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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

ridle

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Posts posted by ridle

  1. Re: Nobel Prize for Economics (Monday 10th October) Just wanted to point out some things about the Peace Prize betting as I followed it closely-wasn't on the winner though. IAEA started at 26! with Centrebet. And the betting was open just until 5 mins before announcement. Last odds I saw was IAEA and Nihan Hydanko (or whatever it is called) at 2.75 each. Must have been some leak that it was certain it would go to disarmorment organisations.

    I truly am a sick, sick man with a gambling agenda that envelops this kind of broad gubbins. Mind you, I'm also pissed off that I didn't put any money on Mohamed ElBaradei and the International Atomic Energy Agency winning Friday's Nobel Peace Prize. :@ ....they were available at 6/1 (bet down to 3/1) with Centrebet and Ladbrokes but were bet on as the most likeliest winners like they were the only winners (both firms apparently took a small hit but did the wise thing and got rid of the market on Thursday when they smelled a rat. As there's only five people who know ~ the judges ~ there might have been a delay as to when the result was announced meaning shrewd betting or an extremely 'well-informed' gamble!). I'm gonna have a go and try to predict who'll win the Economics Prize with the help of whatever's on the web. Ladbrokes' market have these guys as the front-runners: Paul Romer 3/1 Peter A Diamond 5/1 Paul Krugman 6/1 Elhanan Helpman 7/1 Paul Milgrom 8/1 Edmund S Phelps 9/1 Ernst Fehr 9/1 Edward P Lazear 12/1 Lars E O Svensson 14/1 Thomas J Sargent 16/1 ....several weblogs who maybe more clued up on these things don't have most of these names up in their line-up as to who'll win: http://216.109.124.98/search/cache?p=nobel+economics+2005&prssweb=Search&ei=UTF-8&fl=0&meta=vc%3D&u=www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2004/09/who_will_win_th.html&w=nobel+economics+2005&d=bauuFGFULgDw&icp=1&.intl=uk http://greeneconomics.blogspot.com/2005/09/who-will-win-2005-nobel-prize-in.html http://voluntaryxchange.typepad.com/voluntaryxchange/2005/10/who_will_win_th.html http://www.nobelpreisboerse.de/stocks.aspx?stc=6 (foreign betting exchange odds!). It's a completely niche market but I love having a go at wacko markets like these! :loon I'm gonna have the balls to fire off an e-mail and get Laddies to quote me some prices on some 'outsiders'. The likely winners are likely gonna be at least two people than just one person being singled out so I'm wondering if the potential pay-off will be worth the hassle of researching this (1/2 odds on 2 people winning, 1/3 odds if 3 people are named as winners etc; ). :lol
  2. Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Also can't see past Malisse there. Coria's form this year isn't convincing, adding the fact he is not really a grass player and Malisse is quite good on fast surfaces I would have priced this match exactly the other way round. As for Popp, I am sticking to my rule to leave the hands away from that match - he may be awful everywhere but here!

  3. Re: USA F1 Grand Prix Can't compete with that one but Centrebet settled my bets:

    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: MONTEIRO, Tiago (Jordan) @ 34.00170.002380.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: MONTEIRO, Tiago (Jordan) @ 34.00425.002210.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: KARTHIKEYAN, Narain (Jordan) @ 34.00170.001785.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: KARTHIKEYAN, Narain (Jordan) @ 34.00425.001615.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: FRIESACHER, Patrick (Minardi) @ 34.00170.001190.00
    [url=https://sports.centrebet.com/user_slip_details.php?timestamp=1119225133&d=0&before=1&p=1&bsid=36124130&bsstatus=]20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: FRIESACHER, Patrick (Minardi) @ 34.00425.001020.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: ALBERS, Christijan (Minardi) @ 34.00425.00595.00
    20 Jun 2005 09:22 CST 01:52 Bet paid out - Single Bet. MOTOR RACING; United States F1 Grand Prix - Top 8 Finish: ALBERS, Christijan (Minardi) @ 34.00170.00170.00
  4. Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) So the tournament takes off tomorrow... Here are my seven golden rules for Wimbledon (not to be taken too seriously): 1) Do not bet against any -IC. All croatian/former yugoslavian starters in both the mens and womens event look like potential dangers. Ancic,Karlovic,Ljubicic - Jankovic,Ivanovic(last year's junior champ. here!). 2) Stay away from the flippy-floppy germans. Refering to Schuettler(called Shaker here),Haas(still trying to figure out why he is talking to himself in match breaks),Kiefer(Nerves like a woman),Popp(always ascends from the lowest niveau to a good form in wimbledon). 3) NO 0-3 set bets against big servers. Even players like Federer will have difficulties to overcome players that serve lightening speed precise strokes. 4) Don't bet on clay specialist despite tempting odds. E.g. Coria/Ferrero/Robredo - there is reason some of them already announced they aren't starting here. It is simply not the same. 5) If you're going for outrights expect the upper half - go each-way. I am talking from experience here. I had Puerta to win French Open @250/1 but win only. The bottom half is surely weaker and maybe some long odds player will slip through. 6) Tim won't win this tournament. Simply had to include that - patriotism is an okay thing, but let's face it. he isn't in a form for this - i'd rather take murray! 7) Don't bet on rain. Excellent weather forecast. We are in for heat battles.:cow

