Jump to content

Mirage

New Members
  • Posts

    1,041
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Mirage

  1. 0.5pt e/w F. du Plessis to be top tournament batsman @ 33/1 with William Hill (1/4 odds 1-4)
    0.5pt e/w G. Maxwell to be top tournament batsman @ 100/1 with Bet365 (1/4 odds 1-4)

    Both of these men had good series when coming up against each other in South Africa and I fancy them to carry on that form.

    Faf du Plessis topped his side’s runscorer chart vs Australia and you’d think he’s guaranteed a bat in every match he plays here. As captain he won’t lose his place and at number three he should get plenty of balls to face on more than one occasion. He’s one of many that come in to this tournament with very good knowledge of Indian conditions – he’s played in the IPL since 2011. Good form and guaranteed time at the crease make this price look very good.

    Glenn Maxwell finished the series against South Africa in good touch. He was at the crease when the winning runs were scored in the series decider and his partnership with David Warner in the second match set them up for victory. Australia play at the home ground of KXIP twice and that suits Maxwell nicely since it’s his home IPL ground. At number five, facing enough balls could be an issue but with his talent he may only need one occasion of getting in early for him to register a big score.  He’s more than capable of scoring quickly at the end of an innings so he should be able to accumulate plenty of runs in that role. Despite the risk of him not getting much time at the crease, 100/1 seems far too big for a man in this kind of form and with this kind of talent.

  2. 0.5pt e/w J. Bumrah to be top tournament bowler @ 20/1 with Bet365 (1/4 odds 1-4)
    0.5pt e/w D. Steyn to be top tournament bowler @ 33/1 with Paddy Power (1/4 odds 1-4)

    I’m confident that India and South Africa will go far in this tournament so it’s logical to go with bowlers from their sides at prices I believe offer value.

    Jasprit Bumrah comes in to this off the back of a successful Asia Cup – taking six wickets and doing well when given the ball in the latter overs. The expectation on this India side will be huge but Bumrah has enough talent around him in the bowling attack to ensure that he isn’t carrying his side’s hopes on his shoulders. This will be the first time some batsmen have faced him so that element of surprise could catch some out. He’s only young and has relatively little experience but the success so far in his career and his ability to outfox batsmen lead me to believe 20/1 is a little big.

    On the other end of the experience scale is Dale Steyn. We all know he’s one of the best bowlers in the world and that is partly because he has bundles of experience of pressure situations. Steyn has been a consistently high performer in the IPL over the years so knowledge of the conditions isn’t an issue and although he’s not played a great deal lately, he had a couple of run-outs vs Australia and came through those ok. In a side that should go far, Steyn should be up there challenging for the top wicket-taker title.

  3. 1pt India to win Group 2 @ 13/8 with Stan James

    This price looks huge. I’m not sure it needs much justification as they come here following another Asia Cup win and with a side packed full of talent. They’ve been consistently good in T20s for a while now and their side are more than used to the pressure their nation will place upon their shoulders. Australia have just beat South Africa in South Africa but their bowling attack, Faulkner apart, concerns me – they lack a quality spinner and potentially another pace bowler. New Zealand look short of a batsman and a bowler and Pakistan could be a lively outsider or lose every game. Whilst the odds on them to win the tournament look a bit tight, I’m very surprised that India aren’t around 5/4-6/4 to win the group.

  4. 1pt South Africa to win tournament @ 11/2 with Skybet
    1pt South Africa to win Group 1 @ 15/8 with BetVictor

    South Africa have all of the ingredients to go far in this competition. I think they’ve been put in the easier of the two groups so should be more than able to swat aside a transitional Sri Lanka, a West Indies side without some of their big names and an England team who they’ve just beaten 2-0 at home.

    Nine of South Africa’s probable starting eleven have IPL experience so these conditions shouldn’t be a problem. In de Villiers, Amla/de Kock and du Plessis they have a powerful top three and an in-form Miller lurks down the order fully capable of finishing an innings. Tahir is one of the best spinners in the world at the moment whilst Rabada has shown no signs of being overawed by occasions in his fledgling career. Add those to Steyn and you have a triple threat that will rival everyone else’s bowling attack.

