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Everything posted by giraldi

  1. How to find the most underrated teams of the moment using CGMBet. Here are my criteria, but you can play with the parameters.
  2. Hi My last message here was almost 1 year ago. I am fine, thank you If you followed me over the years probably you know that every few weeks there is a major new feature. Now, you can imagine what happened during one year. Of course, it-s too much to write here all but I ca tell that has been big improvements in almost all sections. What I like the most are the improvements in the Advanced Goals Statistics. Can set a lot of filters, minute, goals, even to pick a live game with the score, minute, teams ELO then see what happend in the past ..with percent, odds ...et
  3. Most of us can't see all the matches played until a certain moment and make decisions for the next match based strictly on the past results and not on what really happened on the field. It is impossible to fix it but we can try something. Example:.... Round 17: C. Palace - Brighton 1-1 Shots on target: 4-10 Ball possession: 34-66 Don-t you think that C. Palace - Brighton 1-3 would have been a better result to be considered for the next decisions?
  4. Following a few suggestions, I made a zoom to 2016 season and added Leicester. Extremely interesting. All big 5 dropped below 2000 ELO points at the same time (probability < 0.5 %), exactly when Leicester went to it's maximum ever, a little bit over big 5 average.
  5. Another interesting picture: I generated the ELO graph for top 5 teams in Premier, starting with 2005 season, almost 600 games. 1. There is a general downward trend, obviously. 2. Without underestimating the merits of Leicester, something happened to top5 in the 2016 season.
  6. Probably most of us are wondering if the (successful) strategies available before the lockdown will work after the season is resumed First of all, my opinion is that during the lockdown was a bad idea to bet unless you have info about the teams involved in Belarusian second league. On other words, it would have been a kind of lotto for me but for a guy that lives in Belarus would have been a gold mine. As he knows the teams and the players will find easier the value especially because there will be a lot of guys like me that don-t even can read correctly the teams name.
  7. Hi I am 100% sure you will find the answer to your questions as here are many very experienced guys around. Until one of them answers you, please allow me to share my conclusions after, a few years ago, I asked myself a similar question. Of course, as I said, this is just an opinion I developed based on my research. Here is just a very short summary. I will not give names or examples. Assuming that you are an honest player, and don-t try to take any undeserved advantage and you are not addicted and with problems related to gambling I found out that bookies can
  8. I would say, based on my own experience that is extremely complicated to calculate statistically how will be affected a team if one/two players are missing What I tried a few years ago it was to record all minutes played by each player, the results...etc. Then to compare what happened when the player was on the field with the games they were not. Soon, I realised this is not enough anyway. I find out that if a player is missing, there is extremely important (again) to see combinations of players. I found out that some players play much better and the team had better results if other
  9. Thank you Froment for your intervention. You are right, my software is just a tool not a prediction software. It is just a paint brush. Not even an excellent quality paint brush can quarantee that if you will be the next Van Gogh but for sure will help those that have talent and work hard to sell more paintings than those that paint with low quality colored pencils. :)) Hi Zabadac, interesting comments. You contradict yourself a little bit when said "to beat the bookies". After that, you are right in my opinion, we need to be more informed, equiped ...etc than the other players not
  10. It-s extremely hard without results, numbers, tables, statistics. So, just to see some random results and standings I created a kind of game. It is about a virtual league. You can create a 20 teams league then play the season round by round or even minute by minute. The goals are scored based on what happened in similar played real games. In the SETTINGS menu you can choose 20 teams then a virtual season is generated when you save the teams. Finally, select the Virtual League like any other league and play it round by round. It-s possible to choose a team to follow (highli
  11. A tutorial to introduce the new Early Alert software Will learn to set up an alert and to backtest it. Many advanced users consider the backtesting module as one of the most powerful modules I have created so far. (and more features are coming).
  12. Last weekend, a colour blind user told me that couldn't distinguish between wins and draws and asked me if it is a chance to do something about. I did not feel very comfortable because I should think about this limitation earlier so I created a new tool that allows him, and everyone else, to change the colours across the software. It is very easy now to set the colours you want. Here is just a random example.
