fishy25
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Posts posted by fishy25
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Last tournament ahead of the French Open next week so get stuck in :ok
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Re: May06-13 Decent return with the tennis as both bets won. Serena looked superb, Azarenka never got close in truth whilst I've only just started watching the Federer match with all the excitement of the football. +7.49 for the day though which I'll take. Will stick next week's thread up in a sec if there's any thoughts there :ok
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Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Nothing for me today. Was tempted by both Leicestershire and Somerset, but the team news coming out of both matches has put me off enough to stay away. GL kev:ok
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Re: May06-13 Haven't had a bet on the tennis for a while due to essays and stuff, but all done now for a couple of weeks so I'll look to get involved ahead of the French in a couple of weeks. Taking an interest in both finals tomorrow. Will post in order that they are scheduled to play tomorrow with the women's match first. Serena Williams (-2.5 games) to beat Victoria Azarenka- 5/6 William Hill- (5/10) Favouring Serena quite heavily in this one and it should be all about the American really. Unbeaten in her last 12 matches, all on clay and lost just the one set in that time to Wozniacki the other day. She's handled the likes of Stosur, Sharapova and Wozniacki with relative ease in recent weeks which are sure signs that she's returning to her form of a few years ago. This blue clay crap despite the poor condition that Rafa and Novak have complained about, is playing extremely quickly for a clay court and that plays right right into Williams hands really. It simply just compliments the power she can give a ball and she should be able to really cause Azarenka problems both on return and in the rallies. Williams didn't have any break points against her in the match against Hradecka which is a good sign as well and you'd expect Williams to do a lot more on return consistently. Azarenka hasn't been as devastating on the clay as she was in the early parts of the season. Sharapova hammered her over in Germany, whilst Kuznetsova and Li have given her problems in Madrid, as well as Radwanska really putting pressure on her serve in the semis. Azarenka will have to serve about 5 times better than she did against Radwanska otherwise she's in big trouble. At times, she'll struggle to get much off her return game against the American, meaning she'll need some cheap service games of her own and I'm not sure that will happen all too often. She'll be receiving flat and powerful shots from Serena and it's hard to see where Azarenka is going to trouble her. H2H is really not happy reading for her either, Serena leads it 6-1, including the last 4 in which she's covered the handicap line here and I'd expect her to win pretty comfortably tomorrow to extend her winning streak. Roger Federer vs Tomas Berdych- Over 21.5 games- 5/6 William Hill- (4/10) The line is a game lower than most places have it and it does look too low to me. I expect Federer to prevail come the end, but matches between these two guys usually are pretty tight. Roger has had massive problems with the Czech in the past, with Berdych winning 3 of the last 5 the two have played. The quicker conditions over in Madrid should help Berdych as well, with his tall serve getting that extra bit of power that he won't be used to getting on the usual clay. He's already hammered Verdasco and Monfils which are good signs although there's possible explanations for both of those guys, whilst he did really well to overcome an in form Del Potro today, especially considering he hadn't taken a set off the Argentinian in the past 3 meetings. Federer has been comfortable in truth since he beat Raonic, and he was always in command against the likes of Gasquet, Ferrer and Tipsarevic. Berdych should provide a much stiffer test though and he should be confident given how he has Federer's number in recent times. I do expect Roger to win, but a couple of tightish sets could see this line through, even if it doesn't go the distance so I'll back the overs here.
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Re: Premier League Darts - Final Week Good call on Hamilton Kev. Been a thoroughly enjoyable 14 weeks of darts with not many predicting a semi final line-up without at least one of Lewis, Barney or Anderson. In terms of the outrights they have saved my skin a little. Been pretty hit and miss in the match bets in the league and was slightly disappointed that Lewis couldn't take at least a point off Whitlock, especially considering he was 5-2 up. That kills a couple of my outrights and probably means Taylor will hit the most 180's now. Actually thought Wade might crack in that final leg against Barney but wasn't to be. The final match of the session was ideal though, as it meant a rather tasty 25/1 price on Anderson to finish bottom came through, as well as Taylor's individual season wins was under 12. From the settled outrights I can take away a tidy +24.62pts, although that will change come the end of the tournament, which brings me to +19.11pts overall, going into the final week of the PL.
