saimon76
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Posts posted by saimon76
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Re: Brazilian State league championships 2012 Bragantino-Oeste smells of draw, Bragantino has 4 regulars out for suspension, and another striker has injured and will be out for a month. Oeste practically save already, but maybe a point for everyone and all at home happy.
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Re: Brazilian State league championships 2012 I have decided not to be on Portuguesa, I was missing that they have played 2 days ago in the cup (even if I do not know if with regulars or a lot of reserves). And one week ago they were orrible against reserves of santos at home. Probably today they will win but i am not feeling with the confidence of going with them at any stake, being 2, 3 or 8/10.
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Re: Brazilian State league championships 2012 POortuguesa-Linense 1 1.70 8/10 I am considering this to take at hard stake, but not yet taken the final decision. Portuguesa cna also make a draw or a "biscuit" with Linense (or there can be an X dued to the fact that also Linense need a point to be safe and quiet); but I think that Portuguesa must win (adn can win) in order to avoid surprise in the last round. I appeal myself to somebody that is more inside of me in this championship, like super Bagzi that can give me his advice on this one ! Thanks a lot and GL as always!!!
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Re: Weekend > League 2 > Fri 6 April
Agree with Mowgli here also' date=' Shrewsbury do seem to turn off against sides in the lower reaches of the league, a look at their results against the bottom 6 are evidence of this[/quote'] Thanks guys, in effect I think there are better choice over there. For example Dagenham & Redbridge was better but in the end i have to work and cannot study a lot ... -
Re: Ligue 1 Orange > April 7th - 8th Hello everybody... I am just beginning to have little study on PSG at home against Marsiglia I know it is a classic france, but I cannot explain the 1.85 that i can find here in Italy. I am going to buy them , despite poor form of Paris, but Marseille is even worser at all!!! Any reason, info, view? thanks
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Re: Weekend > League 2 > Fri 6 April Macclesfield-Shrewsbury Here I have not decided yet, but I am suspecting a 2, because of the fact tha Macclesfield are missing some defenders (Diagne 38/3, Connolly 7/0) plus other concerns on Tremarco(32/0), considering they are already Hewitt (d, 21/0) , Mattis(d-m 1/1) and attacker Donnelly is definetiley out with a harmstring injury (13/3). Also key midfielder Wedgbury (34/1) seems to be not in perfect form. Shrewsbury will travel with 1300 fans (a short trip) and I think that looking at direct promotion this should be a winnable game for them. They will be without mid D.Mcallister(15/0) and mid Johnt Taylor (28/0). The only thing makes me thinking is the fact that Macclesfield is fighting for their lives in order to avoid relegation (they are 4 pts below the par) and the fact that they have changed manager recently and reports are saying of better performance since then. Need some expert help here ! thanks and GL
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Re: Weekend > Championship > 6-7 April Barnsley-West Ham U. 2 1.75 7/10 I am taking WHU, because I think that they will not fail this very important match in the promotion race. They have been demolited at home by reading that are above them of 4 pts. However Sam Allardyce has said that the direct promotion battle is not over for him and team and his players are very focused to take a win at barnsley. Cosnidering their away behavoiur of the season with 11-5-4 (33/20) against barsnley average at home 9-3-8 (31/32), this is a must win for them. Infact Reading are playing against Leeds at home and can take another win dued to fact that the Whites are hit by some injurys and suspensions, and also a bug has joined them in the dressroom, so maybe they can be weakened a lot (most of all in defense, with 2 suspended/injured player). Calendar is offering the Brighton and Southampton away for Reading, while WHU will have 2 consecutive home game, not very easy, but winnable for them if they want to get in race promotion (very hard Birmingham and Brighton), before going to Bristol. Weather forecast are not bad (light rain), and WHU are also recovering 2-3 players (even if Mark Noble will be out). To summarize it all, i believe in a 0-2 win for westham tonight, and i hopes they will not upset me again. So CMYI !!!
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Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012 So Flamengo is totally unreliable for now, I am glad that my doubts have been justified by the result. Flamengo is practically out of Libertadores, they need to win the last one and hopes a draw in the other match, and still do not know if this is sufficent (goal difference, scontri diretti). Ciao McNasara, for basket today is the big day of game 5 in euroleague with Pana-Maccabi. I am quite sure Pana will go through to final4, but odds are unplayable (1,20 for H2H, and 1,50 for the 1X2 bet!). I don't like play under and over in basket and soccer so i rather take in consideration these kind of bets. Maccabi can pose a threat but the hell of the OAKA and class, concentration and experience are IMO in Pana side. I follow italian basket lega, european competition and the NBA, however I avoid to bet on NBA until the playoff. NBA is practically unpredictable until that phase, with a lot of strange results.