  13. The new Early Alert testing page gives ideas to advanced users If I can set a past period why do not see what would have been the yield for various markets if all the conditions are true? (operational soon)
  14. These days CGMBET celebrates 9 years since the first international version. The first versions of Home and Tables pages in the pictures below. 😍 And of course, as every year, big discounts on the site, for absolutely anything.
  15. Finally after a few months of hard work the new software CGMBet Early Alert System is open for trial! What it is about: This is a new software that allows you to define very complex alerts based (even on minutes interval), to see the results on your screen or to ask to receive the alerts directly to your email address. Can be set one alert for each of the following markets: Won, Draw, Lost, Over, Under, Scored, Conceded, GG,NG and for each market a few other markets, for example, Won by 1 goal, Under 3.5 goals...etc Anyway, the list for new markets is still open. There i
  16. Yes, it was not very difficult and this new feature helps a lot the upsets hunters It is possible now to save/load the default settings. (please use with caution as it was not time to test it completely) I noticed lately that many advanced users are interested in the Upsets module. Not only because it allows to check when happened, the teams that did it more then another..etc but also allows you to see if would have been a good idea to back or to lay upsets in different leagues In the example below I checked the Premier where the favourites, with odds <2.00, did not w
  17. Following your suggestions, the new multiselection feature in the UPCOMING section allows now, with a right-click, to add all games selected, one by one, to Bets Tracker or to My Games list.
  18. The EXPORT is very flexible now and can export almost everything in XLS or CSV. As users requested, I added the teams' codes in order to handle in their own projects the teams' names changes. Chile, Ireland 1,2 and Japan 1,2 are ready for the next season!
  19. One of the games given by the "Suggestions" module is Troyes - Chateauroux away @ 4.84 over 2.5 @ 2.26 The odds are too good so I took a look at this suugestion from a stats point of view in a video this morning. I 've just checked if the suggestion is not far away from "normality" and it seems it-s not. See the video below. You must check the latest real info for the best decision! youtu.be/ux17xFoSe9U
  20. Only1woz, thank you the new fixtures are usually added with around 1 week before. Prbably this saturday your preffered league will be there. Now, about a big improvement in the Tables section: The old table can be extended/collapsed now to see the opponent's in the home vs away tables Ex: Hoffenheim has the next game away with Freiburg. We see at a glance that did better away since Freiburg did worse at home comparing to overall results Might be very useful
  21. I just uploaded a new video about lesser-known but very useful features. After 3 excellent weeks (still +19% last 30 days in 66 bets), the suggestions module lost 3 units. Won only 7/24 bets but odds>3.00 helped. 2 suggestions in the Draw market for today https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKPV6OHeS-o
  22. Yes, Today 3 out of 6 with more than 55% yield Last 30 days More than 25% in 50 games in all markets More than 100% in 20 games in DRAW market It is too good..don-t know what to say. Check the Suggestions module but keep calm, look for info then make your own decision.
  23. A new tutorial to learn to find (+) or (-) streaks, with examples like teams that scored at home many games in a row in 1-30 m. The suggestions module still has +25% in the last 30 days and is going to release another 6 suggestions for today. Of course, I have enough experience to know that +99% for DRAW market in the last 30 days in 17 bets can not be sustained for a long time but at the moment is very exciting to wait any new suggestion the module gives. https://youtu.be/1akANPbhRJ4
  24. Excellent results for the Suggestions module over the week-end (18 games +35% yield), again, but I will not insist because there is not any intention to give tips but just a few games to think about, to dig deeper and to make the best decision. Many asked if possible to back-test the filters they created in the UPCOMING section. The answer is YES, but it is not so obvious (my bad) so I just wanted to introduce a new video-tutorial that will learn you how to back test the filters. I considered a very simple case when I am interested to check what would have been the results las
  25. As I said many times, I am strongly against blindly follow tips without make your own deep assesment. The "Suggestions" module of my software just applies a few set of rules (written by me of course) then provide a few suggestions. Of course I keep an eye on the output to not be extemely strange "suggestions". The start, first 2-3 weeks, was extremely bad (it was -70% at some moment) but after a few changes it seems OK and now we have around -10% yield from almost 70 games. The last 30 days (42 bets) had +13% overall with an incredible 75% on draw maket from 12 games Again, this
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