DafsT
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Re: 2011 Boxing Thread Sorry I'm late posting and running short on time as I need to go out... Chavez Jr. Rounds 1-6 @ 5/2 SportingBet [5 points] Chavez Jr. Rounds 7-12 @ 11/8 SportingBet [8 points] Bradley on points @ 11/10 SportingBet [10 points] Bradley/Alexander One Fighter to be KD @ 19/10 [1 point] Dickenson to win outright @ 10/3 SportingBet [4 points] If you class Dickenson as after eventing, that's fair enough I'll just scrap it off my count. Chavez Jr. isn't all that, but he's a lot better than Billy Lyell. Lyell was stopped by Sylvester, and I think Chavez Jr. has more pop than the German and is much better. Lyell got a good win out of John Duddy, and is a brave fighter who can last the distance, but Chavez Jr. will break him down and stop him. JCC Jr. by stoppage @ 2/5 isn't as good as hedging your bets. Bradley should be a little too much for Alexander, but I expect it to be a close fight with Bradley being knocked down by an uppercut. Bradley's superior defensive skills will fool Alexander, and I think that he has enough power to keep Alexander honest. Bradley by decision. Dickinson is the best from a crap field. Dodson might not deal with the weight well, so I'm picking Dickenson.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Worth a couple of :beer I guess... An interesting and competitive final, with Li's inexperience showing by letting a few pedantic things rattle her. Hopefully Djokovic can bring in the dough tomorrow ;)Sport Tennis Event Australian Open Women's Outright Selection Na Li (Each-way) Strength 1/10 Date 29/01/2011 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 21.00 Reasoning Australian Open - This is a lucky dip really. Na Li is a good player, and like many other tennis players in the women's game, is capable of winning a Grand Slam if they can get some consistency for just two weeks. There's a couple of candidates as an fringe contender bet, but I think Na Li has the most value even though I think Sam Stosur has a chance in front of her home crowd. I'm picking Na Li to cause a slight surprise and win her first Grand Slam. Good luck! -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Gone for six upsets (Dolgopolov, Melzer, Raonic, Cilic, Berdych, Wawrinka) in same stake singles and a £1 six-fold which comes out to a staggering 19,000/1... Good start if Dolgopolov can hold on!
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Re: 2011 Boxing Thread
Jamie McDonnell/Stephane Jamoye -3.00 POINTSStephane Jamoye @ 4/1 SportingBet 5 points Stephane Jamoye by decision @ 15/2 SportingBet 2 points Stephane Jamoye UD @ 16/1 SkyBet 1 point Over 8.5 Total Rounds @ 1/2 StanJames 10 points Jamie McDonnell has done much better than I expected him to in his last three fights, winning his last two by stoppage. The win over Ian Napa was very controversial, and I thought that Napa deserved the nod in that fight. Napa is the best name on McDonnell's resume as regards to world rankings, but its hard to really gauge how good Jerome Arnould was. He had lost to Wladimir Sidorenko by seventh round stoppage, so he was no higher than fringe contender. Stephane Jamoye poses a different challenge. Coming off a close split decision loss to Tomoki Kameda (arguably the most naturally gifted Kameda brother but still slightly raw), proves that Jamoye is not an easy fight like Bracco. He's a lot shorter than McDonnell and not as slippery as Napa, but he's a very effective fighter once he gets to work with his combinations. I don't think Jamoye is much better than McDonnell, but he should no way be priced @ 4s. I can't see McDonnell having the power to stop Jamoye, who is a tough character. Jamoye's style of grinding his opponents down could force a late stoppage, but neither guy carries the kind of one-punch power to end this early on. I think @ 1.5 that Over 8.5 Total Rounds is a gift of a bet from StanJames.
