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ChangesAA

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  1. Like
    ChangesAA reacted to ChasingDreams in Racing Chat - Tuesday 27th October   
    13.20 Chepstow
    A competitive Maiden Hurdle to wet the appetiser and it’s BALMUICK (Nap) who gets the vote. He was well backed on bumper debut at Hexham last month where he powered clear to win cosily by four lengths for top connections and he looks the one to beat. Star Gate was bought for six figures after winning sole start in Irish points in February and could be set for a big run on Hurdle debut. Everglow can make his presence felt and is of serious danger to the selection, dropping back in class from Class 1 to Class 4.
    13.50 Chepstow
    WAYFINDER has been a very consistent type throughout his career so far and did well last season when winning a bumper and a competitive handicap hurdle, showing promise when runner-up on his chase debut at Ffos Las on return last time out and can improve from that. The in-form Schnabel is an obvious threat as he goes for a three-timer. While Hideaway Vic who has never finished outside the first three is primed for a big run on chase debut and is a major player.
    2.10 Catterick
    The versatile GRACE AND VIRTUE continued her fine progress when recording her third win of the season at Musselburgh a fortnight ago (7f, soft). She is back up in class here but that might not prevent her from winning this. Her last two victories where she won emphatically both times have come on similar ground to this and she can take all the beating if taking to track. Praxeology rates the chief threat after considerable improvement over course and distance 10 days ago (soft), with the rampant Hollie Doyle on board.
    3.25 Chepstow
    An intriguing novice chase and cases can be made for a few of these but it is LIOSDUIN BHEARNA who was last seen dishing out a commanding 6-1/2 length beatdown to Blackjack Kentucky in a Doncaster handicap hurdle back in February who gets the vote.  L'Air Du Vent who improved gamely in his last performance, once laid down a challenge to Shiskin in an Irish point-to-point, so could yet have untapped potential so rates a big player. The consistent Ashfield Paddy is also one of interest on chase debut, having performed admirably over Hurdles thus far.
    3.40 Bangor-on-Dee
    Closely related to the ever popular fan favourite The New One, it is THE NEWEST ONE who gets the tentative selection. He has shown improvement with every run so far in his short career and now fresh from a break, he gets his chance to show what he’s capable of. Lightly raced Cathal’s Star showed improved form to get off the mark when winning handily at Sedgefield on his reappearance last time out so is a big danger, albeit now 11lb up from that win. While market leader Java Point is of interest and can make presence felt for Kim Bailey, open to improvement on handicap debut now up in trip.
  2. Like
    ChangesAA reacted to ChasingDreams in Racing chat - Monday 26th October   
    12.30 Ayr
    In what could be a telling Class 4 Mares Maiden Hurdle. The one to beat here is WHISKEY LULLABY who was purchased for a big fee from a top class French National Hunt pedigree. A half sister to Grade 2 winning chaser Petit Robin (167-rated and Queen Mother Champion Chase-placed as well as many other top two-mile hurdles and chases) and to the dam of Anibale Fly (174-rated and Gold Cup-placed). She showed promise when second on bumper debut earlier this year and the step up in trip on her hurdling bow is likely to see Paul Nicholls' mare take a decent step forward. This potentially high-class Filly is expected to do big things for the in-form Nicholls stable. Lady Bowes scored at the fourth time of asking in a soft-ground Perth bumper in August when making pretty much all and she has to be of interest along with Class Bishop Lady, who is expected to bounce back from her disappointing effort at Killarney earlier in the month.
    12.40 Redcar
    This is a race in which Mark Johnston has said he would really love to win and it is SOAPY STEVENS after his promising debut third at Nottingham that has a massive possibility to gift him just that so gets the verdict. This gelded son of multiple Grade 1 winning Harzand can build on that with the slightly longer trip looking sure to be in his favour. The superbly bred Derby entry Mahomes took a step forward from debut last time out and should do so again so rates the obvious danger ahead of the equally well bred William Haggas-trained Derby Entry Chalk Stream who looks set to improve on his decent second place finish on debut.
    12.50 Leicester
    This race revolves around the top two in the market. The impressive ALDAARY who received significant market backing first time out gets the vote. The William Haggas gelding forged clear by over 3 lengths at Yarmouth on debut and didn’t look like stopping when running on well at the finish. Up 6lbs more from that but shouldn’t be enough to stop him from following up in this field, he should take all the beating and is very capable of defying a penalty. The experienced and consistent Dark Illusion has acquitted himself well in soft ground nurseries of late and is the one to fear.
    1.05 Ayr
    This is an ultra competitive novice hurdle that can go to the well-bred CONFIRMATION BIAS. He made the perfect start in Wincanton bumper last November before running into a very good one when 14l (heavy) back at course and distance on Boxing Day under a penalty. He has since had a wind op and ought to be in the thick of things on today’s hurdle debut. The ever consistent and experienced Gordon Elliott trained Curlew Hill can go well and is a big threat to the selection with form of his third placed finish over in Ireland last time out working out well. Market leader Cadzand is also one to watch having showed serious ability in first 2 starts and has a significant role to play.
    1.15 Redcar