    South Africa have just lost a home series to Australia but that doesn’t concern me – if anything I’m happy because the price has remained value, if not increased. That series was used to experiment with the top two and with the bowling attack whilst a few changes were made in the middle order too. There were enough big performances to leave me confident that they will go to India in good spirits.

    This side has an abundance of talent with the bat and enough variation with the ball to cause sides problems. 11/2 could look very big very early in the tournament. The 15/8 on them to win the group also looks very big.

  5. An Australia win meant that the series score outright lost. Rabada struck with at the death to deny Tahir the number one wicket-taker spot for his side but the dead-heat still brings in a profit. du Plessis managed to bring in his outright although Miller did make it a bit too close for comfort. All of this, minus the one point loser in today's game, means a healthy final profit of +14.63 points.

  6. Chelsea vs PSG:

    1pt Both teams to score @ 3/4 with Betfair

    Both of these sides should go in to tonight’s game looking to score as one Chelsea goal puts PSG on the brink and vice versa. This is the third season in a row that the sides have met in the knockout stages and both sides have found the net on three of the four previous occasions.

    Chelsea are unbeaten in their last ten at home and in eight of those games they’ve scored and conceded at least one. PSG have found the back of the net in eight of their last nine away ties.

    Chelsea are still missing Terry and Zouma whilst PSG have doubts over key men Verratti and Matuidi. These potenital weak points plus the firepower each possess and their need to score makes the 3/4 look just big enough to be worth taking.

  7. Zenit vs Benfica:

    1pt Zenit to qualify @ 2/1 with BoyleSports
    1pt Zenit to beat Benfica @ 21/20 with Ladbrokes
    1pt Both teams to score @ Evens with Paddy Power

    I rarely take three bets in one game but it could have been even more – two others narrowly missed the cut.

    I think the bookmakers have underestimated Zenit in this match and have overestimated Benfica’s patchwork defence. The hosts come in to this game without Javi Garcia but it’s the visitors who have the bigger problems to deal with. Benfica are without Luisao, Lopez, Jardel, Cesar and Almeida and only Lindelof of their recognised centre-backs is available. Jardel and Cesar have played in every game since the start of the group stage whilst Almeida has played in six of those seven matches. The absence of the ability and, potentially more importantly, experience of Luisao (four appearances) and Lopez (two appearances) will be felt once more.

    Whilst Zenit weren’t in a strong group, their home record in the group was impressive. They scored seven and conceded only two in their games against Gent, Lyon and Valencia. They’ve done well in the league when playing host, only losing two of their ten home games so far. Benfica were also in a relatively weak group and did ok away, scoring five and conceding five as they beat Atletico, lost to Galatasaray and drew at Astana. Benfica have been great away from home in the league, winning eleven of the twelve games, drawing the other. They’ve managed to score at least two goals on eight of those twelve occasions.

    These two sides met twice in the 2014/15 Champions League and Zenit were victorious on both occasions, winning 2-0 away and 1-0 at home in the group stage.

    The main negative against Zenit is the fact that, since December, they’ve only played one competitive game – the first leg. Benfica haven’t had the luxury of having weeks to prepare for these games but they may be a bit sharper than their opponents.

    Despite Zenit coming in to this following friendlies rather than competitive matches, I think the prices on them to win and qualify offer value. Zenit’s home record to-date in this year’s competition has to be admired and odds- against on them winning the match looks a good price. Benfica’s defence is there to be got at so Zenit will fancy their chances of scoring at least a couple. One Benfica goal could end Zenit’s hopes of progressing but at 2/1 I’m willing to take a chance on Zenit out-scoring them by a big enough margin. Benfica have a habit of scoring away from home and Zenit need to score at least once, therefore, odds-against on both teams to score looks good value.

