RuleBritaniaa
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Posts posted by RuleBritaniaa
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Re: June 10 - June 16 "Lethargic" would be one word that sums Raonic up in one sentence.
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Re: June 10 - June 16 lol at Raonic. Good call Fader.
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Re: June 10 - June 16
He's actually improved his movement a lot, people are going back to stereotyping him as a tall man with nothing but a serve, but he has a better ground game than the likes of Isner and especially Karlovic. He had a weak claycourt season, but for me half his mind was on the grass and you can bet he's prepared for the grass. Monfils will still surely be have some mental and emotional exhausion from his efforts at the French? He won a French challenger, then played 250 Nice losing in the final to Montanes, then a 5 setter with Berdych, a 4 setter with Gulbis and a heart breaking 5 setter with Robredo. The odss are value, I just think Raonic has come in prepared for this tournament and if you look at his record at Halle, it doesn't make for bad reading either. Federer needed 3 sets to dispose of him last year.Raonic is a very strange player. MASSIVE serve, however, not the best mover, and the backhand can be a massive weakness at times. I'm surprised how odds on Raonic is to win this, will be a lot closer than the odds suggest. -
Re: June 10 - June 16 Tomic to beat B, Becker 1.81 with 188bet (4/5 points) I watched his match against Ebden in that Notts challenger final and it's clear he struggles low balls that skid off the grass. Beranrd uses a lot of slice and has a really awkward style to play against on grass. Benjamin has been struggling for victories and was on an incredible losing run before the grass season, hardcourts and claycourts, he lost around 9 in a row or something, so he must naturally be struggling for confidence. Bernard as we know has been as far as the quarter finals of Wimbledon and managed to take a set off Djokovic when he got there. He gets a lot of balls back and his shot selection can drive opponents mad. Becker will be frustrated and fall apart, I can see it happening. Becker's also been making a lot of double faults all season and they have not been because of pressure, there is definitely some sort of technical problem he is having with his serve. Tomic's serve on grass if tricky also and Becker isn't the greatest of returners.
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Re: June 10 - June 16 ^I like that. Mind you, didn't Sela do well here a couple of seasons ago? He recorded some impressive wins. None-the-less, that handicap is very realistic.
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Re: June 10 - June 16
I've never really noted many matches this season where Raonic has lost where he should have won. The only real one I can think of was Jack Sock and even during the match, he had like 50 bps and took 1 whereas Sock had 2 and took them both. He lost to Anderson on his weakest surface (Raonic's) and Anderson had played a lot of matches on clay this season so went into that match well prepared. He'd reached the final of Casa narrowly losing out to Robredo in the final and on two occasions pushed Berdych close and made him sweat. So Kevin was the marginal favourite against Raonic at the French IMO. Raonic's return of serve has come on leaps and bounds and as has his backhand. You can tell he's not comfortable on clay, but he;s self aware of this and almost gives half hearted efforts. When he knows the surface really suits his game and is feeling confident, he's a different player. For me he sort of tanks on surfaces he doesn't suit. The tennis season is long and player's often lose to lesser player's but I would say is there is no disgrace in losing to Nando on clay in Spain, Nando's a very streaky player and he was just on that day. Kohlschreiber is another streaky player, but very talented and very capable. We all know rankings in tennis mean very little, they mean nothing as far as I am concerned. Tipsarevic isn't the 10th best player in the world for example. I just find it hard to imagine Raonic won't boom a bunch of aces and serve well overall on grass, where he will be really motivated to do well. Raonic and Federer may be thinking about wimbledon, but they obviously want to get a good hit in on the surface before the big event.No, I really don't because time after time he loses matches he should win. You say Monfils has just come from clay, but so has Raonic. If this were clay Monfils would win. Raonic yes, is a favourite to win the match but if Monfils DOES win and then beat Hernych he goes from 29s to maybe 14-16s so there is definitely some value there. Also some of these players like Raonic/Federer may be thinking of Wimbledon in this event. But going back to Raonic it just seems to me like people rate him as a top 10 player when he isn't. He is more of a top 50 player. All he has is his serve. Lost to anderson in straight sets at Garros. Lost to Verdasco in Spain. Lost to Kohlschreiber in Rome. Both below his ranking. Id be curious last time he beat a player in the top 20!? and I mean a true top 20 player. He has a decent year last year where he beat Berdych and Murray but meh! doesn't excite me. Maybe now he is hitting grass he will ignite eh? -
Re: June 10 - June 16
