Machine
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Re: England: Premier League Aug 13-15 For all the money Citeh have spent their play is very negative from what ive seen so was tempted to go under 2.5 with corals @ 2.35 , but had a change of heart and gone for 1-0 or 1-1 at hills. 6.5 @ 5.80..1-0 9 @ 4.20.....1-1
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Re: A.I. Football 2 for tomorrow Hereford..... x @ 3.5 B365
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) 1 for today Thirsk 2.15 Passionada
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Re: A.I. Football Just the 1 winner (hartlepool) and a late goal @ scunthorpe cost me a winning week staked 110 won 4 lost 7 sr 36% return 128.50 profit 18.50 yield 16.81%
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) First 2 won then all downhill from then on :$ bank now 36.72
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Re: A.I. Football tomorrows bets 10pts staked = 50pts bury...............h @ 2.3 vc chesterfield.....h @ 2.3 vc hartlepool.......x @ 3.5 vc scunthorpe.....a @ 3.0 skybet sheff utd........x @ 3.5 vc :ok
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) Dancing Primo lost so bank now 48.03 7 bets today so that means full bank on Catt 6.55 stormy whatever 8.30 catallout Kemp 6.45 raahin 7.15 deerslayer Newb 4.20 farlow Newc 3.55 west brit Nott 2.55 lady paris
3 for profit :hope
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Re: A.I horses (AUG)
Shouldnt be backing in apprentice races full stop. 1 today 8.00 FFos Las Dancing PrimoNever bet against a beaten favourite in an apprentice race ;)
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) Both lost Corr point shouldnt have been a bet anyway as it was an apprentice race, but too late job done now :$ bank now 55.03
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Re: A.I. Football
Ok' date=' If it is not w/d/l, then it could be anything like probability of win, goals difference or whatever.[/quote'] Did you read the link on Quarbs You have the answer already in your post on bookmakers, When you eat an orange you dont put it all in your mouth at once do you ;) . I didnt dismiss value, I said totaly different If it doesnt dream them up where must they be ? -
Re: A.I. Football Value in betting terminology is an abstract concept It can neither be proved nor disproved. Yet 'value' is too often used by the 'look at the size of my cock ive had a 16/1 winner ' or the 'in the long run i'll be profitable' fanatics to try and impress, neither of which I have any time for so, I dismiss it as early as possible in my threads so as to stop them coming on and trying to educate me in the art of the bleeding obvious ;)
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Re: A.I. Football probability But not based on w/d/l. Its an attempt at adapting the idea behind 'QUARBS' betting into a workable solution for the fixed odds market instead of the spreads. It may work it may not we shall see.
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) not been neglecting this thread ,just haven't been any selections :$ 2 for today though Wolvs 3.45 Fleetwood Sands 5.45 Cor Point
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Re: A.I. Football I tried using NN backpropagation (time series analysis) but as you say gives out similar to regression which is average to say the least. Opted for generic/genetic optimization which starts with the full set of factors and tests them against each other rather than pattern finding,then like natural selection weeds out the weakest eliminates it and then retests the others again renewing the process until the strongest factors are left.
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Re: A.I. Football
Value is an opinion,computers dont have opinions they just deal with facts in the best possible way they can. So if a team is a 2/1 shot the prog doesnt dream up a price of 3/1 and call it value it works with the 2/1 and gives the best options overall compared with the rest of the teams.But if your AI, doesn´t dream up value, does it then dream up non value? I don`t get it?
you can buy off the shelf NNets for excel quite cheap which are easy to use HEREare these easy to create or do you need to be a good programmer? Al -
Re: A.I. Football Hi angeal its my own.
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Re: A.I. Football Hi davidc I dont know how au fait you are with A.I. (neural net) but it doesn't really do back-testing. Its more of a predictive sort of function (you throw he numbers at it , it gives you an answer) end of. That's what I like about AI it doesn't dream up false prices(so called value),it works purely on the available prices and the factors that work within those available prices. I said not a bad start as its a long season and I'm not the sort of person who gets too carried away. :ok
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Re: A.I. Football ipswich.......... a @ 3.00 vc.....won s/hmpton........ x @ 3.5 vc......lost walsall............ h @2.6 Bfred...won wycomb.......... h @ 2.5 Bfred..lost gillingham........ x @ 3.6 vc......lost shrewsbury...... x @ 3.75 vc....won not a bad start staked 60 won 3 lost 3 sr 50% return 90.35 profit 33.50 yield 50.58% return should read 93.50
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During the closed season I've been tinkering with my A.I. (Neural Nets) program to see if I could come up with a reasonably workable solution for a selection process for the footy. Well here it is Dont know if its any good but will soon find out. :loon I will be backing with real money as I do in my AI horses thread but dont recommend anyone else doing so. All bets will be 10 pts fixed stake (no fixed bank, I will decide when im losing too much :lol ) Todays selections ipswich.......... a @ 3.00 vc s/hmpton........ x @ 3.5 vc walsall............ h @2.6 bfred wycomb.......... h @ 2.5 bfred gillingham........ x @ 3.6 vc shrewsbury...... x @ 3.75 vc :ok
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Re: Question for experts Try HERE Check the boxes you need and it will give you the odds for all 9y olds in whatever flat races you want.
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) winner bank now 69.03
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) Non yesterday Just the one today Folk 7.10 Anjomarba
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Re: A.I horses (AUG) Above should read Will carry on until what's left of last months bank has gone. (shouldn't take too long :lol ) 1 winner bank now 58.53
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Well late today Might as well carry on till last months banks gone banks gone. :eyes 2.45 Bath Laverrre 3.30 Catt Cat 'O' Nine Tails 3.45 Bath Beauty Pagent
2 for profit
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England: Premier League Aug 13-15
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: England: Premier League Aug 13-15 OOps in a rush should be 10 staked 1-0.....5.80 @ 6.5 1-1.....4.20 @ 9.00