  8. Vfl Wolfsburg vs KAA Gent:

    1pt Both teams to score @ 3/4 with Betfair

    These two sides played out a five-goal thriller in the first game and I think there’ll be goals again tonight. Wolfsburg have Jung out but should be able to cover adequately but they’ll be sweating over the fitness of key players Draxler and Kruse. I’d imagine at least one, if not both, will be risked if it is touch-and-go but, either way, they should have enough to progress. Mitrovic will be a big miss for Gent as the Serbian has been an ever-present for them up until now.

    The form of these sides are at opposite ends of the scale. Wolfsburg come in to the game having only lost once in seven and that was against Bayern Munich. Overall they have a very good record at home, only losing three times all season with two of those against Munich and the other against Dortmund. Despite that good record, they have conceded on all but six occasions. Gent had a great spell of one defeat in fourteen not so long ago but have since only won twice in seven. They do have a habit of scoring at least one away from home – only failing on 4 occasions all season.

    Both of these sides have a good habit of getting on the scoresheet so, for me, the odds on offer represent a little bit of value.

  9. 3rd ODI:

    1pt G. Maxwell to be top Australian runscorer at 8/1 with Skybet

    We go in to the third and final T20 in good shape as all three outrights are still very much alive. We're effectively on South Africa to win the match at 13/8, du Plessis leads his side's runs chart and Tahir is a good performance away from topping the bowlers'.

    Like Durban, past results indicate that wickets should fall. In the two T20s and one ODI here since the start of 2015, fourty of the sixty wickets fell with only one of the six innings seeing less than five bastmen sent packing. This makes the 8/1 on Glenn Maxwell to top score for Australia look a bit big. Maxwell and David Warner took Australia to victory last time out and the former's 75 will ensure he comes here feeling in good touch. We all know that Maxwell can be inconsistent but with wickets likely to fall he should get time to play himself in. 8/1 for a man in form and likely to get a bat looks too big to turn down.

  10. 2nd T20:

    1pt K. Rabada to be top South African bowler @ 7/2 with BoyleSports

    I backed Rabada in this market in the first T20 and I'm more than happy to do so again at this price. He picked up two wickets in that game and should follow that up with another solid performance at his home ground. South Africa played England here in T20 and ODI matches earlier this year and Rabada chipped in with six wickets over the course of those two games.

    Familiar surroundings, a rich run of form and a shaky Australian line-up are enough for me to give the youngster another chance to top his side's wicket column.

  11. Watford vs Leicester City:

    1pt Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 Betfair

    Leicester travel to Watford for the Saturday evening game hoping to extend or maintain the lead they had before the start of the day.

    Watford come in to this match in inconsistent form. They’ve won, drawn and lost a couple of their previous six games and have only managed to score four, conceding four too. They’ve had a tough run of games lately against Chelsea, Man. United and Spurs but did well to come away with a win at Crystal Palace amongst those. This game isn’t much easier but I do think there is reason for them to hope because they’re still looking a solid side. They were unfortunate to lose against Man. United in midweek when a direct free-kick was the only thing separating the two sides. With relegation very unlikely and Europe just as far away, Watford have the luxury of being able to start playing with freedom.

    Leicester come in to this after a couple of unconvincing displays. After leaving it late to beat Norwich at home they let West Brom snatch a point in midweek. Those results suggest to me that a bit of nerves and/or tiredness are starting to creep in to their game. The Foxes have lost two of their last five away games after going unbeaten since the start of the season. Whilst they should have Kante available for this game, how fit he is remains to be seen. He’s such a key player for them that any niggles could leave his team exposed.

    Watford have a very good defence and Leicester have the league’s best attack so something has got to give here and I think it’ll be the former. Despite their defensive record Watford have conceded two or more in four of the five games they’ve played at home against the top seven. They’ve scored in four of the five games, despite their poor attack. Leicester usually concede on the road but they also usually score. All of the above leads me to believe that the 5/4 on offer for over 2.5 goals looks the value play.

