theonepunter
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Posts posted by theonepunter
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Re: **Accumulator selections** 2 bets 28% yield Here are the selections for the next cycle of fixtures [TABLE=width: 500]
[TR] [TD]Fixture[/TD] [TD]Selection[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]Won/Loss[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bournemouth vs Fulham[/TD] [TD]Home or Draw[/TD] [TD]1.2[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester vs Spurs[/TD] [TD]Away or Draw[/TD] [TD]1.3[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]West Brom vs Man City[/TD] [TD]Away or Draw[/TD] [TD]1.14[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Arsenal vs QPR[/TD] [TD]Arsenal Win[/TD] [TD]1.29[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Stranraer vs Stenhouse'[/TD] [TD]Stranraer Win[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Celtic vs Ross County[/TD] [TD]Celtic Win[/TD] [TD]1.17[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Accumulator odds - 4.21 (Ladbrokes) - Bet: 2.53 -
Re: **Accumulator selections** New picks Shef utd vs Walsall - Shef Utd - 1X - 1.25 - :clap Villa vs Man Utd - Man Utd - 2X* - 1.17 - :clap (*Meant 2X instead of 1X, You can see this as I choose Man Utd and not Villa) Barcelona vs Corboda - Barca win - 1.06 - :clap West Ham vs Leicester - West Ham Win - 1.7 - :clap Odds @ 2.64 (Ladbrokes) - 2.43 bet - Profit: 3.98 Overall Bank: 101.48 (Starting bank: 100). Bets: 2 Yield: 23%
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Re: **Accumulator selections** New picks Shef utd vs Walsall - Shef Utd - 1X - 1.25 Villa vs Man Utd - Man Utd - 1X - 1.17 Barcelona vs Corboda - Barca win - 1.06 West Ham vs Leicester - West Ham Win - 1.7 Odds @ 2.64 - 2.43 bet
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Re: **Accumulator selections** Edited now, didn't realise I miss spelled it :p
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Re: **ACCUMULATOR SELECTIONS** [TABLE=class: cms_table, width: 500]
[TR] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fixture[/TD] [TD]Selection[/TD] [TD]Won/Loss[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Almeria vs Real Madrid[/TD] [TD]Real M - Win[/TD] [TD]Won :clap[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bristol City vs Crawley[/TD] [TD]B. City - Win[/TD] [TD]Won :clap[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester vs Man City[/TD] [TD]M. City - DNB[/TD] [TD]Won :clap[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Getafe vs Barca[/TD] [TD]Barca - DNB[/TD] [TD]Void - Draw :notworthy[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Forfar vs Stirling Albion[/TD] [TD]Forfar - Win[/TD] [TD]Won :clap[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cowdenbeath vs Hearts[/TD] [TD]Hearts - Win[/TD] [TD]Postponed[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chelsea vs Hull[/TD] [TD]Chelsea - Win[/TD] [TD]Won :clap[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][TABLE=class: cms_table, width: 500] [TR] [TD]Inverness vs Partick[/TD] [TD]Inverness - DNB[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [TD]Loss :@[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Partick decided to throw a swerve ball and win 4-0. Bank: 97.50 Lost: 2.50 -
Re: **ACCUMULATOR SELECTIONS** This is the accumulator for the upcoming weekend matches. [TABLE=width: 500]
[TR] [TD]Fixture[/TD] [TD]Selection[/TD] [TD]Won/Loss[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Almeria vs Real Madrid[/TD] [TD]Real M - Win[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bristol City vs Crawley[/TD] [TD]B. City - Win[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester vs Man City[/TD] [TD]M. City - DNB[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Getafe vs Barca[/TD] [TD]Barca - DNB[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Forfar vs Stirling Albion[/TD] [TD]Forfar - Win[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cowdenbeath vs Hearts[/TD] [TD]Hearts - Win[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chelsea vs Hull[/TD] [TD]Chelsea - Win[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Inverness vs Partick[/TD] [TD]Inverness - DNB[/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Accumalator odds: 5.59 - BetVictor Bet of 2.5% of bank; 2.50 bet -
It's been a long time since I last posted here but I'm back with a new system that I've been looking at and want to now post it in this forum. The system is based upon accumulator selections. It's mostly seen that betting in an accumulator does not hold as much value as betting 'singles' does. However, there is sufficient value in betting on accumulators. The only problem with accumulators is that the variance is so much higher than betting 'singles'. The selections will be based mainly on form, specifically it will be looking at recent form and also home/away form as well. There is no limit on the amount of bets that will be put into an accumulator but the selections will be around 4 - 10 selections. Furthermore the odds picked will be on a single bet are likely to be below 2.00 unless there is sufficient information otherwise. I will be starting with a bank of 100 and be using a progressive staking plan of 2.5% of the bank for each bet.
