rowdy
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Posts posted by rowdy
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Re: Commie Games Just add, Howlett has just pulled out with an injury. He was expected to b the teams leader and potentially best player. Not sure if theyll replace him with annother Blues player or not. I agree with u mate, Fiji should be favs and that price is a good one!
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Re: Super 14 Rnd 3 Results from Rnd 3 Friday, Feb 24 Hurri 29 Cats 16 Force 9 Chiefs 26:clap Storm 15 ACT 15 Saturday, Feb 25 Crus 22 Sharks 20 Reds 20 Blues 21 :clap Bulls 26 'Tahs 17:clap Cheet 12 High 17 No Big suprises in overall outcomes but a real note should be made as to the closeness of this years competition. Big favs in the Hurricanes and Crusaders never even looked close to covering their margains but still came away with their respective expected victories. Allready though it seems to be pretty obvious which teams are the contenders this year. Barring major injuries Id expect the Crusaders Hurricanes Warratahs to make top 4 with the Bulls ACT Highlanders and Blues all fighting for the last spot. The other 7 look to be pretty much dead and burried allready. Cheers
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Re: Super 14 Rnd 3 Hey CK, Yeah mate Ive been lookin at the forum and saw ur posts, noticed no one else seems to be around, seems to be all N Hemisphere boys here aye! What forum have u gone to mate? Im gona try get back into it now. Good luck on ur bets.
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Hey guys!! Just a quick couple plays that I think will be worth a good go. Blues @ $1.75 Centrebet. Odds are better than ull get anywhere else Ive looked. Blues have had a shocking start to the season but this one will be huge for them. If they lse this they will have an almost impossible time getting back into the season. The reds are young and are a team that will finish well towards the bottom this year. Both teams have a few injuries but the experience up front for th Blues and speed out wide should bring them home comfortabley. Cheifs @ $1.50 on sportstab looks good for basically the same reasons as the Blues. They absolutely need this one to get their season on track. Against a new franchis they must win here. They have a very solid team with their main man Gibbes back in. They should have too much. Bulls @ $2 William Hill seems to be well over priced for me. Bulls are one of the toughest sides to beat at home and I think this price is a big overreaction to the first 2 rounds results this season. NSW havnt been very convincing at all in my mind and again its imperitive for the Bull to get back on track at home after last weeks loss. Good luck guys small bets for me cause as a little disclaimer Im in Vietnam at the mo and may have missed some local news. Cheers Nick
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Re: Scotland v Samoa (Murrayfield KO 3pm Sun) U might be correct there mate, but Ive gone the other way. Took a point start multi with Tonga SA Argentina and Samoa so hoping for it to go my way here. Tonga showed last night that possible Island Rugby isnt as far behind the Northern hemisphere stuff as may have been thought. Will have to wait and see. Thinking about it more Im probably more inclinded to agree with you than with my origional bet. Maybee a cover bet is in order. GL Previous results: 2004: Scotland won 38-3 in Wellington, New Zealand 2000: Scotland won 31-8 at Murrayfield 1999: Scotland won 35-20 at Murrayfield 1995: Draw 15-15 at Murrayfield 1991: Scotland won 28-6 at Murrayfield Prediction: Not that one should write off Samoa, as Wales learnt to their peril some years ago, but we would think that Scotland would win by more than ten. Teams: Scotland: 15 Chris Paterson, 14 Rory Lamont, 13 Marcus di Rollo, 12 Andrew Henderson, 11 Sean Lamont, 10 Dan Parks, 9 Chris Cusiter, 8 Allister Hogg, 7 Simon Taylor, 6 Jason White (captain), 5 Scott Murray, 4 Craig Hamilton, 3 Craig Smith, 2 Scott Lawson, 1 Allan Jacobsen,. Replacements: 16 Dougie Hall, 17 Gavin Kerr, 18 Alasdair Kellock, 19 Kelly Brown, 20 Mike Blair, 21 Phil Godman, 22 Hugo Southwell. Manu Samoa: 15 Roger Warren, 14 Lome Fa'atau, 13 Alesana Tuilagi, 12 Eliota Fuimaono-Sapolu, 11 Alesana Tuilagi, 10 Tanner Vili, 9 Garrick Cowley, 8 Daniel Farani, 7 Iosefa Taina, 6 Semo Sititi (captain), 5 Jonathan Faamatuainu, 4 Daniel Leo, 3 Cencus Johnston, 2 Mahonri Schwalger, 1 Justin Va’a. Replacements: 16 Loleni Tafunai, 17 Kas Lealamanu’a, 18 Leo Lafaiali'i, 19 Paul Tupai, 20 Notise Tauafao, 21 Aukuso Collins, 22 Sailosi Tagicakibau.
