Pay Day
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Re: Everton v West Brom > March 31 Everton vs WBA DNB @ 3.7 Everton vs WBA DRAW @ 3.7 Both Betfair Everton are, as usual, ending the season on a bit of a high . If only they could replicate their end of seasons form at the beginning of the season then they would fight for the champions league every year. For once it seems that their injury list is smaller, and the signing of a fit an inform Jelavic seems to give them a quality focal point up front for the first time in a while. WBA are wildly inconsistent, seemingly happy in the knowledge that they are safe and battling with half a dozen teams to reach the top 10. Only 4 points separate the sides. I fancy WBA to take something here as they are far better away from home this season; they have the 4th best away record in the league, and are just 3 points behind city in the away table. As well as the teams being evenly matched, Everton's FA Cup tolls might have taken their eyes off a league where they have little to play for. We saw something similar when they recently played away to liverpool and home to arsenal as they seemed lifeless and blunt half of the time, potentially due to FA cup exploits. I see no reason for a plucky WBA not to at least to get a draw here against a team who will be definitely be affected (be it positive or negative) through FA Cup exertions. Also their home and away records are almost identical, Everton 21 pts amassed, WBA 22ts amassed. Putting these things into perspective I see both bets I've taken to be overpriced.
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > March 13th Interesting! Admittedly i didn't do too much research into these players discipline history.. Oh well a merseyside derby can hopefully change that :)
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > March 13th On the basis of my previous post and having consulted the lineups: Shown a card? YES Henderson @ 6 - young, enthusiastic, in affect playing for his career after dodgy season so far Spearing @ 3.1 - flies into challenges, already sent off this season, passionate scouser Pieenar @ 3.3 - refreshed and energetic after sitting out last game, usually in the thick of the action Fellaini @ 2.18 - serial fouler Betfair :hope
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > March 13th Statistically unders is the way forward for two teams with better defences than attacks and given their goal involvement this year, but I think it could be an open game. This could be the first time that Everton go there with a team that on paper is almost equal or even better than their rivals (just my opinion don't want to start a player debate on here so not going to go into detail), and thus they could really give it a go in terms of attack (something that is quite alien to them at Anfield in recent seasons; where they are usually happy to sit deep and soak up pressure- hoping rather than expecting to score). In a game where form/results goes out the window, over 2.5 @ 2.2 with Betfair is tempting. What I am more interested on is the cards market. With Phil Dowd as referee I have noticed he always seems to be involved in "busy" games handing out loads of cards and being involved in controversail decisions when the game he is refereeing is the only one being played or on TV at a certain time. Now its probably a coincidence but I wouldn't be surprised if he was very card happy once more for the above reason and also because it is a derby, the discipline history with these sides in this game and the Dalglish factor. I'll wait for team news :ok
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Re: Tottenham v Wigan > 31 Jan Punters should remember this game played at White Hart Lane throws up many of surprises. Wigan have won here 1-0 twice in a row in the league, at similar long odds. The year before that Spurs won 9-1 :eek 1-0 Wigan at small stakes is 48-1 on Betfair for anyone interested ;)
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 21-22 January Initial thoughts are betting on these 2 games I think Norwich are overpriced at home to Chelsea. Norwich are on a good run of form, scoring plenty of goals (albeit usually conceding also). Chelsea have really struggled this past month and were lucky to keep a clean sheet at home to Sunderland. The game before they were lucky also to beat Wolves. Although they signed Cahill I really doubt his step up to a supposed top 4 achieving side; he has had an awful year with Bolton. Liverpool look overpriced too. They enjoy playing away from home as home teams are inclined to attack a bit more. Even with Suarez they are incapable of breaking teams down to inferior home teams on a regular basis. But Bolton probably won't have signed a defender to replace Cahill so they would line up with Wheater and Knight :puke at centre back. I expect Bellamy to start having only played 20 mins against Stoke who can cause problems for Bolton and in addition Gerrard most likely dominating the centre. They are very sturdy at the back so I think a comfortable Liverpool victory awaits.
