saimon76
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Posts posted by saimon76
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Forgitten to say that ifsousa find a way to stop callejon and insigne then they will win.this will be a very tough hard task, but let s hope!!
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20 hours ago, Evertonboy said:
My first post of a selection for a while...
Interested to hear what people make of Fiorentina +0.25 at home to Napoli tomorrow...
I have 4 metrics for compiling my own odds, 3 of those metrics have Fiorentina as favourites and the other makes it a pickum, also a look back sees Fiorentina at their biggest price in thsi fixture in the last 5 years, in fact they went off favourites in those 5 years. Both sides are in very good form and have excellent home/ away records, I just think that the odds should be abit closer than they actually are.
From the team news I can find, Fiorentina have Zarate (7 apps 1 goal) and Benalouane (not played all season) out whilst Napoli have a fully fit squad
IMO there is value on the 1 sign, but this is a very complicated match for bith.fiorentina in the past tend to fail when it was time to deliver and make a step up to maturity.with Sousa on board now, they seems more aggressive.they have however a negative score with napoli in recent matches.fiorentina recover alonso and badelij that is very important in midfield but is form cannot beAT 100%.Napoli seems a bit low in terms of result and maybe also in performance.field should not be too much impacted by rain of these days.if napoli fails to win, serie A is over for me.the draw seems the most probable outcome, while for me is Napoli favorites prematch but fiorentina can surely win if they will be able to stay composed at the back and midfield pressi g for the whole match. bettors are going with the x and 2 sign, but this does not mean a lot very often in terms of match result.
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Didn t see full match, just thr first 20 min, and they were enough to understand that i was going to lost the bet.. Bad stoke
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Stock City Watford 1@ 2,10 stake 5
Going in different directions in my opinion Home Tim seems to have found some stability efficiently game after gam!.visitors are decent at the back and rubbish upfront.i am going with the red and white ship, they are in confident mood and i hope they will be focused at the back given the low productivity of Watford.cmon potters!!
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I try Lavall at home at decent price against a injury ravaged creteil team that is missing Praktica Laly all defence and also some important Fielder historically Laval is a very decente Home team.2.15 stake 3 because this is another very tough league and creteil already won a match some weeks ago similar condition
Bet won, 3-2 FT.funny and strange match,creteil hit the woodwork 2 times in first 20 minutes, then laval started to play better.in the final minutes i have had a strange feeling that homw team was trying to let the guest equalise...hmm maybe i am a bit too sauspicious but some stupid pass in middle of field with defense not aligned, maybe just only a wrong impression
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I try Lavall at home at decent price against a injury ravaged creteil team that is missing Praktica Laly all defence and also some important Fielder historically Laval is a very decente Home team.2.15 stake 3 because this is another very tough league and creteil already won a match some weeks ago similar condition
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well bet lost! The only thing good i make is the sentence regarding the craziness of this league! Before red card, match was evenly balanced.so wolverhampton aren t in a turmoil...
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Im in a hurry, i think 2.3 for fulham is a decent prize.guest can be in turnmoil after the news that the club is on sell, while fulham have built a big squad and are starting to click.stake 2 because it is championship and you never know.cmon cottagers!!
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Not a lot to add about, everything i would like to say has already been said for the match i am interested this week.
Stoke is a team that has leapfrog me sometimes, expected to win and then draw or lose. They are recruiting more blood on their side and they Always have a racous crowd on their shoulder. The price is very good considering the quality of stoke city, even if you can base a bet on individual names. After this match , Stoke will not have impossibile matches, so it is very important to start with a win here and put on a series that could push tem in the right side of the table.
Odds are not falling for the 1 sign, but surely are going slightly down in respect of the x and 2 sign.Against Leicester, Stoke were brilliant in the 1st half, than concede a penalty and gives new life to Leicester. I see a lot of class in home team upfront, and to avoid a season of struggle, this is near a must win for Stoke.The Cherries will play for sure with less pressure, but also not being in a desperate condition, will leave them without some agressiveness, while i expect the home side to put to the sword the guest.
Cmon Stoke!! @2,50 stake 5
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Bet lost after an overtime and a lot of lead change during the match.Brave Iceland tied with just 1 second to play in fouethquarter but then fall in Ot, turkey won 111 102.However this is a bet i will take and retake Given the supervalue of the oddsGroup B, last match of qualifying round; low stake because you never know, however Turkey is 4th even with a win so why not rest players given the fact that on Saturday they will have hard quarter finals against France or Israel. On afternoon same things already happened with Georgia beating Croatia (that waas sure of 2nd place) at odds of 3 circa. Islands want to achieve an historical win at final phase of eurobasket and Ataman for sure will not risk IMO injuries or to shrink key players. Handicap for Island or straight win IMO is a logical choice at so juicy odds, stake low for me given the big odd and the risk a match of basket has itself.... I advise stake 2 or 3 on 10 . 3/10..... GL !!! -
Group B, last match of qualifying round; low stake because you never know, however Turkey is 4th even with a win so why not rest players given the fact that on Saturday they will have hard quarter finals against France or Israel. On afternoon same things already happened with Georgia beating Croatia (that waas sure of 2nd place) at odds of 3 circa. Islands want to achieve an historical win at final phase of eurobasket and Ataman for sure will not risk IMO injuries or to shrink key players. Handicap for Island or straight win IMO is a logical choice at so juicy odds, stake low for me given the big odd and the risk a match of basket has itself.... I advise stake 2 or 3 on 10 . 3/10..... GL !!!