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Re: Daily MTT winnings April 2013 - $$$$$ only please
$515.83 -
Re: Tennis Progressive Acca system
If I have understood what you have said correct, does this mean that none of your bets will be an accumulator bet but the double,treble,quadruple business is about how profits are reinvested instead?When you win the first match, only the profit from the Single is banked. The rest is reinvested into the next match. Then if you win the second match, the profit from the Single and the Double is banked. The rest is reinvested into the next match If you win 3 in a row, the profit from the Single, Double and Treble is banked. The rest is reinvested into the next match And so on until 5 in a row when all profit is then banked and you start again. It is a shame I have made such a miserable start and have not been able to even get 2 in a row yet to demonstrate :( -
Re: Kingspur's Hopeless Hosts Laying system 42 bets 19% ROI What's the minimum % difference between bookies expectation and what really happens for it to be a selection, also how do you deal with teams who have been promoted/relegated as in would they be selected as a top traveller or hopeless host?
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Re: Value Home Picks Fixture: Stake: Odds: Charlton vs Shef Wed £3.89 2.34 Carlisle vs Scunthorpe £3.89 2.19 I want to monitor to Spanish games instead of putting them on here.
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Re: Value Home Picks
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
West Ham vs QPR £5 2.11 Wigan vs Sunderland £5 2.11 Derby vs N'Forest £5 2.24 York vs Aldershot £5 2.15 Raith vs Hamilton £5 2.32 (Scotland)
Granada vs Rayo'V £5 2.31 (Spain)
Almeria vs Barca B £5 2.19 (Spain) Profit: -£23.45
Overall: Bank: £77.74 Profit: £22.26 That was just a terrible weekend. I will go back to the original 3 league (PL, CH + L1) however I still want to keep Spain as that league stayed profitable this week. Next selections will be up soon.
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Re: Value Home Picks Fixture: Stake: Odds: West Ham vs QPR £5 2.11 Wigan vs Sunderland £5 2.11 Derby vs N'Forest £5 2.24 York vs Aldershot £5 2.15 Raith vs Hamilton £5 2.32 (Scotland) Granada vs Rayo'V £5 2.31 (Spain) Almeria vs Barca B £5 2.19 (Spain)
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Re: "Sports-Betting as a Business" strategy
Bookmakers don't set up odds' date=' the public does.[/quote'] Of course the bookmakers set the odds, how does the public? -
Re: Kingspur's Hopeless Hosts Laying system Sounds like a good system. How far would you look back for how well a team performs , 1 or 2 seasons?
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Re: Value Home Picks (40 bets + 6.4% yield)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
Sunderland vs West Ham £5.76 2.33
M'boro vs Watford £5.76 2.06 Colchester vs Scunthorpe £5.76 2.16 Leyton Orient vs Crewe £5.76 2.37 Preston vs Walsall* £5.76 2.15
Burton vs Torquay £5.76 2.18
Gillingham vs Port Vale £5.76 2.05 Hereford vs Alfreton £5.76 2.05
Woking vs Ebbsfleet* £5.76 2.06
Profit: -£14.00 Overall: Bank: £101.19 Profit: £1.19 What this set of games have helped me to do is to set a lower odds limit as the games below 2.10 really lost money. Odds of 2.05-2.08 wouldn't normally be in the selections but I had to see how they did and contemplate if they could ever be picked. Anyway with a lower odds limit it still would of been a loss and this is really due to the lack of home wins through out the leagues, in league 1 on saturday there was only 1 home win and in the conference only 1 home win on the saturday. For the next selections I will include more leagues from Europe that have been doing well under this system. These are Portugal, Spain and Scotland .
