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Denman

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Posts posted by Denman

    I Love Football (Ended, +7.61% yield over 78 bets)

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: I Love Football Thanks Hooloovoo :ok Good job I took the extra insurance on the handicap for Wolves, They really did throw away the game after being 1-0 up. Birmingham v Wolves - Wolves (+0.75) @ 1.77 Final Score: 2-1 -£1.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£3.40) Bets 4, Wins 1, Lost 3 Strike Rate: 25.00%

    I Love Football (Ended, +7.61% yield over 78 bets)

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: I Love Football Liverpool v Everton - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 Final Score 1-0 +£1.60 Bolton v Fulham - Home Win @ 2.25 Final Score 0-0 -£2.00 Burnley v West Ham - West Ham AH (0) @ 2.04 Final Score 2-1 -£2.00 ------------------------------------------------- Profit/(Loss): (£2.40) Bets 3, Wins 1, Lost 2 Strike Rate: 33.33% ------------------------------------------------- Not a great start but feel I was somewhat unlucky in some of my picks, West Ham played well and probably deserved a point at the least whilst Bolton apparentley had a perfectly good goal ruled out. Not to worry only early days yet.

    I Love Football (Ended, +7.61% yield over 78 bets)

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    As the title says I love football, but unfornatley I've never had much success betting wise in the sports. Hopefully I'll be able to change that around with this Glory Hunt. It shall be almost Premiership selecitons only but they'll be the odd selection from other competitions. Selecitons are based on form and statistics as well as quite a bit of emphasis on previous match performance, I watch quite a lot of football which should be an advatage when it comes to betting. In terms of the odds I'm going to aim for selections around the even mark, but that's by no means a strict rule if I see anything at shorter of longer odds that I tihnk will be good value. But I do aim to have the average odds taken at around the even mark which means i'll need above a 50% strike rate to produce a profit Since I've done rather bad betting on football before I'm going to take it easy and go with £2 level stakes staking plan and take it from there. Selections for tommorrow's games will be up soon.

    How far can you stretch £2?

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    This is a simple concept really which sees me using only £2 as a starting point. On Betfair only I will try and stretch the £2 as far as possible. The majority of the bets will be either at really low odds (trying to cacth the last of 1.01 seconds before the final whistle, ect.) or I'll try and trade to try and ensure a profit. However one simple rule to begin with I shall only ever use to intial £2 as my stake. Therefore any profit won will hopefully accumulate nicely whilst I carry on with the intial £2. Unfornately the majority of bets are going to be in-play so it's going to be difficult for me to post them up, instead i'll post screenshots of all my bets to follow my progress. Just had my first bet in fact which was: betone.png Obviously not going to be a big earner, but it's just for a little fun and hopefully I can build up a profit pennies at a time whilst improving my trading skills. Current P/L: +£0.02 ;)

    New manager honeymoon period system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: New manager honeymoon period system Haha indeed it would. But to remain true to the system I'm going to be doing back bets only on the first five games with the new manager in charge as per the rules. Saturday 16th January Everton v Man City - 10pts Win @ 2.75 (Victor Chandler) Man Utd v Burnley - 10pts Win @ 19 (Various) Blackpool v QPR - 10pts Win @ 3.5 (Coral) Bristol City v Preston - 10pts Win @ 3.5 (Various) Barnsley v Sheff Wed - 10pts Win @ 4 (Stan James) Grimsby v Cheltenham - 10pts @ 2.8 (Various)

    General ramblings of a poker newbie

    in Poker

    Posted

    Re: General ramblings of a poker newbie

    Gaf has covered most of it, i can add that the easiest way to work out odds (for dummies like me) is to think how many 'outs' you think you have, how many streets of action are left then times it by 2. So if you have a 4 cards to a flush draw (9 outs) with the turn and river to come you 9x2 for each street = roughly 36% or 2:1 I think the Harrington tournament books are absolutely nailed on essential for everyone even if they're out of date now in possible game situations there's tons of pointers in there that make for great foundations in how to play no limit hold'em. (and gaf do you have to quote these tracking sites at every whim??)
    Thanks Nade I seem to recall hearing the method above now you mention it. I'm considering buying one of the harrington books but don't know whether it would be to in-depth and difficult to read. Anymore suggestions for books? I plan on purchasing two books, would also like something that covers the cash games as well as tournaments and more up-to-date something which would compliment one of the harrington books preferably.

