saimon76
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Posts posted by saimon76
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread At the end I have played normal win of Botafogo because they are terrible suffering scoring and considering the needs of figuirense not to loose, there were all the premises of a close game... i have doubled it with monaco tomorow, and in other one with nigeria in basketball from 1x2 market... however now what grab my eyes and have already bet on is Bahia-Corinthians 2 2,25 Bahia has a long list of injured or not 100% fit players (most notable are fw Souza,Mancini, Lulhina, Kleberseon, Gabriel). Corinthians will miss 2 important players Emerson sheik (but he has not scored in brasileirao yet, and Chicao 7/2) but i see them determined to gain all the points after half fals step at home. Bahia will have a lot of fans , and itt is not a very simple game to go and win but I see value and supoerior class from corinzia and decided to play them in stright win. Corinthians is focusing on try to riduce the gap from leaders, and given the fact that there is flu-Atletico MG today, this a chance not to loose IMO. Alè Corinthians In partial coperture, i used the dc x2 with nigeria basket from 1x2.
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Botafogo-Figuirense 1 EH (-1) Very bad situation for the team of florianopolis, they will be without caio forward (12/5) and Julio Cesar (11/3). Also Abreu i think will miss this one, so very hard to find the net with those absences. Estrela will miss Lucas Zen mid (11/0), Antonio Carlos Def.(7/0). Coach of Bota will change module and will have a 4-4-2, because team is without win since 4 matches and most importna without scoring in the last three. Formation should be this one : Jefferson, Lucas, Brinner, Fábio Ferreira e Márcio Azevedo; Renato, Seedorf, Fellype Gabriel e Andrezinho; Elkeson e Rafael Marques I see strong superior class in the home team, and i am tempted to charge in Bota with european handicap -1. Only thing scares me is the very hard period with 7 matches in 22 days !! Any opinion Bagzi ? :-) At skin, also tempted by straight win of Flu, Coritiba and Corinthians(the last one more than the other...)
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Re: Ligue 2> 27/28/30 July very unlucky for me the goal of Nantes, however I am happy of my method , study will always pay at the end, I have jusst to follow more my sensation and bet on what the analysys that i make lead me to bet, but no problem. I shoul have charged more on Dijion i suppose they have a great team, and this year L2 will be fascinating for promotion, I see a very hard battle for second and third place between at least 5 teams (dijion, auxerre, caen,nantes, guingamp and or chateroux ...). I just would like to know where i can find stats of match for l2, on soccerway there aren't stats for this league (i mean possession, shots, corner) Keep up the good work!! I will try to study lens but i will be not able to bet on, because my local open at 16 o clock !!!
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Re: Ligue 2> 27/28/30 July Yes McNasara, in effect, it is better to skip Auxerre, they are playing in closed door, I think only for this match, it seems that they have received a discount. I like a lot Nantes, and i like the preview from Atko, so i will play Nantes and Monaco on single, not to hard stake, because it is the beginning of the campionship and you never know. I expect avery packed stadium at nantes tonight, Bangoura, Djordjevic, Veretout are very good players . Monaco no need o f explanation, let's hope. I find also value in Dijion, I see them having avery good squad, and I am reading that opposition has some missings !! thanks for your advice
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Re: Ligue 2> 27/28/30 July Very glad for the beginning of the L2 Surprises should and can be around the corner, but why should happen on the game i choose? I am very confident of home win of Monaco, Auxerre. Quite confident of Nantes and Gjion. The first 2 (auxerre monaco) have 2 very strong formation and Monaco has Ranieri for coach. Their aim is clear, to gain promotion, and i think that they cannot fail , so a strong start at home against a team that i suppose have salvation as main objective, is needed. The thing that can happen is over perform of Istres dued the rival they are facing, it is very oftne happening that when a lower team play against a important ones, strength and willingnness are very high and this can produce strange result.I hope this will be not the case. Same approach for auxerre, they have just sell an important player but they do have an important squad to choose from Also Djion it seems they have mantained the same squad of last year; but Guingamp is not bad at all. Nantes i think has avery talented offensive repart, indeed not so good in defense.but they are usually very strong at home, and i think they want to clicnh promotion this year as well. Info frm insighter people are very very welcome !! GL to your bets!