Thierry Karl/Danny McIntosh -12.00 POINTS I'm not really that bothered that I changed my mind (bloody Brickhaus! :wall). -15 Points is a horrible start!Thierry Karl @ 4/6 Boylesports 8 points Thierry Karl by KO/TKO/DQ @ 5/4 Skybet 4 points This should be a fun fight while it lasts. Karl can bang, as can McIntosh. Neither fighter is known for their defensive capabilities and will go for it. I've considered McIntosh for this fight because I think he has the power to chin-check Karl, but with hometown advantage and numerous other intangibles in his favour, Karl should win this fight. French judging is as bad as British judging, so there will be no favours for McIntosh on the cards. -
Re: 2011 Boxing Thread Thierry Karl @ 4/6 Boylesports 8 points Thierry Karl by KO/TKO/DQ @ 5/4 Skybet 4 points This should be a fun fight while it lasts. Karl can bang, as can McIntosh. Neither fighter is known for their defensive capabilities and will go for it. I've considered McIntosh for this fight because I think he has the power to chin-check Karl, but with hometown advantage and numerous other intangibles in his favour, Karl should win this fight. French judging is as bad as British judging, so there will be no favours for McIntosh on the cards.
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Re: 2011 Boxing Thread
Card cancelled. Bet is a void.Steve Cunningham by decision @ 8/11 SportingBet (8 points) I think Steve Cunningham is the best cruiserweight in the world at the moment, and with his move to Sauerland Promotions, should secure a lot of quality fights over the next year. His first step in 2011 comes against Enad Licina, a fighter with two losses to recognizable names to the hardcore fan. One of those losses came in his fourth professional contest to Aleksey Kuziemski, with the other more recent against Yoan Pablo Hernandez, who's turning out to be one of the better fighters at 200 pounds. Licina is no pushover and should offer some resistance for Cunningham, but I see U.S.S. utilizing his jab and using his superior boxing skills to win a comprehensive decision. -
Re: 2011 Boxing Thread Stephane Jamoye @ 4/1 SportingBet 5 points Stephane Jamoye by decision @ 15/2 SportingBet 2 points Stephane Jamoye UD @ 16/1 SkyBet 1 point Over 8.5 Total Rounds @ 1/2 StanJames 10 points Jamie McDonnell has done much better than I expected him to in his last three fights, winning his last two by stoppage. The win over Ian Napa was very controversial, and I thought that Napa deserved the nod in that fight. Napa is the best name on McDonnell's resume as regards to world rankings, but its hard to really gauge how good Jerome Arnould was. He had lost to Wladimir Sidorenko by seventh round stoppage, so he was no higher than fringe contender. Stephane Jamoye poses a different challenge. Coming off a close split decision loss to Tomoki Kameda (arguably the most naturally gifted Kameda brother but still slightly raw), proves that Jamoye is not an easy fight like Bracco. He's a lot shorter than McDonnell and not as slippery as Napa, but he's a very effective fighter once he gets to work with his combinations. I don't think Jamoye is much better than McDonnell, but he should no way be priced @ 4s. I can't see McDonnell having the power to stop Jamoye, who is a tough character. Jamoye's style of grinding his opponents down could force a late stoppage, but neither guy carries the kind of one-punch power to end this early on. I think @ 1.5 that Over 8.5 Total Rounds is a gift of a bet from StanJames. Steve Cunningham by decision @ 8/11 SportingBet (8 points) I think Steve Cunningham is the best cruiserweight in the world at the moment, and with his move to Sauerland Promotions, should secure a lot of quality fights over the next year. His first step in 2011 comes against Enad Licina, a fighter with two losses to recognizable names to the hardcore fan. One of those losses came in his fourth professional contest to Aleksey Kuziemski, with the other more recent against Yoan Pablo Hernandez, who's turning out to be one of the better fighters at 200 pounds. Licina is no pushover and should offer some resistance for Cunningham, but I see U.S.S. utilizing his jab and using his superior boxing skills to win a comprehensive decision.
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I'm not sure if its my place to start this years boxing thread, but I'm going to do it regardless because there's a decent schedule coming up next week with two alphabet title fights, two European title fights and a nice domestic dust-up. Last year there were a few people active in the boxing thread, so I hope that there'll be a similar interest this time round. I'm not a moderator or anything, but I guess you have to state the odds and your bookmaker choice with every selection, along with a few lines of reasoning behind your bet. Keep track of your own record unless someone volunteers to. Good luck everyone! :hope
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Re: 2010 Boxing Thread Hopkins was 5/2 in-play during the 8th round, and I was stupid enough to take the bait... Pascal looked lethargic at that point, and Hopkins was giving him a lesson. Sure, Pascal sweeped the opening three rounds, but from then on it was all B-Hop for me. I had it 115-111 to Hopkins. I thought Lebedev was hard done by too, but there were a lot of close rounds in that fight which could have gone either way. The Hopkins fight was much easier to score.
