 28th I'm siding the other way with favouring Palace here out of the two although I think in the end both teams may cancel each other out. Firstly I wasn't impressed with them throwing away a two goal lead against Spurs last weekend. They did well to get in front but to be fair most teams manage to score against Tottenham quite easily, the fact that they let them back into the game highlights their downturn in form. They have not won in their last 5 matches in all competitions and while they haven't exactly been the easiest fixtures, I just feel they look like they are starting to tire. West Ham have a decent size squad but with the constant injuries they have had Big Sam hasn't always had the luxury of being able to rotate when he sees fit and it's been more that his hands have been forced in a lot of cases. Downing had a great start to the season but looks out of form currently, when West Ham were at their best earlier on in the season he was running the show most weeks, his down turn in form has coincided with West Hams down turn in form. West Ham however have been very, very solid on their own turf and only Spurs, Southampton & Arsenal have managed to walk away with all three points this season. The same can be said however for Crystal palace, who surprisingly have lost only 4 times away from home all season from 16 games played. Three of those losses came against good opposition in Man City, Arsenal & Man Utd, which is a tremendous effort by any standards. Palace look very threatening under Pardew and are scoring plenty of goals, something West Ham aren't doing right now (only one goal scored in 4 games before last weekends trip to a leaky Spurs side). Although Palace have missings in forward areas I don't think this will cause too much concern as I think they will line-up as they did in their last away match in the league with Dwight Gale up top flanked by Zaha & Puncheon and Joe Ledley, McArthur & Mutch as the midfield three. On the face of it, Palace only have one win in their last 5 matches (Leicester away) but the other four games have been home (where their style of play is less effective) matches against good teams in Liverpool, Everton and Arsenal which they lost by a one goal margin each time with with a draw to Newcastle being the other fixture. Palace remind me of Aston Villa when they played under Martin O'Neil, not always the greatest at home but carried a significant goal threat on their travels against most teams by the way they played on the counter. For this reason I feel they can grab a goal against West Ham but also West Ham have managed to score in all but two home fixtures this season and with the goal threat that Sakho poses i'm not sure if Palace can keep a clean sheet here. I personally think this match will end with a score draw, more likely 1-1 so my bets are as follows: BTTS - Yes @ 1.83 bet365 - 5 points Draw @ 3.40 bet365 - 3 points Correct score - 1-1 @ 6.50 bet365 - 1 point

  6. Re: Manchester City v FC Barcelona > Tuesday February 24th

    I just want to point out that although City have a poor record in the recent games without Toure, I'm not sure how much that applies here. City's primary problem without Toure is that he is a driver of their comprehensive attacks. In the Premier League, 9/10 games will have the opposition bunkering up against them, and then when Toure does not play they find it hard to break such teams down. When he is there, they are obviously much better at that. However, Barcelona is the last team in the world that is going to come to the Etihad and park the bus. City's attackers will find more space going forward than they would against say Hull, and Fernando, while not a factor in the attack, will not be that big a downgrade on Toure defensively, which is important against this Barcelona attack. I think it is hard to ignore the fact that they miss Toure - at this point it may even be a mental thing for the players, knowing they are without Toure might even put the idea of losing more in their heads - but I do think that the above is applicable and worth mentioning.
    I totally agree with you here about Toure not being as big of a miss as people think against a side like Barcelona. I actually think it's a blessing in disguise. I think if you have watched much of Man City over the last two season, not when they play live on sky sports, but week by week you will know that Toure while he has world class qualities he can be very lazy at defensive duties on strolls around the pitch with little to no effort in alot of games. The more his attacking qualities have developed over the last two years the more his defensive qualities and efforts have diminished. I personally think having a midfield three of Fernando, Fernandinho and Milner will be more effective against Barcelona as they will keep up high intensity all throughout the game which is what is needed against them. Especially with a likely front three of Nasri, Silva, Aguero. TBH I would actually like to see Lampard play over Nasri to give even more protection while still including a dangerous threat.
  7. Re: Conference 14th February

