TheImp
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Posts posted by TheImp
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Re: 10K INVESTMENT IN BFAIR V ISA Am I the only one nervous for the OP? I really hope you quit while you're ahead. The majority of your selections are sound ones, but you are laying far too many 0-0's, especially in mediocre fixtures. The South American league fixtures are notorious for being tight affairs and low scoring, yet you seem to be picking a lot of 0-0 lays. From my experience try and avoid laying mid/bottom table clashes in La Liga where you intend to lay 0-0 swell, as they again are notoriously tight affairs with few goals. The Dutch, Belgian and Scandinavian (particularly Finnish and Norwegian) leagues however seem flush with goals.
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Re: AS Monaco v Arsenal > Tuesday March 17th AS Monaco v Arsenal Red Card In The Match? - Yes - WilliamHill - 3.75 (5 pts) Opportunity for both sides to become heated during this one. If Arsenal manage to turn things around then Monaco may become desperate in their defending efforts. If Monaco put this game out of reach at any point (i.e. score a goal or two) then Arsenal players will become frustrated. If it is too close to call (i.e. Arsenal pull two goals back) then both sides will be going for it. Arsenal in particular have a few hot headed players under pressure. I really think we will get a lot of cards tonight, so two yellows could easily come about. Bit speculative but all the ingredients are there, and at 3.75 the value is there.
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Re: Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid > Wed 24th April Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid Real Madrid @ 2.30 (William Hill) 10/10 I can't see both Barcelona and Real not making it to the final, and in that respect, I expect Real to at least snatch an away goal for the return trip to Spain. Real have lost out on the league title, and the Champion's League is the one cup that has evaded Mourinho as Real manager. The atmosphere will be intense, but Real have shown that under pressure in the CL they can overcome it (as they did at Old Trafford not so long ago). Purely speculative and no real stats to back this one up. Real have not just been relying on CR7 for goals either with Ozil and others getting on the score sheet fairly frequently.
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Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March
Small profit. So close to a bigger profit. Went as expected really.Barcelona v AC Milan Milan Corners - 2 or 3 @ 2.05 (Ladbrokes) 5pts Milan Corners - Over 3 @ 3.60 (Ladbrokes) 5pts I think this will play out like the first leg. Barcelona will dominate possession and Milan will hit them on the counter. I don't really rate Barcelona's defence (aside from Pique) and Barcelona in my opinion are more likely to concede corners against Milan than Milan are against Barca who prefer direct play through the centre or passing it around on the edge of the box/cutting in and back. As long as Milan get more than 1 corner, I'll make profit. More than 3 corners and I'm in huge profit. Even if Barcelona dominate and score a couple of goals early on, Milan should fight back to try and get that away goal, leading hopefully to at least a couple of corners. -
Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March Barcelona v AC Milan Milan Corners - 2 or 3 @ 2.05 (Ladbrokes) 5pts Milan Corners - Over 3 @ 3.60 (Ladbrokes) 5pts I think this will play out like the first leg. Barcelona will dominate possession and Milan will hit them on the counter. I don't really rate Barcelona's defence (aside from Pique) and Barcelona in my opinion are more likely to concede corners against Milan than Milan are against Barca who prefer direct play through the centre or passing it around on the edge of the box/cutting in and back. As long as Milan get more than 1 corner, I'll make profit. More than 3 corners and I'm in huge profit. Even if Barcelona dominate and score a couple of goals early on, Milan should fight back to try and get that away goal, leading hopefully to at least a couple of corners.
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Re: FA Cup Quarter Finals > 9th - 10th March Manchester City v Barnsley Barnsley +3 EH @ 1.95 (William Hill) This price is amazingly good value. This is the quarter final of the FA Cup, not a league game, and as such anything can easily happen (e.g. MK Dons beating QPR 4-2 at QPR's own ground, separated by two leagues!) I do think City will win the game, but I don't think it will be easy. I've followed a few of Barnsley's games. Under their new boss they've realled pulled out some decent form and have become a hard to beat side. Chris Dagnell is superb up front and a real goal poacher. Again, I'm sure City will win this, but I also think there's a very good chance Barnsley will sneak a goal. This is superb value for a +3 handicap. City will have to score 3 or more and hope Barnsley don't score.