  12. Middlesbrough vs Wolves:

    1pt Middlesbrough (-1 goal) to beat Wolves @ 15/8 with Skybet

    Middlesbrough welcome Wolves to the Riverside with the chance to go top with a win. Despite losing in midweek they should come in to this game with confidence high, partly due to the last time they played at the Riverside when they put on a real show against Cardiff. Despite falling behind to a 30+ yard wonder goal the home side looked comfortable, creating a hatful of chances. Teams are relying on moments like Fabio’s to break down Middlesbrough at the Riverside because they’re coming up against the best overall, best home and best away defence in the Championship. It was interesting to see Aitor Karanka go with two strikers against Blackburn and if he does the same again tonight Wolves should be in for a rough ride. Rhodes has looked very sharp without yet finding the net and Nugent bagged a goal shortly after coming on vs Cardiff. Ramirez was outstanding vs Cardiff so he may come back in in place of either of the frontmen.

    Wolves too should come here with their heads high. They stopped a mini-slump by winning at the weekend but they haven’t won away in 4 games. They’ve already played 4 games away to sides in the top seven and on three of those occasions they’ve let in two or more – twice conceding four. Wolves won’t be able to rely on their fans as much as usual tonight due to a boycott which should see less than 250 travel to cheer them on – a lot less than previous League Cup and League visits to the Riverside.

    Middlesbrough rarely concede at home and, if producing anything like the displays vs Cardiff and Fulham, they could run away comfortable winners here. I fancy them to win to nil but think the value is with giving Wolves a goal start. It’s tough to see the away side breaking down the home defence so I’m happy to cheer for a comfortable Middlesbrough win.

  13. Birmingham vs Hull:

    1pt Both teams to score @ 5/4 with William Hill

    Tonight sees a play-off hopeful host an automatic promotion hopeful at St. Andrew’s.

    Birmingham come in to the game after a 2-0 defeat away to QPR and, prior to that, a handful of low-scoring affairs – over their last six games they only managed to score five and conceded four. The fact that three of those four goals came in the one game highlights further just how much they’ve struggled to find the net. They do have one of the worst attacks in the league and because of that they consistently struggle to break down the better defences. Doubts over Gleeson’s fitness are a bit of a worry as he is one of just a few players who has managed to score a handful of goals.

    Hull hardly come in to this game full of goals either, scoring just four and conceding one over their last six outings. They have the best defence in the league away from home and the joint-best overall so seeing them regularly keep their opponents out is no surprise. Steve Bruce has a settled team at the moment and comes in to this with a full squad and the comfort of having a full 4 days between this game and their big FA Cup tie at home against Arsenal. That game should be far enough away for his players to be fully focused on this test.

    All of the above points to a low-scoring affair so it is therefore understandable to see that under 2.5 and both teams not to score are comfortably odds-on. Having said that, when you look in to how Birmingham have done at home recently and how Hull have got on away, I think there is a bit of value in going against popular opinion. The last six games at St. Andrew’s have produced five Birmingham wins and twelve goals, nine of them being for the home side. Hull’s last six away games have seen them come out of top four times, scoring six of the nine goals. Therefore, both of these teams should be coming in to this with confidence. For that reason, I’m happy to take both teams to score and hope for a thrilling 1-1 draw, a nine-goal thriller or something in between. As Mark Twain once said, “Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it’s time to pause and reflect”. Hopefully Mr. Twain’s quote comes good for us tonight…

  14. 1st T20:

    1pt K. Rabada to be the top South African bowler @ 7/2 with BoyleSports

    1pt D. Miller to be the top South African batsman @ 11/1 with Paddy Power

    South Africa are very strong at Durban – they won both T20s and both ODIs here in 2015 – but it’s hard to know how Australia will go due to the amount of changes they have made.