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Re: Value Home Picks (40 bets + 6.4% yield) Selections for the weekend Fixture: Stake: Odds: Sunderland vs West Ham £5.76 2.33 M'boro vs Watford £5.76 2.06 Colchester vs Scunthorpe £5.76 2.16 Leyton Orient vs Crewe £5.76 2.37 Preston vs Walsall* £5.76 2.15 Burton vs Torquay £5.76 2.18 Gillingham vs Port Vale £5.76 2.05 Hereford vs Alfreton £5.76 2.05 Woking vs Ebbsfleet* £5.76 2.06 *These game take place on sunday.
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Re: Have any Systems been continually successful?
If that was the case then surely it wouldn't effect him because he could put the bet on before he posted the tip.Wasn't there a total corners system (or something similar) where the guy stopped posting as as soon as he posted the bookies and markets reacted significantly. -
Re: Value Home Picks (39 bets + 3.3% yield)
Fixture: Stake: Odds:
Morecambe vs Dagenham & Red. £5.39 2.38 (FT: 2:1)
Profit: +£7.44
Overall: Bank: £115.19 Profit: £15.19 Yield: 6.4% The price for Morecambe in this game did drop on pinnacle from 2.5 - 2.38 which is quite a big drop and therefore would of been with in my odds limit. I think the reason for the price moving down so much is because their was free entry to the ground and therefore and assumption of given more of a home advantage due to the bigger crowd. Selections for the weekends will be not be on as early as they usually will be due to having to wait for the 1x2 odds to be released for League 2 and the conference.
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Re: Value Home Picks (39 bets + 3.3% yield)
So in your system' date=' if one of these ways will be ok, we should select the match?[/quote'] Thats correct -
Re: Value Home Picks (12 bets + 44% yield)
But here you say that only matchs that cover 2 ways' date=' will be select. so what is your final method? The last 6 match (home and away together for team A & B ) or last 6 match that Team A played in home and Team B played in away?[/quote'] They only have to cover 1 method to be selected and both methods will be continued. -
Re: why Morecambe ?
There is different ways to obtain the ratings for the two teams playing each other. It depends on what you count as the last number of fixtures.1. The odds for this game in pinnacle is 2.50 2 . I'm confused!! goal priority of Morecambe's 6 home matchs and Dagenham's 6 away matchs is not in your range. so why you select that? -
Re: Draws for profit...Not in the black!
Yield is how much the system makes you. For example if you had 10% yield it just means that every £10 you bet on the system £11 was returned. This is worked out (Profit/Amount.Staked) x 100 giving you a percentage. PTS is just a way of presenting your bets without showing how much your betting. For example 10 pts could mean 10% of your "bank" or can be any figure (I think). Generally as a rule though never put more than 5% of your "bank" on one stake and the rule is defiantly not 50%.Hi Drawsandmore been folllowing this thread. Ive been doing my own draws experiment and putting all the data into a spreadsheet. Couple of questions. Been betting for a few years on football but only recently getting to know the terms and expressions. What is the yield and how do you calculate it? Can you explain how the points system works, did I hear 10 pts is half your balance and you should never bet more than that in one bet? Also have you any tips or something to download for professional looking spreadsheets or even send me a copy/pic of yours? If anyone can answer Id appreciate it, cheers! -
Re: Value Home Picks (39 bets + 3.3% yield) This is selections for the Tuesday mid-week and NOT the weekend selections: Fixture: Stake: Odds: Morecambe vs Dagenham & Red. £5.39 2.38 I was waiting for the odds to come up on pinnacle as I want to be consistent in what site I use to collect odds but I would of hoped they would of done it by now but they haven't so I used Bet365. I doubt pinnacle would of given odds more than 2.4 on this is the selection as the odds range was about 2.3-2.38 for this match.
Champions League > Dec 6th & 7th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Leicester seems like a decent value bet for me at 10/1. I know there already qualified, rotation etc. But, there unbeaten in the champions league and are surely have more chance of winning than the implied 10/1 odds give.