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Re: Manchester United v Real Madrid > Tue 5th March
Hi guys' date=' I had both teams to score with WH. Considering that it was an own goal from Ramos.... will my bet still go through ?[/quote'] Yes (this post will be deleted for 'chatting') -
Re: Manchester United v Real Madrid > Tue 5th March
Manchester United v Real Madrid 2nd Half Real Madrid Corners - Over 3 @ 2.80 (William Hill) Also like the look of this one. Real managed reached 12 corners at home, and their style of play reflects this with Ronaldo the main feeding point. Man United were quite content to head the ball out for a corner with the amount of pressure Real put on. I expect United to win, however if either team takes a lead then one of two things should happen....if Real take the lead during 90 minutes, they will keep the ball by the corner in the last 5 minutes and win at least one or two corners. If United are leading in 90 minutes, Real will be mounting the pressure through their wing man Ronaldo with lots of runs inside near the touchline. Either way, 4 corners should come easily, one every 10 minutes in the second half.
Can I just say...60 minutes gone and BOTH my tips have won! Nani red card and Real have already achieved 4 corners by the 60 minute mark. Please don't delete this post, I think it's a decent achievement considering the odds! Really pleased! Massive profit!Manchester United v Real Madrid Red Card in the Match - Yes @ 3.40 (William Hill) I just think this has all the ingredients for this type of bet. The referee Cuneyt Cakir is unpredictable and likes to show his cards in big games. I do think Man Utd will come away with the win/qualify and with the Champion's League Mourinho and Madrid's major trophy target this season slipping away, I think Real will definately be flying in the with the tackles and frustrations will show in the second half. The likes of Ramos, Di Maria, Coentrao etc all attract cards frequently. Let's not even get started with the likes of Rooney, Evra etc who also seem to be card magnets in big games. -
Re: Manchester United v Real Madrid > Tue 5th March Manchester United v Real Madrid 2nd Half Real Madrid Corners - Over 3 @ 2.80 (William Hill) Also like the look of this one. Real managed reached 12 corners at home, and their style of play reflects this with Ronaldo the main feeding point. Man United were quite content to head the ball out for a corner with the amount of pressure Real put on. I expect United to win, however if either team takes a lead then one of two things should happen....if Real take the lead during 90 minutes, they will keep the ball by the corner in the last 5 minutes and win at least one or two corners. If United are leading in 90 minutes, Real will be mounting the pressure through their wing man Ronaldo with lots of runs inside near the touchline. Either way, 4 corners should come easily, one every 10 minutes in the second half.
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Re: Manchester United v Real Madrid > Tue 5th March Manchester United v Real Madrid Red Card in the Match - Yes @ 3.40 (William Hill) I just think this has all the ingredients for this type of bet. The referee Cuneyt Cakir is unpredictable and likes to show his cards in big games. I do think Man Utd will come away with the win/qualify and with the Champion's League Mourinho and Madrid's major trophy target this season slipping away, I think Real will definately be flying in the with the tackles and frustrations will show in the second half. The likes of Ramos, Di Maria, Coentrao etc all attract cards frequently. Let's not even get started with the likes of Rooney, Evra etc who also seem to be card magnets in big games.
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Re: Last 16 > Real Madrid v Manchester United > Wed 13th February
2 points+ profit. Almost hit the over 3 to make huge profit but Man United kept their discipline. Still, I like this bet and will use it in any big/grudge game United have coming up (return leg, Manchester derby etc).Real Madrid v Manchester United Total Man Utd Cards - 2-3 @ 2.05 5pts (William Hill) Total Man Utd Cards - Over 3 @ 4.20 5pts (William Hill) My old favourite bet. This is sure to be a fiery encounter. Real Madrid will really be at the top of their game and are sure to score against a questionable United defence. Man Utd will be happy with a draw and at worst a very narrow defeat. Should Real Madrid get a first half goal, I can easily see the tackles flying in from an impatient United. The likes of Scholes, Vidic, Evra, Rooney should all play and all a frequent yellow carders in the big games. As long as United get at least two cards, I will at minimum break even. Four or more cards (likely) will see a decent profit. -
Re: Last 16 > Real Madrid v Manchester United > Wed 13th February Real Madrid v Manchester United Total Man Utd Cards - 2-3 @ 2.05 5pts (William Hill) Total Man Utd Cards - Over 3 @ 4.20 5pts (William Hill) My old favourite bet. This is sure to be a fiery encounter. Real Madrid will really be at the top of their game and are sure to score against a questionable United defence. Man Utd will be happy with a draw and at worst a very narrow defeat. Should Real Madrid get a first half goal, I can easily see the tackles flying in from an impatient United. The likes of Scholes, Vidic, Evra, Rooney should all play and all a frequent yellow carders in the big games. As long as United get at least two cards, I will at minimum break even. Four or more cards (likely) will see a decent profit.