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Yes you are right McNasara, i will not use Inter in any sauces, no 1 or 1x, or over 1,5. Just to express my opinion , i see them favourite, just dued to the fact they paly at home and their home turf it is always very hot but odds are too low considering the good form of the opponent and the difficulty of brasileirao.thanks a lot for your view.
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread International-Cruzeiro Inter is almost in top formation for this important clash; only missing is Guinazu that sould be receverd by Bolatti or Kleber. Inter receive back also Dagoberto and has all fire power with Damiao Dagoberto and Oscar. The last one told that he is not focused for olimpic games, they want to clioch title this year so they want to win versus Cruzeiro. 1.70 is too low i think so it can be used for a combo or with an 1x i think it should be quite safe. Cruzeiro is missing wellington paulista due to suspension, they also stating want to fight for title, but i rate Inter superior. PontePreta- Palmeiras Here i think we should see spome goal and theorically a win for the home team, givent the fact that most important players of palmeiras are leaving and heading home to rest and prepare for the very important return match against Coritiba in final do CDB (away at coritiba). So some reserve players and very hungry youth players will be send in starting XI by Felipe Scolari, it sounds to me has a formation prone to errors, ponte preta must try to take advantage and attack them, so 1x over 1 and for the brave ones also the fixed 1 at a good 2,10. Flu-Fla Very fascinating clasico here, and knowing the bad attitude of Fla away, i lean more to the home team, that is also very very powerful this year and i think one of the main favorites for title. Maybe Fla will extra perform given the fact that is a clasico, but home team is more talented and must give a signal to all other teams fighting for title.
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Hi guys, last week i have lost one combo with 2 fix for santos, but i was covering another one with x2 and i was lucky at least not to lost all money betted, given the fact that i suppose that santos should also have lost, looking at the stats of the match, but maybe do they play good? Are they going to wake up sooner or later? However who gives a damn, i am really focused on making a double composed of Sao Paolo & Botafogo making a 2,20 of moltiplicator.Motivation are that Sao Paolo , even without Luis Fabiano, is top material this year with Lucas, casemiro, fernandinho, wellington and the other. considering bahia as one of the weakest team of brasileirao , i expect a win for them Botafogo very pumped up for the big signing made, Clarence Seedorf, i think that with this signment, they are really to be considered for challenge the title if he will be not hit by injures.So at home, after a lose one match, they must bounce back. Other consideration are ponte preta at home with 1x, and other match, i have to study them.
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread according to what is written on home page, fla is motivated to win and to revenge last year defeat 4-1, also there is a big rivalvry between these 2 team.
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Thanks a lot kukacomone, leo silva and uis ricardo are new missings, while ananias and xavier where already missing in lasto home win against sao paolo.it is a local derby and i think lusa fans will be very up for this, but i want a strong performance from santos, and start climbing the table. La lusa struggle for goals and with these 2 new missings i suppose santos will find at least the net . for flamengo, donot know what to think, after some bad results and poor display, dunga is ready to take over actual coach of fla, if fails to win tonight. so it would be important to understand if team is with actual coach or want him to leave, a big upset under the corner ?!?!?!
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Portuguesa-Santos 2 2,3 I am very tempted to go with santos. They must start win considering the fact that they will probably lost 3 of their best players very soon for the Olimpics games. So also Portuguesa is in very big need of points but here we must consider the difference of class. Portu recover bomber Ananias and after a win wants to add another one, but i believe that santos will put strong performance. Santos does not have a soeasy calendar next weeks, so a win here is very needed What do you think guys? And the other i think can be safe is crazy team of Fla at home against very bad Goianiense. Atletico still searching first win but i think they are one of the worst or maybe the worster team of this brasileirao. So Fla has a good chance of climbing position,this is a must win for them Go can try to win the next at home against NaUTICO, BUT WHO KNOWS, Fla is so crazy... any ideas please?