    What's your view on chester game addpea I worry I'm too biased although do try to give a realistic view of our games I like it when u have a view on our game as it's an outside one gives a bit more balance
    Jirwin, don't worry too much about sounding biased to Chester as you Always give a fair view of them. Chester are my favourite team to bet on in this league as they score and concede lots of goals so are always good for overs betting and also their fire power alows them to get very good results frequently and very high priced odds. There are various times this season and last where backing them in various win/or goals markets have proved very profitable and you have been great on your advise on how they play and their current form which helps very much on the call of wether to stake goals or a Chester win. I enjoy each of you posts on your team, now we just need to find a version of you for each team in the league ;)
  8. Re: Everton v Liverpool > Saturday February 7th

    I am not saying your pick won't come in but i'd be careful of basing it purely on last seasons results as both teams are completely different. Everton have not been performing well in front goal for a while now, while Liverpool aren't playing the same style of football as last year where they burst out of the traps each game and scored more goals in the first half compared to the second half (59/42). Not only is the playing style not the same for Liverpool with high pressing from the first minute leading to lots of early goals but as we can all see they don't score half as many goals full stop compared to last year so I think using last years results is a bad way to look at the game. This season Liverpool have only score 13 of their 33 premier league goals (39%) before half time. Also only 10 of their 27 goals conceaded have been before the break (37%). With Everton looking like they are starting to tighten up at the back and with Liverpool having a tough game midweek I think neither team will want to give anything away early on and it may be a very cagey first half and I feel a 0-0 result at half time could be very likely. For me the following bets seem good from the angle I expect the game to start from: HT result - Draw @ 2.20 for 4pts with bet365 HT correct score - 0-0 @ 3.00 for 2pts with bet365
    I watched than game, unfortunately. It went exactly as expected with neither team willing to give anything up and neither team fully going full throttle for the win.
  9. Re: Liga de Fútbol Profesional > February 4th - 9th

    I too had the exact same thoughts while watching the game last night. I ended up putting an in-play bet on Seville to score during the second half which looked likely all throughout the second half and came in easy enough. Seville had their first choice keeper come off injured during the first half but Madrid failed to capitalise on it as much as they should have. Granted they had to cope with their own injuries during the game with Ramos & James but as said above their look very very fatigued. Just to add to the bets above I will be putting a high stake on Athletico Madrid -1.0 AH @ 5.25. All the reasons for my bet have been summed up very well above by Simeon & HastGill so I will not drub on about Real too much but my reasoning behind the handicap is that I think Athletico will smell the blood during the game and put Real through their paces. If Athletico go one in front (especially if it's early on) then Real will be on the back foot trying to attack and and will over expose themselves to Athletico's counters. I think there is a very high chance that Athletico can win this game with a two goals margin as I feel they will score at least 2 if not 3 goals against this tired Real side that I feel will play right into their hands and the asian line @ 5.25 seems huge and screams mega value in my view. Athletico Madrid -1.0 AH @ 5.25 - 6 points - bet365
    Very nice win. Looks like the game played out as some of us expected.
  10. Re: Netherlands > Eredivisie > 2014/15

    Heracles vs Groningen Heracles will be without injured defensive midfielder Pelupessy, as well as the two best players Tannane (top scorer) & Bel Hassani (top assistant) due to suspension from the club. On the other side, Groningen have a few long-term injured players and a few doubtful. Both teams are struggling: hosts for survival in the league and guests for the play-off. Groningen is in much better shape and have six consecutive victories against Heracles. Everything smells like easy away win and the odds are very, very attractive... But keep in mind that the game will be played on an artificial pitch and that Groningen (scored only eight goals in ten away matches so far) coming after three games at their Euroborg. No bet
    I had been looking at this match for Groningen 0.0 AH @ 1.98 with bet365. As you alluded above the visitors are not guaranteed a win but I feel they are strong enough to get at least a point at the very least so the 0.0 AH seems decently priced to me.
  11. Re: Everton v Liverpool > Saturday February 7th