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Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Good work yesterday Kev. I took on more than I should have really, with Northants and the Unicorns both comfortably beaten. Currently sitting on +3.40 for the tournament though, and looking to build on that in the TV game today in which I'm taking 3. Middlesex Highest 1st 8 Overs vs Gloucestershire- 4/5 Coral- (4/10) Can't add too much to what Kev has said really although I'm taking the bet for the first 8 overs rather than 15. The absence of Andrew Strauss actually makes me like this bet even more than if he played to be honest, at it leaves the likes of Joe Denly, Dawid Malan and maybe Paul Stirling to kick off the innings aggressively, far more so than Strauss anyway. They should be able to play freely the Middlesex top order given the lack of quality and experience in Gloucestershire's bowling attack. Holland managed to make a decent score yesterday and score well in the early powerplays, and Middlesex have better batting quality than Holland do so I'd expect them to make the most of the fielding restrictions and get them off to a decent start, better than Gloucestershire do when they come to bat anyway. Middlesex (Most 6's) vs Gloucestershire- 6/5 Blue Square- (4/10) I've already spoken about the natural aggressive nature that the top order Middlesex batsman have and the inexperience that the Gloucestershire bowlers have and that to me seems key here. The likes of Denly, Malan and Stirling can all hit a ball a long way, and with the all round talent of Gareth Berg, Ollie Rayner and Tim Murtagh down the order, there's always a chance of a few maximums coming from them as well. There's nothing in the Gladiator's bowling attack that the Middlesex batsman are going to be scared of, and you'd expect them to get some loose balls which they can put away given the inexperience. Although Gloucestershire have some decent batsman in Hamish Marshall and Kane Williamson and the Gidmans, none of the before mentioned are massive hitters and are more stroke players. Benny Howell packs a punch as Holland found out yesterday but he's the only one from what I can see who is likely to be going for the big shots regularly. The Middlesex bowlers are just that more experienced than their opponents, and are used to the Lord's conditions where it should seam a bit so they should keep it a bit tighter and at odds against, I'll back the home side to record more maximums today. Fall of Gloucestershire 1st Wicket Under 26.5 Runs- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (4/10) Quite like the line set on the visitors here as they play on what should be a seaming and swinging Lord's pitch. The conditions look pretty overcast so the likes of Murtagh and Roland-Jones should get some help early on with the hard new ball and cause problems for the Gloucestershire openers. Both Murtagh and Roland-Jones have started the season well in the Championship so should be pretty confident at the minute as well which is always a good thing. Another thing I like about this line is the way the Gloucestershire openers usually play. Their main talent comes within the middle order, but the openers are usually fairly cautious for the Gladiators, and at Lord's where the ball will nip about, there's every chance they could nick one behind or to slips if the likes of Murtagh and Roland-Jones stick to the right length. I think there's a decent chance of an early wicket to fall in the Gloucestershire innings though and that's what I'll back to happen.
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Re: April 30-May 6 Let's move the discussion to this week's thread guys. :ok
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Re: April 30-May 6
Form is just as important as overall ability though, especially when it comes to the women who are more mentally fragile. There's not one particular site I use, but place like MatchStat amongst others have reported the shoulder injury. She hadn't played since Charleston either which would indicate something isn't right as she probably would have played in Stuttgart along with the other top women if she was fit. She's not quite the force on clay as she is on the hard courts though even when she is fit.I agree she has been struggling with her form but she has class in abundance. As for her fitness, she has no recent injuries (according to TennisExplorer) but maybe they're incorrect, either way maybe you could let me know the site where you got your information from so as I may become as well informed as you! ;) -
Re: April 30-May 6
It wasn't done to sound wise. I simply wrote it because it was said that Zvonareva was 'over and done with', which isn't the case just because she lost one match. I was just stating that it wasn't a shock that she lost the match given the circumstances, and she isn't 'over', she's simply just struggling with fitness and form at the minute and was up against a tricky opponent regardless. If you followed or took that bet yourself, and weren't aware of those factors, I'd suggest you hadn't done enough research into the match as all of those points are pretty well known are are key influences into taking a bet. Just points to consider next time :okIt's very easy to be wise after the event but still of very little use...:) -
Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Northants to beat Warwickshire- 11/8 BetVictor- (3/10) Spoken about Northants in my outright and feel they are slightly overpriced here. Both sides will be coming into this one on a high with Warwickshire being the form side so far this season, whilst Northants managed to pick up their first win yesterday by bowling Hampshire out on the final day of their Championship match. That should give them confidence and the return of skipper Andrew Hall definitely lifted them in that match. Their main problem this season has been scoring enough runs, with their top order really struggling and if the likes of Peters and Newton at the top of the order can start to find some form, they are a really dangerous side. With the likes of Vaas, Brooks and Hall with the ball, they have 3 players there who would get into most county sides across the country IMO, and the backup that the likes of Middlebrook, Willey and Daggett provide aren't bad options either. There's no doubt that Warwickshire should be favourites in this one given the way they've started the season, but it'll be interesting to see if they can maintain that form in the shorter format of the game. I can't find any news on their team, but I don't expect it to change very much from the side that beat Durham, with Bell and Trott in the middle order. Rankin and Woakes are still missing though who are key death bowlers for Warwickshire though, and although the likes of Barker and Clarke have started the season well with the ball, I'm still just not totally convinced about either as they both have the ability to spray it around a bit. The main thing with Northants though is that they will need some of their senior batsman to score runs, but if they can do that, they should have a fighting chance in this one and I'll back them to spring a surprise in this one. Holland to beat Gloucestershire- 3/1 Coral- (2/10) I don't really see why or how Holland can be such underdogs in this one. Sure Gloucestershire are the county side and Holland are supposed to be one of the 'minnows' in this competition, but the truth is most of their side have played international cricket or at least faced better opposition than what Gloucestershire possess. Excluding Kane Williamson and Hamish Marshall, their batting, which is meant to be their strength is extremely lacking and if both of those players don't make runs, they are really struggling. Although they managed to salvage a draw against Derbyshire yesterday, it required both Marshall and Williamson to make runs and without that, you'd feel they would have been beaten after being outplayed for the best part of 2 and a bit days. Their bowling attack is poor though to be honest. David Payne, who is their best talent bowling wise is injured at the minute which leaves them pretty short in the bowling department. They often need 6 or 7 bowlers to chip in when they play Championship matches which shows that they don't have any stand out bowlers who will guarantee them wickets. Holland, despite being without ten Doeschate and Kervezee, still have some decent batsman in their side, including overseas signing Cameron Borgas and at this price, I'll back the Dutch to record an early win over a side struggling for real quality. Unicorns to beat Derbyshire- 7/2 Bet365- (2/10) Also going to back another one of the more unfamiliar names in domestic cricket in the Unicorns. I often feel early in the season is a decent time to back the lesser sides as they are sometimes overlooked and can put in some decent performances. The Unicorns side is made up of domestic players who are without a contract, so seek to play some cricket in order to impress the county scouts. Wes Durston is a prime example who this has worked for who is actually playing for Derbyshire now so the Derby coaching staff will know that this won't be an easy match. They do have some decent players in their side as well though, with the likes of Chris Benham, Mark Hardinges, Chris Murtagh and Chris Peploe playing for them this season and captained by the experienced ex-Somerset man Keith Parsons so there is some quality cricketers in there. Derbyshire have started the season well, but it's worth noting that they were on the field yesterday for the entire day, as they weren't able to bow Gloucestershire out and never got close to either really. Wayne Madsen finally scored some runs, and in Martin Guptill, they have a pretty good top order but it's the bowling that lets them down. A bit like Gloucestershire really, they don't have anyone who is guaranteed to take wickets and that's what cost them yesterday. With the Unicorns having some decent batsman, if they can score enough runs and get rid of the likes of Guptill and Madsen pretty early on, they should have a chance and to me their price looks like a bit of value.
