theonepunter
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Posts posted by theonepunter
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Re: Value Home Picks (37 bets + 2.5% yield) All odds from Pinnacle Fixture: Stake: Odds: York vs Exeter £5.28 2.28 Alfreton vs Dartford £5.28 2.39 I did think there would be more games that qualify into the system but that was not the case. Obviously the next selections will included PL, Championship and league 1 but most are playing in the FA Cup this weekend.
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Re: Value Home Picks (36 bets + in the red)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
Tamworth vs Nuneaton £4.95 2.36 (FT: 2:1)
Profit: +6.73
Overall: Bank: £105.69 Profit: +5.69 Yield: 2.5% This game would have been in the new odds limit anyway but it there's nothing like a good start when adding new leagues to your system. Back into the profit it is.
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Re: Value Home Picks (36 bets + in the red)
I'm going to follow what I did originally with the addition of the odds limit.I have been following this and Senator beat me to suggesting a odd limit and the selections in that range have been good. Are you going to go with the original thought of home/away or stick to last 6 games? with the odd limit in place. -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca Is your system with 281% yield an accumulator type system to do with BTTS by any chance?
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Re: Value Home Picks (36 bets + in the red) From the start if I used the odds limit from the selections above than 79% yield would have been achieved with a strike rate of 80%. This information does look promising however I have to take into consideration that this is a very small data range and therefore will have to wait to see the true profitability of the odds limit and still trying to obtain value. I still want to introduce more leagues into my system and with the FA cup this weekend I will do that. No league 1 games qualify this week so the weekend games will be League 2 and the Conference which will be able to see if the system works on them systems as well.
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Re: Value Home Picks (36 bets + in the red)
Odds above 2.3 to a certain level has also been correct I will implement an odds limit for future selections and keep the way I select games the same.It's very very good system and gilt-edged... please continue it (But only for odds 2.3 and less) Go to beat the Bookie... -
Re: BTTS Selections I'm going to let this system die out till I find a more reliable way of doing BTTS.
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Re: Value Home Picks (36 bets + in the red) One match for tomorrow Fixture:Stake:Odds: Tamworth vs Nuneaton £4.95 2.36
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Re: Value Home Picks (24 bets + 9% yield)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
West Ham vs Norwich £5.70 2.20 (FT: 2:1)
Saints vs Arsenal £5.70 5.40 (FT: 1:1) B'ham vs Cardiff £5.70 3.15 (FT: 0:1)
P'boro vs Barnsley £5.70 2.28 (FT: 2:1)
Shef Wed vs Burnley £5.70 2.36 (FT: 0:2) Brentford vs Bournemouth £5.70 2.43 (FT: 0:0) Doncaster vs Shef Utd £5.70 2.88 (FT 2:2) Scunthorpe vs Oldham £5.70 2.52 (FT: 2:2)
Yeovil vs Leyton Orient £5.70 2.36 (FT: 3:0)
Bury vs Tranmere £5.70 2.8 (FT: 0:1)
Walsall vs Stevenage £5.70 2.36 (FT: 1:0)
Notts County vs MK Dons £5.70 2.93 (FT: 1:2)
Profit: -£15.05 Overall: Bank: £98.96 Profit: -£1.05 I'm going to make some changes to the system which are to just stick to the full rules of goal supremacy and only use the last 6 matches and will not try any variation and also will include League 2 and the Conference in the next selections.
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield) Selections for new years day Fixture: Stake: Odds: West Ham vs Norwich £5.70 2.20 Saints vs Arsenal £5.70 5.40 B'ham vs Cardiff £5.70 3.15 P'boro vs Barnsley £5.70 2.28 Shef Wed vs Burnley £5.70 2.36 Brentford vs Bournemouth £5.70 2.43 Doncaster vs Shef Utd £5.70 2.88 Scunthorpe vs Oldham £5.70 2.52 Yeovil vs Leyton Orient £5.70 2.36 Bury vs Tranmere £5.70 2.8 Walsall vs Stevenage £5.70 2.36 Notts County vs MK Dons £5.70 2.93 Lets hope for a better round of football :hope
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
Norwich vs Man City £6.45 6.48 (FT: 3:4) QPR vs L'Pool £6.45 4.07 (FT: 0:3) Aston Villa vs Wigan £6.45 2.48 (FT: 0:3) Sunderland vs Spurs £6.45 3.83 (FT: 1:2)
Reading vs West Ham £6.45 2.87 (FT: 1:0)
N. Forest vs Crystal Palace £6.45 2.27 (FT: 2:2)
Middlesborough vs B'Pool £6.45 2.27 (FT: 4:2) Bristol City vs P'boro £6.45 2.38 (FT: 4:2)
Burnley vs Leicester £6.45 3.27 (FT: 0:1) Charlton vs Derby £6.45 2.48 (FT: 1:1)
Carlisle vs Bury £6.45 2.21 (FT: 2:1)
Stevenage vs Notts County £6.45 2.56 (Postponed - Void)
Leyton Orient vs Walsall £6.45 2.19 (FT: 2:1)
Portsmouth vs Yeovil £6.45 2.26 (FT: 1:2)
Profit: -£15.11 Overall: Bank: £114 Profit: £14 Games come quick and fast during this festive period so we should be able to see how this system does soon.