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United > Sun 20th January Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United Total Man Utd Cards - 2 to 3 @ 2.15 (William Hill) 10 pts Total Man Utd Cards - Over 3 @ 5.50 (William Hill) 10 pts Lots of ingredients in this one for a feisty encounter at White Hart Lane. The weather will play its part, having starting snowing again at the time of writing this (I don't live far from the ground). I feel Spurs will really give United a good go, they are teams both in decent form and Spurs easily pushing for a top 4 spot. This is more speculative, however I just can't see Man Utd not picking up 2 bookings. A small profit will be made, the 2-3 cards bet covers the over 3 cards, so as long as Man Utd pick up more than one card, this ones a winner. Spurs are a wing based team with players like Bale, Lennon etc running the wings. United's defenders are also quick and aggressive (Raphael, Evra) and I'm sure we'll see a few tempers in this cold weather.
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Re: La Liga > 20th Dec - 22nd Dec Valladolid v Barcelona First Half Goals - Over 1.5 @ 2.10 (Bet365) Great value on this - every one of Barca's last five games had over 1.5 goals in the first half. Valladolid have had two of their last five games go over 1.5 goals in the first half. Messi is on fire, having scored two goals in his last five games in all competitions and will play today. Valladolid are no pushovers and know how to play against tough teams. Their recent match with Real Madrid ended 2-3 to Madrid when Valladolid played at home and there were 4 goals in the first half in that game. The only caution I have with this bet is that Valladolid have been fairly impressive at home and don't concede many at home. Still, the value is good and with Messi's goal rate and Barca having won their last 6 games and being unbeaten in god knows how long, I'm going in with a strong stake.
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Re: Liverpool v Arsenal > 2nd September Liverpool v Arsenal Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 (Bet365) A match between two teams that are arguably not in their best form. Arsenal on one hand, have had two 0-0 results in a row against arguably weaker sides than Liverpool, including against Stoke who are good defensively at home. I know stats are there to be broken but I can't see Arsenal not scoring a single goal for three games running - especially with the attack minded players they have added in Giroud, Podolski and Cazorla. Liverpool on the other hand, traditionally up their game against stronger/top 4 sides (which Arsenal traditionally are) and as we saw last week against Man City. Now the Europa league pressures are out the way, the manager can concentrate on getting a win under his belt as the new boss. Arsenal are a weaker side than Man City (no matter what their form is) and play a similar passing game to City. In summary, I really wouldn't be suprised if this is an open, high scoring game like last week's match. Again, I really can't see Arsenal not scoring for a third game running! Wenger may opt to play a more open formation/attacking style just to please the fans for this reason. Only reason I'm not backing an Arsenal win or Arsenal/Draw is that Liverpool are quite unpredictable at this point - losing against an arguably much weaker side in their first game, drawing against Man City (and should have won).