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Re: April 30-May 6
I only saw the tip when I came on which was after the match. However, it's common knowledge that Vera has been struggling with injury and is out form. Likewise, Cetkovska's run in New Haven last season was the surprise of the year and and anyone taking this bet on must have known about that, as it's always risky betting against her as she's capable of producing the goods.This info would have been useful before the match !!! -
Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Taking 5 in total today, including a top bat in the TV game. Will do those in one post and the other match bets in another. Kent to beat Yorkshire- 11/10 Blue Square- (4/10) Although I've backed Yorkshire to have a decent CB40 campaign, the value is with Kent here. The main problem for them is their bowling attack coming into this one, as they are without Tim Bresnan, whilst Ryan Sidebottom is rested along with Anthony McGrath as well and Mitchell Starc, their new overseas acquisition won't play until the 4 day match against Gloucestershire. Add to that Ajmal Shahzad leaving the club and it leaves a very inexperienced and significantly weaker bowling attack for Andrew Gale to choose from in this match. Batting wise they have some good quality, with the likes of Jacques, Gale, Root and Bairstow amongst others, but you fear for them when they are out on the field. I'm not entirely sure if Kent skipper Rob Key is fit to play today, but in any case, their middle order consisting of Harmison, Nash and Stevens is pretty experienced and solid so they will make it tough for the Yorkshire bowlers. Matt Coles has started the season extremely well with the ball which has seen him get a chance in the England Lions squad, whilst they also have Davies, Tredwell and the promising Adam Ball as well so they are pretty equipped in the bowling department. The fact that Yorkshire are missing a couple of their senior bowlers doesn't bode well for me. We saw how Somerset struggled without their main seamers against Surrey the other day and that could well be the same for Yorkshire today. Kent have pretty much dominated both Championship matches the two teams have played this season without managing to win, but I fancy them to break that duck today. Matt Coles Top Kent Batsman- 16/1 Coral- (1/10) E/W- 1/5-1,2,3 Although there are much higher prices available on Matt Coles here, Coral are the only bookies that offer the each way place which is what you want here. This price still looks astonishingly high to me. He has started the season superbly with the ball which has seen him be named in the England Lions squad for next week so he'll be looking to impress on TV with the ball today but it's his batting I'm more interested in here. He has already hit an unbeaten century against Yorkshire this season at this very ground which shows he can bat as well as bowl. He's extremely aggressive and against a weaker than usual Yorkshire bowling attack, he could well get a chance to hit some runs. Of course the obvious worry will be where he bats, but there is a chance he may be boosted up the order as a sort of pinch hitter as he has been a couple of times before which automatically makes him a better price than what he is here. If he doesn't though, I'd imagine he'll bat maybe at number 8, but like I said, I think it's worth the risk of Coles here just in case he does get promoted up the order and I'm willing to take that small chance that he might score some runs today.
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Re: County Championship 2012 Top stuff kev :clap:clap
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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th Top shouts on Carter guys! Hope he does the business for you in the final Russ :hope
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Re: April 30-May 6
Hardly lol. The result isn't a shock at all. She's been struggling with a shoulder injury, hence why she hasn't played since Charleston and why the odds were so high on the Russian. She's nowhere near as dominant on the clay even at 100% and often plays in lengthy and gruelling matches. Since 2009 she's not had anywhere near the success on clay as she has on the quicker surfaces and Cetkovska has beaten Peer and Errani on clay in the past year so she's clearly not bad on the surface. Put that with the fact that she was a losing finalist in a Masters Event last season amongst some other good performances, then it's not a surprise with Zvonareva's fitness that she beat the Russian. Would hardly say she is 'over and done with'.LOL @ Vera She really is over and done with. -
Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Nothing doing in that match. Surrey were comfortable winners, should have really backed them with bigger stakes as they never looked like losing from the first over. Dernbach didn't do anything with the ball though so nothing to show from that match. Plenty of fixtures on sunday though along with a televised match so should be plenty to have there.
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Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Know you haven't stuck the odds up for the Surrey match tomorrow Kev but I won't have time to do this tomorrow so I'll do my match bets now. I won't stick the odds up either just in case you're pondering a couple more outrights :ok 2 for me to kick off with though: Surrey to beat Somerset- 4/5 Blue Square- (5/10) Not often I'll go with such high stakes in the opening fixture of a tournament but I can't look past Surrey here. Somerset are without plenty of notable absentees in this one, with the likes of Kirby and Trescothick injured and they are choosing to rest their best bowler thus far this season, Vernon Philander. Without Kirby and Philander, as well as Adam Dibble, the bowling department looks extremely thin and that's highlighted by the fact that they have been forced to bring in plenty of youngsters to make up the squad. They do have Nick Compton however, who has been in sublime form so far this season, and he'll open with Craig Kieswetter in the absence of Trescothick so there's plenty of batting talent at the top of their order. Surrey are pretty much at full strength, and have quality and experience oozing throughout their side. I've spoken quite a bit about their credentials already in the previous write up so I won't repeat that again but they do look a couple of levels above their opponents in this one with the key players missing for Somerset. Although Nick Compton has scored well this season, you have to take into consideration that some of those runs have come down at Taunton which is a bit of a road in truth. The Oval will do a whole lot more for the bowlers, and I expect the likes of Jon Lewis, Jade Dernbach and Stuart Meaker to really cause problems for the Somerset top order. That's something which I'm not sure the Somerset bowlers will do given their inexperience at this level. They will be bowling at one of the most experienced and talented batting lineups on the county scene who know how the Oval plays out and given the look of both sides, I fancy Surrey to kick off the defence of their title with a repeat of the final from last season. Jade Dernbach Player Performance Over 30 & Over- 5/6 Bet365- (4/10) Think this line is on the low side to be honest. Dernbach has started the season relatively well with the ball, taking 11 wickets in his first 3 Championship matches and what I like about backing the overs here, is that Dernbach will both bowl in the first 8 over powerplay, as well as at the death. The death especially as that's where he really does take a lot of wickets with his variations of yorkers and slower balls which are hard to pick so he is always a threat there, especially bowling against a fairly inexperienced Somerset side. I also like this line because even if he takes just one wicket, there's always a chance of a catch coming his way which would cover the line as well. I'd fancy him to claim a couple of victims tomorrow though however so I'll back the overs on Dernbach.
