smartbetting9999

liero1 · April 2, 2019

On 2/18/2019 at 12:21 PM, liero1 said:

And another 0-0.. you still going with this?

I've stopped for the time being. May look at it again in the future, and be more strict on the selections!

keef75 · February 11, 2019

**RESULT & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 11/02/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.37
Current % Profit +34%

I didn't get a chance to share the last 2 games on here but they were both wins, latest selections added below.

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)
02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-3)
02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - LOSE (-£3.70)
02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-1)
02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - WIN (Score 2-0)
03/02 - Real Betis v A Madrid - £0.71 laid @ 9.4, liability of £5.96 - WIN (Score 1-0)
05/02 - Newport v Middlesborough - £0.67 laid @ 10.5, liability of £6.37 - WIN (Score 2-0)

Next Games;

11/02 - Wolves v Newcastle - £0.67 laid at 11.0, liability of £6.70 - 11/02 @ 20:00
11/02 - Vitória Setúbal vs. Belenenses - £0.84 laid @ 9.0, liability of £6.72 - 11/02 @ 20:15

February 3, 2019

**RESULT & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 03/02/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £11.99
Current % Profit +20%

---------------------------

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)
02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-3)
02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - LOSE (-£3.70)
02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-1)
02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - WIN (Score 2-0)

Very unlucky yesterday, Brighton yet again causing me to take a hit. I'm not sure what the odds of them getting 2 x 0-0 games in a row are but what can you do. Still in profit and need a good run now.

Next Games;

03/02 - Real Betis v Athletico Madrid - £0.71 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.96 - 03/02 @ 15:15

Just one game today so half of the liability is on the line. This game shouldn't be a 0-0, not with these teams!

February 2, 2019

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 02/02/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £14.72
Current % Profit +47%

---------------------------

02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00
02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - 02/02 @ 15:00
02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00
02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - 02/02 @ 15:00

Liability is spread across 4 games today, a clean sweep would be a 9.1% return.

keef75 · January 29, 2019

**TODAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £14.72
Current % Profit +47%

---------------------------

29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN
29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN
29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - WIN

A comfortable win on all 3 games tonight for a 9.7% return. Heading back up, after the loss a few days ago.

January 29, 2019

**TODAY SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.42
Current % Profit +34%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)

Next Games;

29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00
29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00
29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - 29/01 @ 20:00

January 28, 2019

**YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 28/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.42
Current % Profit +34%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)

Next Games;

TBC

January 27, 2019

**RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 2/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £12.28
Current % Profit 23%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN

Next Games;

27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10
27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07
27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14

The first loss yesterday in the Brighton game, let's see how this goes today.

January 26, 2019

**RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 26/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £16.87
Current % Profit 69%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)

Next Games;

26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00
26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00
26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - 26/01 : 15:00

A win on all 3 would result in a net profit of 9%, a little below my target of 10% but close enough given the lineups.

January 25, 2019

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 25/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £15.46
Current % Profit 55%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)

Next Games;

25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - 25/01 @ 19:30
25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - 25/01 @ 19:45

January 24, 2019

Espanyol with a goal in the 27th Min, nice early win. WIll update tomorrow with new bets.

January 24, 2019

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 24/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £14.84
Current % Profit 48%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)

Next Games;

24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - 24/01 @ 18:30

The lay odds are a little higher than I would like, offering an 8.3% return on half my liability but I think that this is still a good bet based on the stats of both teams. I cannot see another game for today that fits the criteria so this is the only bet for today. Lots of Premiership games coming up so will aim to get on 3/4 games per day over the next few days.

liero1 · January 23, 2019

**YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Was a much closer game last night that I had thought but 1 goal from Getafe is enough to secure a win for the good guys!

Summary Update Below; (as of 23/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £14.84
Current % Profit 48%

Previous Games;

15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)

Next Games;

TBC

January 22, 2019

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.88
Current % Profit 39%

Latest Games;

Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2)

Next Games;

Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - 22/01 @ 20:00

I would say this is a higher risk match but the stats suggest that this will be a game with over 2.5 goals so I'm running with it for a 13.9% return on half my liability.

January 22, 2019

Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.88
Current % Profit 39%

Latest Games;

Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2)

Next Games;

TBC

January 22, 2019

Thanks, I'm with you now. I guess that shows the overall probability of all teams getting 0-0.