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Re: Liverpool v Man City > Sun 26 August Man City @ 2.40 (Bet365) Odds are superb value. Superstition seems to be getting to a lot of people. Yes, Man City haven't won here since 2003 however Mancini has only been in charge for a couple of seasons. Man City is a different/stronger team to what it was when he took over and is constantly improving - records are there to be broken. Liverpool lost 3-0 to WBA, and whilst they will obviously need to recover, Brendan Rodgers will see this game as a major stumbling block. Liverpool are relying to heavily to get their goals from Suarez, Carroll and Borini, however none of them have been prolofic recently (including the end of last season). Man City on the other hand have goals from all over the pitch as we know - Toure, Silva, Tevez, Nasri to name a few. Mancini will want to get his first win here to rack up yet another achievement. Liverpool just don't have the squad to match Man City anymore - Liverpool are firmly a Europa League team now and aren't justified in being labelled a top 4 team anymore. This won't be a walk in the park, but I just can't see Man City not scoring or Liverpool walking all over Man City. Even if Liverpool get a goal, I certainly cannot see it being unanswered at all. 10/10 STAKE
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Re: Spain v France > June 23
:beerSpain v France Total Goals - Over 1.5 @ 1.475 (Bet365) Superb value this one, both teams are capable of scoring goals at any time against any opposition. We all know Spain's passing game, leading to France sitting back a bit - however France have pacy players who can hit Spain on the counter attack when (if...) Spain's passing game breaks down. Spain have so many quality players with goal potential coming from all over the squad. Odds for this are very good, and too good to ignore. Stake: 10 points -
Re: Spain v France > June 23
Really liking this bet too - France are arguably a superior opposition to all of Spain's group stage opponents and win a lot of corners in their own right. Good reasoning man, liking it.I'm taking another bet in the corner market in this tournament which has been profitable so far. In Spain's three group games they conceded; 2 corners to Italy, 2 to Ireland and 4 against Croatia. France won 11 against England, 6 against Ukraine and 8 against Sweden. I expect Spain to dominate possession like they normally do leaving France to hit them on the counter attack with the pace of Ribery and Benzema in particular. There front players have linked well in attack without finding an end product too often in the tournament. They have averaged 12.67 shots from outside the box which can lead to deflections forcing corners and the full backs capable of going outside the wide men to put crosses into the box. They are quite capable of short interchanges around the box similair to Spain, which forces the opposition into blocks and last ditch tackles. All things considered I think this is the wrong line for the corners so quite happy to take this on. France Over 3 Corners 1.87 (7/10) BetVictor -
Re: Spain v France > June 23 Spain v France Total Goals - Over 1.5 @ 1.475 (Bet365) Superb value this one, both teams are capable of scoring goals at any time against any opposition. We all know Spain's passing game, leading to France sitting back a bit - however France have pacy players who can hit Spain on the counter attack when (if...) Spain's passing game breaks down. Spain have so many quality players with goal potential coming from all over the squad. Odds for this are very good, and too good to ignore. Stake: 10 points
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Re: £1k to £2k Actual stake was £504.11***** which explains the £1109.04 return :)
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Re: £1k to £2k
WON AFTER 13 MINUTES! Quickest £600+ I've ever made :) Stake: £500 Return: £1109.04 :ok NEW BANK TOTAL: £1609.04Next bet......................................(have already banked the other £1000) Real Madrid v Bayern Munich First Half Goals - Over 1.5 @ 2.20 Stake: £500 Placed with bet365! :hope:hope -
Re: £1k to £2k Next bet......................................(have already banked the other £1000) Real Madrid v Bayern Munich First Half Goals - Over 1.5 @ 2.20 Stake: £500 Placed with bet365! :hope:hope
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Re: £1k to £2k (already reached 2k in 5 bets prior to this thread, proof inside).
ScottyXs - fair enough if you don't think it's right for this forum/saying its against the rules - but it's another thing to suggest that I am lying about this (which is what you are suggesting saying "even if we were to believe it mate"). There's no need for it. Point taken on the rules but I'm fairly established on here now and have posted a few threads before where I have won large amounts on decent streaks in this very forum posting the bets before the event or in play, so it's ridiculous to call me a liar.I wouldn't imagine so, not on a betting forum. Boasting afterward (even if we were to believe it mate) is completely irrelevant. Maybe its the kind of thing for the Betfair forum? -
Re: £1k to £2k (already reached 2k in 5 bets prior to this thread, proof inside).
Fair enough, just thought it was a decent achievement (as so many fail on here) and nowhere else to post it ?If you read the rules you will see that the screenshots are for inplay bets only. - Post regular bets before the event with all info related to the bet(s) ( what you bet on, price and bookmaker, stake size, etc... ) - For in-play bets post your intention to bet in-play before the match starts, then post in-play bets as soon as the bet is placed. ( including all relevant info such as stake,price and score at that time, time of bet ) When posting in-play bets you must be prepared to provide screenshots of those bets any time they are requested. If you cannot or are not willing to provide those then don't post in-play bets. As for after-eventing, we don't want screenshot- we just don't want them here.
AS Monaco v Arsenal > Tuesday March 17th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: AS Monaco v Arsenal > Tuesday March 17th
The referee (to his credit actually) really didn't want to dish out cards last night and preferred to let the game flow. There were at least 4 or 5 challenges that warranted a yellow and Sanchez was very lucky on at least 2 occasions not to pickup a second yellow. On another night with a different referee this would have been different.