BBOTD - Monday 18th of March

[robertob]

15.20 Kempton: Gaelic Silver @ 6/1 Paddy Power Was very keen on his horse two weeks ago already. In that particular race at Lingfield he was very unlucky, not getting a clear run, would have gone very close otherwise. He's been left on the same mark by the handicapper and must have a huge chance. Wrote this two weeks ago:

Already a seven year old, yet unexposed on the All-Weather. He came down a good deal in the weights since moving to the UK and is certainly down to a very lenient mark. He was a very eye-catching 2nd three weeks ago here at Lingfield when he had things not really in his favour. He travelled super well in rear, but the pace was slow and he had loads to do turning for home while the eventual winner had the run of the race from the front. Gaelic Silver really finished like a train in the closing stages suggesting he is in fine form and better than the current mark, but had to settle for second. The handicapper raised him by 1lb for that effort which won't make any difference I suppose and if you consider that he was back in 2011 still the winner of a class 1 Handicap chase over in France it looks obvious that he could be easily better than the rest of this modest looking field. Main danger is probably the Gosden horse with Buick up, but has only ordinary form to offer in maidens, even though the mark could be lenient on handicap debut. Will see but feel confident about Gaelic Silver.

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD - Monday 18th of March 5.20 Kempton Chevise 1pt win @ 6/1 Bet365 This horse finally get her head in front for the first time since 2011 when just holding on at Lingfield over 7f. Although she has struggled to win of late, now that she has regained the winning thread she may be able to go in again. In 2011 she rocked up a 5 timer on the all weather winning in a handicap off a mark of 75 under tomorrows jockey Matthew Davies. He actually has a very good record on this horse with 3 wins but Chevise always seems to run a good race under this jockey. She has only gone up 2lbs for her latest win to a mark of 61, which is still well under her highest winning mark. This is a tougher race than the one she won last time out but she is drawn well in 5 and I fancy her to go close.