Machine
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Re: Calculation help for half time system
I couldn't honestly tell you as I dont play O/U markets so I dont keep any data on them. Best bet would be to keep results on both methods as you go and see which is the best option or check against your past data if you have any. :okWould that poisson calculation look more reliable than the the 1st method? Ie - is taking the avg goals for each team and using the poisson calculation more accurate than taking the % of each teams >1.5 and then dividing by 2? -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back never in doubt :lol ;) [TABLE=width: 531]
[TR] [TD=class: xl63, width: 75, align: right]27/02/2013[/TD] [TD=width: 132]Bradford[/TD] [TD=width: 132]Dag and Red[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64]3.65[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]w[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 251] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]OVERALL[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total bets[/TD] [TD]215[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total wins[/TD] [TD]67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total losses[/TD] [TD]148[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]s/r[/TD] [TD]31.16%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]points stake[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]turnover[/TD] [TD]2150[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]return[/TD] [TD]2389.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]P/L[/TD] [TD]239.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Yield[/TD] [TD]11.12%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Av win Odds[/TD] [TD]3.57[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok -
Re: Calculation help for half time system
I think you've answered your own question there. My fault I was looking at them as 2 separate events for the answer I gave.Is that correct? Say 2 teams both have played out 50% of games "over" and 50% "under" - surely the chance of being ovrt isn't .50 * .50 = 25% - because the chance of being under is the same = not 75%
What do you mean by goal ratio? Ratio is just the relationship between 2 numbers C-home = 1.31 D-away = 1.33 Ratio~ C to D goals = 1.31:1.33 Ratio~ D to C goals= 1.33:1.31 Ratio C to total goals = 1.31:2.64 or 49.62% Ratio D to total goals = 1.33:2.64 or 50.38% Or did you mean the probability of those 2 goal averages being >1.5 You can do this in excel with poissonIf team c has an average of 1.31 first half goals in home games' date= and team D has average of 1.33 what is the likely goal ratio?
Which gives a probability of >1.5 to be 38%
Or did you mean expected score(see my first post)
or something completely different entirely :eyes
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Re: A.I.T.E [TABLE=width: 404]
[TR] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]BET[/TD] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]result[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]2.10[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Colchester[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.55[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Barnet[/TD] [TD]Southend[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 275] [TR] [TD=colspan: 4]OVERALL[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Staked[/TD] [TD=align: right]40.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Returned[/TD] [TD=align: right]22.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Profit/Loss[/TD] [TD=align: right]-17.29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Yield[/TD] [TD=align: right]-43.23%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] SIGH :sad -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back still 1 to go at tomorrow :hope [TABLE=width: 531]
[TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]3.87[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Hartlepool[/TD] [TD]Crewe[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD]Plymouth[/TD] [TD]3.43[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]1-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]Aldershot[/TD] [TD]3.53[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]Accrington[/TD] [TD]3.84[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD]Hyde United[/TD] [TD]3.69[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Stockport[/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD]3.40[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Woking[/TD] [TD]Forest Green[/TD] [TD]3.61[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]27/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Bradford[/TD] [TD]Dag and Red[/TD] [TD]3.65[/TD] [TD]pend[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] either a profit of 1.61pts or a loss of 2.04pts (16.10 or -20.40 to usual 10pt stakes) Not great shakes either way . :ok -
Re: Calculation help for half time system 0.4375 * 0.4 = 0.175 or 17.5% Average goals [TABLE=width: 128]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 64]0-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64, align: right]7.14%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]12.43%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]9.35%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]2-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]6.12%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]2-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]8.14%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]0-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]9.49%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]0-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]6.31%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]1-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]8.27%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: A.I.T.E Tonights trixie @ BetVictor About time the three came up :hope [TABLE=width: 340]
[TR] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]BET[/TD] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]2.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Colchester[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Barnet[/TD] [TD]Southend[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back 9 bets for midweek 8 for tonight 1 for tomorrow . [TABLE=width: 438]
[TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]3.87[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Hartlepool[/TD] [TD]Crewe[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD]Plymouth[/TD] [TD]3.43[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]Aldershot[/TD] [TD]3.53[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]Accrington[/TD] [TD]3.84[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD]Hyde United[/TD] [TD]3.69[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Stockport[/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD]3.40[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Woking[/TD] [TD]Forest Green[/TD] [TD]3.61[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]27/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Bradford[/TD] [TD]Dag and Red[/TD] [TD]3.65[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Usual 10pts 3 for profit :hope :ok -
Re: Football Team Payback - How to identify value
Yes depending on how you use it.Team payback. Do you think this is a dependable method for identifying teams who are value to back' date= or is it a good way of identifying overachieving teams who are value to oppose?