  5. Re: Canadian Grand Prix

    ....even if the Minardi pair of Albers and Friesacher drove around the track really slowly' date=' they still probably wouldn't even finish the race! :lol[/quote'] Albers finished 5/8 races, Friesacher 3/8 this year. Karthikeyan (or whatever) 5/8, Monteiro 8/8!
  6. Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Wimbledon 2005 Men's Event (posted 10th June 2006, prices are subject to change!):

    K336_AS.jpg J129_AS.jpg L360_AT.jpg G628_AS.jpg SA49_AS.jpg
    Ivo Karlovic Thomas Johansson Ivan Ljubicic Richard Gasquet Robin Söderling
    150/1 2/10 pts at 5dimes 325 0.5/10 pts at 5dimes 126 1/10 pts at 5dimes 120-140/1 0.5/10 pts at betfair.comimage-1731457-801842 200/1 1/10 pts at 5dimes
    If he serves well, he is tough to beat. Exactly the game needed to have success on grass. Totally missed out on clay but seems to be top in form to achieve big things in Wimbledon. Trading @40/1 on Betfair. My opinion changed smile2.gif After beating Henman, the swedish player looks like a good outsider for Wimbledon. Small stakes though. Had an excellent start this year by reaching several finals where he almost always met Federer - and lost. Despite that he has shown that hard court is a surface he is good on and so I think his game will also suit the grass court. Didn't expect him to do so well on grass, but showed some decent perfomances at Queens. Worth a small bet. Great performance vs Federer this week when he lost narrowly. Should be much shorter in my eyes, with his big serve and agressive strokes. Won some tourn. on hard court already.
    H355_AS.jpg S694_AS.jpg M680_AS.jpg B804_AS.jpg
    Tommy Haas Radek Stepanek Xavier Malisse Karol Beck
    230/1+ 0.5/10 pts at betfair.comimage-1731457-801842 @175/1 0.5/10 pts at 5dimes @225/1 0.5/10 pts at 5dimes @200/1 0.5/10 pts at 5dimes
    Germany's most talented player who never managed to do really good at big events, a pity that is. Has a game for this surface and is doing good in Halle at the moment. Has shown some form this year, looks to do well on grass. A long shot. Doesn't he look like the brother of T Haas? And he also acts like him on court. But also a powerful player that has played decently in Queens. At those odds I can't resist. Saw him against Roddick. Impressive play, looks good on grass. May upset a lot of people in Wimbledon
  7. Re: Tennis : Gerry Webber Open/Stella Artois Championship Totally agree about Jankovic, I already lumped on her for Wimbledon glory @125/1. She had great results on hard court this year already.

    Federer - Roddick No contest. Also fancy Jankovic, who has been a highly profitable to follow this tournament, taking a set off Sharapova or even upsetting her. She has taken a set off each of Davenport and Henin-Hardenne this year so worth consideration here. At the odds you can back both options.
  8. Re: Intro Bet-F1 Special 2005 No never been to any Grand Prix and not planning to go to any - yet I would like to post latest news on BAR (see www.barf1.com), they presented their new car on sunday and are very optimistic, as all teams are. Hopefully they will fulfill their own expectations.:clap

    Eeeh, and I had you down as being a Formula 1 buff....... Do you go to any of the Grand Prix? Im thinking of going to Monaco this year - ever been? Anyone?
  9. Hi, I have been reading and visiting punter's lounge for quite a while now and I just recently started providing some of my tips at sports-tipsters, with nice success, so Paul encouraged me to post here as I find time for it. I would like to point at one bet I made on Sports-Tipster which I still find good value: Jenson Button to win a GP in 2005 @2.75 Gamebookers There are 19 races this year, some rule changes, BAR-HONDA is by no doubt one of the 3 top teams, he should have a higher chance here, as odds of UK bookies suggest, same bet: Coral @ 4/9 Skybet @1.28 Betdirect @8/15 I suggest to cover the bet at GB with the bet at Skybet: Button not to win a GP in 2005 @3.4 Makes a nice arb, although GB has quite a small max bet limit, so this price wont last too long unfortunately.:hope

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