    Past results here indicate that plenty of wickets should fall – only two of the last eight T20 and ODI innings have seen fewer than 7 wickets taken. Therefore, I think there is a bit of value lower down the order. Although both sides could look to use their full squads and make it a bit harder to predict who will line up, I do think there’s a good chance David Miller will get a bat. Miller played here for the Dolphins in the latest Ram Slam competition and scores of 36 and 70 in ODIs here last year indicate that he is more than comfortable returning in South African colours. There’s every chance that South Africa’s top order could steal the show but for the reasons outlined above, I’m happy to take Miller to put on another show.

    Not many South Africans come in to this game with confidence higher than Kagiso Rabada. The youngster performed spectacularly vs England in multiple formats and last year he picked up a few wickets on this ground for his country. Pace bowlers tend to do well here and for many of the Australian side his bowling will be a new experience. I think 7/2 represents a bit of value.

  15. 1pt South Africa to win the series 2-1 @ 13/8 with Coral

    1pt Faf du Plessis to be the top South African series run scorer @ 9/2 with Bet365

    1pt Imran Tahir to be the top South African series bowler @ 11/4 with William Hill

    With the T20 World Cup just around the corner, these two teams will be hoping this series boosts confidence rather than hinders preparations. The series is a best-of-three event with games in Durban (March 4th), Johannesburg (March 6th) and Cape Town (March 9th). At this stage the weather looks clear for all three games.

    South Africa come in to this game with a relatively settled squad and in good form after beating England 2-0 earlier this year. Their main selection dilemmas will surround the fitness of Steyn (i.e. when to play him and who he replaces) and the opening partnership. It looks as though two of de Kock, de Villiers and Amla will open and I wouldn’t rule out South Africa experimenting a little with all three. With the uncertaintly surrounding the top two, it could be a good time to look elsewhere in the top South African run scorer market. Faf du Plessis stands out as the value selection for me. He should come in at number 3 and played fairly well vs England (25 and 22 not out). At 9/2 it’s definitely worth a play on a man who should get a bat in every game.

    At first glance Kyle Abbott looks a great price in the top South African bowler market but, with Steyn now fit, there is some doubt over how much he will play. Abbott has been an ever-present in South Africa’s side over their last 14 T20 games but Dale Steyn played in none of those. It does seem harsh to drop him after a good series versus England but, with the doubt over his place, I’m happy to look elsewhere. Imran Tahir is the market leader and I think the price of 11/4 represents a bit of value. Tahir was fantastic against England, picking up 5 wickets in total. He’s a guaranteed starter, comes in full of confidence and should get his full overs in in every game.

    It’s hard to judge how Australia will go here as their last T20 series ended in a 3-0 defeat at home to India. They’ve made a lot of changes to the squad that faced Indian and have appointed Steve Smith as captain. They’ve certainly got the talent to win a game but it may take them time to gel so, for that reason, I’m happy to side with this well-oiled South African machine taking a 2-1 series victory.

  16. Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs – 1pt Broncos to win @ 6/4 with Stan James I think there’s been a bit of an overreaction to both teams’ performances in Week 1. The Chiefs went to Texas and recorded a comfortable win over a poor Houston Texans side. Alex Smith played well but a couple of efforts to throw deep showed that he remains a QB who will always be most comfortable throwing the short, safe options. Don’t get me wrong, he does that well but sometimes he will need to produce that bit extra when the going gets tough. Jamaal Charles and Travis Kelce both had their usual good games but the O-line does remain a bit of a worry. Although the Chiefs were impressive they didn’t have to get out of second gear for most of the game. Brian Hoyer getting benched summed up the standard of an offense that is hamstrung by the loss of their star RB. The Broncos have had a tough few days since their win over Baltimore. Yes, their offense didn’t click but we do have to remember that the Ravens have a very solid defense – one which will take the sting out of a lot of sides this year. Peyton Manning didn’t have a great game but I don’t think that people should be jumping to conclusions just yet. This is an offense that still has the likes of Sanders, Thomas and Anderson so I’m willing to believe that the low score in Week 1 will be an anomaly come the end of the season rather than the start of a trend. This Broncos roster has plenty of playmakers on defense to again be up there with the best in the league. That means that more often than not the offense won’t actually need to do a huge amount to win games. The Broncos have won 8 of the last 10 games between these sides, including the last 4 in Kansas. The Broncos have far too many weapons on both sides of the ball to be anywhere near this price. I am more than happy to put my faith in Manning, Sanders, Miller, Ware and co. to come away from Kansas with yet another win.

