Juuso
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Posts posted by Juuso
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Re: Mlb 15/4 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Twins -1.5 2.73 (Pinnacle) 7 units MIN: LHP Johan Santana (0-2, 5.73 ERA) NYY: RHP Jaret Wright (0-1, 4.50 ERA) Uniquely great price on Santana because of his not so great start of the season against a less than average pitcher. He is known for his slow starts to the year. Santana is the best pitcher in MLB and he should regain his normal level here, highly unlikely he would lose 3 of his first starts. Yankees 5th starter Jared Wright has had one good year, 2004 when he was with the Braves, but he is been below average rest of his career. he was 5-5 with an ERA of 6.08 for the Yankees last season. Yankees do have some really good bats, but have been rather lame on road this season and if i have to choose between good hitting and pitching, i will go with the pitching. Pitching is even much more favorable to the Twins here, coupled up with yankees rather shaky bullpen. Twins played a good ballgame yesterday winning the Yanks 5-1 and i can see same kind of result here.
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Re: Mlb 15/4 Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox Blue Jays 2.27 (Pinnacle) 4 units TOR: RHP A.J. Burnett (12-12, 3.44 ERA in 2005) CWS: LHP Mark Buehrle (1-0, 2.25 ERA) Toronto has done a killing in last 3 games, scoring 29 combined runs and won Boston 2 times and White Sox yesterday. Starting pitcher A.J Burnett, a new face coming from Florida Marlins, is making his season debut. His coming off a injury. He felt 100% 2 weeks ago, but Toronto has taken an slow and methodical approach to make sure he will be 100% in condition for his start. Burnett has only faced the White Sox one time in his career and he allowed no runs in six innings. Sox pitching hasn't been that impressive in recent games. They have allowed 39 hits and 22 runs over the last 18 innings. Of course, scoring 20 runs and knocking out 30 hits themselves. Sox starter Buehrle has a 1-1 career mark against the Blue Jays, with a 3.97 ERA. He was solid in season debut, but faced Royals who hasn't got that much hitting power. Sox bullpen has an ERA of 5.58 and 6.46 last 3. Missing Hermanson from the Bullpen is starting to show. I simply have to go with the hotter team here. Toronto has some monster bats this year and they've really hit the ball well in last 3. Will be hard task for Buerhle to try to cool them down.
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Re: Mlb 15/4 Milwaukee Brewers @ NY Mets Brewers 2.5 (Pinnacle) 4 units MIL: RHP Tomo Ohka (0-1, 4.09 ERA) NYM: RHP Steve Trachsel (1-0, 1.50 ERA) Mets are flying quite high right now and has collected a 8-1 record in first 9 games. Still these odds are way off. Steve Trachsel is not so good really what his first start tells. Trachsel did not face the Brewers in 2005, but he is 4-5 with a 5.73 ERA in 15 career appearances against them. Ohka has also done quite bad at Shea Stadium, going 0-5 with a 4.89 ERA in seven Queens appearances. Still lower era and i personally think the Japanese pitcher is the better one here. Brewers weren't bad yesterday getting 9 hits but only 3 runs, opposed to Mets 6 hits and 4 runs. Worth a small bet with these odds. Time for Mets to come down to earth tonight maybe...