    There was 4 first half goals in the 3-3 last season and 4 in the 2-2 the season before. Seems to be and easy angle in, better value than any bet on the match odds imo. Over 1.5 first half goals 6/4 @bet365
    I am not saying your pick won't come in but i'd be careful of basing it purely on last seasons results as both teams are completely different. Everton have not been performing well in front goal for a while now, while Liverpool aren't playing the same style of football as last year where they burst out of the traps each game and scored more goals in the first half compared to the second half (59/42). Not only is the playing style not the same for Liverpool with high pressing from the first minute leading to lots of early goals but as we can all see they don't score half as many goals full stop compared to last year so I think using last years results is a bad way to look at the game. This season Liverpool have only score 13 of their 33 premier league goals (39%) before half time. Also only 10 of their 27 goals conceaded have been before the break (37%). With Everton looking like they are starting to tighten up at the back and with Liverpool having a tough game midweek I think neither team will want to give anything away early on and it may be a very cagey first half and I feel a 0-0 result at half time could be very likely. For me the following bets seem good from the angle I expect the game to start from: HT result - Draw @ 2.20 for 4pts with bet365 HT correct score - 0-0 @ 3.00 for 2pts with bet365
  12. Re: Liga de Fútbol Profesional > February 4th - 9th I too had the exact same thoughts while watching the game last night. I ended up putting an in-play bet on Seville to score during the second half which looked likely all throughout the second half and came in easy enough. Seville had their first choice keeper come off injured during the first half but Madrid failed to capitalise on it as much as they should have. Granted they had to cope with their own injuries during the game with Ramos & James but as said above their look very very fatigued. Just to add to the bets above I will be putting a high stake on Athletico Madrid -1.0 AH @ 5.25. All the reasons for my bet have been summed up very well above by Simeon & HastGill so I will not drub on about Real too much but my reasoning behind the handicap is that I think Athletico will smell the blood during the game and put Real through their paces. If Athletico go one in front (especially if it's early on) then Real will be on the back foot trying to attack and and will over expose themselves to Athletico's counters. I think there is a very high chance that Athletico can win this game with a two goals margin as I feel they will score at least 2 if not 3 goals against this tired Real side that I feel will play right into their hands and the asian line @ 5.25 seems huge and screams mega value in my view. Athletico Madrid -1.0 AH @ 5.25 - 6 points - bet365

  13. Re: Sky Bet Championship > January 27th - 31st

    It's expected Sheffield Wednesday to sign Sergiu Bus from CSKA(Sofia) until the end of the day.He is a young and talanted striker who will give them creativity and speed upfront.It should be a good signing for them.
    As a Sheffield Wednesday fan I am very excited about this. We have been tough to beat all season but have not been able to capitalise on that with wins as our creativity is beyond poor. We are in desperate need of a spark further up the pitch and hopefully this signing will help make that happen.
  14. Re: Capital One Cup Semi-Finals > January 27th & 28th I like your thoughts into how this match will be played out Yiddo and think there is a very good chance (as you did last night) that you may have called it correctly. I think the Unders is worth a play and that will be my selection on this match too. I am currently in the city centre right now (approx 2 miles from the stadium) and although it is only rain at the moment it is getting colder and colder.