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Re: England > FA Cup 3rd round > Fri 6/1- Mon 9/1
Leeds hung on despite The King's majestic cameo :beerArsenal vs Leeds AH + 1.5 @ 2.07 Betfair :hope -
Re: England > FA Cup 3rd round > Fri 6/1- Mon 9/1 Arsenal vs Leeds AH + 1.5 @ 2.07 I anticiapate Leeds to give Arsenal a good game here, hence taking this bet. I am not sure of the Arsenal first 11, but I do know there will be no Van Persie or Gervinho. Chamakh (poor) will definitely start (his travel to Africa Cup has been delayed for this match), with two from Arshavin/Walcott/Chamberlain/Miyaichi on the wings. The first two are in awful form and the last two are just amateurs yet have great potential. This attack doesn't convince me it can do the job. Defensively they are in all sorts of problems with no Vermaelen Djorou or any of 5 fullbacks. This guarantees error prone defenders such as Squillaci and inexperienced players like Coquelin (central midfielder) Yennaris and Miquel (central defender) who will be playing. I think I know Arsenal well enough to imagine that they will struggle to convert chances relying on one central striker Chamakh and defensively look suspect and likely to concede a goal. I don't know too much about Leeds but they are usually game-raisers and took Arsenal to a replay last year and year before beat United at Old Trafford in this competition Betfair :hope
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 2-4 January Wigan -1.5 @ 5.12 Betfair Wigan have played Stoke Liverpool Chelsea United last few games and only were beaten at United with a farcical red card after several minutes. Drew against the others. They are finally getting their first team playing regularly in a new 3-4-1-2 (or 3-5-2) formation and have the chance to get out of relegation positions tonight. Sunderland, lets face it, have been lucky since O'Neill has come in. They were dominated by Blackburnbut managed to win after the referee ignored a clear goal at 0-1, then they scored in the last 5 with a deflected effort and a set piece from Larsson (last kick of game). At QPR they scored in the last minute to win 3-2 having again been dominated by the hosts. Man City- well we all know what happened there, offside goal in the last minute by Ji was one of their only shots on goal. They have also lost to Spurs away and drew against Everton at home. Luck and favourable decisions usually happens when a new manager comes in, i.e. the honeymoon period. It won't last. I fancy tonight to be the night they are finally bought back down to earth.
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Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 30 Dec-1 Jan Liverpool @ 1.5 way way way too short. Especially now Suarez is out of this game. Bolton (2.3) should not be clear favourites for me against Wolves (3.5) so value on the away side I think. Fulham Norwich and Everton WBA stinks of draws so AH on the longer team might be good value As the games are coming thick and fast it is always unpredictable but hopefully I can avoid the landmines!
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Re: England > Midweek > Barclays Premier League > 20-22 December Bale, King and Adebayor rumoured to all be starting. Terry is not playing; he has gone to Wolverhampton as he heard the black country is there ;)
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Re: England > Midweek > Barclays Premier League > 20-22 December
Diaby is a permacrock and won't be playing today and probably not again this year make sure you check injury news before making goalscorer bets :okAston Villa v Arsenal Aston Villa were dire against Liverpool. Even Darren Bent couldnt watch anymore and went Christmas shopping. I think he'll sit thrugh the whole match in the stand tonight but wont see much of an improvement. Yes Villa do have Gabby A back but they have no world class stars on there team. N'Zogbia has failed to live up to expectations but is still the best midfielder in the squad. If Song was playing for Arsenal I would consider Arsenal -2 but he is not so It will be a tighter affair. Arsenals defence is poor and the pace of Villa will cause problems. Another positive for Villa is that Heskey is missing. He is the most overrated player ever. Villa have won ZERO of 12 meetings with Arsenal and if they can get Van Persie into the game Arsenal will win. Also I'd advise a small stakes bet on Diaby to score anytime. He has scored 4 in 6 against Villa. My Bets Arsenal @ 1.75 Diaby Anytime Scorer @ 4.00 Van Persie Anytime Scorer @ 1.83 -
Re: England > Midweek > Barclays Premier League > 20-22 December QPR vs Sunderland QPR DNB @ evens Many bookmakers now have Sunderland as favourites for this (marginally) and this is something I don't agree with. Sunderland have only won three games this season against easilly the two worst teams in the Prem (Bolton and Blackburn) and a Stoke team who were getting used to juggling Prem and Europa football together. Additionally, they only confirmed wins in the first 2 games with injury time goals, illustrating tight matches. QPR have had a tough run, and have only won once at home against Chelsea. Their recent form has been poor, losses to United and Liverpool and away to Norwich (who Sunderland also lost away to- 2-1). Sunderland have the new manager effect and he has overseen them playing well yet ultimately losing to Spurs, and a fortunate beating of BBurn. They are still up and down and are bound to be unpredictable in his new role trying to get his tactics on a team that he has inherited. The January transfer window will be key to them. QPR starting at 2.4 but are now almost 2.9 with bookies. Maybe the shift is due to doubts over central defenders Anton and Gabbidon but even with replacements Connelly and Hall they should be okay against a lightweight and underclinical Sunderland attack. They cannot keep relying on Larsson special free kicks and deflected long shots from Richardson and Vaughan etc. QPR are at home and have attacking players all fit, and against two closely fought teams I think this will go with home advantage, with draw cover. Betfair :hope