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Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Betfair go as high as 2.44 currently' date=' have Twente just signed Ronaldo or something!? Might have a punt on them if it goes much higher, Twente are no world beaters even if Inter are unlikely to repeat what they did last season..[/quote'] It's incredibly suspicious though, since Inter have a huge rep compared to Twente. And I've done a stupid mistake of putting Twente in a double and take Inter as a single. :unsure -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Inter have been drifiting all day' date=' can get as high as 2.38 with Victor Chandler. Interesting.[/quote'] Yeah, I'm a bit wary too... I haven't seen a team like Twente fall from 5s to 3s in a long time in a game with a lot of eyes on it... :\ The conspiricy theorist in me is struggling. -
Re: Euro 2012 Qualifying > 7th September
You can thank me when it comes in :lol I've been very impressed with how the bookmakers have priced these sets of internationals, there's actually not one game that stands out as a value confident bet... Netherlands (-2) seems a bit high @ 1.70 Bet365 (@1.80 in places), I was going to add that to make it a 5-fold, but that's just greed taking over... But 140/1 for those four teams are a bit high IMO too... :hope:hope:hopejust put a bit of money on this aswell..150/1 is a lot of value for these 4 teams me thinks -
Re: Euro 2012 Qualifying > 7th September Last week, I had a 5-fold in... This week, I don't like the fixtures and have decided to go for a gamble 4-fold just for fun... Here goes... Hungary vs. MOLDOVA: I hate Hungary. I just do, always have, always will. Very overrated, have nothing much going for them except for Zoltan Gera, who can be easily marked. Moldova won 2-0 against 10-man Finland last week, and if it was Hungary vs. Finland, I'd be keen on Finland, who I also think are overrated. NORWAY vs. Portugal: Portugal drew 4-4 with Cyprus at home, and now have to travel to a solid Norway side who are good at home without Cristiano Ronaldo and coach Carlos Quieroz. BELARUS vs. Romania: Romania are in disarray after conceding late against Albania to draw 1-1. According to rumours their coach is on the brink of being sacked. Belarus won 1-0 against France, and are in the middle of their league campaign so are match fit. BOSNIA vs. France: It's France. 'Nuff said. 140/1 @ Bet365...
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Re: Euro 2012 Qualifying > 7th September
Sport Football (Internationals) Event Netherlands - Finland Selection Netherlands (-2) (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 07/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 1.80 Reasoning European Championship Qualification 2012 Group E - Netherlands are one of the favourites to win the whole tournament in 2012, and they should qualify from their group with relative ease. They face a Finland side who were brought back down to earth with a defeat at Moldova, and with experienced center back Sami Hyypia suspended after a straight red card, they will struggle to keep the score down against a Dutch side that don't struggle to find the net. I hope that Netherlands win by more than 2. Good luck! -
Re: Tennis - US Open
Yep. Go sleep' date=' you will win the money back tomorrow with clear head.[/quote'] I second that. -
Re: Euro 2012 Qualifying > 7th September The Belarus-Romania prices are all over the shop... :D
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Re: Tennis - US Open Big chance for Wawrinka... That's a BIG break at the start of the fourth.
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Re: Tennis - US Open Llodra retires... Nice 4/6 in-play on Bet365 in the second set tie-break sets up nicely for tomorrow...
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Re: Tennis - US Open Thinking of taking Youzhny (-1,5 sets) @ 2.30 Paddy Power... Isner has been struggling since Atalanta (or you could argue the mamoth game against Mahut), and although Youznhy isn't in top form, I think he could win pretty handily against Isner, despite the big serve on hard court.
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Re: Euro 2012 Qualifying > 7th September
:clap:clap:clap I bow to your superior knowledge...:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy
Sweden v San Marino -2 or -3
San Marino is not the best team in the world
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Re: 2010 Boxing Thread Kali Meehan to win in rounds 7-12 against Evans Quinn has just shot down from 5/1 on Sunday, I jumped on 4/1 on Monday, and now it's 5/2... I saw Quinn against Liakhovic, and think he has a shot of an upset here, but I have to back Meehan because he's more experienced and has a huge reach advantage over the slugger. 10 points on Meehan 7-12 @ 5.00.