Alright, there's a possibility that Monfils wins, but, you really don't rate Raonic? A player that takes the racquet out of your hand and booms aces which not anyone can do anything about? Remember with grass the ball skids and stays low, so your backswing needs to be more compact. Gael has just come from playing on clay, getting used to the change in speed the ball has after making it's contact with the surface is not going to happen over night. I understand it's a value play though, but why do you not rate Raonic?2pts G.Monfils to win ATP Halle 29/1 Bet365 I think this has good value in it. I really don't rate Raonic and if he beats him he would have Brands and Haase and then Federer so not the easiest of draws but Monfils is the in-form player of the year for me right now. The only worry is that was all on clay and this is his first grass court tournament in a long-time after missing Wimbledon through injury. We will see how he goes. -
Re: French Open 2013
I agree with this one :ok It's great value too. The rest are tough calls tbh, I have always had Kirelenko down as an underrated claycourter and she may very well keep with Victoria from the baseline for a while, it's not out of the question. Sharapova gives 110% every point and Jankovic can be a little up and down. Wawrinka pushed Nadal on clay in last year's Monte Carlo masters and he's playing better this year and with nothing to lose and I haven't been impressed with Nadal thus far this tournament, so who knows. Do you not feel Wawrinka will get it right and serve impecably, striking winners for atleast one set and get to a tie break or even 5 games once? Djokovic vs Haas overs games is a very good bet IMO, I had already taken it myself.Djokovic vs Haas - total Haas games over 13.5 Evs Paddy Power. Not convinced by Djokovic's form yesterday. Kohlschreiber had loads of chances but couldn't convert. Haas has beaten Djokovic 3 times and has a strong game. A lot depends on whether Djokovic brings his A game. If he does, the match could be over in straight sets. Even allowing for that I think that Haas will cover this line. If the Djokovic that turned up yesterday turns up tomorrow he will drop a set or 2. I still expect the Djoker to come through. Bet 2 points. -
Re: French Open 2013
Well done RuleBritaniaa' date=' Errani will win easily now barring accidents. She has just won the first set. Radwanska has no answer. It is my own fault for ignoring how good she is on clay.[/quote'] Well yeah, all those tricks and flicks on clay against Errani won't work cause Errani is an intelligent player herself and knows how to use the whole circumference of a claycourt. Thanks for congratulating. Just know I never dismissed your view, I just didn't think it was right you were giving readers a blinkered view of the head to head when Errani became a 50 thousand times better player after 2011 and in 2012 in Madrid, on clay, it was that very slippery blue clay, so it was very misleading in a way. -
Re: French Open 2013 I think it's an appropriate time to let you all into a little secret, I actually happen to be a tennis coach and I only noticed this forum during the French Open. I was willing to be a good contributer to this forum and debate stuff with fellow posters but the sort of reception I have recieved has made me think I should just stick to being an observer of Czech and Fishy, who let me say are very good tipsters.
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Re: French Open 2013
I think it's more informative to consider set' date=' game or even point superiority rather than simple match outcome when considering head to heads. For example in their last match, which on paper was very close, Radwanska won 53% of points on her serve compared to Errani's 46% which is quite significant and in line with the pre-match odds on the day (Radwanska was a 1/5 fav). Added to the other more dominant wins and Errani's possible health problems I think you have to make Radwanska a firm favourite.[/quote'] I agree Radwasnka's serve is considerably better than Errani's, that is the only thing I am concerned with. A hold of serve is literally a break of serve for these two when coming up against each other. Errani on her injury during the Navarro match "I started to feel a stabbing pain when breathing," she said pointing under her ribs. "I knew it wasn't muscular, but I couldn't stand up. So I called the physio and she told me that my diaphragm was totally blocked. She tried to release it a bit and afterwards it was much better. "It was very strange and has never happened to me. I couldn't breathe and it also made me nervous." My gut says she's over the issue and she would have had medical assistance to ensure it doesn't return during the 2 days breaks. It's good to debate though, thanks for not attacking me for disagreeing with the majority here and instead discussing the match. -
Re: French Open 2013 I expect a bundle of... "you should leave the forum" if she loses though, I'm sure. +2.5 is a cool handicap though because she can only narrowly lose IMO.
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Re: French Open 2013 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTPp8zzmJl4 Watch them at the end of season championships in 2012, how close was this? In the end it came down to one or two points and who was serving first, would Radwanska be able to move laterally as well as this on a claycourt? I am not saying it's 100% going to win but there's no reason she should be a 2.5 underdog as she is now. A lot of exageration is going into the blocked diaphram she had.