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Re: ABs v England (RUGBY) Great game of Rugby. Huge effort by both teams. Good callfrom the guys who backed thePoms. Think the ABs sorely missed McCaw though. Still cant figure out what theyve got against Hollah. Arent out boys big enough in the loose without needing a fill in openside like Masoe. Anyway congratsto the ABs. Heaps of guts to hold on for that win. Expect a blow out v Scotland.
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Re: ABs v England (RUGBY) Yeah bro, and expect annother step up as well. I read an interview with Richie and as expected these guys are real pumped for this one. I really expect a big game form McCaw, especially after his relatively quiet one last week. 14 points?? yup it looks a few too low for sure.
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Re: ABs v England (RUGBY) I agreemate, ad they did that against OZ in te first game giving up 13 points ealry and then from memory against the SAs in the return match in NZ. BUT IMO theres a huge difference in class between te North and the Southern hemispheres, especialy in their explosive attacking ability. There is clearly an improvement in the ABs as well. Even if the ABs were to lapse a little can England take advantage of it?? I cant see them keeping up.
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Springboks: 15 Percy Montgomery, 14 Conrad Jantjes, 13 Jaque Fourie, 12 Jean de Villiers, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Meyer Bosman, 9 Michael Claassens, 8 Jacques Cronjé, 7 Juan Smith, 6 Schalk Burger, 5 Victor Matfield, 4 Bakkies Botha, 3 CJ van der Linde, 2 John Smit (captain), 1 Lawrence Sephaka. Replacements: 16 Hanyani Shimange, 17 Os du Randt, 18 Albert van den Berg, 19 Danie Rossouw, 20 Bolla Conradie, 21 De Wet Barry, 22 Brent Russell. 2 new boys in the halves, Cheeters team mates Claassens and Bosman. Other than that its a pretty standard team fro the SAs. One which should have far too much power in the forwards for the Welsh. SAs last game was a 34 - 23 win over Argentina in Buenos Aires 2 weeks ago,not an easy game by any means these days. While Wales had an unispiring and lucky 11 - 10 win over lowly Fiji. Wales: 15 Lee Byrne (Llanelli Scarlets), 14 Dafydd James (Llanelli Scarlets), 13 Gareth Thomas (Toulouse, captain), 12 Sonny Parker (Ospreys), 11 Shane Williams (Ospreys), 10 Stephen Jones (Clermont Auvergne), 9 Gareth Cooper (Dragons), 8 Michael Owen (Dragons), 7 Martyn Williams (Cardiff Blues), 6 Colin Charvis (Newcastle), 5 Robert Sidoli (Cardiff Blues), 4 Luke Charteris (Dragons), 3 Chris Horsman (Worcester), 2 Rhys Thomas (Cardiff Blues), 1 Duncan Jones (Ospreys), Replacements: 16 Mefin Davies (Gloucester), 17 Adam Jones (Ospreys), 18 Ian Gough (Dragons), 19 Jonathan Thomas (Ospreys), 20 Mike Phillips (Cardiff Blues), 21 Ceri Sweeney (Dragons), 22 Matthew Watkins (Llanelli Scarlets). Wales has had to make a 2 changes forced by injury. Charteris and James bith come in, but there have also been annother 8 changes from the team that faced the ABs 2weeks ago. My opinion is that the SAs should quite easily run away with this one. The Welsh play a similar type of game to the ABs and OZ, and the SAs through this yrs tri nations ave had a lot of practise and retty good success. Notibly the only team to beat te current AB team. They should have far too much in the forwards which should allow the 2 new boys time to work a pretty explosive backline. Interested to hear your thoughts on this game, but Ill be looking at a 13+ point victory to the SAs
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Teams The Australia team: Chris Latham, Mark Gerrard, Lote Tuqiri, Morgan Turinui, Drew Mitchell Mat Rogers, George Gregan (capt) George Smith, Phil Waugh, John Roe, Nathan Sharpe, Hugh McMeniman, David Fitter, Brendan Cannon, Greg Holmes. Reserves: Tatafu Polota-Nau, Al Baxter, Mark Chisholm, Scott Fava, Matt Henjak, Lloyd Johansson, Wendell Sailor. Purely based on the OZs new front row I would be going no where near this OZ team. It would be arguable these 2 new props would even be ready for s12 rugby let alone internationals. Then you look at the suprise ommision of Whitker from the bench in favour of the younger Henjak. It very much looks like a team looking toward the future more than the victory on the weekend. I didnt get much of a chance to analyse the oz performance against the English, but the result speaks for itself, add to that the losing streak the ozs are on, and it wouldnt be a surprise at all if Ireland were to add to that run. Tuquiri ad Rogers both clearly out of position, and the absence of Giteau Larkham and Mortlock, the usually potent looking OZ backline now looks pretty ordinary. The loosies look to be the only real area on the field the OZs have any class. Will add a few more thoughts on this one later but for me this could only be a bet on Ireland or a no bet situation.
