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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

fishy25

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Posts posted by fishy25

  1. Re: Tennis - 12-18 July

    One early selection for me tomorrow... Stuttgart: Bjorn Phau vs Marco Chiudinelli Chiudinelli is priced at 2.31 with Betdaq for this one and I'm amazed at this price. I've been trying to think why the Swiss is so big but I can't fina a reasonable answer. This should be priced at 1.80 for Chiudinelli and 1.90 for Phau in my eyes. Neither man is a world beater, but Chiudinelli is the better player. Knocks around on the main Tour most weeks and beat a veritable clay courter in Victor Hanescu in the last round in straight sets, which is a good piece of form. He's got a decent serve and can play off both wings. Phau does most of his work on the Challenger circuit and isn't the player he once was. He's a guy I can't trust in any shape or form - throws in too many errors. He has the advantage of playing in Germany but even then, I can't make a case for him winning this one. Both men have losing records on clay but I see more scope for improvement in Chiudinelli's game. If he reproduces his form against Hanescu - he didn't lose serve once in that match - then I can't see him not winning. With the odds so big, I reccommend modest stakes, but I feel the market is incorrect here and that Chiudinelli can win this. - Marco Chiudinelli at 2.31 with Betdaq (3/10) :hope
    May follow you with this one mate
  2. Re: Cricket: Pakistan vs Australia - 2 Twenty20 Internationals & Test Series Just seen these odds from them after you two were discussing this. I too am shocked, but only thing I can think of is the conditions. Think I'm right in thinking that its supposed to be overcast and cloudy most of the week hence the ball should move about a bit. Also, the bookies are probably assuming that the conditions will be pretty much the same, and seeing as the Aussie batsman have stuggled under them, that's what the odds are probably based upon. But really good find and if it doesn't change, looks too tempting to refuse.

  3. Re: Cricket: Friends Provident Twenty 20 Cheers boys, usually stay away from the cricket so not too familiar with it. As they do count will follow you with this one. Watched a few games at Chelmsford over the last couple of years and has a great atmosphere. The straight boundries are small and the likes of Pollard, Styris, Bopara, Trescothi, Trego etc will go to town. Thanks for the confirmation or correction in this case :ok

  4. Re: Tennis - 5-11 July Right I've had a look and got one tip, which I'm going to throw into an accumalator. Got 4/5 right yesterday but luckily I feel asleep so the games had already started before I did the bet haha. M Ilhan to beat J Ward- 8/11 ladbrokes- 10/10 Normally I don't look to bet against my own teams, or country but with tennis I'm happy to do so. I really don't see how Ilhan is only a slight favourite against Ward. Ilhan won his first match at Wimbledon this year, coming back from 2 sets down and lost in 4 in his next match. Jamie Ward hasn't done much against a decent player for a while now, and even thats a push to say. There has been a lot of talk abou the GB Davis cup team, notably about Murray's absence or lack of desire to play in it. I sense problems here for Ward and was actually debating to go for Ilhan in 3 @ 7/2, but sense the win is decent money enough. Gone for that in a singles bet, and also in a cheeky accumalator with small stakes again ;) M Fish 1/5 M Llodra 11/8 M Ilhan 8/11 N Massu 8/13 All to win, prices with Ladbrokes 2/10 Already spoke about Ilhan and expect him to come through well, and spoke about Fish yesterday, likely to win the event. Llodra as already been discussed has had a bit more form and match time than Verdasco. Llodra likes playing inside and has a faily good record in Davis cup action. Verdasco not yet back to his best and will take his a good while to do this, so expect Llodra to win this one. Massu of Chile I've gone for due to his past experience and scaps he has beaten. Beaten the likes of Fish and was once ranked 9th in world but was some time ago. Not in the greatest of form in the last couple of years but if he plays well, he is a class above his opponent. His Davis Cup record, like Llodra is also good so expect him to win this one. GL all :ok

  5. Re: Tennis - 5-11 July

    How can there be no question that she will win???? I've never heard someone sound so confident about a bet, so I stuck a big bet on it, it wasn't even close!!
    Dw about that one matey, psycho is usually spot on with the tennis, but sometimes we all get some wrong. Sure the tips posted will help you make that money back in no time :ok
  6. Re: Tennis - 5-11 July Hate it when there isn't a proper tournament going on, but waiting for the Davis cup in a few days. So just going to go for a fun bet with small stakes :tongue2 Fish 1/5 Dabul 6/4 Medina 4/9 Szavay 1/7 Baczinsky 4/7 5 way accumalator @ 7.78. Small stakes obviously but wanted to have a bit of fun. Baczinsky, following psycho on that, and along with Ana Ivanovic, tend to bet against Cornet whoever she is playing. One of those players who tends to do it more than winning atm. Mardy is the best player in the tournament, especially as Querrey got beat yesterday in a major upset by Brown. To me, looks like Fish will win the tournament to follow on from his runner up at Queens, but he will win this one. Dabul plays Brown, the guy who beat Sam Querrey in straight sets so he will have confidence but I'm still going to opt for Dabul, simply based on he beat Nadal at an exhibition match last year and he was a former junion number 1. Has more experience and that should see him over the line. Medina and Szavay are obvious choices. Both have alot more quality than their opponents, better all round game so these two will both again win their matches. Sorry for the poor and quick write up but like I said a fun bet with small stakes. Gl all backers today :ok