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Re: BTTS Selections Selections for fixtures on New Years day and the 2nd as well Fixure: Stake: Odds: West Ham vs Norwich £3.39 1.73 Wigan vs Man Utd £3.39 1.62 Newcastle vs Everton £3.39 1.67 B'Pool vs Hull £3.39 1.62 Derby vs M'Boro £3.39 1.62 Ipswich vs Brighton £3.39 1.67 Leeds vs Bolton £3.39 1.57 P'boro vs Barnsley £3.39 1.53 Shef Wed vs Burnley £3.39 1.73 Coventry vs Shrewsbury £3.39 1.8 Scunthorpe vs Oldham £3.39 1.67 Torquay vs Wimbledon £3.39 1.83
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Re: BTTS Selections Typical, the day I put my system on here it makes its first loss
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
Sunderland vs Spurs £3.50 1.80
Man Utd vs WBA: £3.50 1.83 Hull vs Leeds: £3.50 1.67
Brighton vs Watford: £3.50 1.67
Bournemouth vs Crawley: £3.50 1.73
Stevenage vs Notts County: £3.50 1.67 - Postponed - Void
Bradford vs Rochdale: £3.50 1.67
Profit: -£3.01 Bank: £96.99 Next selections will be published soon.
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield) And Just one more: Fixture: Stake: Odds: QPR vs L'Pool £6.45 4.07
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield) I did miss out two games for tomorrow so i'm going to add them as bets for tomorrows games Fixture: Stake: Odds: Aston Villa vs Wigan £6.45 2.48 Middlesborough vs B'Pool £6.45 2.27
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield) For this strategy i'm looking at different angles of how to look at the last number of games for the teams playing each other.
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Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield) All odds from Pinnacle for weekend. Fixture: Stake: Odds: Norwich vs Man City £6.45 6.48 Sunderland vs Spurs £6.45 3.83 Reading vs West Ham £6.45 2.87 N. Forest vs Crystal Palace £6.45 2.27 Bristol City vs P'boro £6.45 2.38 Burnley vs Leicester £6.45 3.27 Charlton vs Derby £6.45 2.48 Carlisle vs Bury £6.45 2.21 Stevenage vs Notts County £6.45 2.56 Leyton Orient vs Walsall £6.45 2.19 Portsmouth vs Yeovil £6.45 2.26
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Re: BTTS Selections Selections for the weekend. Fixture: Stake: Odds: Sunderland vs Spurs £3.50 1.80 Man Utd vs WBA: £3.50 1.83 Hull vs Leeds: £3.50 1.67 Brighton vs Watford: £3.50 1.67 Bournemouth vs Crawley: £3.50 1.73 Stevenage vs Notts County: £3.50 1.67 Bradford vs Rochdale: £3.50 1.67
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I would like to run this system on this website as it has success in the past and v3rn0n i'm not trying to steal your thread :D. This system looks at both teams in the fixture and the occurrence where both team scores is worked out. If the figure goes above a certain number which has been successful before than that fixture will be picked. For this I will start with a bank of £100 and use 3.5% of it as a stake. All odds will be from Bet365. Edit: The selections will be from the top 4 English leagues.
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Re: Value Home Picks (6 bets + 59% yield) Fixture: Stake: Odds:
QPR vs WBA £5.89 2.41 (FT: 1:2)
Stoke vs Liverpool £5.89 3.57 (FT 3:1) N. Forest vs Leeds £5.89 2.24 (FT: 4:2) Burnley vs Derby £5.89 2.35 (FT: 2:0)
Hull vs Leicester £5.89 2.69 (FT: 0:0)
Leyton Orient vs Swindon £5.89 3.96 (Postponed - Void)
Shrewsbury vs Notts Country £5.89 2.96 (FT: 2:2)
Staked: £35.34 Profit +£11.41 Overall: Bank: £129.11 Profit: +£29.11 Yield: 44%
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Re: Value Home Picks (6 bets + 59% yield) All odds from Pinnacle Fixtures for boxing day Fixture: Stake: Odds: QPR vs WBA £5.89 2.41 Stoke vs Liverpool £5.89 3.57 N. Forest vs Leeds £5.89 2.24 Burnley vs Derby £5.89 2.35 Hull vs Leicester £5.89 2.69 Leyton Orient vs Swindon £5.89 3.96 Shrewsbury vs Notts Country £5.89 2.96 :cheers Have a good christmas fellow punters
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Re: Value Home Picks (6 bets + 70% yield)
I use flashscores and use their last 6 home games for the home team and the last 6 away games for the teams playing away.Looks promising - well done on finding this angle. Would be interested in knowing which website you use to glean the goals scored / conceded information from. -
Re: Under 2.5 System (12 bets + Just in the red) I'm going to leave this thread till January when about 80% of the League's that I normally come from return from their winter break, but i'll still be running the Home Value Picks.
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Re: Value Home Picks Stake:
Odds:
B'burn vs Brighton £ 5.00 2.56 (Postponed - Void)
Leeds vs M'Boro £ 5.00 2.72 (FT: 2:1)
Crawley vs Shef utd £ 5.00 2.65 (FT: 0:2)
Crewe vs B'Mouth £ 5.00 3.45 (Postponed - Void) Doncaster vs MK-D £ 5.00 3.38 (Postponed - Void)
Walsall vs Colchester £ 5.00 2.19 (FT: 1:0)
Yeovil vs Oldham £ 5.00 2.54 (FT: 4:1)
Newcastle vs QPR £ 5.00 2.09 (FT: 1:0)
West Ham vs Everton £ 5.00 3.08 (FT: 1:2)
Bank: £117.70 Profit: +£17.70 Yield: 70.80%
Value Home Picks
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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Re: Value Home Picks (37 bets + 2.5% yield)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
York vs Exeter £5.28 2.28 (FT: 1:2)
Alfreton vs Dartford £5.28 2.39 (FT: 3:2)
Profit: +£2.06 Overall: Bank: £107.75 Profit: +£7.75 Yield: 3.3% As their were only 2 fixtures as selections today it meant that if one didn't win than profits were going to be quite low for the system. The next selections will include much more selections though as it will include matches from the PL, championship and league 1 as well as league 2 and the conference that were included today.