markus808

I don't understand this level of trust, when it comes to Arsenal. In fact, the Gunners have yet to win a game in Greece vs Olympiakos, in fact, they have lost 3 out of 3 games there. And now they would win one? At Greece, full with fanatic greek supporters -and oh boy, greek fans are known of their amazing support- against a very good home side I can't find a single reason why Arsenal would win, or even get a point out of this.

Leicester City- Aston Villa City have been proving fun to watch, they have yet to keep a cleansheet, or taste defeat, scoring 12 goals themselves , Villa are struggling defensively, conceding 11 in their last four EPL away starts, that includes a 1-0 win at Bournemouth, where they should have conceded at least twice, they also shipped three at home to League 2 Notts County in the Capital One Cup and two at Villa Park to Sunderland and Tim Sherwood has a big ask sorting out his backline. He is a very offensive minded coach anyway and always wants to play on the front foot, it was always going to be tough to replace Christian Benteke, but his team have been creating chances and pose a big aerial threat especially through Rudi Gestede and the crosses of left-back Jordan Amavi and the same is also true of the Foxes who have scored a EPL high three headed goals and Villa showed a weak spot in defending crosses/corners versus Crystal Palace. Therefore, we can surely look for both to be getting the ball into the box at every opportunity and as quickly as possible and neither team looks likely to keep a clean sheet. I can actually see improvement in Villa and when Amavi and Leandro Bacuna do not go quite so gung-ho on the flanks , or get protection, they will look more solid and Sherwood is looking to address this with a change in formation ( but been unable to work on it over the break, with key players away on international duty) and whilst I see the visitors having more than a 20% (5.0) chance of winning this, they are another team who will probably be stronger in 3-4 weeks time. For today, I suspect they will need to score at least once and probably twice to get something out of this, both to score looks solid, but 1.80 is way too short for me, so ..... over 2.75 goals 2.19 asian line/Sportmarket will be my pick and a 2-2 draw my suggestion for any adventurous minded readers.

Followed it big on betfair "booking points 56+" @ 2.7 and it won. You were really quite unfortunate, but it worked for me, thanks for spotting the edge!

Hallelujah! Just over a week's wait and we have the second incidence of a potentially worthwhile bookings bet based on the discrepancy between the spreads and fixed odds prices. Mexico v Ecuador: >60 bookings points at 3/1 with PP I make that a 3.7 shot for an edge of 8% and have had a small interest. 7/2 for the same bet in the Chile v Bolivia game may offer a touch of value but not the minimum 5% edge I'm looking for in the bets I'm tracking. That said, I've had a small bet on the double for >60 in both games.