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Re: French Open 2013
How was I dismissive? You said she had a drubbing on clay in Madrid, that is misleading to the forum readers as most wouldn't have realised it was on blue clay, she complained about the blue clay, everyone did. All the natural claycourters lost in last year's Madrid masters. Nadal, Djokovic, Errani. Why do you think the final was contested between two big servers in the form of Federer and Berdych? Why do you think Hrdecka did so well too? It was virtually impossible to change direction on that surface. It was basically a fast hardcourt, as greata movement wasn't possible really. Sorry if you think I was being dismissive. It will be close but I think the head to head is drawing a wrong assumption about how they would fare on red clay. Didn't Errani only recently in the last 2/3 years pick up a new racquet and become a different player? That makes her results against Radwasnka between 2006 and 2010 pretty inconclusive if you ask me. The babolat racquet she picked up transformed her game, she became a different player. So the two matches I am looking at are Madrid and Istanbul as that's when they played when Errani was the player she is now, Madrid's conditions favoured Radwanska as movement wasn't possible, but if you look to their Istanbul match, where the conditions clearly suited Radwanska who has the shorter backswings and jerky shots and flicks, it was very close. 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 on an indoor hardcourt, with tones of breaks of serve and now they compete on clay. Most player's problem against Radwasnka is they can't put the ball away as they choose the wrong shot after getting themselves into a strong position in the rally, Errani has the oncourt smarts to choose the right series of shots once she gets into the driving seat. Good luck though.RuleBritaniaa it is good to be confident and back up that confidence. I respect Errani on the red clay which is why my stake recommendation is the very minimum based on the H2H. If you choose to ignore the stats, that is fine, I don't. This is a forum where we try to help each other out? Therefore recognize the fact that each and everyone has the right to reply and respect that right. You don't have to agree with anyone here but I am sure everyone would love to hear your views without you being dismissive of everyone else's opinions. Radwanksa leads the H2H 3-0, not 1-0 and yes the blue clay was very different. Errani may well win but my opinion is 2-0 whoever wins the first set. My opinion is Radwanska. This whole idea is to make money. I see your recommended stake on the Errani match is 3 points. If you were that confident why not 10 points? And why not a straight bet at 11/10? Anyway I have no wish to argue, just to make you aware that you are pissing people off by belittling what they write. Now that you are aware I am sure you won't publicly dismiss the opinions of others again. I get it wrong from time to time and own up and berate myself over it every time I do and for future reference I won't entertain anyone trying to lord it over to me when I am wrong either especially when the likelihood is that they have bet a small fraction of the amount I have invested. -
Re: French Open 2013 Errani +2.5 games Pinnacle 3 points 1.93 Errani will outwit Radwasnak tomorrow, she has nothing in terms of a rally shot does Radwanska, the clay favours players with big backswings, Radwanska has very compact swings, short and snappy. She needs other player's to create power for her. Errani will deal with her tricks and flicks and throw in a few of her own, she is a doubles specialist, let's remember that. Superficial to go on the stats of the head to head, the win in Madrid means nothing as it wasn't proper clay. There's my contribution Czech and watch it win.
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Re: French Open 2013 It was slippery and you couldn't change direction, those head to head stats are superficial and nothing more.
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Re: French Open 2013
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOF8sTKdU5g Blue clay. Did you ever know about how different the blue clay is to the red? Errani will outwit her tomorrow, her tricks and flicks will be equalled by Errani.Completely underestimated Stephens today but not worth dwelling on. Tsonga to beat Federer 6/4 Ladbrokes 5 points Very impressed with Tsonga's play this week and will never forget how close he came to beating Djokovic last year. Has beaten Federer on the big occasion at Wimbledon a few years ago too. Hits a heavier ball than Simon but needs to play as he is. I think the support of the crowd and his power game will put the Fed under pressure which will eventually sink him. Radwanska to beat Errani 2-0 13/8 Paddy Power 1 point Very hard to oppose Errani on form. However, as CzechPunter rightly says the H2H is 3-0 to Radwanska including a 6-0 6-1 drubbing on clay in Madrid last year. The stats don't lie and once a player gets into your head it becomes very hard to beat them. I think whoever wins the first set will win and have to go with the H2H but fear Errani greatly. Therefore minimum stakes -
Re: French Open 2013
Hm not really. If Youzhny would have showed up' date=' this match could go to 4/5 sets. Then Youzhny would have a clear advantage. Odds were a complete joke just before the match. Haas @ 1.75 really? He showed nothing special and Youzhny played some decent tennis.[/quote'] Exactly, they didn't consider the fact youzhny is too much of an idiot to take advantage. -
Re: French Open 2013 Livescore Thread
Wow' date=' who saw that coming from Haas! Glad i stayed away from that one! Hes playing some great tennis![/quote'] Oh get real mate. Haas was good, but are you seriously telling me he earned the victory? Everything was free and cheap, you completely ignore how bad Youzhny was. -
Re: French Open 2013 This has been an embarrasing show, I hate losing bets but I especially hate losing them when the player isn't even close.
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Re: French Open 2013 Livescore Thread I think the tennis tippers here don't consider the emotions of a player and think too much about tiredness and head to heads.
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Re: French Open 2013 This man is a joke, he's a joke to tennis, he randomly steps on the court and plays crap.
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Re: French Open 2013 6-1, 6-1 Exhausion gets considered too much in grandslams.
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Re: French Open 2013
You've heard this one before, in the brain.is youzhny injured or something?
June 10 - June 16
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: June 10 - June 16 Lost in two tie break sets, what a moron.