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Re: England > Midweek > Barclays Premier League > 20-22 December Bolton @ 3.85 :unsure why? They are up against their struggling relegation counterparts. Take them on a handicap surely... And why are Newcaslte EVENS at home to WBA? Value their surely
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December
W2 L2 small profit to end day :okEverton vs Norwich BTTS @ 1.8 :cow Blackburn DNB vs WBA @ 1.75 :puke Fulham -1 beat Bolton @ 2.2 :nana Chelsea at least 3 goals to score vs Wigan @ 2.2 :$ Betfair good luck all :hope -
Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December Dammit I was logged in and wrote long write-ups it said I have to log in again after refreshing so I lost the whole post :@:eyes To summarise: Everton vs Norwich BTTS @ 1.8 Everton haven't kept clean sheet at home this season in 7...Norwich have scored in 6 out of 7 the one that wasn't was Manchester Utd away. Blackburn DNB vs WBA @ 1.75 Home team improving lately without the results to show for it. Samba and Dann have returned to bolster a leaky defence and Yakubu is scoring goals. They haven't a strong home record but they have already played Tottenham, Man City, Arsenal, Chelsea and Everton at home. WBA away record has seen them get maximum pts away to Norwich and Villa (though Villa were down to 9 men (3 subs used and red card) when the score was at 1-1) but don't score enough goals to get a win and probably not a draw here. Fulham -1 beat Bolton @ 2.2 Fulham will see Europa disappointment as a harsh lesson in a game they were cruising. Schwarzer not that big of a blow as replacement is excellent young English goalkeeper (in international squads). Bolton have lost 5 away and 4 out of their 5 away have been by more than one goal. Defence is poor and up front they play like strangers despite the sporadic flare from Eagles on the wing. Chelsea at least 3 goals to score vs Wigan @ 2.2 Wigan are naive vs big teams and do not change tactics to suit opposition. Martinez has already confirmed as much in interviews that they cannot sit back http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2075140/Roberto-Martinez-risk-Wigan-thrashed-Chelsea.html and http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/16122011/63/martinez-ready-attack.html Attractive play may work against weaker teams but it will leave plenty of space for Chelsea's good attackers. 6 out of 15 times they have let their opposition score at least 3 and I fancy another thumping this weekend. Betfair good luck all :hope
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December
Good call. Though I would be weary about betting on teams to get clean sheets/non clean sheets as it only takes a second to score to a goal. Under 2.5 looks overpriced at 1.78 and Under 1.5 is 3.25 Betfair :okAston Villa v Liverpool : Liverpool Clean Sheet 2.50@Bet365 Liverpool have the best defensive record in the league. Their away record reads 7 goals conceded in 7 games, however 4 of these came against Spurs when they were reduced to nine men. In ~20 games in all comps this season that spurs game is the only one they have conceded more than 1 goal. Villa on the other hand have one of the worst shots on goal stats in the league. They are also missing their most creative player this season in Agbonlohor.- There have been just five goals scored in the last five Premier League meetings between Villa and Liverpool at Villa Park.
- Villa have scored just four goals in their last 12 Premier League home games against liverpool.
:hope
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December
I too don't think Arsenal will win but City have been unconvincing at the back lets not forget, even with their first choice defence. Last time they kept a clean sheet in PL was 1st October- or 8 games ago. Arsenal have tightened things up especially at home but away their open style sees the opposition create plenty of chances. BTTS and overs surely looks the way forward here. Oh and for the Chelsea goals was it brilliant play by Sturridge or woeful defending, Clichy seemed to be beaten FAR to easily and who was marking the late midfield runner in the area? Those lapses in the City defence have happended frequently, and they are usually indebted to Hart for keeping them in matches (Liverpool, QPR and Newcastle all spring to mind).This is my opinion on this. On monday Man City was the better team in the first half and could easily have led with 2 or 3 goals before a moment of brilliance from Sturridge to set up Meireles. In the second half they deservedly got a red card and from there Chelsea dominated. So I wouldn't say that Man City struggled, only had a bad day not to get a result. And Carling Cup isn't the same as Premier League for Man City, their main focus will this season be PL. And for the injuries, IF Richards plays the defense will not be a problem for Man City as they surely will play Richards-Kompany-Lescott-Zabaleta and that's a solid defense. I personally think that Arsenal will get into trouble and lose by a couple of goals but we just have to see how it pans out. -
Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 17-18 December Yes, initially Everton are extraordinarily short, given their lack of goalscoring and Norwich's good form and exuberance. I think United are too short also, looking at their current injury hit squad and patchy form. Also Rooney to score looks a good bet for such a streaky striker (having began a streak by netting 2 last wknd) Swansea could be worth a play especially as injuries are finally hitting a slim Newcastle squad. Sunderland might be worth a bet too against a Spurs team playing midweek and Sunderland are going through a "honeymoon period" where results are usually unpredictable.
