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Posts
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Everything posted by Systemight
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15.02 Lingfield Help Me Rhonda (2/1 Bet 365)
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Racing Chat Sunday 30th March 2025
Systemight replied to black rabbit's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
I couldn't comment on individual cases, but having had many restrictions from numerous bookmakers in the past (including Bet 365), my view has long been that if you don't want to get gubbed Never, Never, Never, contact Customer services. It nearly always means someone is going to be looking through your account.... -
16.15 Wincanton La Dolce Dolly (9/4 Hills)
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17.50 Wetherby Mondoui'Boy (9/4 Bet 365)
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16.32 Warwick The Doyen Chief (2/1 Bet 365)
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16.07 Hereford Renoir (3/1 Sky)
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17.45 Newcastle Market House (11/4 Sky)
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16.30 Wincanton Jaramillo (3/1 Corals)
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16.48 Exeter Fortunefavoursdbold (9/4 Bet 365)
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17.28 Wolverhampton Bajan Blue (9/4 Hills)
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17.10 Newbury Itchy Feet (9/4 Bet 365)
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16.40 Chepstow Sergeant Fury (7/2 Hills)
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16.42 Huntingdon Camino Rocio (5/2 Hills)
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Racing Chat 17th March 2025
Systemight replied to black rabbit's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
Thank you. This table is well worth printing off and keeping for future reference. There is something quite comforting that knowing your strike rate is 30% and when you hit on a poor streak of say 13 losers, that this is really just variance and should be expected.. Lets be honest on a run like that, the more fickle ones amongst us would have long since moved on to try a different strategy by then. As regards my selections, well my last system(Based on price),did okay and was profitable after its 200 selection trial(i think with days away racing and work days i only managed to post around 100 of them on here).Unfortunately whilst profitable, it was not quite profitable enough to make my portfolio, although i am continuing to monitor. You should never stand still in this game and i am always testing new ideas and strategies. Most are unsuccessfuI and bomb out big time, but i do have a system that is currently doing well in trials and is proving profitable so far at Betfair S.P. This is quite unusual given that price is everything. I had been considering putting the selections up on this forum, but am a little wary given we are soon to change seasons.. -
Racing Chat 17th March 2025
Systemight replied to black rabbit's topic in At The Races - Racing Forum
If you are unlikely to fail to find a winner in 8 attempts WW then your strike rate would have to be about 60% or higher. Not impossible granted, but very impressive by anyone's standards. The table below is one i use and is most enlightening. Especially regarding strike rates and the anticipation of the length of losing runs.. Strike Rate (%) Anticipation of Sequences Expected (75% chance) 50:50 (50% chance) Unlikely (25% chance) V. Unlikely (<1% chance) 3 83 105 132 235 4 69 86 106 185 5 59 73 90 153 6 52 64 78 130 7 46 57 68 113 8 42 51 61 101 9 38 47 56 91 10 35 43 51 82 11 33 40 47 75 12 30 37 44 69 13 29 34 41 64 14 27 32 38 60 15 25 30 36 56 16 24 29 34 53 17 23 27 32 50 18 22 26 30 47 19 21 25 29 45 20 20 24 28 42 21 19 23 26 40 22 18 22 25 39 23 17 21 24 37 24 17 20 23 35 25 16 19 22 34 26 15 19 21 33 27 15 18 21 31 28 14 17 20 30 29 14 17 19 29 30 13 16 19 28 31 13 16 18 27 32 12 15 17 26 33 12 15 17 25 34 12 14 16 24 35 11 14 16 24 36 11 13 15 23 37 11 13 15 22 38 10 13 15 21 39 10 12 14 21 40 10 12 14 20 41 9 12 13 20 42 9 11 13 19 43 9 11 13 19 44 9 11 12 18 45 8 11 12 18 46 8 10 12 17 47 8 10 11 17 48 8 10 11 16 49 8 10 11 16 50 7 9 11 15 51 7 9 10 15 52 7 9 10 15 53 7 9 10 14 54 7 8 10 14 55 6 8 9 14 56 6 8 9 13 57 6 8 9 13 58 6 8 9 13 59 6 8 9 12 60 6 7 8 12 61 5 7 8 12 62 5 7 8 11 63 5 7 8 11 64 5 7 8 11 65 5 7 7 11 66 5 6 7 10 67 5 6 7 10 68 5 6 7 10 69 4 6 7 10 70 4 6 7 9 71 4 6 6 9 72 4 6 6 9 73 4 5 6 9 74 4 5 6 8 75 4 5 6 8 76 4 5 6 8 77 3 5 6 8 78 3 5 5 8 79 3 5 5 7 80 3 5 5 7 81 3 4 5 7 82 3 4 5 7 83 3 4 5 7 84 3 4 5 6 85 3 4 4 6 86 3 4 4 6 87 2 4 4 6 88 2 4 4 6 89 2 4 4 5 90 2 3 4 5 -
14.00 Wetherby V Twelve (3/1 Hills)
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15.12 Fontwell Continuance (2/1 Bet 365)
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16.32 Market Rasen Lagonda (7/2 Hills)
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13.50 Uttoxeter Hidden History (5/2 Hills)
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4.15 Fakenham Max Of Stars (25/1 Bet 365)
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I have voted for cash and tickets. Love a day at the races...:)
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16.22 Hexham I See The Sea (5/6 Bet 365)