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thebigp

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Posts posted by thebigp

  1. There is some very good advice on this thread but I thought i would add to it as I've been a professional for nearly 2 years and have worked in the industry for 10+ years. However despite being successful I'm leaving the industry and starting in an entirely new career.

    First thing I would say is that you simply do not just become a professional. It typically takes years of work, research learning etc to learn how to win and for me this was done whilst working full time. I only went full time when I knew I would earn more from betting than my job. The biggest consideration is then sustainability. Just because you may be able to make a profit now does not you mean you will able to in the future. Markets tend to become more efficient over time, your edge can easily disappear and other people will almost certainly figure out what you have in the future. You will have to be constantly learning and developing new strategies to stay ahead which is very difficult! It's already been mentioned but ultimately you need somewhere where you can win and this means exchanges or Asian bookmakers. Problem here is that many markets (which is the case for me) are much more accurate at betfair and the Asian bookmakers are typically the best at what they do. What makes you think you are better than these guys? My betting partner and I have taken approximately 400k from bookmakers in 2 years. However, bookmakers are becoming better and quicker at closing any potentially profitable accounts. Unless you have unlimited accounts (I would estimate I've used around 100 in this time) winning from European bookmakers is not a sustainable option.

    I would also ask why is it you want to become a professional? People think the life of a professional gambler is glamorous but it certainly isn't. For me I've been working a massive number of hours (more than when I worked for someone else). It will typically involve working by yourself in front of a computer at home, which can become very isolating. Pro gamblers live on the edge of society in my opinion and this can be difficult to deal with. Yes there are advantages such as flexibility being your own boss, no tax etc but there are negatives such as no sick pay, no pension, no promotions, no yearly pay rises and also remember what happens if it doesn't work out. You will have a big gap in your CV should you wish to renter the workplace.

    Finaly the betting industry is cut throat. Can you deal with this psychologically? If you can't cope with losing you will fail imo. Everyone is out to get you, whether that is bookmakers or other gamblers they all want your money and they don't care how they get it. No one is going to give you a betting system or strategy that makes money. If you want to be profitable you must learn to do it yourself. Sorry if I sound negative about the prospect, it certainly is possible to make it as a professional but it's bloody difficult. If the financial benefits outway the negatives than great but for the vast majority this will not be the case. 

  2. Re: England > Weekend > Npower Football League Championship > 17-19 December

    None of the Birmingham team who started tonight started at the weekend and I doubt many of those who played tonight will start on Monday. Given that Palace have more clean sheets than any other team apart from Middlesbrough and only 3 teams have a better defensive record than Birmingham I fancy the 0-0 at 8-1 with Skybet' date=' Ladbrokes and Stan James. It looks likely than Zaha is banned as he has 5 bookings so this will then have even more appeal.[/quote'] I think I have said this somewhere else before. If you fancy backing the 0-0 then you might aswell back No Goalscorer instead. You are having the same bet but own goals do not count. About 2% of goals are own goals so although not a massive difference you might as well have own goals on your side. It is the same price 8/1 with Skybet, Ladbrokes and Stan James.
  3. Re: England > Npower Football League Championship > 2-4 December Peterborough v Barnsley Grant McCann is Peterborough's top scorer this season with 8 goals in 19 league games. He has started 10 home league games and scored in 5 of them and is the penalty and free kick specialist. Normally always goals in their home games as well with the spreads quoting 3-3.2. Selection Grant McCann - Anytime goalscorer 4/1 Sky Bet

  4. Re: England > FA Cup 2nd Round > 2-4 December Colchester v Swindon Early bet for me this week and playing before team news. Colchester struggling for form a bit at the moment with just 1 win in 8 games in the league. The other recent win was a 4-1 win against Crewe in the 1st round. However Crewe had just lost Dario Gradi as manager and Colchester only came back from 1-0 down after Crewe were down to 10 men from the 20th minute. Swindon have won 5 and drawn 3 of their last 8 league games. Swindon have also won away at Bristol City and Exeter in the league cup and JPT and also beat Huddersfield 4-1 in the first round of the FA Cup. I would have Swindon around 3 - 3.2 price so happy to take the stand out 3.5 with Stan James. Swindon are as short as 2.75 with Skybet Selection - Swindon 3.5 with Stan James

  5. Re: Italy - Serie A - 25-27 November Udinese v Roma Di Natale has scored in every home game this season. 7 games in total (5 in Serie A and 2 in Europe). I know this game is their hardest league game to date but I think he could do well against the current Roma defence. His record speaks for itself so don't think much more reasoning is required. Selection Di Natale to score anytime - 2.4 Unibet

  6. Re: England: Carling Cup Oct 25-26

    Michael Owen to score first 5/1 Betfred Think this is pretty decent value as the League Cup is pretty much the only chance Owen get's these days to show what he can do and he usually scores in these games having scored another 2 against Leeds in the last round.
    Pretty much agree with this. Think he has scored 11 goals in 15 starts for Man Utd and looks a nice EW bet at 5/1 with Betfred & Tote
  7. Re: England: League One Oct 25 Carlisle v Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wed have turned a corner since that beating at Stevenage with away wins at Yeovil, Hartlepool and a draw at Sheffield Utd. I feel Carlisle are an inconsistent team and that Sheff Wed will be slightly too strong for them tonight. I priced Sheff Wed at 2.4 before looking at odds and 2.68 is available so will have a small stake. Sheffield Wednesday @2.68 Sbobet

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