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Re: Mlb 14/4 LA Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Orioles 2.02 (Pinnacle) 4 units Orioles alt. runline -1.5 3.03 (Pinnacle) 2 units BAL: RHP Rodrigo Lopez (1-1, 6.39 ERA) LAA: RHP Ervin Santana (1-0, 1.59 ERA) Baltimore scored 18 runs in 3 games against the Devil Rays, going 2-1 and is returning home to face the Angels tonight. Offence produced with big hits when needed on those games, so i can see them continuing good hitting against Ervin Santana. Santana has not pitched well on the road (7.44 ERA, 9 starts). Opponents hit .321 against Santana when he's on the road. On his only start against the O's he allowerd four runs - two earned - and four hits in seven innings of a 4-1 loss. On the other hand, O's starter Rodrigo Lopez has been excellent against the Angels, The right-hander is 5-1, 1.70 ERA lifetime against the Angels, who have hit just .187 against him. I like the Birds a lot in this spot. Philadelphia Phillies @ Colorado Rockies Rockies 2.08 (Pinnacle) 4 units Rockies alt. runline -1.5 2.82 (Pinnacle) 2 units PHI: RHP Ryan Madson, 1-0, 1.50 ERA COL: RHP Zach Day, 1-0, 3.86 ERA Colorado is playing excellent baseball at the moment. They are an improved team this year and should have more road success to balance out their good home performances. They just wrapped up a 6 game road trip, 3 games against both Padres and D'backs, going 5-1 with bats really coming to life. Even though Rocks are off to excellent start in road games, they are traditionally a home team, getting majority of their wins at Coors field, where the air is thin and ball is flying really good. Todays pitchers both got off to a good start. Ryan Madsen has no decisions and a 3.38 ERA in five career relief appearances against Colorado, with quite a limited number of pitched innings. Day is 1-2 with a 4.93 ERA against the Phillies. Have to play the Rockies here, by no means they should be set as an underdog at home when the bats are this hot. Philly has looked quite shaky in the beginning of the season and i don't put that much value on their 2 last wins against Atlanta. Atlantas pitching has been just pathetic so far. Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks Diamondbacks 1.926 (Pinnacle) 4 units Diamondbacks -1.5 2.86 (Pinnacle) 2 units ARI: RHP Brandon Webb (0-0, 2.77 ERA) HOU: LHP Andy Pettitte (1-1, 8.18 ERA) Brandon Webb is the key factor here. He is the ace of the Snakes lineup. Webb is 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA in four career starts against Houston. He had a good performance in his season debut, while Houston starter Andy Petitte has looked lost and not like his usual self thus far this season. He has not fared good agains Arizona either, going 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA in three career starts against Arizona. Arizona lost a 3 game home serie against the Rockies 1-2, so they definitely wants to take a win here and get back to .500 mark. Houstons hitting is not that hot and they don't have that much power hitters, so a good day from webb should be enough to ensure a home win here.
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Re: Mlb 13/4 Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians Indians -1.5 3.01 (Pinnacle) 7 units SEA: RHP Felix Hernandez (0-1, 1.80 ERA) CLE: RHP Jason Johnson (1-0, 0.00 ERA) I was on Cleveland also yesterday, they managed to lose despite scoring 9 runs, 9-11, because of a lousy outing from starter Byrd. Tonight we have Jason Johnson starting for the Indians. He was simply dominant against the Twins, holding them scoreless on four hits with a walk and two strikeouts in seven innings of work. He looked very comfortable pitching at his new home, Jacobs field and has never pitched for a winning team before in his career. This might be a good year coming up from him. For Seattle we have a young phenom Felix Hernandez starting. He wasn't bad in his first outing, holding Oakland to one run and two hits in five innings. His on a 100 pitch count, so depends on the Indians batters how long he will last. Cleveland bats has been really hot after 1st game of the season and this stacked up hitting lineup is among the top 3 in American league. Will be a hard task for Hernandez to keep the score down, especially as Cleveland hits really good against righties. Really nice odds for the runline, going for it with quite upper-medium stakes.
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Re: Mlb 13/4 Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees Royals 4.60 (Mansion) 2 units KC: RHP Denny Bautista (0-0, 1.50 ERA) NYY: LHP Randy Johnson (1-1, 2.40 ERA) A small play on Kansas, it opened at about 4.8 last night and i was expecting the odds to go up a little, but it has come down. Still quite playable with these odds. Denny Bautista was pretty impressive in his season debut against the White sox allowing one run and one hit in 6 innings, while walking 5. Everybody knows Randy, he is damn good but he is getting old and is far from being untouchable. Royals have played pretty good baseball in the first 2 games of this series. They almost won the first game, but was really hurt by the lousy pitching and a ton of walks. Bautista has been their best starter so far and if he can go deep in the game, Kansas has a chance. They have lost 13 in a row at Yankee stadium, When will it all end? I'm trying them with these odds as there is some value.