    YOUNG FIRE was a creditable fourth of 20 in a York handicap (1m, soft) 17 days ago when conceding first run and was only beaten 4l in the 6f Ayr Gold Cup so is taken to capture a career-second win here after scoring at Haydock (7, soft) last month. Market leader Turn On The Charm is progressing at a rate of knots and supplemented his breakthrough triumph at Kempton when defying a 5lb higher mark at Nottingham. He is up another 6lb today and a massive player if handling this softer surface. Global Spirit also arrives in winning form, having burst back on the scene at York last time out.
    2.35 Leicester. 
    Marginal preference in a decent handicap is for improving sort and tough HARTSWOOD who comes here with the scope for further progress after a light campaign. He so nearly completed a York double when close second at the Ebor meeting last time out and his victor has since placed well in Listed company. Ascension's hat-trick bid may have failed over 7f here, but he lost very little in defeat and there are still races in him off this mark so rates the chief threat. Three-time winner Dashing Roger is open to further progress and promises to be suited by this step up in trip so is not dismissed lightly.
    3.15 Wexford
    This looks like the perfect seasonal opener for RSA second MINELLA INDO (Nap) who is clearly the most talented horse in this field and if anywhere close to his best he will be difficult to oppose, he should take all the beating with an official rating of 160. Beaten close home at Cheltenham by Champ in a remarkable finish (one for the highlight reel), that was only his third start over fences and he is a very exciting prospect indeed. Milan Native is the main threat to the selection and has 11lb in his favour to work with on the selection. Turbojet won a beginners' chase by 11 lengths when last seen at Leopardstown in March and is the clear third best on paper so can run a good race in this high-class chase.
    5.30 Newcastle
    A chance can be taken on LUA DE MEL in this Class 4 competitive handicap sprint. This Course and distance winner here earlier in the year can make her presence felt, she has seemingly struggled racing over 6f since that win and can upset the market leaders here back down at 5f. This is the first time she’s dropped back down to 5f in 3 races and is eased in the weights slightly so this is an ideal opportunity for her to get back on track. Her best efforts have come from the front and she will be happier back on the AW with the booking of James Doyle a big plus who is 3 from 6 for the yard. Doc Sportello is an admirable veteran who never does much wrong and is a threat to the selection in first time blinkers. Tom Marquand has a good record onboard and he may be able to land an impressive seventh career win. Batchelor Boy who is 3-3 on Tapeta completes the shortlist.
    Hope you all enjoy the read ?
  3. Like
    ChangesAA reacted to ChasingDreams in Racing chat -sunday 25th oct   
    Aintree 13.22
    In what looks to be a competitive renewal of the Veterans' Handicap Chase (Class 2) it is the 11 year old SAMETEGAL who appeals most here. He posted several consistent efforts in defeat last season and is selected to make a winning return to action for the in form Nicholls team. In a race where eight of the nine most recent winners have come from 10 year olds, course and distance winner Minellacelebration who won at Uttoxeter last time out in July is only 1 lb higher up from that victory so rates a big threat to the selection but the main danger could come from fellow 11 year old Vieux Lion Rouge who has a strong reappearance record and enhanced his record when making a winning return to action last October. He runs off the same mark today. The red hot five-timer One Style can complete the shortlist.
    Aintree 13.57
    To win a race in honour of a great steeplechaser like Monet’s Garden would be a terrific achievement for any horse and that is what these plus four year olds will try to do. The one to beat here could be Olly Murphy’s ITCHY FEET who was let down by his jumping when one of the market leaders for the Marsh at the Cheltenham Festival where he unseated his rider early on and so was unable to show what he is capable of. Prior to this he coped really well with the demands of Sandown's fences when winning the Grade 1 Scilly Isles Novices' Chase and his opening mark looks somewhat lenient for a Grade 1 winner. Midnight Shadow who was runner-up at Sandown and is now 5 lb better off with the selection is poised to make a big run however has 4l to find on his rival. Cases can also be for Oldgrangewood, who won two competitive handicaps last year over the distance and often gives a good account on his seasonal reappearance so can mount a serious challenge and Clondaw Castle who posted a career best performance when straightforward winner at Warwick over same ground and distance in February.
    Aintree 15.42
    In this intriguing Class 2 handicap hurdle a chance is taken on the Ascot maiden winner EN MEME TEMPS who catches the eye most. Having switched yards he raised his game with a pair of fine runner-up efforts early last season. Point Of Principle's excellent performance at the Grand National last year rates him a danger to all if finding that form. Whilst Strong Glance can complete the shortlist after returning with a terrific third place finish in an ultra competitive handicap at Market Rasen last month.
     
     
  4. Like
    ChangesAA reacted to waggy in Naps - Thursday 22nd October   
    HAZARD @7/4 bet365    -    Navan 1.55
  5. Like
    ChangesAA got a reaction from SilverLFC in Cheltenham Tipster Comp - Day 1 Selections   
    130 CH: Al Dancer
    210 CH: Glen Forsa
    250 CH: Beware The Bear
    330 CH: Laurina
    410 CH: Roksana
    450 CH: Tower Bridge
    530 CH: Ok Corral
    Enjoy the day guys and girls 
  6. Like
    ChangesAA reacted to BillyHills in Aintree Tipsters Competition - Day 2 Selections   
     
    @smduk
    Smduk, you cannot just copy someone else. Its a blatant copy and paste job.
    You did this last time at Cheltenham.
    Consider yourself disqualified.
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