Jump to content
** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Banner

New Members
  • Posts

    819
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Banner

  1. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Don't know about this but I see Anderson's odds are little bit too low here' date=' around 1.20 Anderson to beat Ebden. Okay, normally, South African would win this and like did it last year 2-0 against Ebden but lately Anderson hasn't played so well that I would bet on him odds like 1.20. There are given 4.50 for Ebden, surely it is a risky bet but sure worth to try than playing Anderson's win. Did anyone watch Ebden's gameplay lately? What is it like?[/quote'] If your not sure dont back it! Worst thing you can do is force a bet!
  2. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Yeah' date=' I don't really care much for outrights, I prefers matches, but good call. Boredo could certainly moonrollball his way to this title. Haha.[/quote'] I have just started doing a few outrights. Pretty pleased to see both my players reach the quarters (When Robredo does :hope)! I would fancy Robredo to beat Bedene or Dolgopolov! Not sure about Granollers v Haase though!
  3. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Can Lopez win tomorrow?I haven't seen any of his play recently.Seem's a big ask up against the hometown favourite. I wonder how Waw will deal with it being "his to lose" now.
    I doubt it, im tempted with a Wawrinka 2-0 bet! Waiting to see if the odds drift to around evens!
  4. Re: July 22 - July 28

    I see abit of value in Berlocq winning ATP Umag. He should beat Zebellos today and then he would have Seppi most likely. We don't know what Seppi is going to turn up but even on a good day Berlocq can beat Seppi for me. He is in the better form too. In the Semi-final he would face Robredo/Dolgopolov/Troicki. If he made the final he would probably face Fognini/Montanes. 10/1 on him to win this tournament seems a good price. Him and Fognini are the form-dogs right now and it wouldn't surprise me to see them occupy the final. What's people's thoughts on Berlocqs chances? He must be tired along with Fognini but these 2 keep on pulling out results. I don't believe they are un-motivated. I think that's nonsense.
    I Backed Robredo to win at the start at 13/1, think he should make the final now looking at the draw! And I agree on your motivation comments. I actually think that a 3rd consecutive title is motivating Fognini
  5. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Excellent pick Banner' date=' logical reasons and not forced at all. I followed in. Keep them coming. :ok[/quote'] Thanks odds were ridiculous! I like your Donskoy pick, surprised to see those odds! I would of had him at slight favourite, hes certainly playing well at the moment and improving alot! And you never know what you will get with Blake!
  6. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Back Viktor Troicki to beat Tommy Robredo for a 2/10 stake at 2.83 with Pinnacle I can see a bit of value in this one, I certainly can. Robredo hardly at his best in recent weeks and the surface in Umag seems to help players that can hit reasonably big, which is the department in which Troicki has the edge over the Spaniard, who simply seems to be there for the taking these days. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/troicki-vs-robredo-betting-viktor-troicki-to-defeat-tommy-robredo-in-umag-on-thursday
    I agree theres value here, did you know Robredo opened at 1.9 with BetVictor? Then shortened to 1.75, now hes down to 1.5!
  7. Re: July 22 - July 28

    Kukushkin 2-0 v Propoggia - Bet365 @ 1.8 This match features Dane Propoggia ranked 371st in the world and Mikhail Kukushkin ranked 181st in the world. Kukushkin is a top player and should be ranked higher than 181st in the world! He was once ranked 49th in the world and is still a decent player. This event is played in Astana Kazakhstan, Kukushkin's home country therefore he should feel comfortable here. As well as this he will get a lot of support and hopefully this will motivate him to do well this week. Back in 2011 Kukushkin won this event, this is the only time he has played this tournament so he has a great record here and I expect this to continue. The odds Bet365 are offering here are mad and will drop a lot after I post this tip! Kukushkin also has a great record on hard court winning 90 matches to just 53 loses. Compare this record to Propoggia's who has won 86 matches to 72 loses, considerably worst than Kukushkin's! Propoggia was hardly impressive in his first round game against the world number 1584! I think he should of won more comfortably! In all of the matches Kukushkin has played at this event he has won them all 2-0 but 1 which he won 2-1! This shows how good these odds are! Kukushkin is the much better player here and should win this 2-0 with ease! Propoggia is still playing on the futures tour where as Kukushkin has not played at Futures level since 2008, this shows who is at the better standard currently!
    Easy 2-0 win here!
  8. Re: July 22 - July 28 Kukushkin 2-0 v Propoggia - Bet365 @ 1.8 This match features Dane Propoggia ranked 371st in the world and Mikhail Kukushkin ranked 181st in the world. Kukushkin is a top player and should be ranked higher than 181st in the world! He was once ranked 49th in the world and is still a decent player. This event is played in Astana Kazakhstan, Kukushkin's home country therefore he should feel comfortable here. As well as this he will get a lot of support and hopefully this will motivate him to do well this week. Back in 2011 Kukushkin won this event, this is the only time he has played this tournament so he has a great record here and I expect this to continue. The odds Bet365 are offering here are mad and will drop a lot after I post this tip! Kukushkin also has a great record on hard court winning 90 matches to just 53 loses. Compare this record to Propoggia's who has won 86 matches to 72 loses, considerably worst than Kukushkin's! Propoggia was hardly impressive in his first round game against the world number 1584! I think he should of won more comfortably! In all of the matches Kukushkin has played at this event he has won them all 2-0 but 1 which he won 2-1! This shows how good these odds are! Kukushkin is the much better player here and should win this 2-0 with ease! Propoggia is still playing on the futures tour where as Kukushkin has not played at Futures level since 2008, this shows who is at the better standard currently!