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Re: 2012 Clydesdale Bank 40 Hopefully the rain won't affect too much of the early one day action like it has done in the Championship. I've taken a few outrights in the competition, involving 4 teams in total. Surrey to win Clydesdale Bank 40- 8/1 Ladbrokes- (2/10 E/W) 1/2-1,2 I've backed Surrey in the Championship and I'm also going to take a punt on them here to successfully defend their CB40 trophy. Granted they are going to have to qualify from a ridiculously hard group compared to groups A&C but they should have the confidence in themselves to come through the group. Their team looks perfectly balanced for the one day game with the fire power of Roy and Davies at the top of the order, as well as Jacques Rudolph, followed up with the stability of De Bruyn, Ramprakash, Hamilton-Brown and Maynard in the middle order and a fearsome bowling attack which has the likes of Meaker, Dernbach and Lewis at the front of it. In most of the county sides, you can spot a weakness amongst the ranks but I just don't see one in this Surrey side. Perhaps the spin options could be stronger, but Gareth Batty is an experienced campaigner, whilst the youngster Ansari who we saw in the T20 last season looks a really promising talent with the ball as well. In their group, they will have to deal with sides such as Somerset, Notts, Durham and Hampshire but to me this Surrey side is stronger and has more depth than their rivals. Somerset look a little thin on the bowling side, whilst Marcus Trescothick has just had surgery so they will be without him for a while. Notts simply haven't batted anywhere near as good as they will need to so far this season given their bowling attack is a little thin and Durham have an ageing squad that I don't feel will play their best cricket in the shorter formats. Hampshire also haven't settled early season and like Notts, their bowling options won't exactly strike fear into many county sides across the country despite possessing some talented youngsters. I just feel Surrey will be really determined to prove last year's success wasn't just a one off and coach Chris Adams will really make them aware that they can't take last year's performance for granted so I'll back them to go similarly well this season. Lancashire to win Group A- 11/4 Bet365- (3/10) Lancashire to win Clydesdale Bank 40- 10/1 William Hill- (2/10 E/W) 1/2-1,2 This group looks far more closed than that of Group B with in my eyes, only 3 teams capable of reaching the semis. Those teams being Essex, Middlesex and my picks Lancashire whilst the other 4 sides in this group you'd have to say are quite a bit weaker than these 3. I actually don't give Essex much of a chance despite being favourites with the bookies simply because their team will be chopping and changing too much for my liking. Their 2 main batsman so far this season, Alviro Petersen and Ravi Bopara aren't going to be around for the whole season with Petersen only playing for them until June and Bopara could see himself play a lot more for England this year in both formats of the game. Granted Owais Shah and Ryan ten Doeschate will be back from the IPL soon but they will have to adapt back into the domestic conditions quickly as the Indian pitches are extremely different to the one down at Chelmsford. Cook obviously won't play much at all given his England commitments and there's always doubt over Graham Napier's fitness so the likes of Masters and Willoughby will have to bowl consistently and take wickets constantly but an injury to either guy and that leaves the side looking extremely thin bowling wise and without Bopara especially, they could struggle for runs as well. Middlesex could be the ones to watch in this group in terms of real danger for Lancashire but the bowling side of their side still would worry me a touch if I were backing them. Batting wise they are strong, especially with Andrew Strauss potentially available more this season which adds further depth to a strong top order. Without Stephen Finn in their side however, and that could be the case at times this season, it's debatable whether the seam options of Murtagh, Collymore and Gareth Berg will win you matches should the side struggle for runs and there's chances of that, especially when facing Leicestershire and Lancashire who's strength lies with the ball. Given the lack of real quality bowling wise, that leads me onto Lancashire who have one of the most consistent bowling attacks in the country. Skipper Glen Chapple has started the season exceptionally well, whilst Kyle Hogg and Saj Mahmood can provide decent backup as well. The spinners though are what win Lancashire so many games and with the quality of Gary Keedy and Simon Kerrigan, Chapple will feel confident enough to feel that both spinners can really turn a match in their favour, especially at a spinning Old Trafford. They have lacked a few runs early in the season, but Ashwell Prince has scored well, and the one day format usually brings the best out of Steven Croft, Stephen Moore and a few others in the middle order. Lancs have a lot of options in their squad with the majority of their side being