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Kingspur's Hopeless Hosts Laying system 150 bets -0.7% ROI


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The idea for this system came after watching my local side fail to win at home yet again despite being the bookies favourite. This got be wondering just how common it is for a side to be pretty useless at home. And more interestingly, if certain teams were poor at home over a long period of time. I checked out the top 5 tiers of English football, and collated the previous 4 seasons results together. Then by finding out their average home win odds, and comparing this against their actual win percentage, I came up with a rating of just how well teams did at home compared to bookies expectations. My plan was to use this information to lay the most hopeless hosts. I tried this using the first half of this season and was surprised to turn in a profit. So I rolled it back a year and tested it again on the previous season. Again it produced a profit. It was the same for the major European leagues. I then looked into the sides that did better than expected away from home, and decided to lay the home opposition for these teams as well. Again a positive result. So I am going to start documenting my selections here to see how it goes till the end of the season.

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