DW_United
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Posts posted by DW_United
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I think Hull City cause an upset against Leeds United. Hull has a higher capacity then shown from their league position. Their form lately looks pretty bad but they have been up against some strong competition.
However they are scoring a lot of goals, 2-3 are not unusual.
Leeds is a strong team and if they win today they will be in the playoff spots. They have however lost important games like this before. I hold Leeds as a favourite to win. But with odds around evens for Leeds and 4.2 for Hull Win, I will go with Hull City with low stakes. Maybe Hull +0,5 with medium stakes
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A lot of value on Everton and Leicester today.
Everton is playing a lot better under Allardyce and the confidence is growing with every game.
Newcastle is looking clueless and It looks like they will be in the relegation fight for the rest of the season.
3.4 on a Everton win is really intresting. Both teams will try to win this game and I think Everton have a greater chance to succed.
Leicester is on a winning streak and really looks dangerous in attack, I expect them to score at least one goal today. Southampton playing at home is no walk in the park but odds over 4.0 offer good value.
Leicester 2 or DNB
Everton 2 or DNB -
Dortmund played against Tottenham in CL and seemed to lack confidence. They are now knocked out of the competition and the poor form continues. Schalke 04 has been in a great form and has had the whole week to prepare for this away game.
Dortmund is the better team with a much higher capacity when they are at their best. Dortmund is also playing at home in front of an incredible crowd. But that home crowd is getting inpatient now and the pressure is building up.
I got 5.1 for a Shalke 04 win and its great value for a small bet under these circumstances. -
Birmingham is a horror story this season and the drama will continue today. Stockdale, Jenkinson (+ possible replacement Colin), Lowe and Vassall are all out due to injury.
Nottingham is really unreliable and has destoyed many bets for me over the years. But they are scoring goals quite consistently and won 4-0 against QPR in their last game so I will give them a punt.
Nottingham to win 2,74Hull City really need a win today against Ipswich. Both team are frequent in high scoring matches and I dont think Ipswich will be afriad to go forward today either. I can see many goals in this game and I am leaning towards a Hull City win.
Hull - Ipswich over 2,5 goals 1,72
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I agree with most of you on the Burnley game. Most of the games with Burnley involved end 0-1 and I don´t think this one will be a exception.
Burnley - Swasea under 1,5 goals 2,68
I think Leicester will score at home against city, their offence is still lokking really good and scoring a lot of goals.
But I dont think they will stand a chance defensively against Man C.
Leicester - Man City Over 3,5 goals 2,1 -
I will take a look at the lineups and maybe try Everton for 7.0-8.0. They sure got a lot to prove to the new (caretaker) manager and fans. If they can find their old ways they might surprise here. Chelsea has not been that great and they might not give a shit about this one or play the b-team.
It is a long shot of course, but worth it
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Liverpool - Manchester United
I also think we will see goals from both teams today. Martial is one of a few players that has not played international games and had a long preperation before this big game. He has not started many games this season but have shown good form when he got the chance. If he starts today I will be on him to score (odds around 4.5)
Burnley - West Ham
Burnley has played one game this season with more than 2 goals (in PL) and it was the crazy first one against Chelsea. West Ham has not impressed this season even if they seem to be turning a corner lately.
Under 2,5 goals with odds 1.7 is really good. Burnley to win or double chance is also interesting.
Swansea - Huddersfield
Swansea to win. Huddersfield has 6 players out for this game and has 2 draws and 3 loses in their last 5 games.
If Swansea is ever going to start winning it is now, and I think they know it. Swansea to win has value with odds over 2.0, if they lose this one then I dont see them playing in Premier league next season -
Brentford - Millwall
Millwall are the surprise of the championship for me so far. They are playing good football and have only lost once in the last 5 games against som decent opposition. That is far better than expected but can they continue after the long break or will this be the turning point?
Brentford has had a tough couple of matches as well and played a lot of draws. This will be a tight game and I will try Millwall +0,5 (2.05) I think both teams will score as well. -
I will jump on the Monaco train as well today.