  17. Minnesota Vikings @ San Francisco 49ers – 1pt 49ers to win @ 11/10 with Stan James This for me is the definition of a 50-50 matchup. The offseason stories around these two have been at opposite ends of the scale with the press thinking the Vikings are set for a good season and that the 49ers will find it tough to recover from losing so many proven performers. The main stories surrounding the Vikings over the past year or so have usually had something to do with Adrian Peterson. The star RB returns in this game and that should immediately release some of the pressure on Bridgewater to live up to expectations. Everyone seems to have Bridgewater pencilled in for a very good year and although I do think he’ll be in this league for years to come, I still need convincing that 2015 is the year he goes from good to very good. The second-year QB had a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 14-12 last year and the side went 6-6 in games he started. Overall the Vikings finished a respectable 7-9 but away from home they were dire, only recording 2 wins from their 8 games. One of the main reasons they couldn’t get to .500 was that their offense wasn’t consistent. They were 27th in the total yards standings and whilst they should do better than that with Peterson on the field, it is their passing game that requires the biggest improvement. They’ve brought in Mike Wallace but whether Bridgewater can hit him consistently (especially with the deep ball) remains to be seen. The defense was fairly solid overall but there was a big difference between their play against the pass (the good) and their play against the run (the bad and the ugly). The 49ers are a team with a lot to prove to a lot of people in 2015. Any team that loses the likes of Gore, Crabtree, Iupati, Willis, Borland, the Smiths and a couple of more will find it hard. I do however think people have written them off a bit too quickly, especially those who think they’ll only record 4 or 5 wins. In Colin Kaepernick the 49ers also have a QB who is looking to make that jump up to the next tier. I’m not convinced by what the guy has done so far but there is no denying that he has the potential to be special. It’s his ability to go from very good to awful within a set of downs that worries me. In Dockett and Torrey Smith the 49ers have brought in a couple of players who should be able to handle the expectations on their shoulders but I think the biggest boost for them is the return of NaVorro Bowman at linebacker. The linebacker returns after sitting out of the full 2014 season with injury and he will need to come in to this game like he has never been away. His performance will go a long way to deciding how well Peterson does. In Carlos Hyde I think the 49ers have a man to fill the big gap left by Gore and Jarryd Hayne looks like a guy who can come up with big plays. Those two RBs will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing this Vikings defense. In short, yes the 49ers have lost some big names but they still have plenty of people on their roster who are capable of leading from the front. The Vikings still come in to this with a couple of question marks over them so odds-against for the home side represents a bit of value in what I think is essentially a 50-50 game.

  18. Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills – 1pt Colts -3.5 @ 11/8 with SkyBet Everyone seems to be well-and-truly on the Bills-for-the-play-offs bandwagon going in to this season but I’m not so sure. Don’t get me wrong, I see where people are coming from and think they have half a chance but I have big reservations about their QB options. Tyrod Taylor looked good in the preseason and he could turn out to be the piece of the puzzle the Bills need but, we have seen a number of QBs crumble when Week 1 comes around. In Lesean McCoy Taylor has a good RB to take the pressure off him but I have a feeling that Buffalo will need to put at least 4 touchdowns on the board here. That will require some clutch plays from their QB and I’ve seen nothing yet to suggest that he is capable of handling pressure – especially pressure against one of the main contenders. As I have said previously, I see the Colts being involved in a number of high-scoring games this season and if LeSean McCoy goes well here this could be the first. It may come down to Luck vs Taylor and McCoy vs Gore. Rex Ryan’s arrival in Buffalo virtually guarantees that every visiting QB will face pressure however; Andrew Luck is one of the best in the business when it comes to using his feet and playing out of the pocket. In Hilton and Johnson he has two great WR options and if Dorsett lives up to his billing there could be too many options for the Bills to cover. I do have reservations over the Colts’ defense but, although they will need to cover the likes of Watkins and McCoy, they must come here with confidence knowing they’re up against an inexperienced QB. If this does turn in to a shootout I fully expect the Colts to come out on top and they should do so relatively comfortably, pulling away in the latter half of the game.