made up of all rounders which is never a bad thing in one day cricket. This to me looks a fairly decent group for Lancashire to fancy winning, and with those spin options that I've mentioned, I'll back the likes of Keedy and Kerrigan to show just how good they are and hopefully see Lancashire go well this season in the CB40. Couple of value picks as well IMO, both coming in Group C: Northamptonshire to Qualify from Group C- 9/2 Blue Square- (2/10) Northamptonshire to win Clydesdale Bank 40- 33/1 Ladbrokes- (0.5/10) E/W- 1/2-1,2 I must admit Northants are actually becoming one of my favourite sides in county cricket but I don't actually know why :lol I think it's because for so long they have been considered a 'lesser' county but in the past couple of years they have come on leaps and bounds echoed by almost gaining promotion in the 4 day game last season. The main favourites in this group are Sussex and Warwickshire, with Kent also being given a chance And whilst I agree with Kev that Warwickshire have a chance in the competition, Sussex simply aren't the force they once were with some key departures and IPL/England commitments as well which have taken their side down a couple of levels really. Kent are dangerous as well, especially considering the way they've started the season but I feel Northants have a decent chance as well. They haven't started the season well at all, but for the first couple of matches they have been without Andrew Hall but he's back now and is already amongst the wickets in their championship match at the minute. The bowling attack of the Steelbacks is one which I feel is overlooked and extremely underrated. With the new ball they have one of the most economical bowlers ever in Chaminda Vaas as well as the emerging Jack Brooks who has started the season exceptionally well and is now in the Lions side against the WIndies next week. They have the spin option of James Middlebrook as well who is a canny bowler along with Andrew Hall as well which shows they have 4 really good bowlers at their disposal. The one thing they have struggled for so far this season is runs, but if the likes of Stephen Peters, Kyle Coetzer and David Sales can score runs, the likes of Hall, Vaas and Alex Wakely will score crucial runs as well which should see them 'upset' quite a few sides in my opinion and at this price, I think they are more than worth a punt to get out of this group and trouble the bigger counties in the tournament. Yorkshire to Qualify from Group C- 9/2 Blue Square- (2/10) Yorkshire to win Clydesdale Bank 40- 25/1 Blue Square- (0.5/10) E/W- 1/2-1,2 Yorkshire also look a big price to me as well in this group. They may have had a disappointing season last year, being relegated from division 1 in the Championship but with Jason Gillespie at the helm now, he knows what it's like to win things and he'll be pressing that winning mentality into his players in order to bring some silverware to the club. Squad wise they look to have all the assets at their disposable to really challenge in one day cricket. Signing Phil Jacques is a big plus to the club, especially considering he doesn't count as an overseas player either, which has allowed them to bring in Aussie bowler Mitchell Starc who Gillespie rates highly and will be available from next week. The middle order has been strengthened by the return to fitness of Andrew Gale and Anthony McGrath who with the leading run scorer in division 2 so far Jonny Bairstow, make up a supremely strong middle order. Joe Root has already been in the lions squad as well and he'll be at the top of the order so Yorkshire must be delighted with the batting talent they have. Bowling wise they aren't bad either. In Adil Rashid and Ryan Sidebottom, they already have two England internationals at their disposal, with Tim Bresnan likely to be available for decent periods of time as well. The news that Ajmal Shahzad wants to leave isn't ideal, but with the Aussie Starc coming in, they will hope he slots in nicely for Shahzad. McGrath and Patterson will also chip in with some tidy bowling as well to peg sides back so to me Yorkshire look well set to have a good campaign this year, and at this price, it's simply too big for me to pass on Gillespie's men here.
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Re: Premier League Darts - Week 13 Tonight was really just one of those nights. In a different session, all of those bets could have come through with ease but not tonight. Whitlock missed doubles to cover the 13 legs and Barney led on a couple of occasions as well. The Lewis' average bet has to be one of the most frustrating bets ever though. He was cruising above the line despite getting hammered until a god awful terrible final leg meant he didn't even cover the line :wall A bad night nonetheless, which has left me on -5.51 with the final league matches next week. The only positives however are the outrights with Anderson, barring any miracles against Taylor next week, looking good to come bottom of the league at a rather tasty 25/1. Whitlock has also qualified given Barney and Wade meet next week so the top 4 I was hoping for could still happen which would be excellent.