Monaco to win 2.2 medium stakes
Monaco to win + over 2,5 goals 3.3 low stakes
Monaco to win - 1,5 4.4 low stakes
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Ipswich - Sunderland over 2,5 goals 2,26
Two teams with quality up front, both desperate for a win. I think both teams will go for it and we will see at least 3 goals.
I was hopeing to get good odds on Millwall again but was disappointed to find them around 2.1 at home against reading.
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Take a look at the statistics in the Millwall game. Its amazing they didnt win with more goals.
http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/41209770 -
Millwall has been playing very good this season even if is not really showing in the statistics yet.
They won 4-0 against Norwich, lost 1-0 away to Wolves with plenty of chances and was leading 2-0 away to QPR with 10 men before they lost the lead and ended in a 2-2 draw.
Leeds on the other hand has won 5 games in a row now but against totally diffrent opponents.
Im thinking the winds might change here and Millwall will get a well deserved win.
Millwall 3.15 -
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My bet this weekend is Burnley to win at 2.4
Burnley is known to be really strong at Turf Moor and will be facing a Crystal Palace in crysis.
Its a chock how bad Crystal Palace has been this far with De Boer. I think he has tried to do too many changes too fast. He wants to play a possesion football with Palace with a new formation and until now it has only been awkward. Players look indisciplined and dont know what to do with the ball.
This game might be their last chance to turn this around.
Burnley is the opposite, very disciplined and very thight knit team.
2.4 for a home win is worth a medium size bet.
I will also try Wes Brom away to Brighton at 3.1. with low stakes.
Wes Brom has started the season very well. They have only lost one goal so far and has scored in every game.
Brighton will give them a fight, but I see Wes Brom as the favourite here.
Totenham X2 and Watford X2 looked tempting but i feel that the odds have dropped too far -
Is anybody else tempted by Newcastle today?
I think Totenham might do a weak season this year and can end up somewhere around the middle of the table.
They will have a weak spot at the wings today, with Walker sold to City and Trippier and Rose out.
Can Newcastle exploit it? Im thinking about Newcastle (Asian) +0,5 (2.35) or DNB 4.1 with low stakes.
Edit: Looks like Kyle Walker-Peters and Ben Davies are going to play as fullback. It will be intresting to see if they can handle Atsu/Perez/Gayle -
26 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Left it bloody late didn't they!
Still, will take that as an early kick-off win!
Didnt see the game. But looks like another crazy one. What fantastic start of the league!
I was content with getting my monet back at 2-3, still felt like a value bet. But that late equaliser made the day -
I Agree, too many question marks lying over Liverpool. I found 2.0 for Watford +1. Placed a bet with medium stakes. I think there is fair value as I dont think Liverpool will win with more than 1 goal
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On 2017-08-01 at 11:18 AM, StevieDay1983 said:
Question to anyone that's supporting or backing Manchester United this season. Is signing Matic the missing piece in the jigsaw puzzle? Are the Red Devils now the team to beat and will they begin their campaign with a solid win on the opening weekend? Is it worth backing a win to nil?
I would never back United to nil. There is certainly a positive atmosphere around the team that hasent been present since SAF left. But there is still too much incompetence in the defensive positioning.
I have watched the friendlies and its obvious that Lindelöf is not accustomed yet. Meanwhile Baily (the best centerback we have) is injured, Rojo is injured and Smalling and Jones are still unreliable and shaky.
Mourinho tried playing with 3 at the back against Real Madrid and it was absolutly horrible. They got back in to the game only after going back to 4-5-1.
So either he will try it again or have a hard time selecting a left back. Darmian? Blind? I would not bet on a clean sheet with that.
Im also impressed with West Hams squad this season, I think they will do well and finish at 8-4 place. -
Sporting Braga - AIK. Braga -1,5 (3.50)
Im from Sweden and I admit to contiously underestimateing Swedish teams in European competitions. But this is not happening for AIK... they are not even good enough for the weak allsvenskan and lost at home against Kalmar last sunday.
