uaifai

Well last set of games was a bit of a disaster but I will keep posting and recording
the under picks seem to be doing a bit better (sod's law as I am not backing them)
If there is enough interest I will modify one of the Google sheets to show the under selections also just let me know if you are interested.
No selections for tonight's remaining games so lets see what happens weekend

A very small profit yesterday, but still profit
My selections for today:
 
For the Away strategy (34 units played, 3.38 units won, +9.94%)
A35: Mattersburg  - St. Polten  2 @ 3.58
A36: Legia  - Wisla  2 @ 4.95
A37: Elfsborg - Sundsvall   2 @ 2.95
 
For the Home strategy (11 units played, 11 units lost, - 100.%)
It is against odds to lost 11 in a row . Will take a few days break here
 
For the Draw strategy (14 units played, 0.92 units lost, -6.57%)
D15: Betis - Valladoid X @ 3.97
D16: Zaragoza - Tenerife II X @ 3.14
 

Hi All
To avoid any further confusion I will show just the over 2.5 goal games for Tuesday/Wednesday and add any of the extra picks at the end if you are using your own sheets then your Ratings and master should be the same as below.
Remember only the Over games are selections and after adding results there may be an extra selection in Wednesdays Championship matches (Blue highlight is a strong selection)



So 3 selections Lets see how they perform
Now using the Shots on target Module we have below these are NOT selections just seeing how they go ( I did put the iss of death on Saturdays H.2.5 picks!!!)


Just the three     two under 2.5 and      one A-2.5
Will keep you updated.
Ken
 
 

The format of the displayed games is a little different now (see below)
Selections are ONLY the Over games ( Over 2.5 goals) as this is how the thread started and will continue
as you can see I have added A-2.5 ( Away win and over 2.5 goals in the game) H-2.5 (Home win and over 2.5 goals in the game)
Under has also been included ( under 2.5 goals) These are NOT being posted as selections still testing the data
Av. Shots Agst should be self explanatory and is not being used (Yet)
I will try and explain the highlighted Bets
 




All the games have been Rated using the Shots on Target module. Looking at the first Over Game Chelsea v Man Utd Over is highlighted in Blue This indicates that the average for BTTS  to date is greater than the league average and that the average for games played to date over 2.5 is greater than the league average. so the Chelsea game and the Bury game both meet the criteria. The other 2 over games don't meet the criteria Eg Luton home games over 2.5 is 50% and Walsall is 50% giving an average of 50% and the League average is 53%
The observant amongst you may ask why has the module picked Luton v Walsall neither team is ranked Low 3 nor is it the Lowest Master (lowest Ranking highlighted in magenta) The screen shots are using the shots on target module whereas the Over selections do not. The module selects the Over bets first then adds the Shots on target data Below is screen shot league one NOT using shots on Target

As you can see Ratings and Master are are different
Under picks ( NOT selections) are calculated in the same way eg Stevenage over 2.5 33% (which means under games are 67%) Crewe over 2.5 33% average for both teams Under 2.5 is 67% League average is 55% for BTTS Stevenage games is 33% Crewe is 17% League average 51% Both teams under the League average ( I Hope you are following this  and you have not fallen asleep)
H-2.5 and A-2.5 are using the shots module and the reason Peterborough is highlighted is because it meets the same criteria for goals as described in the Over selections.
So this week we have 4 Over SELECTIONS ( I will be reporting back on all the selections i have posted once we have reached 25 bets Profit or Loss to level stakes using available betfair odds)
Under selections just watching and recording (are highlighted ones better than the others?)
H-2.5 and A-2.5 again just watching and recording ( been very good so far  or is that a kiss of death)
Lets see what this week brings
Remember tonight's game once recorded may change Championship selections and early kickoff Saturday may change Premiership selections if they do I will re post