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Re: Premier League Darts - Week 13 Disappointing night of darts for me personally next week, which has left me on +4.99 for the tournament. However some of the outrights look well set so hopefully that should make the overall look a bit healthier come the end of the league stages. Onto the penultimate week then, and it's possible we will know the 4 semi finalists come the end of the night, although I fancy the match next week between Wade and Barney to be the deciding match for the 4th semi spot. I like the card a fair bit tonight, so taking a fair few. Simon Whitlock vs Andy Hamilton- Over 12.5 legs- 5/6 StanJames- (4/10) I'd have had the price on this line a fair bit skinner in truth so happy to take the price available here. Andy Hamilton still has a chance of making the semis, albeit an extremely slim chance but a chance nonetheless. The Hammer lost to Dave Chisnall over the weekend but Chizzy was playing some really good stuff over the weekend so it wasn't such a shock that Hamilton got beaten there. Although the Hammer has been a bit hit and miss so far in his debut season in the PL, you know he will always fight for every leg and never give in no matter what the circumstances are. Barring any disasters, Whitlock is all but guaranteed a place in the semi finals but he will know a win here or even a draw will see him book his place at the O2 with a week to spare which is something he'll want to ensure given he plays Lewis next week which is certainly a hard match for the Aussie. That run of 3 wins in a row before last week was much needed for Whitlock, and he'll be disappointed he didn't do more against Taylor last week after leading 3-1 at one stage. Hamilton traditionally has a really good record against his opponent here echoed by his win at Ally Pally over Christmas. The overs seems the obvious choice to me though in this one as both guys score well enough to hold throw quite comfortably and their finishing is generally solid as well. They drew 7 a piece in their first meeting in the PL, and I expect neither player to win any better than 8-5 in the return match. Raymond van Barneveld to beat Gary Anderson- 6/5 William Hill- (3/10) Raymond van Barneveld (Most 180s) vs Gary Anderson- 6/4 William Hill- (3/10) Gary Anderson 3 Dart Average Under 97.5- 5/6 William Hill- (4/10) Favour the Dutchman quite heavily as he knows chances are a win here, will mean he only needs a point against James Wade next week to book his place in the semis as I don't see Wade taking any points off Taylor. Even if he doesn't win, he'll still have a chance next week if he beats Wade but no doubt he will want the 2 points desperately against the Scot and will do everything in his power to try and get the win. In the past couple of weeks, Barney has sort of gone through a bit of a dip in form when you consider how well he has played in the tournament so far including that 107 average he notched up in the first match against Anderson. The Dutchman managed to bag a few wins over the weekend in Austria though and averaged 102 in his win over Mark Webster so I'd fancy a couple of wins will have boosted his confidence a touch. Gary Anderson did improve against Adrian Lewis last week and managed to get a point but you have to say Lewis missed a fair few doubles in that one which gave the Scot chances and allowed him into the match. Justin Pipe hammered him over the weekend, with Anderson averaging a shade over 91 and although the slow style of Pipe doesn't suit his game, if Anderson doesn't improve significantly, Barney will win this one and given the incentives for Barney to take the 2 points, that's what I'll back him to do. I can't ignore the price on the Dutchman to hit more 180s either as Anderson still hasn't shown me enough to suggest he is anywhere near coming close to his heavy scoring best. Although he managed to hit 3 against Lewis last week, in actual fact playing Lewis isn't such a bad thing for Anderson's flow as Lewis is equally quick in his throw which helps Anderson really. Barney though is a touch slower which won't help the Scot. Before the match with Lewis, he'd only hit 1 maximum in total in the previous 3 weeks and he hasn't hit more than 3 on a single night since week 3. Barney has been more consistent however in scoring the maximums now he has returned to his previous darts, and at the weekend he scored well with 3 180s a piece against Burnett and Pipe. The price although it isn't massive, still looks like value to me so I'll back more maximums to come from the Dutchman. And :lol one final involvement I'll have in this match in regarding Anderson's average. Where the line has come from I really don't know but it looks too high to me. Anderson knows he hasn't really got anything to play for in this match so whether he'll be completely up for it I don't know. He didn't average higher than 97 in either match against Co Stompe or Justin Pipe at the weekend and has only covered this line in the PL in 3 weeks so far. The problem with Anderson hitting a good average is not only the fact he isn't scoring well at the minute, but if you miss 3 