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Re: Mlb 13/4 Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Tigers 1.95 (Pinnacle) 3 units Tigers alt. runline -1.5 2.95 (Pinnacle) 3 units CWS: RHP Jon Garland (0-1, 15.19 ERA) DET: RHP Justin Verlander (1-0, 1.00 ERA) Detroit trying to avoid a sweep here. They started the season 5-0, but has lost 3 last games. Yesterdays game was tight and a superb outing from White Sox starter Contreras was the difference. Todays starter Garland is not nearly as good a pitcher. He did have a career year last season, but is below .500 before that. He did have really hard time against Kansas bats in his debut, while keeping them scoreless in 4 first innings, was lit up in next 1 1/3 allowing 7 runs in that frame. He also allowed 4th most home runs last season in American League. Detroits starter Verlander is really a top young prospect. He didn't seem ready for MLB yet last season, but looks like it will be totally differen story this year. He looked like a veteran in his first Major League win last Saturday, when he held the Rangers to two hits over seven scoreless innings with seven strikeouts. He hit 100 mph on the Ameriquest Field radar gun, but more importantly mixed in his offspeed pitches for a nasty arsenal. Tigers will not give an easy sweep for the Sox here and should win this one.
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Re: Mlb 13/4
Absolutely' date=' they've had some success against the Big Unit aswell. Is anywhere offering +2.5 or +2.0 on the runline?:unsure[/quote'] You can move the runline using the dropdown menu at pinnacle. 2 or 2.5 is covered, howevery slightly bigger margin in non standard handicaps. -
Re: Mlb 12/4 Sorry, wrong date. Should have been 13th day.... WFTE: Changed
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San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins Marlins -1.5 2.83 (Pinnacle) 6 units FLA: LHP Jason Vargas (0-1, 9.00) SD: RHP Dewon Brazelton (0-1, 34.71) Florida has had some rough games lately, but today is an excellent spot for them to get back on Winning track. For florida, we got Promising young talent Jason Vargas starting. He went 5-5, 4.03 ERA last season. He didn't have the greatest first outing against the Mets at New York though. For Padres, starter will be Dewon Brazelton who is just poor. He is still looking for his first career road victory, going into his 5th season as a pitcher in MLB. His career numbers are 8-24 with 6.24 ERA. 1-8 last season with a ERA of 7.61, being the worst pitcher of the Devil Rays staff. He also got bombed in his San Diego debut at home against Rockies, who hammered him for 11 hits and nine earned runs in 2 1/3 innings. Vargas is a way more talented and consistent pitcher. Just need some run production from the Fish' this time and against Brazelton they should be able to put up some runs on the board. Marlins also trying to avoid the sweep here. This is the kind of game this young and revamped team should be able to take many this year.
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Re: Mlb 12/4 www.streamtvnow.tv lots of US sports streamed live with quite good quality. Shows about 3-5 MLB games a night. Especially the early games. Also hockey and hoops and nfl. Costs 3 euros a month, payable by paypal. I use it quite a lot to watch games. Will probably buy the mlb tv a bit later also.
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Re: Mlb 12/4
Me too mate. GL, Lets cash this one :okLove the Indians tonight Juuso. Good luck mate:ok -
Re: Mlb 12/4 NY Mets @ Washington Nationals Nationals 2.61 (Pinnacle) 4 units NYM: RHP Pedro Martinez (1-0, 6.00 ERA) WSH: RHP Tony Armas, Jr. (0-1, 3.60 ERA) There might be some bad blood on air tonight at Washington. Last time these teams met at New York last week with Pedro on the mound, he hit Nationals pitchers 3 times. 2 times on Guillen which looked quite intentional. Guillen started pointing his bat at Pedro and running towards him, but was stopped by home-plate umpire Ted Barrett and Mets catcher Lo Duca. Both benches and bullpens emptied but no punches were thrown. Pedro is usually very overpriced and i don't see the justification for these odds against solid Armas. Pedro has been suffering from a toe injury and didn't look that sharp in his season debut either. Martinez has made 13 starts and compiled a 4-2 record against the Expos/Nationals franchise. Armas has a 5-3 record in eight career starts against the Mets. Have to play the home side because of the value factor.
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Re: Mlb 12/4 Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians Indians -1.5 2.44 (Mansion) 6 units SEA : RHP Gil Meche (1-0, 3.34 ERA) CLE: RHP Paul Byrd (1-0, 7.50 ERA) Indians are flying high right now. Offence is producing big hits and shouldn't be really different today against Gill Meche. While he had pretty good season debut, his numbers against Indians are pretty poor. In 8 starts against Cleveland, Meche is 1-6 with a 5.20 ERA. Byrds first start at the Jake representing the Tribe wasn't the best, but he got the win. He has really good record pitching at the Jacobs field in his career, his lots of contact pitching style suits quite well for the dimensions of the park. Also, Byrds numbers against Seattle is 6-1, 1.46 ERA in 7 starts. Expecting big game from the Indians again and -1.5 with 2.44 odds seems pretty good.