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Re: England v Ukraine June 19th I am not a lover of under and over in soccer, but I agree that this can end 2-1 , 3-0, 3-1 for england. Ukraine has to attack, but i think that England must win before making attack Ukraine, and must win well to try to snatch first spot to France
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Re: Sweden v France June 19th Here France must go for the win, and if possibile for a 2-0 3-0 win, in order to avoid the first classified from group C that will be Spain at 99,9%. The same applies to England, that however has a little less asier task to do , because Ukraine can still qualify, but England is strong and Rooney is back (even if Walcott injured and this is a blow) So really tempted to make a doble on simple win for France and england; this make out a moltiplicator of 3,44, and i think is quite good for making profit. But now i begin study both match. France for me and for public opinion is really full of talent in midfield and attack; i think they want to finish first so to avoid mighty Spain. Italy or Croatia should be easier task. Benzema; Ribery, Nasri, Cabaye, Malouda, Menez, Ben Arfa, Giroud, Debuchy, Diarra etc.. i see a very powerful France this year, and should dominate against Sweden
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Re: England v Ukraine June 19th For me England has to try to win and win well if possibile, I see them more more complete than Ukrain, I mean this because winning by a big margin, you can try to avoid Spain in the quartefinal, even if France has theorically an easier task playing against already off Sweden, but I know that Sweden and France has not a very good relationship so maybe Sweden will try to make things hard to France... I will study hard to decide whether to make the double England and France win
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Re: Argentina > Primera Division > 2012 The info i find on the unofficial site of Racing, that half of the actual team will be dismantelde for next season. Also coach is stating that points are important to gain in order not to suffer on the next season, but some fans thinks that mind of palyers might be only focused on the final they will play on Copa Argentina against boca(do not know when , given the libertaodes involvement of Boca) . Other fans hopes to send Atletico in Serie B, but others simply state "do you believe that we are going to win a match at desperate Rafaela when a lot of players already know they will leave next season and their only main focus now is only the copa final?" so very hard to predict this match, but motivation must be a boost for the home team, so there is more possibility of the 1 sign and not the x nor 2 sign. Yes i do not have discover the hot water, we say in italy!! The bad news for the home team is the absence of their forward Gandin, 31 / 13 goal
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Re: Argentina > Primera Division > 2012 Atletico Rafaela-Racing Club Odds seems going a little down around the varoius book; on Bet365 for example i can find the sign 1 at 2,25 and i suppose it has started from 2,40. So people is going with the most motivated team, but this obviously does not mean it will be 1 or a not fighting racing side.Ahhh I am a lto attracted from this 1 !!!continuing searching info....
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Re: Argentina > Primera Division > 2012 Ok thanks all of you, I will surf the web and also facebbook, in order to find some inspirations and maybe decide to go with quite important stake with the 1 at 2,30, huge value in my opionion give the circumstances!! What interest me is also to know if there are difference in the odds between the one i am using now (better.it) and the argentinian ones. Are there similar odd for the home win or maybe in the local argentinian side is the sign 1 already goes down, and it maybe takes a little more to be reflected to the european books. thanks
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Re: Argentina > Primera Division > 2012 Estudiantes-Olimpo : 1 @ 1,60 I know this wil be the last gam of the superb argentinian midfield Juan Sebastian Veron, very appreciated also here in Italy.Olimpo already relegated and this must be a party for Juan and this goodbye to home fans Is it going to be a goal fest or more a home win? Sorry but it is very hard to find info and motivation of teams involved for this championship, so I need some help from you ! Have nice bets!!
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Re: Argentina > Primera Division > 2012 Atletico Rafaela-Racing : 1 @ 2,30 Hello my friends, I am quite interested and trying to study the situation in this game. Atletico needs the win if I am not wrong in order to be safe, but does Racing still save at all? I think yes because in their site I cannot see any document talking about decisive or must win game for them; while in the Atletico Rafaela side there is some statement and comments of fan saying that this is a crucial game for them. Can i trust this team at home? Will Racing give some extra fighting for some reason? Racing is also making a debut with a young talent, so I suppose they might be not very strong focused on any point at all. Thanx and GL !
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Re: Copa do Brasil > 2012 Sao Paolo-Coritiba 1 1.65 Very tempted to use this for a double with another match, of Euro12, perhaps a double chance. Sao Paolo do not think needs this year to win copa do brasil to gain Libertadores spot, because i think that they have everything to fight for the Brasileirao, but however I think they want to win this competition, in order to start having a winning mentality and give some gold to fans and club.Coach is fielding a very strong formation, despite the incoming (and not so easy) Mineiro of the Gaucho at home, but playing 2 at home in a row without travelling, i suppose it is a stress they can manage at this time. Any thoughts about it will be very appreciated !!