darts at a double which the Scot often does, it makes the average plummet and I'd be surprised if he averaged higher than the line given here. Kevin Painter vs Adrian Lewis- Over 6.5 180s- 5/6 Bet365- (3/10) Adrian Lewis 3 Dart Average Over 97.5- 5/6 BetVictor- (5/10) I expect Lewis to win this one and with that virtually guarantee a place in the semis which will be a huge relief for the world champ after a really poor start in the league. His finishing has got better as the tournament has gone on, excluding the draw against Gary Anderson but generally his finishing has been good with some heavy scoring in the process. I don't really understand why the line is set this low though considering Lewis has covered the line in each of the last 5 weeks and in a few of those matches, he hasn't even scored at his very best. I see no reason why Lewis won't get close to a 3 dart average again tonight with the fact he'll be fully pumped for it so I'll take the overs. I also expect us to see at least 7 maximums in the match tonight as well. Lewis has scored well throughout the tournament, and has hit 6 maximums in 2 of the last 3 weeks which shows that he can go close to covering the line on his own. Painter has also scored well of late and should chip away at the line as well and although I expect Lewis to win, I'd fancy both players to cover the maximum line here. Phil Taylor (-2.5 legs) to beat James Wade- 4/6 Blue Square- (6/10) I don't expect James Wade to get anything out of this one in truth. I backed him with a handicap in the first match played out between this two but tons of missed doubles cost him and allowed Taylor to cruise home with ease. Wade has a shocking record against the Power and although he could do with a point, I really don't see it happening. Taylor has only dropped points to Adrian Lewis so far and I expect him to keep to that trend against Wade and just show his dominance over the rest of the field. Although he pulled out like Lewis from the event in Austria at the weekend, I don't expect here to be any problems whatsoever and it was probably done purely because the Power wanted a little rest. The handicap here looks minimal though to me. Although you can get a better price with a slightly bigger handicap, I prefer to take the (2.5) line as Wade throws first so it's a touch safer in my eyes but I'd expect Taylor to win pretty comfortably in truth.
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Re: April 30-May 6
Show a little more respect in future please. It's fine to disagree on bets, but not to criticize.Absolute and utter joke you just said. You label Hanescu as some sort of Nadal or ? Sorry but this match is not as easy as you put it. Rosol did beat Granollers in Miami, but it was on hard, I don't think it has any relevance for this match. Last night though, the czech did beat Kubot(who played the final here in Belgrade 2 years ago) very convincingly with amazing serving. I personally give the edge to Rosol here. Tomorrow I am personally going to bet Garcia-Lopez to beat Paire @1.73 and Farah to beat Matosevic @1.54, probably in a parlay(2.66). Paire is obviously a talented player, with good results here and there, but it's also a fact that he's one of the most inconsistent players out there. Garcia-Lopez on the other side keeps a constant level and I think will be too solid in the end for Paire. In the second match, Farah must come out on top as he has a lot of experience on the dirt and had a great last week in Barcelona while Matosevic is not exactly a clay courter, he didn't play that much on the red stuff in his career. He had some fine wins here, seems to be in good form, but definitely the colombian is the better clay courter here and I am pretty convinced he is winning this. Another good bet would be Zeballos @1.80 to beat Bautista-Agut. Zeballos was serving very strong in his first match against Serra here, he had his patchy moments and one bad game costed him a set, but other than that very strong performance I think. I won't underestimate the spaniard as he's on a roll in the challenger circuit(won Rome), but I think Zeballos is a way more experienced clay player than Agut is and it's time for the argentinian to score a few good wins in a row, so here's a good place for that to happen. -
Re: County Championship 2012 Presumed the matches started tomorrow with it being a thursday :$ Not sure I would have taken much though to be honest with the bad weather still lingering about. Good luck this week though Kev :ok
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Re: World Championship - April 21st - May 7th Super stuff in here guys and hope the rest of the tournament is as profitable :clap
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Re: Austrian Darts Open 27-29 April Cheers bud, glad you ended with a positive result from this weekend as well. Although the final results don't show it, the 100/1 you took on young Michael Smith is a really good spot as he'll win a few floor events this year I'm sure. Back to the usual on thursday for the PL-see you then :ok
May 13 - May 20
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: May 13 - May 20