Not exactly correct, due to the variance in the odds it is better to vary the stake according to the odds to return a fixed amount.Team payback. Do you think this is a dependable method for identifying teams who are value to back, or is it a good way of identifying overachieving teams who are value to oppose? Team payback is how profitable a specified team is if you had backed it to win in every match for level stakes over a specified time period. For example, if you had backed Man United to win every game this season. Often this is split between home and away performance, so you would look at level stakes performance backing Man U in their home matches only.
Again not exactly the correct asumption. To assume the odds are normally distributed and to take the 'average/mean' of the odds is wrong in most cases. A simple test ...If mean=median=mode then you have normal distribution, if not you have to check for skewness Lets take your example Man United @ home [TABLE=width: 1086] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]25/08/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Fulham[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.3[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=colspan: 2, align: center]Man United total home odds[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=colspan: 2, align: center]Man United total home win odds[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]15/09/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Wigan[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.25[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]29/09/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Tottenham[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.57[/TD] [TD]A[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Mean[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.39[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Mean[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.37[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]20/10/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Stoke[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.29[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Standard Error[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.07[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Standard Error[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.07[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]03/11/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Arsenal[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.69[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Median[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.29[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Median[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.27[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]24/11/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]QPR[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.18[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Mode[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.29[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Mode[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.29[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]28/11/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]West Ham[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.24[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Standard Deviation[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.24[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Standard Deviation[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.24[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Sunderland[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.2[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Sample Variance[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.06[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Sample Variance[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.06[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Newcastle[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.24[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Kurtosis[/TD] [TD=align: right]-0.31[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Kurtosis[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.25[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD=align: right]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]West Brom[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.29[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Skewness[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.12[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Skewness[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.36[/TD] [TD][/TABLE] If you look @ utd's home win odds they have a positive Skew (meaning the majority of odds are on the left with a positive tail to the right due to outliers) When this is the case (either positive or negative) the mode should be used as the central limit indicator.(basic example) Therefore with 95% confidence the correct odds at home for utd should lie within 1.14 to 1.42 (mode +/- 0.15) and not the mean 1.22 to 1.52 So in effect by thinking you have 'value' backing odds over 1.42 you are infact heading for the black swan effect. Nb Before anyone states the obvious that the skewness is within the accepted 2 ses (standard errors of skewness) of 1.41 for the number of variables, 1.36 is imo considerable enough to be taken into consideration. :okOr does it signify teams who the bookmakers are pricing correctly' date=' it is just that the team has been overachieving against their [b']"true level" as indicated by the bookmaker prices. They can therefore be expected to "regress to the mean", or rather, sink back to their true level of performance in line with bookmaker and public expectations. -
Re: A.I.T.E 2 again for a small profit [TABLE=width: 596]
[TR] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]BET[/TD] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]result[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]DOUBLE 1[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]Millwall[/TD] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]2.05[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]DOUBLE 2[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]Gillingham[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.80[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]DOUBLE 3[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Wolves[/TD] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]TREBLE[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]TOTAL[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.00[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 275] [TR] [TD=colspan: 4]OVERALL[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Staked[/TD] [TD=align: right]36.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Returned[/TD] [TD=align: right]22.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Profit/Loss[/TD] [TD=align: right]-13.29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Yield[/TD] [TD=align: right]-36.92%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok -
Re: The Saturday Lucky 15 Thread Its learning all the time mate its self teaching after the initial input.just hope it gets better :hope Programmings a hobby for me ,i love the challenge .
