Zico10
-
Posts
102 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Zico10
-
-
@BillyHills he must have been winning serious money everyday to make that worthwhile for the runner!
-
Yeah it's a big difference. If you find you can get the prices on the exchange you'll have a good system. Just to go back to your question on punters getting the odds the tipsters advise, you have to jump on them as soon as they give them out. My experience is depending on the tipster the odds can drop massively. I've even contemplated whether it's better to just back the tips then lay them when the price invariably drops!
-
I'll be interested to see what your research shows against the betfair evening prices and liquidity. There are a lot of bookies now so you can make a decent amount before you get gubbed by them all! How profitable is your system against bog and evening prices? What's the difference in profitability against bfsp?
-
Can it not be profitable on the exchange? I personally pay for some tipsters and clearly these tipsters must be getting well paid but I imagine it's pretty stressful if you're genuine about your service.
-
Think you're on to something harry!
-
Just form study, generally 2 evenly matched teams according to league tables and form tables and teams that didn't score or concede a lot! Nothing too scientific!
-
I did it for a little while on exactly that system. It did work but I did have a reasonably long losing run which spooked me enough to stop. If his longest losing streak is 6 bets it's good going!
-
Another correct score acca I used to do was the same 7 teams each week and their most common scores over the last 3/4 seasons. I always did the big teams I.e real madrid, barca, bayern, juventus, etc. I reckon with the right set of teams this could be the winning ticket!!
-
Yeah the way I see it is my lottery replacement so I write the money off anyway. I only do a 10p heinz so total outlay is £5.70. My biggest win so far is £450 so not quite a lottery payout!
-
Like the look of this. I love a correct score bet! Like you say they are difficult to predict but I do a correct score heinz each week in the hope I get lucky just once.
-
I suppose the answer on how long do you keep going for depends on a number of factors. Why are you doing it being the main one? Is it just for the challenge or are you looking to make an income from it?Personally I've always believed it's possible to make money doing it but for me the big issue is discipline and finding a simple strategy.
I stated this in another thread but my da was a reason I believe it's possible. He only bets on a saturday and the sum total of his research is a newspaper football predictions sections on the weekend matches and the form table and league table you get in the bookies. He does 2 7 or 8 timer accas with avg odds of about 4/5 on each selection. He gets about up a season but is beaten by 1 team about 10 times and gets 5 or more selections up nearly every time each week. Were he to do them as singles he'd definitely be in profit each year.
-
Feel your pain! I've spent the last few years examining stats and potential systems to get that 'edge'. I found I was getting bogged down in the stats. Personally I was more successful going off my own knowledge of the game and keeping the stats fairly simple. I also like the horses but I have less knowledge in this area than football so I did some research on decent paid and non paying tipsters ( the free ones in here are generally good ) and used them. I also realised that even though I had a good football knowledge other people have better in lots of other areas. Again the football tipster here is good and the insight in some of the forums is very good. I particularly like the non league and lower scottish league guys.
The other thing I've found for me is that my bank management and staking system is probably more important than my particular bets! Personally I don't mind slightly increasing stakes ( up to a point! ) but I imagine most other people on here would say that's a big no no. Some people can find that ' edge ', I couldn't so I've gone back to a much simpler betting style which suits me but I understand it wouldn't suit others.
I've waffled on here, but what I'm trying to say is we've all probably been where you are. Don't give up ( but also don't lose money you don't have in the meantime!).
-
Looking forward to seeing it develop and appreciate the effort. In the meantime I'm hoping york will be kind to me tomorrow!
-
Cheers for this. Considering trying your suggested system.
-
Thanks for the reply. Yeah they were the stats I was thinking of. Do you know if breakdowns exist year on year? Out of curiosity do you know how regular a 50% plus favourite winning months ok?
-
-
Cheers for the reply! I'll definitely look at that. I currently look at soccerstats for my picks. Basically I check do one or both teams score a lot of goals or concede a lot, and also is one team significantly better than the other, if so it goes on my list.Not to fancy but I found I was over analysising a lot of betting systems! I looked at a lot of leagues over the last few years and basically around 2 out of every 3 games has a goal in the first half regardless of league.
I'll follow your thread with interest and might post my own up if I think it is paying it's way.
-
I was just curious if anyone regularly bets in play and if so has a system for doing so. I currently have time on my hands a few days a week and am considering dabbling at it. Over 0.5 first half goals is something I'm looking at.
-
Don't worry I've been doing it for a few years now so I know how hard it is. My saturday heinz is my bit of fun, chase a big win bet.
-
Minella Encore 4:40 Leopardstown 9/1 Bet365
-
I do a 10p Heinz on 6 prem games each week so I'll be following this with interest!
-
I'm a big believer that very often we over complicate things. I've been a punter for over 25 years now but it's only been the last couple of years that I've started to look into ways of making long term and consistent profits from betting. My most successful 'strategy' has been pretty simple but carries a reasonable amount of risk too. My Dad is a weekend football acca gambler. He does it for fun and has a pretty simple formula. He gets the daily mail predictions on a Tuesday, then on the Saturday has a look at their predictions against the league table and normally a last 6 form guide. He then does 2 7/8 timer accas of prices no less than 1/2 with prices as high as 2/1 and an average odds of around 10/11. He gets maybe 1 or 2 a year up so probably breaks about even overall. However I reckon if he did his bets as singles he would have a pretty reasonable return as it's rare that more than half don't win ( I keep meaning to keep a check on it! ). Anyway I suppose the point I'm making is that his 'method' is pretty simple yet probably works as well or better than any of the systems I have come up with!
Experiences of BetFan/betadvisor - as a tipster
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
At least you knew he was punting his own tips!