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1-0 bet won!
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i don t have a lot of info about real quality and form about these two yeams.Germany was destroyed by spain which is the favourite this year.Germany possess talent especially in forward position and most of the players already are being used in B1 and B2.Germany is the reigning champio s and without a win here they arr 90%@ home. So i believe in a good performance and a win for them @/2.05/ stake 5.
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Re: LegaDue Gold Leonessa Brescia vs Manital Torino 74-85 , torino dominated from the start! Bet won
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Have gone with sign 2 of the H2H here, in 1st match away team gives away a lead of 20 pts in just a quarter, and lost for 5 pts. Home field is an hell, very hot atmosphere but Torino is full talented and should be able to overcome the phsycological question of being defeated in 1st game. In terms of quality aa team is a lot better than Brescia, even if we all know that very often hearth and teams workrate can overcome technical deficit. Torino @2,40 Eurobet stake 6 is my pick here. Gl To all
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Re: Norway » Tippeligaen » 29-30 April Well Lisandri I am not judicating your very good work and analysis that in all honesty are one of the best in all the forum, I am just saying that very often in this League, the 1,50 odds are just traps when there is not much at stake...and it has also gone for the 1 HT 2 FT that i do not want to know how high odds where....
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Re: Norway » Tippeligaen » 29-30 April I suspect this is one of the most fixed Championship in the world... a part the ones from italy, malta, and Others...
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Re: Real Madrid v Atlético de Madrid > Wednesday April 22nd Marcelo also a bog miss in defence and attacking option for real given the excellent form.he was.however last year ancelotti often preferred coentrao to the brazilian defender for winning for example the final last year.also in attack hernandez has to press and keep defenders miranda and godin engaged otherwise real will have big problems to score.this can easily go OT and penalty kicks.however real with illaramendi on midfield will be more defensive minded and aggressive, i suspect that tonight will be an electric environment on bernabeu.i think tonight it is more to the heart and the commitments of the two, overall i see more quality in real but cannot decide if it will be decided in regular time or not
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > April 15th - 19th I thought later Bastia was on third mstch in seven days and still missing tallo upfront...to be honest this time i saved myself...
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > April 15th - 19th i think that bastia is the value bet of the day.only things to take in count is reims on 4 straight loss so statistically this streak should end bit can t see this happenong tonight.othrr felings are gui 1x but other matches seems unpredictable to me.so i await mratman analysys, one of the best imo inside here!!
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Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Wednesday March 11th With all the respect to Blanc and PSG, i think they are a lot inferior in gameplan, and they play in a very lower level of ligue; Mourinho is the king of the foxes and will not let guest have the control of the game, for me the key will be first half where i can see an attackin Chelsea or at least a lot of pressing to retain possession of the ball; but this is only a point of view of mine, because Mou can also play the opposite, but I suppose it is to risky because if you give possession away and PSG score a goal , i see Chelsea in a very Dangerous situations. He will play very phisical with Oscar on bench and sure with Matic Ramires, Verratti will have a lot of space because Matic will not leave a lot of space for Ibra, so Lavezzi will also try a lot to put pressure on Chelsea defence. Odds on 1 sign are rising massively, probably because people think that PSG has to do the match. For me Chelsea is the candidate nr 1 with Bayern to win the Champions League, and I see them through at the end of regular time
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Re: Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain > Wednesday March 11th Chelsea 1 stake 3 at 2,10.blues plays generally a lot better than rivals, i don t see mourinho defend and give possession away for this match.2.1 is my call
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > March 6th - 11th there will be 30k people attending derby-Birmingham, with a huge amount of away fans (i suppose one of the best fans in Champiosnhip) Deby needs to restore confidence with a solid win; Birmingham has been good with Brentford but pretty poor against Blackpool. Probably they will be fired up being underdog and in a such hot environment today and will give all to waste party to home team and fans. Probably HW but at these odds is better to stay away in effect also for me.Martin seems to be in contention for this one, but there s no clear info on that and also might be in , his form is questionable, however Gl to Derby bettors
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Re: 2.Bundesliga > March 6th - 9th No matter Neubs... just seen the stats for Norimberga and it was a total assault by Home team, 25 shot out of the targets... i would like to see a recap of the game if i can found it, just to understand what's happening in the game, i spend 2 stake on them and lost !!! keep up the good wors, it Always pay off
Premier League > March 1st & 2nd
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Sunderland seems the only good price to try, CP in a bad mood and I do not know if they are able to react this match.Sunderland showing sign of life and this is one of the must win situation.
Chelsea and Leicester are for a win, but Foxes cannot rotate a lot without losing quality and fatigue should be a factor here, also guest recovering Berahino and are in good form lately. I will skip this .
I THINK THAT Chelsea could fjnd it hard at Carrow but should be able to snatch a win and continue the climbing.
What are your thoughts guys?