Jump to content
Announcements
*** Ascot Festival Competition: Well done to 1st. RUG, 2nd. Soi Bongkot & 3rd. Jediknight ***
** June Poker League Result : 1st kevsul, 2nd Like2Fish, 3rd McG **
** June Naps Competition Result: 1st Kingdom for, 2nd Offramp, 3rd glavintobuy, 4th bymatrix. KO Cup Winner: Kingsom for, Most Winners: Johnrobertson **

Fedar

New Members
  • Content Count

    1067
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Fedar

  1. Re: Last 16 - Colombia v Uruguay > Saturday June 28th I think we all agree that Colombia is a better team atm, especially when Uruguay are missing Suarez. However, I am trying to ask myself whether there is value on them at this odds. Uruguay, even without Suarez, are a very experienced side with solid defense. I don't see them beating a better Colombian team in regular time, but they are totally capable of holding them to a draw. Probably I would have priced Colombia around 2.0 - exactly the bookies have done, so probably it is very close to their real price. I have absolutely no doub
  2. Re: Last 16 - Brazil v Chile > Saturday June 28th Totally agree with Aidymac. Brazil has been very poor so far - not only on this tournament, but as a whole in the last 4 years in most of the friendlies they have played. They have joke forwards like Fred and Jo. Their defense is surprisingly shaky (I believe this should be the line where Brazil should be one of the best in the world). But their worst problem, imo, is their midfield, which is simply lacking vision and creativity, often losing easy balls and thus putting their defense under huge pressure, and making Brazil attacks so one
  3. Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th I think they would have voided your bet even if Ronaldo didn't score, so it should be fair. But of course it is an assumption whether they would have done that in that case.
  4. Re: Group G - USA v Germany > Thursday June 26th Of course, once again the conspiracy theories turned wrong. Germany won, although with some difficulty. World Cup 2014 Stats: 24 Bets, 16 Wins, 7 Losses, 1 Void + 7.25 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  5. Re: Group H - South Korea v Belgium > Thursday June 26th Both lucky and unlucky. I was lucky to win, because Belgium was with 10 men, but I was unlucky, because if it wasn't for this red card, it should have been a much more comfortable win for the Devils. World Cup 2014 Stats: 24 Bets, 16 Wins, 7 Losses, 1 Void + 7.25 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  6. Re: Group H - Algeria v Russia > Thursday June 26th Early goal of Russia made this bet hard to come in. World Cup 2014 Stats: 24 Bets, 16 Wins, 7 Losses, 1 Void + 7.25 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  7. Re: Group G - USA v Germany > Thursday June 26th The market going crazy - 1.80 for Germany now. I was waiting for this. Sorry, but I don't believe in this conspiracy stories. All I see is a way classier and fully fit German team, who played with high intensity just 45 minutes - 1st half against Portugal, against a USA team which played two very intense games against Ghana and Portugal, and on top of this had one day less to rest. Also it is very likely that the Ghana-Portugal game goes in USA favor (Portugal leading), which would mean that the Americans might open up and try to go for
  8. Re: Group H - South Korea v Belgium > Thursday June 26th I agree with all you wrote, but I don't argue that Belgium will play with higher intensity than in the previous games. My main argument is that now they will be facing a team with much weaker defense than Russia and Algeria, and a team who is going to attack them and not sit back and absorb pressure. Also take in consideration the price - 1.80 at the moment, simply too big to miss under these circumstances.
  9. Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th I personally already used the option in Bet 365 - "close down your bet" (for a small fee). I cannot trust a team which such internal problems about which I was unaware. My main arguments here were about the good climate in the dressing room of Ghana, but it seems the African syndrome have caught up with them. No bet for me under these circumstances.
  10. Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th Sorry, my bad! I thought direct red should be at least 3 games sanction. Nevertheless, i stick with my bet. Portugal defense will be more stable with him, but Portugal remains a bunch of players who don't act as a team, who don't show any enthusiasm and faith and whose leader is not fit.
  11. Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th Totally agree with the opinions above. I think the odds quoted are nothing more than a simple "reputation" prices, which have little to do with the actual condition and situation of both teams. Portugal is out with 95% certainty, but even if they had a chance, I would have still written them off. They are missing a number of important players: Pepe, Coentrao, Postiga and Almeida (both forwards). Most likely, they will have to field Eder at the top of the attack, who is in my opinion, a terrible player. In the centre, Meireles and Cout
  12. Re: Group H - South Korea v Belgium > Thursday June 26th Sorry to Kevshat that my bets overlap with his, but I was having this in mind ever since I saw the prices. I see this game as being very similar to Colombia-Japan, with the difference that Korea is even more naive and weak defensively team, and Belgium "reserves" are more dangerous than Colombian. I expect to see a naive and enthusiastic Korean team trying to attack and put pressure on Belgium, and a calm and relaxed Belgian team, absorbing the pressure with ease thanks to their outstanding defense, and hitting severely the Korean