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Re: Italy v Croatia - June 14 Very tough match to call... I know that with another X , Italy riisk not to go anywhere, if in the last match Spain and Croatia make a silent biscuit approach! But I do not think that Spaniard are here to make biscuit to anybody, neither the Croatians that paly a very good football and are in good athletic form. Prandelli will have to make a midfield strong of interdiction and creativity if wants to win this one. I think that the only solution here can be the draw at halftime, and things becoming nervous in the second one! Good luck to all!
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Nautico-Cruzeiro : Very long trip for the Belo Horizonte team, that wants the win after the draw at home with Goianiense. However some team member knows the difficulty to playu in the very small pitch of Nautico and also knwos that torcida is very hot there, so it will be needed a very good performance in order to steal all the points. Cannot make no kind of prediction here, I am not able to determine the real force of both teams, maybe a match with some goal in? I skip it I will come back with other matches in the afternoon, however it is very probable i will choose the sign 1 for Santos, Sao Paolo and Flu event without have studied these match to complete one of my combos; and knowing that Santos has played a very hard match with Velez yesterday, but clas difference is quite big here Then i will try to find out what to choose with Corinthians at Mineiro, Coritiba and Gremio
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Re: Brazil Serie A 2012 Thread Still searching for a single to load money on, meanwhile I try to make analysis of matches of Brasilerao, considering that it is not easy dued to the fact that championship has just started Atletico Go-Ponte Preta : very difficult match to deciphrate in my opinion. These 2 teams have already fought 2 times in Copa do Brasil last month, and hme factor seem to be a factor; because both win their home game 2-1. However there where some mixed team for Ponte Preta specially. So it is hard for me to make a prediction, considering that we are at the beginning of the brasileirao. However class seems to be more on the Goianiense side; odds really gitfting anithing here because i Have 1,67 for straight home win, probalby this will be the final result. Both teams at full strength, and Bida seems very in form for the home team, while Marino is looking for a goal since 3 months. I will insert probably the 1 in a combo with low stake. Flamengo-International : Flamengo draw in the first game away at recife, while International won has was supposed against Coritiba at home. Inter has 2 very important missings in Damiao and Oscar both convocated for the friendly match against Denmark today. They will also not have Joao Paulo that was substitued for injury in last match (but he started from bench). Up front we will see Gilberto and Dagoberto, long term absentes are D'alessandro, Kleber, Sandro Silva. Another probably 1 at 1,85 and i will use for my combo, with a variation of a X in second combo (low stake as always in the combo) Portuguesa - Vasco : Very interesting match IMO, where Vasco will search the win, but Portuguesa seems improving after the very bad state championship. The team is boosted with the news of some new arrivals, in the perspective to renforce the team. One of these is the GK Dida, but he will be not ready for this match. Vasco has Romulo out with NT, here I expect a very hard battle, with a draw probable, but i am tempted by the sign 2 at 2,40 X2 is the choice for my combo
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Re: EURO 2012 - Group Winners & Qualification I am tempted to try this double ; ITALY-SPAIN and GERMAN-HOLLAND to qualify from theri respective groups. However I know there are always surprise, and Croathia I think is a team that can really make surprise because they have a good team; but experience and class of Spain and Italy should be enough for them to go trough. In the German group, I do not think Portugal can make a big surprise, neither can do Denmark, who has a good team but how to oppose in antepost these 2 big favourites? I mean Holland and Germany Maybe I can also insert France and England, these treble will form a quota of 7. I will analyze a lot, in these next few days beore odds can drop a litlle, i will have decision. I have little fear about England, a lot of not so fresh people, and it seems to me a little light in attack, considering rooney will be out for the first 2 game it is a big blow for them... Sweden is not to be underestimate here in my opinion... do not really know very well Ukraine, i will search info for them. However i fancy England with their name, and do not like to see them "boiled", the boiled ones has just sent Bayern to hell, with lampard making fantastic movement being still (sorry for the wordgame) and great ball management.
Ligue 2 > 3rd - 4th August
in French Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Ligue 2 > 3rd August- 4th August Very hard round, more more harder than the first. Only bet that i am thinking to take is obvoiusly Monaco at Laval. Monaco start very strong while Laval lose some of their player of last year. At home Laval is very decent however but i suppose Monaco to be very superior. However iti is only the second game of L2 and it is also an away game so better to be very cautios i think. At skin, I would say that i like Istres, Dijion, Tours and Clermont. I will try to study hard in order to find the affair in one of these.