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December Yep definite red card :ok Felt harsh for Liverpool but Fulham are resolute team. They handed Zamora well and only an uncharacteristic error from Reina prevented them for getting at least a point. Their problems in attack are there for all to see, trying to accommodate the carthorse Carroll is to the detriment of the team. Have Suarez in more positions where hes dangerous, i.e. UP FRONT and have nippy players (Maxi and Bellamy) running off him. Carroll up front means Suarez does his thing further away from goal, i.e. less effective.
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December I'm in two minds about Liverpool vs Fulham. I had a Fulham season ticket las year and know a lot about them (well I hope so anyway). Though Lucas is influential for Pool, I don't think his absence will be that big a miss against Fulham who tend not to attack through the central space due to the limited creativity there, Murphy really shows his age and neither Sidwell or Etuhu are creative. They work best with Zamora winning a ball up to him and building the attack deep in the opponents half from this, usually with Dempsey and Dembele diagonally running to support him. Defensively they can be exposed (as they were last season at LB due to the woeful Salcido) but I haven't seen enough of their new look defence this year to comment. I actually would be inclined to bet on Fulham (score predict 2-1) to win but am no way confident enough to do so and without starting line ups so best thing to probably bet is BBTS; but in saying that I'll probably give this game a miss :ok
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December
:ok:beer Some good winners yesterday. Surprised Stoke beat Everton today. The write-ups for Fulham vs Liverpool shoud be interesting...Arsenal WIN vs Wigan and Villa vs United Under 3.5 @ 2.1 -
Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December Arsenal WIN vs Wigan and Villa vs United Under 3.5 @ 2.1 Arsenal are on good form in the league despite hiccup last time out against Fulham 1-1. Their fatigue was evident as a solid Fulham deservedly held out for a draw. Having rested the majority of those players in a 1-0 loss to City in the Carling Cup they should have had plenty of time to recover, especially players "on edge" such as Van Persie Song Arteta and Ramsey who have played almost every league game. They don't have a good record at the JJB but have usually faced them after or before key games or in a bad injury spell. They have Wilshere and RB Sagna out who are key players, but their team still looks vastly superior to Wigan's with Vermaelen, Song, Ramsey, Walcott and Van Perise all been very impressive this season. There isn't too much to say about Wigan this season except they have been in dire form. Their start of 5 pts from 9 (against all 3 new teams) seems loooong ago. 8 successive defeats against mainly midtable teams mean they have a horrendous fixture list- playing the top 7 teams all in the next 10 games! (swap newcastle for stoke away). They beat Sunderland last time due to a last minute slip from sunderland defender though it should be noted this team are in awful form themselves. Not too many injury concerns for Wigan and no doubt they would have got confidence from good win last time out. Without N'Zogbia and off form Rodallega they look poor attacking and no Alcaraz here (him and Figueroa best defenders) means their defence will be more exposed to Arsenal attacks. Cannot see anything other than away win. United have lost some verve from early season and missed the chance to capitalise on rare dropped points by City with 1-1 draw at home to Newcastle. In 8 out of 9 games away in all comps they haven't gone over 3.5 goals. Defensively they have been very solid- 1 goal conceded in 4 (PL) since THAT manchester derby. This comes as no surprise, with the return of Vidic. Villa in all comps at home have gone under 3.5 6 out of 8 times. The only times they didn't were against Norwich (3-2) and relegation threatened Blackburn (3-1). Against Utd who have solidified I cannot see them scoring more than 1. And United have focussed on the defence after set backs in results this season (playing Rooney in midfield is testament to the loss of attacking threat) so I can see them doing the same here to get over poor result in carling cup. Utd to win narrowly in a low scoring game I feel. Betfair :hope
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Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday 1st December Yes Stoke are resting captain Shawcross and good attacker Walters but their attack and central defence is still capable of getting positive result here. Unbeaten in Europe at home this season and away, they were one added minute away from beating Kiev 1-0 earlier this season with a very similar team. Moving from 2.3 to 3 at Betfair now is crazy IMO, and as many have said I will also take Stone +0AH at an excellent 11/10 (Betfair)
Bolton v Fulham > 7 April
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: Bolton v Fulham > 7 April I also backed the draw @ 3.5 a few days ago with Betfair. Bolton have been on a winning streak, albeit quite a lucky one, where they were dominated by Wolves yet won 3-2, and to an extent were lucky to beat QPR 2-1, despite QPR down to 10 for just over half the game. Fulham are up and down, but are usually more conservative away from home and struggle to fashion too many chances, a measly return of 8 away goals is easilly the worst out of any team in the league. They have conceded only 19, the 5th best in the league. Thus unders seems like the best bet (especially at evens as quote above) but I like the value in the draw