  13. Re: Group H - Algeria v Russia > Thursday June 26th I agree with most of your reasoning - indeed Algeria showed better performance and the double chance on them is almost as big as the straight win for Russia, so this should imply value. However, I still keep in mind that Russia had a great coach (although Algeria's coach is also very good) and Russians are specialists in grinding out results. I think they had an excellent game for 80 minutes against Belgium when Russia seemed better on the pitch, but somehow their whole game ruined after the substitution when Dzagoev entered (I guess t
  14. Re: Group F - Nigeria v Argentina > Wednesday June 25th When you bet was killed after 5 minutes of play, there is not much to add. It seems that Argentina decided to wake up and start playing football in the meaningless 3rd game. World Cup 2014 Stats: 21 Bets, 14 Wins, 5 Losses, 1 Void + 6.75 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  15. Re: Group F - Bosnia-Herzegovina v Iran > Wednesday June 25th Deserved win for Bosnia! They were indeed more relaxed and played much better. I must admit I feel a bit sorry about them not qualifying, because I feel they were a bit better than Nigeria. World Cup 2014 Stats: 21 Bets, 14 Wins, 5 Losses, 1 Void + 6.75 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  16. Re: Group E - Honduras v Switzerland > Wednesday June 25th Bet won. From the little I saw, it seemed Honduras defense and keeper were very bad and gifting easy goals to Switzerland. World Cup 2014 Stats: 21 Bets, 14 Wins, 5 Losses, 1 Void + 6.75 Units (1 Unit per bet)
  17. Re: Group E - Honduras v Switzerland > Wednesday June 25th I am going with a conventional tip here - Switzerland to win with AH - 1. Honduras, with all respect, are a retrograde team - they play with classical 4-4-2, where they use primarily long balls towards isolated strikers; they try to play very defensively, but are not really well organized and disciplined in defense; they often make up for the bad defensive organization by using dreadful tackling and physical challenges. Honduras defense is very bad at set-pieces as seen in the previous two games. Honduras were twice in a row lu
  18. Re: Group F - Bosnia-Herzegovina v Iran > Wednesday June 25th I feel that analysts are over-estimating Iran a bit here, hence the odds movement. They are also underestimating the motivation of Bosnia. Iran were very limited against Nigeria and they could barely create a decent attack. They made a very good game against Argentina, but once again their tactics were all about deep defending (understandable against Argentina). However, now Iran will be in a completely new situation when they will need to attack and score a goal. I am not sure they have quality to lead the game and push thei
  19. Re: Group F - Bosnia-Herzegovina v Iran > Wednesday June 25th You're right with your reasoning, but I think something important should be kept in mind. A bet on overs here is very much dependent on who scores first. If Bosnia scores first, over 2.5 should come in, but if Iran open the score-sheet, I see the Persians parking the bus as they did twice very successfully. And Bosnia was entirely clueless against the parked bus of Nigerians, who are supposedly worse in defense than Iran.
  20. Re: Group F - Nigeria v Argentina > Wednesday June 25th Argentina played two very poor games. Both in terms of performance and team spirit, as Argentina looked to play slow, with not much pressure and chasing of the ball, and little interaction among the different lines in their team. I somehow don't believe that all of a sudden, after they have qualified already, despite their poor performances, they will go out on the pitch and drastically change their attitude for a more or less meaningless game. Given that a draw suits them to keep the first place, I see a slow and cautious Argentina
  21. Re: Group D: Costa Rica v England > Tues 24th June Just caught some moments from this game. Costa Rica didn't play with their usual intensity when pressing, but they were defending compactly and calmly. England was awful. Terrible passing and first touches, no will-power, no direction...To me, they looked like a bunch of spoiled guys, who are force to do a boring duty and are just looking forward to their vacations. Still, Sturridge had several 100% chances, but showed awful first touch and finishing. World Cup 2014 Stats: 18 Bets, 12 Wins, 6 Losses, 1 Void + 6.05 Units (1 Unit per
  22. Re: Group C: Greece vs Ivory Coast > Tues 24th June Bet lost in a very sore way - a goal from penalty in the last minute of extra time. Nevertheless, to be the fair, the game was much more open than I expected, and surprisingly, this was due to Greece which played much more courageous and positive football than usual. Overall, Greece deserved to win and probably the "over" was deserved here, as many chances were missed (mainly by Greeks, who hit the post on three occasions). Ivory Coast showed the old weakness of African teams - any lack of tactical maturity and discipline. Desp
  23. Re: Group C: Japan vs Columbia > Tues 24th June Deserved win for Colombia! The South Americans didn't play at their normal fast tempo, but Japan was simply inferior in class and very naive and unbalanced team. As I expected, they were leaving plenty of space for Colombia to hit them on the break, and even though Colombian attacking players didn't show the highest level of concentration, which they normally show in a more competitive environment, it was still more than enough to win with ease. I feel Colombia could have scored a few more if they put more effort into this game. Japan
×
×
  • Create New...