    General ramblings of a poker newbie

    in Poker

    Posted

    I'm not exactly a poker newbie, but a newbie to the concept of poker online. I always thought it would just be full of pro's and very difficult to win any money on. Went around my mates this new year and we where having a few games of texas hold'em and I won easily every time. My mate tells me he plays online and makes roughly £500 a year from doing so playing roughly for a couple of nights each week. He reckoned I could make a lot more if I went online as he assured me I've not played many players as good as you online. Decided to start off on paddypowerpoker, it's the bookie which I had the most money with so decided to transfer £10 to my poker acocunt and give it a go. Since new year I've been on almost every day for at least a game or two, the first week was a bit up and down and I was still around the same £10 (although the balance is shown in $ for some reason). But since the beginning of this week I've just suddenley had a few biggish wins, won a tournament of 30 with a $1 buy-in and came third in a tournament of 100. Moved upto the $5 sit and go tournament now and I think I've been in the money each time. I'm upto over £60 now, which even suprised myself. But I was mostly suprised at, how can I but this in a nice way, how shocking some of the players are. Some very, very loose players who seem to want to play ever hand and call every bet. I've moved up the tournament tables and even at higher stakes I find the general level of play isn't too great and a lot of players are very predicatable and easy to read once you've been at a table for a while. One thing I haven't quite cracked is the cash tables, don't like the big swings in it you can be doing great one minute and the next it's all gone. Much prefer tournaments were you know your potential liability beforehand and can just play your normal game. Any advice on cash tables would be greatly appreciated. Likewise I know there's a great benefit to be had from being able to calculate odds in various situations. I'm okay with numbers so I can workout generally when I would be getting value on a call in a certain position but I don't know the excact percentages. I don't know what everyone else uses, do you use some special software that runs alongside your table or do you have be a quick method to calculate it in your head? Finally could anyone suggest a good poker book I could read?

    Jumping For Joy (91 Bets, 17 Winners, Profit Yield +24.90%.) ENDED

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Jumping For Joy (Hurdles System) The latest selection (30th Decemeber) was a loser. I'm now moving this system thread over to the Massey forum for the new year, as I feel it's is more relevant over there. Don't worry I'll still be around on PL also. ;) Anyways my final stats for this system are as follows (Results all to 2pt level staking @ Betfair SP): Starting Bank: 200.00pts Current Bank: 244.82pts Overall P/L: +44.82pts Bets 91, Wins 17, Lost 74 Strike Rate: 18.68% ROI: 124.90% Hope you all managed to get on some of the nice priced winners the system produced. Thanks for all the contributions to this thread. :)

    New manager honeymoon period system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: New manager honeymoon period system Owen Coyle leaves Burnley to takeover at Bolton. Recentley departed Preston boss Alan Irvine as been appointed as the new Sheffield Wednesday boss. Whilst Fergie Jr fills the hotseast left by Irvine at Preston. Sort of like managerial music chairs at the moment, wouldn't suprise me if Megson ended up at Burnley! Anyways Bolton, Wednesday and Preston all are now system selections for their next five league games. We would have had a good number of selections this weekend but for the weather. Bolton, Preston, QPR & Cheltenham games have all been postponed, Man City's match is on Monday and I wouldn't be suprised if that fell vicitm to the weather also.

    New manager honeymoon period system

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: New manager honeymoon period system Bolton have sacked Megson also it was revealed today. They will form part of my selections once they announce a new full-time manager. As promised here and the results so far: Results Saturday 19th December QPR to beat Sheffield Utd @ 2.40 Result: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd -10.00 ------------------------------------------------ Saturday 26th December Man City to beat Stoke City @ 1.45 Result: Man City 2-0 Stoke City +4.50 QPR to beat Bristol City @ 2.10 Result: QPR 2-1 Bristol City +11.00 Cheltenham to beat Bournemouth @ 3.25 Result: Cheltenham 0-1 Bournemouth -10.00 ------------------------------------------------ Monday 28th December Man City to beat Wolves @ 1.80 Result: Wolves 0-3 Man City+8.00 QPR to beat Ipswich @ 3.10 Result: Ipswich 3-0 QPR -10.00 Cheltenham to beat Dag & Red @ 6.00 Result: Dag & Red 0-2 Cheltenham +50.00 ------------------------------------------------ Overall Summary Bets 7, Won 4, Lost 3 Start Bank: 1000.00pts Current Bank: 1043.50pts P/L: +43.50pts

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