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Re: ABs v England (RUGBY) Gona start a seperate tread for the Ireland OZ game.Maybe the SA Welsh one too. Hope to get some of your thoughts there fulahs!
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Just quickly the ABs have put out their team for this weekends BIG match. New Zealand - 15-Mils Muliaina; 14-Doug Howlett, 13-Tana Umaga (captain), 12-Aaron Mauger, 11-Sitiveni Sivivatu; 10-Daniel Carter, 9-Byron Kelleher; 8-Rodney So'oialo, 7-Richie McCaw, 6-Jerry Collins, 5-Ali Williams, 4-Chris Jack, 3-Carl Hayman, 2-Keven Mealamu, 1-Tony Woodcock. Res: 16-Andrew Hore, 17-Neemia Tialata, 18-Jason Eaton, 19-Mose Tuiali'i, 20-Piri Weepu, 21-Joe Rokocoko, 22- Leon MacDonald. Keen to hear peoples opinions on this one. For the ABs a win here would (assuming they beat Scotland) cap off one of the more remarkable international seasons of Rugby for any nation in a long time. Tri Nations Bledisloe sweep of the Lions, and then the Grand Slam. That asside, unless u want to back the English H/H the interest here will be the points start. Currently most markets have come out with a line around the 14/15 points. Anyway back to the NZ team. No real suprises here at all. Theyve put out their best available team. (Oliver and Ryan unavailable due to injury) The only 2 that should consider themselves unlucky IMO being Rokocoko and Gear. Looking forward to be hopefuly making some more on this one, and I would suggest getting on pretty early cause I cant see there being a heap of money going on the English. I believe their win over a struggling OZ outfit (to say the least) will be a little over rated. And Ive said it often enough this year but this AB team is nothing short of spectacular, and I believe theyll have no problems covering this margian. Look forward to some opinions and a bit of analysis of this game when the English team is named.
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Re: Ireland v NZ - Rugby Union 45 - 7 Mate!! Not even a that much of a performance but they can still win with such dominace. Ill expct to see our best team out there for the game against the poms and hopefuly a decent line for the ABs after the English win over te absolutley woeful OZs (sorry about the wrong stear there) Potentially somemore money to be made Id say!! Its still very aparent the bookies arent giving enough respect to the ABs as they deserve and we still havnt even seen a top class performance. Cheers KP. nothing special bro, teaching English at a Uni in Southern Korea. Good fun though bro, and u get paid pretty well for doin **** all. At the end of te day it feels like gettin paid to holiday. Bring on te Poms!!
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Re: Ireland v NZ - Rugby Union Also I know its the wrong thread but OZ @ $2.62 Stan James to beat England is definately worht a small punt. Id have this game only slightly favoured in Englands direction. The OZs calss out wide could tip the scales and $2.62 seems a bit over the odds.
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Re: Ireland v NZ - Rugby Union Cheers CK. Yeah havnt had the time I used to aye! Moved on from my cushy job in Japan and now in Korea. But with the international season all go and the ABs looking so dominant I couldnt resist gettin on the forum again. GL tonight bro!! NZ -16.5 @ $1.95 was the best option I could find ijn the end. Centrebet
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Re: Ireland v NZ - Rugby Union Hey guys!! First time back on for a while! Well I got on NZ Big time last week and I cant resist a bit of that profit on them tonight too. Although the team is almost unrecognisable compared to the 15 that took the field last weeknd it still looks pretty damn good. slightly inferior in the locking department, but big Ali has stepped up when needed recently so heres hoping hell do it again. GL to Jason Eaton too on his debut. Also no matter how good Nick Evans is, replacing a guy like Carter is gona be impossible and I agree with everything CK has said there. On the flip side however Sivivatu Mauger Mealamu and the mighty Richie McCaw back there are some definate improvements there too. 16 is a lot to cover but it is by no means beyond the ABs. They are a mighty team at the moment, a huge step above the rest of the world, so I think ud be a brave man backin against them. Ireland might keep it tight for a while but expect the ABs to get on top and if not earlier start riunning away with it in the 2nd half. The loosies look all class this week and will be too strong and mobile for the Irish. The backs will score points, the only worry might be the iffy D of Nonu in the centres. But Ireland wilol need to get the ball first to take advantage, and I cant see them getting enough quality front foot ball. Last week bad passing and a few bad decisions cost them at least annother couple tries. This week youd expect the error rate to be slightly lower and Ill predict a 25 + point win. 5 units ABs to cover
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Re: Rugby League: NRL Round 20
Thats not value' date=' thats a guarenteed loss.[/quote'] Spot on mate, Im humbled, although Id still make that bet again anytime givin the situation and odds. -
Re: Rugby League: NRL Round 20