  9. Re: Grex's HOMES; 369 bets; +10.7% yield [QUOTE=Grex;2325208][SIZE=2][FONT=comic sans ms]My pleaure, Westcoast. The thread more-or-less looks after itself....... it isn't exactly rocket science :p Just realised, I didn't post the final results of the "unofficial" selections for 2012/13. Yet again, the strategy of ignoring the last 6 rounds of games paid dividends, with a negative yield of 12% :loon See you in September.... have a great, relaxing summer :ok [/FONT][/SIZE] [/QUOTE] Maybe for the last 6 rounds you could change your bet to double chance on the away sides and see how that works out!
  10. Re: Grex's HOMES; 369 bets; +10.7% yield

    My pleaure, Westcoast. The thread more-or-less looks after itself....... it isn't exactly rocket science :p Just realised, I didn't post the final results of the "unofficial" selections for 2012/13. Yet again, the strategy of ignoring the last 6 rounds of games paid dividends, with a negative yield of 12% :loon See you in September.... have a great, relaxing summer :ok sj5g_87f_ucn57.png
    Maybe for the last 6 rounds you could change your bet to double chance on the away sides and see how that works out!
  11. Re: July 22 - July 28

    2.5pts Gimeno-Traver Vs Wawrinka [under 20.5 games] 2.00 Bet365 These 2 played recently and Wawrinka won 6-1 / 6-4. He would only have to break once in each set and I think he can do that here. Gimeno-Traver is a decent player but I don't think he can match Wawrinka who is an excellent clay court player and who will probably make the final and possibly even win this event.
    Line is relatively high for sure, one to avoid for me. Never know which Wawrinka will turn up!
  12. Re: July 22 - July 28

    3pts V.Hanescu (-3.5 games) to beat D.Brown 1.90 Bet365 Hanescu has had a good year on the clay. Previous to last tournament at Hamburg where he lost to Kavcic he had only lost to Montanes outside the top 35. He likes the clay and Brown, despite doing well here last year doesn't favour the clay. These two have never met but I fancy Hanescu to be the victor here. Brown's done very little on the clay this year.
    Winner! Nice tip
  13. Re: July 15 - July 21

    3pts R.Bemelmans to beat N.Barrientos 2-0 1.72 Bet365 Skinny price perhaps, but I think there is quite a big difference in quality between the 2. Barrientos [ranked 293rd] is primarily use to playing challengers and although he has had some early year success, winning the Mexico event and getting to the final of the Guatemala event, he never had to beat any decent players there apart from maybe Benneteau in the final of Mexico. Bemelmans [ranked 153rd] has alittle more exposure to playing higher ranked players and got to the last 128 of the Australian open this year, pushing Vasselin to the brink in 5 sets and losing the final set 11-9. He also pushed Stakhovsky close losing 7-6 7-6 so he can obviously return to a decent standard and looking at his serving 63%, 77% service games won, I think that should be OK to win this 2-0. I think the only reason this price is 1.72, instead of what it should be 1.57 is probably because Barrientos is in his home town, which although will push him on it doesn't give anyone super-powers :)
    Bemelmans got injured last week (left calf strain) and the effects of the altitude (2600m) may affect him! I actually backed this yesterday @ 2 with Paddy Power and then found out about his injury!
  14. Re: July 15 - July 21

    Tomorrow's previews : ATP Bogota 2.5pts X.Malisse to beat A.Falla 1.80 Bet365 1pt X.Malisse to beat A.Falla 2-0 3.00 Bet365 This has drifted now and is actually quite nice value. Malisse has the advantage in the head-2-heads. They played in Feb on the same hard court and Malisse won pretty easily 6-3 6-3 in under an hour where as Falla's only win on the hard against Malisse was back in 2011. ATP Hamburg 2pts V.Hanescu to beat B.Kavcic 2-0 2.00 Bet365 Hanescu showed some decent form on the clay at Stuttgart. He beat Tursunov, Belucci and most impressingly Paire in straight sets before going out to in-form Kohlschreiber who got to the final. I think he will have too much here for Kavcic who is more used to playing challenger events on the clay and isn't around the big boys as much as Hanescu.
    Fader do you ever bet with anyone but Bet365? You can increase your profit margins by about 9% using other bookies! Malisse 1.87 @ Unibet, Hanescu 2-0 2.2 @ Paddy Power I know alot of people like using the same bookie but makes sense getting the best odds!
×
×
  • Create New...