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Re: Mlb 12/4 Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Toronto 2.30 (WSEX) 6 units BOS: LHP David Wells (15-7, 4.45 ERA in 2005) TOR: LHP Gustavo Chacin (1-0, 4.05 ERA , 13-9, 3.72 ERA in 2005) Have to go with the upset here. Leftie Chacin is really the better pitcher than aging Wells. Yesterday Toronto lost 4-6 because of one really bad 4 run inning from the starter Towers. Both teams do have a lot of big bats, so i'm trusting Chacin here. Boston has started well but it's about time Toronto also starts to produce. In his career against Toronto, Wells is 5-9 with a 5.50 ERA. In three career starts against Boston, Chacin is 1-0 with a 5.52 ERA. Odds are dropping for toronto almost everywhere. Just Grabbed 2.3 at WSEX and that is good value bet imo.
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Re: Mlb 12/4 Pretty much +/- 0 so far this season. Only a little bit over a week gone in to the season, so it's still very early. Did pretty good last 2 seasons though.
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Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Tigers 2.0 (Mansion) 4 units Tigers -1.5 3.18 (Mansion) 2 units CWS: RHP Jose Contreras (0-0, 3.00 ERA) DET: LHP Nate Robertson (1-0, 5.06 ERA) Found really good odds for this game at Mansion exchange. Detroit opened as a favorite of about 1.92 when the odds came out on sportsbooks. I have to go with the home side who have played really good baseball so far going 5-2, with second loss coming last game against the CWS. It was a very even game and could have gone either way. As the pitchers go, both had quite ok starts of the season. Nate Robertson pitches quite well home at Comerica Park. Last season he he went 3-6 at home despite a 3.17 ERA which was really good, but he was a victim of lousy run support. Against CWS he was 2-2 with a a 3.31 ERA. Contreras is traditionally a second half of the season pitcher. He strugled quite a bit in the beginning months of last season and didn't look that sharp in his season debut, having trouble finding the strike zone during the first inning of his season debut, throwing only 20 of his 37 pitches for strikes, despite keeping the ERA quite low for the whole game. I like the Detroit in this spot to continue the strong play they have showcased in the beginning of the season. Important home game against a divisional rival so they definitely want to tie the series 1 a piece here.
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Re: Mlb 11/4
IndiansOut of interest, who does everyone support?? From the comment above you can tell Im a RedSox fan. Im sure Matt is too and Stevies a BlueJay. Jadeds positive comment about the Yankees poor start makes me think he may be RedSox but then that could be any team bar NYY. -
Re: Mlb 11/4
Yes, they do have an amazing record at home openers and coming from behind. I would have taken them -1.5 for over 2 odds probably, but their price was just too low today, especially with C. Wang on the mound. Betting on Yankees and certain other big public teams are better to be done right when the odds come out. I prefer underdogs mostly because of the value factor. Best teams are also losing 40% clip of their games in Baseball and there is better money to be made betting teams like Kansas and Tampa than Yankees or Cardinals imo.Unlucky with the Royals Juuso. Not too much sympathy though as I was on the Yankees. I posted it up on my S+S thread but didnt have time to do a writeup here before work. Although off form Yankees are always a different prospect at home. Also have to remember that although unlucky, Yankees have an amazing record when it comes to coming from behind over the past few years. -
Re: Mlb 11/4 Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians Indians -1.5 2.47 (Mansion) 4 units SEA: LHP Jarrod Washburn (1-0, 2.57 ERA) CLE: LHP Cliff Lee (0-0, 5.06 ERA) Here we got a couple of good leftie pitchers going h2h. Cliff Lee was amazing 18-5 with a 3.79 ERA last season with the Indians. Washburn went 8-8 with a 3.20 ERA with the Angels last season, but got a lot more no decisions than Lee. Lee has also pitched very well against the Mariners. He has career 4-0 record and 3.94 ERA against them. In 2005, Lee beat the Mariners twice in three starts with a 3.00 ERA. Washburn has also done very well at Jacobs Field, posting a lifetime 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA in seven career starts there. Last season he allowed five runs on 10 hits in five innings in his only start vs Cleveland. Cleveland showed some great play in the second half of last season and seem to have picked up where they left. The team has acquired few new faces and the talent really is coming together nicely. 5-1 to start the season, winning last 5 games. I'm counting the bats can do some damage against Washburn. Batting is the key factor in this game. Cleveland with more power should be able to put up runs on the scoreboard, just need a good outing from Cliff Lee.