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Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back Just the 7 draws :D [TABLE=width: 484]
[TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD]3.54[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]3.58[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]3.45[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Carlisle[/TD] [TD]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]1-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Barnet[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]3.58[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Morecambe[/TD] [TD]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD]3.61[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]1-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Lincoln[/TD] [TD]Barrow[/TD] [TD]3.91[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [TD]0-0[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Staked 210 returned 251.17 profit 41.17 ROI 19.60% [TABLE=width: 226] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]OVERALL[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]206[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total wins[/TD] [TD=align: right]64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]total losses[/TD] [TD=align: right]142[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]s/r[/TD] [TD=align: right]31.07%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]points stake[/TD] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]turnover[/TD] [TD=align: right]2060[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]return[/TD] [TD=align: right]2283.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]P/L[/TD] [TD=align: right]223.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Yield[/TD] [TD=align: right]10.83%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]Av win Odds[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.57[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok -
Re: The Saturday Lucky 15 Thread the programmes starting to learn its job :cigar
not cracked it yet , got to get in the top 10
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Re: The Saturday Lucky 15 Thread My humble computer picks for the weekend placed @ BetVictor, better odds @ Sportingbet but unfortunately they dont like me :(
Lingfield 1.55
Lingfield 4.50
Kempton 4.25
Chepstow 3.20
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Re: A.I.T.E Trixie for this weekend [TABLE=width: 438]
[TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]Millwall[/TD] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]2.05[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]Gillingham[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Wolves[/TD] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok Ooops forgot Prices @ Betvictor -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back These will put a wee dent in my pinnacle account :\.... 21 to go at this weekend :eek [TABLE=width: 438]
[TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD]Wigan[/TD] [TD]3.45[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]West Brom[/TD] [TD]Sunderland[/TD] [TD]3.56[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD]3.54[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]3.58[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Bolton[/TD] [TD]Hull[/TD] [TD]3.48[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD]3.60[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Bristol City[/TD] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD]3.53[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Huddersfield[/TD] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]3.45[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Sheffield Weds[/TD] [TD]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]Sheffield United[/TD] [TD]3.45[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Carlisle[/TD] [TD]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Colchester[/TD] [TD]Tranmere[/TD] [TD]3.40[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Coventry[/TD] [TD]Crewe[/TD] [TD]3.76[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Leyton Orient[/TD] [TD]Crawley Town[/TD] [TD]3.41[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Barnet[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]3.58[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Burton[/TD] [TD]Exeter[/TD] [TD]3.6[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Morecambe[/TD] [TD]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD]3.61[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Wycombe[/TD] [TD]Southend[/TD] [TD]3.46[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD]3.58[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Lincoln[/TD] [TD]Barrow[/TD] [TD]3.91[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Luton[/TD] [TD]Mansfield[/TD] [TD]3.69[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Average 6 to break even :hope :ok -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back Leeds won so another loser :eyes [TABLE=width: 226]
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Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back Just the 1 draw last night [TABLE=width: 484]
[TR] [TD=class: xl63, width: 75, align: right]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=width: 107]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD=width: 110]Northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64]3.66[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]w[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Most of the other selections only had 1 goal in it :( Saying that there were only 8 draws from a 43 game card Saturday and 4 draws from a 25 game card last night (12/68 or 17.5% draw ratio) which is well below average so I'm in no doubt the draw ratio will revert back to the mean. :hope Full update after Leeds game :ok -
Re: A.I.T.E Trixie for tonight @ B365 [TABLE=width: 340]
[TR] [TD]Braintree Town[/TD] [TD]Grimsby[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gateshead[/TD] [TD]Wrexham[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] ***** Between posting and going to B365 to back the selections, Wrexhams price dropped to 1.8 making a no bet for today as minimum return for a double must be 4.00 :eyes :ok -
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back 6 for tonight 1 for tomorrow Usual 10pts [TABLE=width: 425]
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Re: Racing Post Membership (price increase to £14.50 a month) Dont see what the problem is,paper sales are going down as more use the internet version,so common sense says they will have to balance revenue one way or another. If its making you money keep buying it.( a few pence extra on your bets and its paid for itself) If its not bin it and read the ATR site simple as that.
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Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back Booooooo Rubbish results yesterday :@ Seem to be hitting a lean spell at the moment :$ [TABLE=width: 226]
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Re: The Saturday Lucky 15 Thread Man v machine :clap Not so good today but algorithm will learn as it goes ;)
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Re: A.I.T.E
Unfortunately yes but if you don't have belief you will never get anywhere [TABLE=width: 404] [TR] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]BET[/TD] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]result[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]Scunthorpe[/TD] [TD]HOME[/TD] [TD]2.15[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bury[/TD] [TD]Coventry[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.38[/TD] [TD]w[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hartlepool[/TD] [TD]Leyton Orient[/TD] [TD]AWAY[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [TD]l[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 275] [TR] [TD=colspan: 4]OVERALL[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Staked[/TD] [TD=align: right]32.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Total Returned[/TD] [TD=align: right]15.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Profit/Loss[/TD] [TD=align: right]-16.29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=colspan: 3]Yield[/TD] [TD=align: right]-50.91%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Getting better :okFootball can be a fickle mistress... :(
A.I.D.E.'s Back
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: A.I.D.E.'s Back 10 for the weekend Usual 10pts [TABLE=width: 438]
[TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD]Bolton[/TD] [TD]3.49[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]Peterboro[/TD] [TD]3.8[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]3.44[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Doncaster[/TD] [TD]Hartlepool[/TD] [TD]3.80[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Leyton Orient[/TD] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]3.50[/TD] [TD]Sjames[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD]Burton[/TD] [TD]3.53[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Morecambe[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]3.5[/TD] [TD]B365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Southport[/TD] [TD]Dartford[/TD] [TD]3.81[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]Forest Green[/TD] [TD]3.49[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD]Gateshead[/TD] [TD]Braintree Town[/TD] [TD]3.46[/TD] [TD]pinnacle[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] :ok