tschurchy

Crawley vs Wycombe Wycombe’s average 2.75 goals in last 4 away games and 3.25 goals in their last 8 away games and top the away form table over the last 8 games. Crawley average 2.5 goals in last 4 home games and 3.25 goals in last 8 home. Over 2.5 goals (Crawley vs Wycombe) Walsall vs Chesterfield Both are without a win in five but Walsall are strong at home and score goals. They’re unbeaten in their last 8 home games and score over 2 goals per game on average. There’s also a huge disparity between them in the ELO Ratings over their last four games. Walsall Win Leyton Orient vs Lincoln City Leyton Orient 3rd in the home table meanwhile Lincoln city are 19th away from home Leyton Orient to win Luton vs Sheff Utd Sheffield United are pushing for promotion and Luton are struggling home and away. Sheff Utd to win Accumulator - 17.64 at bet365

Happy Friday All! I've been informed that the ever-present @harry_raghas been struck by a bug and so I'm standing for him here (get well soon!). Right then, let's see your top picks and why for the weekend. There's been some great insights in this forum recently so keep them coming. Good luck all and don't forget to check out the ELO Ratings on this weekend's games.

Decided to take out Sheff Utd in the end. Still a 6/1 treble so I’ll be happy if it comes in.

Great read @ozorgnax. Based on your research I'll join you Bilbao, Sheff Utd, and Notts County, but I'm also going to throw in Everton (10/11) and Walsall (8/11) into a 4-fold. Everton have back-to-back wins under Moyes whereas Leicester are one win in six - granted they beat Spurs in their last game but Spurs are ravaged with injuries - and sit 18th in the form table. They've also lost 7 out of 11 games away from home. The ELO Ratings are backing Walsall heavily against Salford. Walsall have lost their last two games but both of those games were away from home. At home, Walsall have won 11 out of 14 games so at 8/11 they're worth adding in. Athletic Bilbao Notts County Everton Walsall 13.19 at bet365.

In fact you’ve convinced me to put a tenner on him 😄

I like that bet too

I like the look of Fulham/BTTS tonight. Fulham are strong at home having only lost 2/11 games and average at least one goal scored and conceded per game. Meanwhile, United’s away form is terrible having won just 2/10 away games and also averaging one goal scored and conceded per game. The ELO Ratings can’t split the two teams so a draw could be on the cards, but I’m going for Fulham because the crowd will be up for it under the lights and they’re a better side than Rangers who gave United a game on Thursday. 10/3 at bet365.

That’ll do nicely 🤑.

In the meantime I’ve got for a four-fold on at 7/1 with bet365: West Brom to beat Portsmouth: Big favourites according to ELO Ratings Norwich to beat Swansea: Big favourites according to ELO Ratings Arsenal to beat Wolves: Wolves are 18th in the home form table Newcastle to beat Southampton: Newcastle will be beat to get back to winning ways against a hapless side that is bottom.

What are people’s thoughts to the City vs Chelsea game? I haven’t done much research yet into goals , form etc., but Chelsea win + BTTS at 3/1 looks appealing.

Me too

There doesn't seem to be much value in the premier league markets this weekend, but I'm eyeing up this four-fold. Newcastle to beat Bournemouth - Newcastle top the form table and are strong at home. West Ham v Cryst. Palace (Over 2.5 Goals) - West Ham total goals per home game is 3.6 while Palace's is 2.4 away. Man Utd vs Brighton (Over 2.5 Goals) - United's total goals per home game and Brighton goal per away game is 3. Nottm Forest to beat Southampton - Forest are second in the form table and Southampton are bottom. 5.68.1 at bet365 I'm keen to see everyone else's picks in case I can bump up the odds a bit more.

Victory snatched from the jaws of defeat!! 🤑

We roll on to Monday 🤞

Had a bit of time of my hands this morning so I've looked into the home and away form table and gone for this four-fold: Bournemouth - Everton have scored one goal in four games. Aston Villa - Villa have the 4th best home record while Leicester have the 3rd worst away record. Fulham/Ipswich (Over 2.5 Goals) - Fulham home games average 3.1 goals per game while Ipswich away games average 3 goals per game. Wolves/Forest (Over 2.5 Goals) - Wolves home games average 3.77 goals per game while Forest away games average 2.7 goals per game. 6.98 at bet365

Surprised to see Bournemouth at 8/11 - Everton have scored one goal in four games.

Merry Christmas all! May the betting Gods smile on you and stay safe in 2025.

@richard-westwood apologies if this is a stupid question. I don’t often step into racing. What do you mean when you say “507 total 1122”?

Welcome @Robinho_11. Love the name!

Bet365 have boosted haaland to score anytime to evens. He hasn’t scored for three games but I think he’ll get in amongst the goals today.

"Boring Boring Tricole" made me laugh

No doubt it’s a tenner lost, but as a wise man in this thread said: God loves a trier!

Congratulations all! Very well deserved 👏

@harry_rag If only Jesus could finish his dinner.

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