  15. Re: Capital One Cup Semi-Finals > January 27th & 28th

    Personally I wouldn't wait for the snow to hit tonight. I'd get involved now using that local knowledge. It's bitterly cold in Sheffield, and will get colder before the match starts tonight. Whether the playing area is affected or not, it will have an impact on the type of football we'll see tonight. The first leg was pretty awful and no way are the players lining up in freezing conditions going to raise their levels. So for me, I'm expecting another low scoring game with the conditions aiding a pretty drab match. Tottenham have what they need to qualify already, and I'm not expecting Sheffield United to take any risks until the last 15-20 minutes. This is when Tottenham may sneak one in on the counter attack. But of course they don't need to score, so they may just run the clock down and let the hosts huff and puff their way to a commendable 0-0 draw. So for me this is a one goal maximum game tonight, but I've taken the 10/11 on Under 2.5 goals on Betfair. I expect unders lines to contract significantly between now and kick off. Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11 Betfair (12 points) Good luck everyone!
    You actually raise a very good point there Yiddo :ok I think your selection of under 2.5 may well be worth taking on actually considering the weather factor. My only concern with this bet is Tottenham's poor defence and if their defenders are more worried about finishing the match and getting a warm cup of coco than concentrating on the game then their very frequent complacency could lead to Sheff Utd getting that vital first goal they need. If this happens within the first hour or so then it could blow the game wide open.
  16. Re: Capital One Cup Semi-Finals > January 27th & 28th Just a pre-match warning for the Sheffield United v Spurs game tonight. There is a high probability of snow here in Sheffield tonight (more than likely during the late night/early morning). It has been forecast for heavy snow overnight. There has been little bits of hail on and off this morning (nothing drastic at all) but there is a small possibility of snow coming down this afternoon and when we get snow up here in Sheffield it is often pretty bad. Luckily where Bramhall Lane is situated, in the centre of Sheffield, it is very low down in terms altitude compared to the majority of the city. I for example live near the highest point in the city and can easily get 6-10 inches of snow on a bad snow day but there been hardly anything in the centre (where Bramhall Lane is) so I am not trying to put anyone off betting as hopefully the pitch/ground will be fine, but maybe it could be worth waiting until nearer kick off to establish exactly what weather the teams will be playing in.

  17. Re: Copa Del Rey > January 21st & 22nd

    ESPANYOL - SEVILLA Both teams to score at 1.87 @ Marathonbet Both teams come at this 1st leg for the quarter-finals of Copa del Rey at a very good form. Espanyol has taken the home wins against Valencia (for Copa del Rey) and Celta (for Primera Division) and counts only one loss at its last 11 home games. Sevilla, on the other hand, comes from five straight wins at all competitions, runs a series of 9 wins and 1 draw at its last 10 games and has conceded only one goal at its last eight games. A glance at tradition of the fixture gives us the fact that Over 2,5 has characterized their last seven matches and has been combined with G/G at five cases. I think that the G/G option is the wisest at this match.
    I had come on here to tip the same selection so I won't bother doing my write up, although Bet365 are offereing 1.90 if you haven't already put on your stake ;)
  18. Re: Capital One Cup Semi-Finals > January 20th & 21st Chelsea win @ 2.15 (various) 5/10 Chelsea have named a very strong line-up tonight. I think they are value tonight at odds against even away at Anfield. They also have a strong bench to call on with the likes of Drogba, Remy & Oscar ready to come in. The second leg of this tournament is midweek before a weekend game (and massive game for the title) against Man City so I assume with Jose's squad selection he wants to get this over with tonight and post up a win in the first leg. LFC: Mignolet, Can, Skrtel, Sakho, Lucas, Henderson, Gerrard, Moreno, Markovic, Coutinho, Sterling CFC: Courtois; Ivanovic, Cahill, Terry ©, Filipe Luis; Matic, Mikel; Willian, Fabregas, Hazard; Diego Costa

