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About value4sports

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 10/23/1978
  1. Re: West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United > Wednesday January 1st i agree. these are ludicrous odds for newcastle> Why are west brom favourites here? they have scored 9 points at home this season vs newcastles 15 away.
  2. Re: Sunderland v Aston Villa > Wednesday January 1st wow, aston villa 3.8. I'd take that any day. Sunderland are an appalling team at home and Villa aren't too bad away. Not sure why Sunderland are favoruites here ?
  3. Hi can someone tell me why my username has changed I registered as > but my username has been changed to value4sports without warning thanks
  4. Re: West Bromwich Albion V Manchester City > Wednesday 4th December Completely agree with Max2112. Man City who have lost to Cardiff, Villa, Sunderland and Chelsea from their six away games this season. West Brom and Man City actually have the same record on a 19 game (1 season) basis, taking West Brom at home and Man City Away. 1.65 is an awful price for Give WB a goal head start and this looks compelling value at 1.83.
  5. Re: 3 Key Attributes interesting selections. surely home clean sheets would be the way to go. so far results have produced 15/21 home clean sheets which is 71% or odds of 1.40. Normally the odds for a clean sheet for hot home favourites is at least 1.6.
  6. Re: Southampton v Sunderland - Sat 24th August I think this is a good example of where value can be had. There is no way Southampton should be priced at this level. When they were priced like this last season (7 games) they won once. The away team won 3 of those games. In similarly priced games where southampton were at home or sunderland were away the results have been Home win 32%, Draw 32%, Away win 36%. Given the massive price on Sunderland surely its wise to back them in some way, either outright, DNB or laying southampton or taking them on with the Asian HC.
  7. Re: La Liga > 23rd - 26th August Getafe vs Almeria -These two teams have featured in 43 similar games in the last few seasons.in those games both teams have not scored 60% of the time. This equated to real odds of 1.65, which is 25% value on the widely available odds of 2.00, seems like excellent value [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 64] [TR] [TD=width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  8. Halmstad vs Norrkoping For this game we there have been 28 similar games featuring either of these teams. The away team has won in 54% of these in the Draw no bet market. The odds should be below 2 based on these statistics. Bet Victor are offering 2.25. Great Value.
  9. Re: La Liga > 8th - 13th May Sociedad vs Granada. In similar games featuring these two teams, the home team has won the first half 75% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.33. Betvictor are offering 2.05 which is exceptional value.
  10. Here are my comments for the upcoming midweek fixtures in Serie A. I look at recent and relevant games to find value bets. Pescara vs Milan - No team should be 23-1 in a two horse race, at the end of the season and when that team is playing at home. Sure Milan will probably win, but there must be value on the Asians. Pescara +2.25 pays 1.93. The Roma (vs Cheivo) and Bologna (vs Napoli) games look to be mis priced in the under 2.5 market. This has occurred in 53% and 63% of respective, similar games featuring these teams. The odds should be 1.88 and 1.60, respectively, however 2.9 and 2.40 re
  11. Re: La Liga > 3rd - 6th May Getafe vs Sociedad. In similar games featuring these two teams, the away team has failed to win 83% of the time. Laying Sociedad seems to be the value bet. This equates to odds of 1.2, the bookies are offering 1.8, excellent value.
  12. Re: Norwich City v Reading > Sat 20th April [TABLE=width: 1407] [TR] [TD=class: xl175, width: 1407]In similar games featuring these two teams, the home team have won the second half 77% of the time. This equates to odds of 1.30. The bookmakers are offering 2.3 which represents 77% value. [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  13. Re: Arsenal v Everton > Tue 16th April Of the 23 similar games that have featured these two teams 61% have resulted in under 2.5 goals. This equates to odds of 1.64. Bookmakers are widely offering 2.28 which represents 40% value. Under 2.5 goals is my prediction
  14. Re: Ligue 1 > 12th - 14th April Apologies lorient vs bastia
  15. Re: Bundesliga > 12th - 14th April Apologies, Stuttgart vs B.M'gladbach
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