I think Braga will win with a good margin of 2-3 goals at least. The diffrence of level (especially technique) is just too big. -
On 2017-05-18 at 4:53 PM, sajtion said:
only one game interests me
osasuna to win
osasuna win both teams to score
sevilla will finish fourth whatever happens here so i see them struggling to finish season on a high. i have watched them many times this season and usually are all over teams dominating them but they have nothing to play for and have let in 9 goals in past three games. they are ending season miserably out of form and that makes osasuna appealing due to the fact that whether they were winning or losing this season they always pushed forward and tried to score goals. i think there is chance of big upset in this match
Thanks for the heads up. I agree, betfair offered those with odds 26 and 29 which i played with 0,5 units. I also found osasuna to score 2+ goals 4,75 and BTTS 1,8 which is also great
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I've been playing unders on united the whole season and it has really paid off. Celta didn't impress me in the first game even if they created a few half good chances. They might need to take some risks today as the game progresses and they certainly are able to score a goal but i don't think Celta will play ultra offensive from the first whistle.
United will probably be careful and try to control the game. My bet is under 2,5 (1.87).
Lyon - Ajax is a different game. Lyon has to score at least 3 goals to proceed to the final and has nothing to lose. Ajax just needs to defend and play counters and they should proceed easily. These are high scoring teams but 4 goals in a second leg of the semi is a lot! And if Ajax defends well then this game will be over by half time. With that setup I will go against the mainstream and try under 3,5 (1,95)
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1 hour ago, DW_United said:
Köln - Werder Bremen Over 2,5 (1.8) or over 3,5 (2.97).
Both teams will try to win this game. Kölns season goal is to qualify for europe and in order to do that they just has to win this game. Köln striker Modeste is a great player and scores a lot of goals and Werder Bremen is averaging almost 2 goals a game. Good chance for a high scoring game here2-2 after 40min... well this went better than expected!
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Köln - Werder Bremen Over 2,5 (1.8) or over 3,5 (2.97).
Both teams will try to win this game. Kölns season goal is to qualify for europe and in order to do that they just has to win this game. Köln striker Modeste is a great player and scores a lot of goals and Werder Bremen is averaging almost 2 goals a game. Good chance for a high scoring game here -
Torino basically plays 4-2-4 with crazy Mihajlović in charge and most games end with 4-5 goals.
They will certainly continue with their offensive football when playing at home. Sampdoria does not have much to play for so I expect them to play relaxed and attack as well. They have a few really talented players up front and i expect 4-6 goals in this game.
Over 3,5 (2.00) is my bet
Premier League Predictions > Dec 22nd & 23rd
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
West Ham - Newcastle
West Ham to win this one seems obviuous, maybe even to obvious. Newcasle have not won a game since Crystal Palace at home back in October. On top of that they are now faceing relegation and Shelvey is suspended.
West Ham has been very strong lately, they managed to get 4 points from City, Chelsea and Arsenal back to back. Then continued with winning 3-0 away against Stoke.
But what worries me is the number of doubts/injuries. Fonte, Noble, Antonio, Kouyate, Byram are all out or in doubt. I will wait for the lineup and if I like what I see then I will bet on West Ham to win with high stakes or West Ham -1,5 with medium/low stakes.
Leicester City - Manchester United.
I think Leicester is underrated in this game. Leicester is really reborn with Puell in charge. Their game against Crystal Palace was terrible indeed, but they have been fantastic before that.
United lacks confidence again. And with the chance to win the league all gone they are now slowly shifting focus towards Champions League. United are of course the favourite here, but I would give Leicester at least 25% chance to win here. I have Leicester to win at 4.5 with low stakes
Swansea - Crystal Palace
I think this one is very intresting. I am wondering what everybody else thinks about this one.
How will Swansea react with Britton in charge?