  19. Re: Portugal > Liga ZON Sagres > 2014/15

    Sporting Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.9 (Sportingbet) for a 0.6 stake Massive odds, get in while you can, as there is big value here. Match is only Sunday 20:15 GMT. Sporting Lisbon is clearly on their best moment of the season after a bit of a crisis during crisis December. The manager was almost out of the club but president held him in behalf of the fans, which are clearly on the manager side here. And the manager managed to change some players and to hold the players against external criticisms against the manager and players, and the squad came out stronger and playing even better. For Sunday, Sporting has Mauricio and Adrien suspended, two starters. But Mauricio will not be missed as Tobias Figueiredo is better than him, while Adrien is important, but as much as Nani, Carrillo or William Carvalho. André Martins also out due to injury. Big player Carrillo is in BIG form and will surely cause havoc in his wing. Nani also coming back from injury, always a threat. Montero and Tanaka are two great centre-forwards. Jefferson is one of the best left-backs in the world in terms of crossing...all in all, Sporting are amazing in attack, and they are without conceding a goal for 6 matches! And on a 7-win streak as well. The in-form team of the league. But the main reason as why I think this bet is value comes from their opponent Rio Ave: theiy are without are without their 4 centre-backs available. Marcelo, Prince, André Villas Boas and Roderick are all injured and out of the match. Pedro Martins (Rio Ave manager) had to call Nelson Monte from the U19 squad and midfielder Tarantini will be adapted to central defender. Also, main left-back is injured. Rio Ave are a very good team offensively but they are not as good in defense, and without all the CBs and without the main LB, they will surely have a lot of trouble against an in-form side. Sporting chances of scoring 3 or more with the like of Nani, Carrillo and Montero upfront against a weak Rio Ave defensive line are big, and I would not rate them even near 2.5, for example. Big value to be taken here, and I expect Sporting to win and to accomplish this bet as well.
    Yet another great pick. Well done JuMeSyn
  20. Re: Ligue 2 > January 16th - 19th

    Arles- Angers Angers have been creeping back into the promotion race over the last couple of months and will be desperate for maximum points this evening at basement club Arles. A blip against Troyes aside, which they immediately bounced back from , Angers have taken seven points from highflyers Dijon, Sochaux and Nancy in recent outings and scored seven goals in their last three starts, the board has shown ambition and imagination with the signing of Seul Axel Ngando,who earned a move to Stade ]Rennais by virtue of his impressive last season at this level with Auxerre, the French U21 international looks good business and more than that, is a statement of intent. Arles are, with goal difference, effectively 11 points from safety, tehy will have to throw caution to the wind from now on in to have any chance of survival, but in truth, the third tier awaits. The lack of goals is the major concern and when they open up, especially against the stronger teams they concede too freely, they have conceded two or more to the other promotion hopefuls they have played at home, Sochaux, Dijon and Troyes and in the reverse fixture in Angers. 1.5 units Angers level ball 2.09 asian line/Sportmarket. Arles-Avignon : Bosmel, Delac - Gigot, Givet, Phojo, Bocaly, Pinteaux, O.N’Diaye - Rodriguez, Ouaamar, I.Ba, Savanier, Bennacer - L.Touré, Ngakoutou, Van Kessel, Psaume. Angers : Butelle, Letellier - Angoula, Guillon, Thomas, K.Traoré - Auriac, Ben Othman, Diers, Eudeline, Frikeche, I.Keita, Manceau, Ngando, Pessalli - Clémence, Kodjia.
    Two great calls in two weeks in this league. Well done :ok
  21. Re: Copa Del Rey > January 13th - 15th

    I think Real Madrid will take what is theirs today.I tipped succesfully Atletico to lose against Barca and i think we might be seeing a dip in the visiting side form.Real bouncedback after the cup defeat by scoring 3 agaist Espanyol and there's no chance Ancelotti to field a weaker starting squad in order to keep the players fresher for the weekend because another derby defeat could be crucial for the championship as well as the cup.The pressure on the home team is rising after 2 consecutive loses to top teams and after The golden ball had been given to Ronaldo i expect him to be fired up for today to give 101% of himself to score.I think Atletico are losing speed and the signing of Torres was a desperate move to back things back on tracks.As i wrote in my previous posts,Atletico are nothing special,far from playing their best football.I think the home side will grab the win and we have every chance to see a late turnover with Real Madrd qualifying.My main bet is HW & over 2.5 @ 2.2 with bet 365 and a sporting punt on correct score 3:1 @ 12.GL! Sent from my iPhone using PL Forum app
    I am in agreement with you Simeon and think Madrid will dominate tonight despite their poor performance in the first leg. The odds of 3.25 for Real Madrid to qualify look decent value to me too for a small stake.
×
×
  • Create New...