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Re: 2010 Boxing Thread
I took him at 4/5, but he's gone up since then I see...Spinks v Bundrage Both these guys have been pretty inactive of late so ring rust if any would apply to both. I consider Spinks a decent favourite here. He is by far the more classy operator and is a former world champ to boot. Playing with Spinks will always have a matter of risk with it though due to his pitter patter, hit and dont be hit style. Judges can love him or hate him. Bundrage is very much an upright fighter but has shown he can dig. He caused a big upset knocking out the highly regarded Baysangurov. Bundrage has no amateur background and has learned on job so in theory could still be getting better. Despite what seems a relative decline in Spinks ablility recently especially since leaving the welterweights I think he may be too slick and savvy for Bundrage and maybe take a controversial decision. 22pts Spinks bt Bundrage by Dec/TD 10/11 SportingBetSport Boxing Event Cory Spinks - Cornelius Bundrage Selection Cory Spinks by decision Strength 10/10 Date 07/08/2010 Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 1.80 Reasoning Junior Middleweight (154 lbs.) - Cory Spinks (37-5, 11 KO) is regarded as one of the most boring fighters around, mainly because of the lack of punching power. He's been involved in trouble with weight and with the police in the States, so this bet has some risk in it, because we don't know how committed Spinks is to the sport, and this fight in particular. But it's in front of his home crowd, so I expect him to turn up with some interest in putting on a show. He defends his IBF trinket against Cornelius Bundrage (29-4, 17 KO) who hasn't fought for a year since a no-contest with Yuri Foreman. Bundrage couldn't even win the Contender series, neither beat Grady Brewer, so I think that if Spinks turns up in the right mindset and in shape, he could walk this fight and win by a very wide unanimous decision. I hope Spinks will win by decision. Good luck! -
Re: AFL Round 19, 2010
Sport AFL Event Sydney - Hawthorn Selection Sydney Strength 10/10 Date 07/08/2010 Bookmaker/Price Gamebookers @ 2.10 Reasoning AFL Round 19 - Sydney (8th, 36 points) have been inconsistent and patchy all season, and are sitting on the edge of the play-off ladder in eighth position. They are in dire need of a win against Hawthorn (6th, 38 points) who have improved after a horrific league start. Both teams will be looking for a win to further their chances of finishing in the top 8, and I think Sydney, with home advantage, will have the better of the play here, and sneak a tight win in a low scoring match. Sydney are 2.15 in places, but 2.10 is the highest in the UK. I hope Syndey will win. Good luck!
Also, I'm on the line about Essendon (-2.0) vs. Carlton @ Centrebet 2.09, Geelong > Collingwood, and even the self-destructing Adelaide > Bulldogs.Sport AFL Event St. Kilda - Port Adelaide Selection Port Adelaide (+29.5) (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 08/08/2010 Bookmaker/Price Centrebet @ 1.92 Reasoning AFL Round 19 - St. Kilda (3rd, 50 points) lost for the fifth time this season last week, losing by 33 points to an average Essendon side. They're now three games without a win, and they haven't scored more than a 100 points since round 10 against Adelaide, and every game is around the 30 point mark. Port Adelaide have improved recently, ending a nine-match losing run with two wins on the bounce, defeating Adelaide and Hawthorn. I think they have it in them to hold St. Kilda to a close game, but eventually losing out by 20-25 points in the end. I hope Port Adelaide win with a 29.5 point handicap. Good luck! -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 3rd - 4th August
Yeah, but they don't exactly have to play 100% on what I saw at the Racecourse. Their striker returns (can't remember his name) and I think they'll give him a game to boost his fitness, so I'm banking on him grabbing a few goals. :hopeJust a warning: they don't have to win the game....I've seen this before...:sad
2011 Boxing Thread
in Boxing & UFC Predictions
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Re: 2011 Boxing Thread
Chavez Jr./Lyell -13.00 POINTS Bradley/Alexander +10.00 POINTS Prizefighter: Light Heavyweights +13.33 POINTS -4.67 POINTS for the year so far... But optimistically, things are on the up :D