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Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012
You make it sound like this is a major life decision like buying a house or a car. I wish I had enough time on my hands to spend "all day thinking about" a match of such average meaning as this one ! I have no idea what you are banging on about with water and Flamengo' date=' water is the natural habitat for such a creature and they can manage in such an environment on just one leg, so a bunch of Brazilian footballers with two should have no trouble staying upright, unless Neymar is one of them. Granted there might be a problem if it only rains in the half of the pitch that Flamengo are defending as I'm not familiar with how one would perform on solid ground in an attacking mode having passed the half way line. I'm beginning to wonder whether that spam detection tool was working correctly afterall ?[/quote'] I am leaving now, i have to go to a basket match (referee). Thinking all day, I mean that when i choice a bet, before doing it, I really think about it a lot before putting money on it... With this match in particular I am going very careful because Libertadores and the team involved, is not particular a specialist of mine. Last thursday I haev gone very hard on Pana to win in Maccabi in euroleague basketball, but I have thinking of it a lot(while working or doing other things), before putting money on! thanks regards simone -
Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012
After all day thinking about, I have decided to pass this bet. Too many question mark for me, and probably this is also dued to the fact that i have never watch playing Emelec and Flamengo this year. The weather forecast, a lot of water, can be a problem for flamengo, and also Emelec are hard nut to crack at home. Probably el Mengo is gonna win tonight, but i am not feeling confident and relaxed to put money on!
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Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012
a preview http://www.goal.com/br/match/75739/emelec-vs-flamengo/previewThanks a lot Nervous Anorak, it is a very interesting view this one, i am still searching info for the match in order to make the choice; but i am also considering to reduce stake, even if i cannot figure out that flamengo is going out so early, but soccer is also this. Fla seems very focused on this , so maybe a 5/10 is a better choice if i will put money on this. I will decide within 2 hours; also looking on others match (ude chile and santos above all) -
Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012
Thanks a lot Nervous Anorak, it is a very interesting view this one, i am still searching info for the match in order to make the choice; but i am also considering to reduce stake, even if i cannot figure out that flamengo is going out so early, but soccer is also this. Fla seems very focused on this , so maybe a 5/10 is a better choice if i will put money on this. I will decide within 2 hours; also looking on others match (ude chile and santos above all)Hi, welcome to PL, if you've been following this thread for a few months you normally know I'm more positive than I am the last 24 hours. It's dificult to know what to make of this match tonight, Emelec only scored 1 goal in the 4 matches they've played and even that was only a penalty. That hardly suggests this is going to be a goal-fest but look at Flamengo, 3-0 up at home against Olimpia who lost 6-0 last night, yet came back to draw with Fla 3-3. This group has become a bit of a lottery, the only consistency is Emelec's abject failure to score a goal from open play. I have an interesting stat for you. In Emelec's last 40 matches, on the two previous occasions they have managed to score in three consecutive games, they failed to win their fourth match. At present they have scored in their last three, so if the sequence repeats itself it's not going to be a home win tonight. I saw two of the earlier Emelec matches in this tournament in which they had a player sent off in the first half on both occasions, if nothing else thats more consistency ! I can not imagine this being a classic ! Prediction : Emelec 0 - Flamengo 1 -
Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012 Hi everybody, I am new here , so abrief presentation is a must. I am from middle italy, MArche. I like football (but not following a lot the italian one) from every nation and basketball. I love betting and also seeking everyday if it is possibile, the event that is offering some value to bet one in order to make fun and also $$$ cash!.I am following you since 3/4 months and this thread togheter with the brazilian one where there are, i htink, punters very preparated, in particular Bagzi who i personally think is really good and i have follow his picks sometimes. I like to study events searching information in every manner, before putting my money on it. I think that sudying will always give us satisfactions in the long run. So today i am studying for example Emelec-Flamengo. The situation for Fla is very obvoius here, and players knows that. Only win can guarantee a lot of probability to advance in this very important competition. In fact Lanus 10 pt, Olimpia 7 pt, Fla 5 pt, Emelec 3 pt. If Fla fails to win tonight, their chance will be practically reduced very near 0 even if everything still can be possible, because they will be at 6 or 5 , with emelec at 4 or 6.The last matches are Fla-Lanus and Olimpia-Emelec. Odds are now to 2,20 in my local BM, and started to 2,30 so people are going with the rubonegro, what scares me is that this is a final for both teams , emelec with a draw will be practically eliminated, and Fla with a draw risk a lot because if Olimpia wins last one they will be behind both olimpia and lanus. So this is a must win. Other factors taht scares me is weather in Ecuador, it is raining a lot and going to rain during the mathc, so do not know how pitch will look like for more skillfull player of flamengo. Coach of Fla asked same performance of first half in state championship to his team, a win against bangu 2-1. Fla has all key player i think with both Vagner Love and Rona in the pitch, in quite good shape (Vagner love in good shape, Rona alittle less...). QUality must be at Fla side, but home factor is to Emelec. However home team has alreay lost at home to lanus but win the first against Olimpia. So quite difficult to understand, i would like some help from you, because i was thinknig to put a considerable stake, let's say 7/10 on Flamengo tonight. Thanks a lot and GL with all your/our bets!
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Re: Copa Toyota Libertadores 2012 test
Weekend > League 1 > 6-7 April
in Championship Predictions
Posted
Re: Weekend > League 1 > 6-7 April very good maliniok, perfect anlysys, I was also thinking about Charlton... Now they are in championship we can say !