-
Posts
438 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Everything posted by _Ghost_
-
Euro 2024 Antepost Predictions and Build Up
_Ghost_ replied to harry_rag's topic in Euro 2024 Tips & Predictions
.... this is actually one of the markets in my model... here's a sneak peak... all 100% prices, be interested to hear who the selection would have been -
Copa America 2024 Outright Predictions
_Ghost_ replied to harry_rag's topic in Copa America 2024 Predictions
Here's each teams record v the Top 100 FIFA ranked teams since international football resumed in late 2020... ..and some general Copa America stats... I'm in the process of fine-tuning my ratings and adding a few more markets to my model - hoping to release prices early next week -
Euro 2024 Antepost Predictions and Build Up
_Ghost_ replied to harry_rag's topic in Euro 2024 Tips & Predictions
Here's each teams record v the Top 100 FIFA ranked teams since international football resumed in late 2020... ..and some general Euro stats... I'm in the process of fine-tuning my ratings and adding a few more markets to my model - hoping to release prices early next week -
Well Japan's defeat at the hands of Iraq yesterday has really set the cat amongst the pigeons.. Iraq need only a point against Vietnam to top the group thus catapulting Japan into the bottom half of the draw and in 90 minutes they've gone from having a soft looking route to glory to arguably the worst! They now look set to meet South Korea in L16 and Iran in the QF - yes that's the top 3 in the betting in the same quarter taking out over 70% of the market! I'm adding Australia and Saudi Arabia to the portfolio - I see the winner of a potential QF between the 2 making the final. One final note I'll be keeping an eye on the Iran v UAE match in a few days.. a victory for UAE will see them top the group and Iran will land in the top half of the draw which may not be a bad thing, in which case i'll be topping up on Iranians outright. Bets 0.5pts Australia to win Outright @ 9/1 (Betway) 0.5pts Saudi Arabia to win Outright @ 12/1 (Betway)
-
Africa Cup of Nations 2023
_Ghost_ replied to _Ghost_'s topic in African Nations Cup 2023 Predictions
Still a couple of games to go before we wrap up the first round of fixtures but changes aplenty in the projected bracket; the draw has gone against Ivory Coast and you have to feel for Mali, wherever they end up they're going to play one of the "top 8". I've had half a point on Morocco after what looked a tough route to the final initially seems to be opening up. Bet 0.5pts Morocco to win Outright @ 9/2 (Various) -
The state of play after 1 completed round of matches... Oman's defeat yesterday coupled with Thailands victory now see's a projected 3rd place finish and a tie with Japan in L16 for outside pick Oman - a victory over Thailand on Sunday with Kyrgystan to come should be enough for 2nd place finish and back in the lower section of the draw. Japan still look to have a kind run until a potential meeting with Australia/ Saudi Arabia in the Semis. Iran and South Korea still set for a Quarter Final showdown with the bottom section of the draw looking the most open, Qatar should progress from their L16 tie where they'll meet Uzbekistan or hopefully Oman.
-
Take the 20/1 available about Athletic Blibao - only Real Madrid (travel to Atletico Madrid) and Barcelona better on my ratings
-
The 2023 edition of the Asian Cup kicks off in the Qatar this Friday. Current Odds Tournament Averages since 2011 Asian Cup Quarter Finalists since 2000 Competitive Records v (current) Top 100 FIFA Ranked Nations since International football resumed during the pandemic Outright Projections Name the Finalists/ Straight Forecast Group and Knockout Projections Bets 1pt Iran to win Outright @ 7/1 (Various) 0.25pts Oman to win Outright @ 50/1 (Various) Japan are the rightful favourites for me but I can let them win at 5/2. The 4 time champions have a straight forward looking group and are projected a kind route to the Semi-Final. I'll be focusing my attention on the bottom half of the draw which brings me to Iran. The Iranians are favourites to top their group which will land them a L16 tie with a 3rd placed side, they're projected to face South Korea in QF and I would fancy the winner of this tie to make the final, I wouldn't put anybody off backing the Koreans but I prefer Iran as there are a couple of (albeit unlikely) scenarios which could see South Korea run into Japan or Saudi Arabia in the L16. The last section of the draw looks particularly weak, however my pick for an Outsider would be Oman who should back up Saudi Arabia in Group F leading to a L16 tie with fellow group runners up Uzbekistan (the market favors the Uzbeks FYI). Hosts Qatar or 3rd place team await in QF before potentially Iran/ South Korea in a semi.
-
The 2024 edition of the African Cup of Nations kicks off in the Ivory Coast this Saturday evening. Current Odds Tournament Averages since 2002 (corners since 2013) AFCON Quarter Finalists since 2002 Competitive Records v (current) Top 100 FIFA Ranked Nations since International football resumed during the pandemic Outright Projections Name the Finalists/ Straight Forecast Group and Knockout Projections Bets 1pt Ivory Coast to win Outright @ 7/1 (Various) The last 7 renewals have produced 7 different winners shows just how open this tournament is I'm in agreement with the market and don't have much at all between the top 7/8 teams in the betting. Looking at how the projected draw shapes up I like the path the winner of Group A has; 3rd place team in the L16 then likely Ghana/ DR Congo in the QF, which ever if those sides progresses will likely be the lowest rated side in the Quarters (pending any upsets) before a Semi-Final showdown with the reigning Champions Senegal. It's the Ivory Coast with their home advantage who get the nod to top Group A over Nigeria. I usually like to have an outsider on side but looking at the projected draw any outsider is likely going to have to beat 4 of the top sides in the knockouts and i just can't see any of them doing so. I will of course be keeping a close eye on things and if the draw opens up along the way
-
Thanks to @harry_rag some great insight posted throughout the tournament - we go again in 4 years!