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Re: Mlb 11/4 LA Dodgers @ Pittsburg Pirates Dodgers 1.92 (Mansion) 5 units LAD: RHP Jae Seo (0-0, 9.00 ERA) PIT: RHP Ian Snell (0-0, 7.20) Here we got a pretty big pitcher mismatch. Dodgers starter Jae seo is a control artist with a five-pitch repertoire. 8-2 record with an 2.56 ERA last season with the Mets. He was also outright dominant in World Baseball Classic representing his native Korea, going 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA. He started a bit rusty in his first game allowing 3 runs in 3 innings of work, but should regain his level. Snell of Pitsburgh was 1-2 last season posting a 5.14 ERA. He has pitcher only 59 innings in MLB going 1-3 since 2004 season. Also, Dodgers are 18-5 at PNC park alltime. Yesterdays game was really good from Dodgers, they did everything right. Hit a couple of homers and many clutch hits with men on base. With Seo performing in his normal level this should be anouther Win for the LA team.
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Re: Mlb 11/4 That Yankees comeback was bloody ridiculous. Kansas was clearly the better team but pitchers sucked and walked 9 batters, many on situation that resulted into scoring runs. I'll take the push but that was really unlucky.
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Re: Mlb 11/4 Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees Royals +2 2.19 (Pinnacle) 4 units NYY: RHP Chien-Ming Wang (0-0, 3.86 ERA) KC: RHP Joe Mays, (0-1, 12.46 ERA) Kansas trying to spoil Yankees home opener. Ok, probably won't happen but i'm taking Royals +2 with these odds. they have gone up all day and now you get about same odds for +2 than what opened for +1.5. Joe Mays was bad in his season debut but he can't go on that bad in every game. Yankees starter Wang is also very average pitcher. He has limited MLB experience. about 20 starts, with 8-5 4.02 ERA last year. While he was 5-2 at Yankee stadium last season he was also lit up quite many times and pounded out of the game. Ok, Kansas is one of the worst MLB teams, but they have improved with guys like Reggie Sanders, Mark Grudzialanek etc. in the offseason. This is baseball after all, so i wouldn't touch that ridiculous price on Yankees. They have monster hitting but bullpen and starting pitcher today is not that good. Kansas could keep up on the scoring board and this could be a tight one. I'm willing to take my chances with +2 runs with this very attractive price. Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Blue Jays 2.8 (Pinnacle) 4 units TOR: RHP Josh Towers (0-1, 7.71 ERA) BOS: RHP Josh Beckett (1-0, 1.29 ERA) Here we got an dramatically improved Toronto team against Red Sox in Bostons home opener. Beckett is one of the most overhyped pitchers of the league imo. He is not much over .500 in his career. Last year his numbers were 15-8 3.37 ERA with 178.2 IP. While Towers had 13-12 3.71 ERA 208.2 IP. Imo the pitchers are quite equal, Towers saw more action last year facing better AL hitting lineups than Beckett did in Florida. With all the new acquisitions Toronto made in the offseason, they are not much worse team than Boston really. Toronto will win in this exact spot about 2 out of 5 times, making it a good value play. Odds haven't also moved at all in this game despite Boston is probably getting a lot of public money, there is a reason for that. Either Toronto is getting moneywise equal action and/or bookies are not risking rising already a bit too high Toronto odds.
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Re: Mlb 10/4
Pretty lame bashing other peoples picks who are doing good work. MLB is not for you if you can't take some losses, it's all about grinding profit in the long run. 2400 games played in a season so there will be ups and down for every punter.And Atlanta not OVER SteviaFlack and Pittsburg have lost ... very bad picks ... just keep analizing more guys ... not stake 10/10 (Mr. Intensity)! because other can realise that is 100% pick!!! ok?
MLB 16th
in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions
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Re: MLB 16th Haven't had time for betting today and came home just few hours ago. Just took Dodgers -1.5 2.58. Seo is really talented pitcher and i'm expecting him to rebound from the 2 bad first starts of the season. Hennessey is nothing special, a backup guy, who might get lit up easily.