Mate I know Melbourne in the past have been a very hard team to beat at home, but for the record this year, theyve only won 5 from 9 at home, loses to Panthers, Eels, Sharks and Bulldogs, while their only quality win to date at home was the one against Brisbane (which was a near perfect display of footy) Im by no means saying Sydney should be the favs, or that they will definatley win, just very much see any thing oer $3 as value.Roosters have no chance against Storm in Melbourne. -
Re: Rugby League: NRL Round 20 Hey rugbylad, welcome on board mate, Tried to get some interest in the NRL a few months back, but with not much interest. Probably more due to my horror form. Since then Ive changed my betting strategy and have been posting plays on annohter forum and going pretty well. For what its worth though Im off overseas so heres a cut and paste of what will probably be my last pick of the season, from the other forum: Updated record 15/22 22 units staked for + 12.2 units ROI 55% Gona play 1 unit on the Roosters to beat Melbourne H/H If the Roosters loose this then they are gone for the season IMO. They have the players to win it without a doubt, and the Storms inconsitency this season will give them the confidence, if they can come together as a team then theyll win IMO. Sydney gets a couple key players back but also lose Cayless. 1 unit Sydney $3.25 bluesq H/H Cheers
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Re: Tour de France 2005
Hey Smithy, mate I know very little abouut cycling, hence no posts from me here. I did however take your advice and put some cash on Hushvod, or whaterver his name is. My question to you now is, what do you advise from this point on?? I got him at a little over $4 a couple stages b4 the other fullah pullled out. Now hes available at $1.90 with the NZ TAB. U suggest more money on him, or covers on the other guys?? Cheers mate, keep upp the goood work!!I seem to be talking to myself here which is a pity as yesterday's opportunity in the green jersey contest was one of those rare occasions where you can confidently get one over the bookies -
Re: Tri-Nations Rugby Ante Post Just in regards to the ABs mental defficiencies of recent times, I think we r generally talking about the WC, and 1 off games. The tri nations is a far less pressure situation, and hence the ABs have won it more than twice the amount of any one country. I dont think well see them choking this time round.
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Re: Tri-Nations Rugby Ante Post The draw looks good for the Kiwis to take this one out. They be almost impossible to beat at home, theyll get some pretty good prep time for the SA leg, the only tough looking game will be the away to OZ. I cant see them losing more than 1, hence they will take home the cup!! Best AB team since about 95 96. Depth all over the field, a clear advantage over the rest of the world in the back 3, 1st 5, and openside. 3 key areas in modern day rugby. In addition their backline is the best in the world, and their forwards will at least match up with their tri nations opposition. Line outs and their mental game are the 2 possible weak points, but in comparrison to their strengths, $1.60 is about right. SA has been very average this season so far. They have the biggest geographical disadvantage of the 3, and it would suprise to see them take any points in their 2 away legs. If thats the case they have no show. OZ, I believe were made to look good by the ave SAs last weekend. Their matches against Samoa, and Italy were not 80 min efforts, and that should be a worry. The same for the France game where they should have shut France out of the game, but again they let slip, and the French got back in it. The class diff between them and the ABs is pretty evident at this stage, and Im not sure they have the tight 5 to take enough points from their 4 games. If they are to win the trophy, like last year for the SAs, theyll be relying on other games to go their way too. GL fullahs, hope we can continue to make some more cash here too!!
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Re: ABs Lions 3rd and final test How to kill a perfectly good game of Rugby??. Put ****en DICKesnson on the touchline. Ther guys a pretty good ref, but ****en hell!! Im so glad the ABs covered for all those that bet on them, cause they were clearly deserved it tonight. That sin binning of Collins was a disgrace, as was the penalty against So'oialo. He clearly needed to stamp his authority on the game, and it ruined the second half in terms of its spectacle. Any way congrats to the ABs. Its gona take a very good team to beat them this year. Also Big Ups to Luke as well, the Lions were up very flat (offside a lot!!) on him all game and he came through with flying colours in the biggest test of his career. Cheers. Off for a few beers!!
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Re: Australia v SA 1st Test July 9 Been a bit busy, and havnt had a good chance to think about this one. After a bit of thought, it would seem that its not a bad option just to sit back and watch. Stack up a bit of knowledge for the following 3 games these 2 teams will play in the coming months. The unknowns in this game is how the Ozs go up against the BIG SA pack, and very different tactics compared to the French. History would suggest the OZs to have the wood over the SAs at home, but I think this is an imporved SA team from recent years, hence the tend to watch without a play. GL to anyoone whos giving it a go.
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Re: Commie Games He will be replaced by Amasio Valence who passed a fitness test on Sunday