anaconda69

Horrendous day today, it was always going to happen when saying to just focus on bigger odds bets now. lol
I am going back to all odds. Not just because of today, but looking through some old data and results (which doesn't take as long as I thought, but still a fair amount of time) it seems that diff odds sections have their little runs of profit before dropping back (from a small data set), so although the over 3.0 bets have been amazing, it might be their time to drop down and the faves to lift the profit back up. 
The ROI has taken a big hit after today I think, but onwards and upwards. Still a decent bank left to play with even if it has taken a knock. All odds now being done again and there's two bets I have jumped on now. Also, i won't be putting any in at much bigger prices. Too many didn't get matched the other day. If I can't get at least partially matched right away then I won't bet. 
I won't try to get value by leaving the whole bet at higher odds, i will skip that match. 
The two picks. 

Picks
 

Less now as i am only going to do the higher odds picks for a bit. 
2 more. 
 

It would take too long. it would take a couple of hours to do each days picks, basically as long as it takes me now to do the picks by going through the matches. In fact it would take even longer as now I just bring up the current results for the stats, but checking a match for last year for example, I'd need to bring up the results but only select matches before then, so more work for every single pick. Just not viable sadly. 

Ok, more playing around with the stats revealed that the over 3.00 bets are running away with it. A loss yesterday but it's about the bigger picture of course. The bets of 3.00 and over have been:
57 bets
Staked: £1917
Profit: £1617
ROI: 84%
All the other bets, below 3.00, close to 400 of them, have produced a loss of over £600. 
Maybe this is the biggest golden goose I have found? I have expected the ROI for higher odds to drop when it was recently at about 48% but it has increased. 
There were also two more at 3.8 and 3.3 that won but weren't matched as I was trying to grab higher than SP so if I had taken SP of maybe 3.0 and 3.5 then this would be even higher. 
I can't see it lasting, it's just too high. But for now I will be following the higher odds only and seeing how that goes. I like testing with real bets, it makes me focus more so I will continue to post them here, but it may only be a few a day, with not many towards the later stages of tournaments. 
There are a few bets outstanding from yesterday still to complete to fill the spreadsheet too. 

First picks today.

More picks

2 more

4 more

I'm glad you got on some of the nice odds winners.

I just check Betfair in the morning and then do the picks with any matches that have a reasonable market developed. I have a database of all results for all players that I use. 
Some times I will be checking some later matches and there will be a Challenger event with a match that has some liquidity available at short notice so now becomes viable to use. 
It's all about what the price is and how often are the market/bookies right with their price. 
For Jarry for eg, He isn't value at 1.7 for my method. I could just leave it but would take 2.1 so happy to leave it in play to hopefully match. I try to ignore what goes on during the match, i am focused only on SP and the end result. 

Final picks for today. 

July running total:
Staked: £27,815
Profit: £1,272
ROI: 4.6%

Morning picks
 

More picks
 

Picks
 
 

£102 yesterday. Granollers was rained off and the other four were listed at yesterday on Betfair but then they realised they had the wrong day, so they have been left as they are until they play today. 
 

Yeah I can continue to post them I suppose. 
This ROI is net of commision, all my spreadsheet results that I share are directly copied from Betfair so commision already taken into account. 

three more. Bad day today so far. 
 

2 more

4 more
 

picks
 

4 more. That should be it until early morning.