  19. Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets – 1pt Jets -4.5 @ 11/10 with Bet365 The Jets come in to this game after an up and down off-season. Getting the likes of Revis, Cromartie and Marshall in has given the franchise a much needed boost whilst seeing Williams fall so far down the draft was a nice little bonus. Williams will have a big role to play this Sunday thanks to some idiotic decision-making by Sheldon Richardson. Williams is in a nice position here as he’s slotting in to a defense that has proven performers in every position. Yes, the pressure will be on because of his reputation but he won’t be required to be the star straight away. He’s got time to bed in. Joining Richardson on the sidelines for the season-opener is QB Geno Smith, again thanks to some idiotic-decision making. Smith will be replaced by Ryan Fitzpatrick, a man who is known for taking chances – a ‘gunslinger’ if you like. In Decker and Marshall the former Texan has a couple of quality targets to hit. He should have no worries about going for the big plays knowing how good the Jets’ O-line and defense are/should be. The Browns come in to this game with Josh McCown as their starting QB, no quality RB and a couple of average WRs. I just can’t see how they’ll be able to create scoreboard pressure. Even if McCown has a good day behind an O-line that is able to stand its ground, he still has to get passes past the formidable pairing of Revis and Cromartie. The Jets’ defense should dominate here so McCown is likely to face pressure on a regular basis and, without a running game to turn to, things could turn messy. Whilst the Jets look like a side who are a QB away from making a run for the play-offs, the Browns are missing a lot of pieces. The lack of scoring options for the men from Cleveland should cost them in New Jersey.

  20. Slovenian GP Outright - 0.5pt e/w N.-K. Iversen to win @ 10/1 with Bet365 (1/4 odds 1-3) Tai Woffinden will probably take another step towards his second world title in Krsko but it is hard to back him at around 3/1. The Brit has stated publicly on multiple occasions that he's happy to sit and accumulate points and that's usually backed up when he doesn't make the gate in a semi-final or final, like in Gorzow. It's also hard to get excited about Nicki Pedersen and Matej Zagar, two men who were involved in a nasty crash in Poland. Although Zagar dusted himself down to win the final he comes here with the added pressure of being the home favourite. I think NKI is the value pick here. The last time a GP was held here in 2013 the Dane came fourth in the final and in 2008 he made the semis. He was up and down in Gorzow, looking very fast when recording a couple of wins but also having bike problems on his way to a semi-final exit. That kind of sums up his season - he's made four semis in eight GPs, converting one of those to a gold medal (in Cardiff). I think that Cardiff performance is a good sign heading in to this weekend as, because Krsko is on and off the calendar, the riders won't have many preconceived ideas. That ability to adapt, his past form around this track and the added incentive of still being in the hunt for a top 3 finish are good enough reasons to get involved at this price.

  21. Hi, Just a few of points/queries:

    1. Is the app no longer working? I've tried downloading it a couple of times and each time it installs and I click to use it I get a white screen and it closes automatically.
    2. Is there no way to paste using the mobile website? Whenever I try to the text doesn't appear in the box.
    3. When I hit return during a post on the desktop site my cursor sometimes jumps elsewhere, is this a problem others have had?
    4. My webpage sometimes crashes and reloads when typing posts. I can restore what I've typed but it is annoying when it happens.
    5. EDIT: When posting I sometimes receive an error message telling me it has failed although when I refresh my page the post has uploaded
    6. EDIT: I regularly see a warning message at the top of the screen. I would paste it but I'm unable to for some reason. I've tried both 'Paste as Plain text' and 'Paste from Word'.

×
×
  • Create New...