The data I've been working with takes into account the teams current league position, goals for and against, previous games (against all teams) and previous matchups between the teams. I am also trying to incorporate any related news such as major players out of team, lack of manger / coach etc.

Not a perfect science but hopefully I can improve enough to make the odds work and avoid the major losses!

January 22, 2019

Thanks liero1, some interesting data there. How have you calculated the odds column, I'm a little unclear.

I think the key will be being selective with the lays, I would agree that laying every game blindly is high risk but I'm hoping to reduce this risk by taking in to account a range of statistics and team knowledge / performance.

Unfortunately, there are very few games that offer lay odds of 8.0 on a 0-0 score, most likely around 10-12 from what I've seen.

January 21, 2019

Just from flash scores. One season at a time is pretty easy then drop it into a spreadsheet.

Whats your website? I may be able to take data from there more easily and go back over the past few years.

Thanks

January 21, 2019

GOAL West Brom! Todays games are both winners for a return of 9.8%. On to the next. Am I okay to edit the original post to update the progress?

January 21, 2019

The same multi-game per day approach wouldn't have worked for the Premiership games. It seems that if a game is going to be 0-0 in Germany then it's when there's a single game on. In the UK, most nil-nils are on multi game days. At least so far.

January 21, 2019

Another strategy would be betting only on days that have multiple games, hence reducing your chances of taking a large loss. Excluding all games that were the only game on that day. This would be the return on £1K on Bundesliga since start of the season.

Much smoother curve as you're only taking 20% - 25% loss maximum per 0-0 loss

January 21, 2019

Had you been able to avoid just 3 of the 0-0 games by using analytics then the result is significantly improved. Below, I have excluded 3 x 0-0 games (all of which were a single game day and hence 50% liability saved)

January 21, 2019

I have run the same model for Bundesliga, same rules as above. Covering every league game and assuming I was able to get 10% return - this is the sketchy part as it's unlikely I could get 10% on every game. That said, with some analytics, I'd have avoidd at least 3 of the 0-0 scores so it's swings and roundabouts.

There have only been 9 nil-nil games this season and of these 9, 4 were on a day that only one game was played so I would have lost a full 50% of liability. The the other games I would only have lost 20% to 25% (4 or 5 games in that session).

The overall result from 100% on this league with these rules would have been a net return of +436%. Below is based on a starting balance of £1k.

January 21, 2019

Thanks! I'm not planning my retirement on this strategy but do find it really interesting.

For comparison, if you'd used this strategy for all Premiership games this season, you would have been +386%

Below is starting with £1,000, ending up at £4,861

January 21, 2019

Hi all,

I've just started a small scale experiment on the fairly well know "laying 0-0" betting strategy and thought I'd update this post as my progress continues.

My goal is to start with £10 and get as much % return as possible. I've done a fair amount of analysis on the premier league along with a few others and will be focusing on games that offer between 8.5% to 12% return per game. This is typically games with lay odds of around 11.0.

My Rules

- Only bet on games that fall within my 0-0 lay range of 8.0 to 15.0.

- Risk a maximum of 50% of my liability on any single game.

- When simultaneous games are being played, I will split my liability across all games (max of 7), up to a max of 100% liability.

I'm initially aiming to complete 30 cycles of correct bets. A cycle would count as my entire balance wagered with a gain of 10% (average) per cycle. (see pic 1 as an example of what this looks like). This would give me a 1490% return from my initial £10, taking it up to £159.

I'm currently on cycle 4, having made 7 successful bets so far. (see pic 2)

Summary Below; (as of 21/01/2019)

Start Balance £10
Current Balance £13.31
Current % Profit 33%

One more game tonight, then I'll look at the next set of games to select.

Todays Games;

Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - 20:00 tonight

With my view of getting 10% profit (cumulative) on each cycle, here's some additional milestones that I'd love to hit!! (this does assume I don't hit a 0-0)Would love to hear of anyone else that tried this strategy and if they had any success.

50 Cycles = £1,067
75 Cycles = £11,563
100 Cycles = £125,278
130 Cycles = £2,186,031

Obviously, beyond a certain level, I'm not going to be able to lay enough on any exchange but just shows the impact of compound interest!!

I'll try and update regularly if anyone is interested in seeing how I get on.

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smartbetting9999

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The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

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