  7. Re: Tennis - 5-11 July

    One for me tonight... Newport: Frank Dancevic vs Nicolas Mahut I said I wouldn't get involved in Newport but I quite like the overs line in the match between Frank Dancevic and Nicolas Mahut. The line is O23.5 games, priced at 1.93 with Unibet, and I feel this is a shade too high. They only met a couple of weeks ago at Wimbledon in the qualifiers and Mahut destroyed the Canadian 6-3 6-0 (They'd met twice before that, with one match covering the line easily in Miami). Now, I expect Dancevic to put up a bit more of a fight, even though for me, Mahut is the better player here. I'd actually rate him in the Top 30 in terms of grass court ability and he was very unlucky to lose that match with John Isner at SW19. He's got a big serve, decent groundstrokes and is extremely competent at the net. I look at Dancevic and I see a man who showed plenty of potential as late as last year, getting to the final of Eastbourne, but he's regressed since then. He's got a huge serve, however, and will get cheap points from that. Played Marc Gicquel in the first round and won, not losing serve in the progress. I was quite impressed by the way Mahut dealt with Alejandro Falla yesterday - the Colombian is a decent player on this surface and would've perhaps progressed further in recent events if he hadn't had such difficult draws. Saying that, he did go to three sets and didn't serve as many aces as normal. There could easily be a tie-break in this one and I feel this match will be close. Happy to side with overs. SELECTION - Over 23.5 games at 1.93 with Unibet (5/10)
    Unlucky with this one mate, after a quick glimpse at the last few games in the first set, thought you were defo onto a winner :(
  8. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Either play to serve consecutive double faults is at 14/1 with Ladbrokes and I will defintiely be taking this simply due to the price. If either player struggles with their serves, or if one is struggling with a knock then there could be a fair number of double faults. If it goes to a possible long 4 sets or even 5, could well see mistake from the two players. Small stakes only but I reckon its worth £5.

  9. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    As everyone says, hard day for betting and the bookies have thought it through well, but I have gone for a couple. Djokovic -2.5 AND -4.5 games handicap- 11/10 AND 9/4- Ladbrokes- 10/10 AND 5/10 Have just based this on who I think will win. Fair enough Berdych beat Federer, but Federer wasn't a shadow of the player he usually is. Berdych didn't really have to play brilliantly, it was just Federer wasn't at the races, as he hasn't been really in the whole tournament. For the match, I have narrowed it down to who I think is likely to break serve more, no question Djokovic. No break points in his last match, and only dropped something like 12 points in the entire match on his serve. Berdych served well, but can be vulnerable. Could easily go to 5 sets, and then fatigue could play a part. Berdych will get tired a little quicker than Djokovic perhaps, and therefore I see Djokovic winning this one, preferably with the handicap ;) Nadal +8.5 aces handicap- 8/11 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Couldn't believe my eyes when I saw this one. Nadal and Murray in my opinion are the same player. Brilliant returners and great defensive players, but I still see Nadal as the most likely to hit more winners. As it goes for aces, both have had around the same amount in the competition but as for 9 more aces than Nadal, really struggle to comprehend how Murray will do that, as Nadal isn't a bad returner of serve either, so taken this one. GL all :ok
    :wall:wall:wall need I say more
  10. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon As everyone says, hard day for betting and the bookies have thought it through well, but I have gone for a couple. Djokovic -2.5 AND -4.5 games handicap- 11/10 AND 9/4- Ladbrokes- 10/10 AND 5/10 Have just based this on who I think will win. Fair enough Berdych beat Federer, but Federer wasn't a shadow of the player he usually is. Berdych didn't really have to play brilliantly, it was just Federer wasn't at the races, as he hasn't been really in the whole tournament. For the match, I have narrowed it down to who I think is likely to break serve more, no question Djokovic. No break points in his last match, and only dropped something like 12 points in the entire match on his serve. Berdych served well, but can be vulnerable. Could easily go to 5 sets, and then fatigue could play a part. Berdych will get tired a little quicker than Djokovic perhaps, and therefore I see Djokovic winning this one, preferably with the handicap ;) Nadal +8.5 aces handicap- 8/11 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Couldn't believe my eyes when I saw this one. Nadal and Murray in my opinion are the same player. Brilliant returners and great defensive players, but I still see Nadal as the most likely to hit more winners. As it goes for aces, both have had around the same amount in the competition but as for 9 more aces than Nadal, really struggle to comprehend how Murray will do that, as Nadal isn't a bad returner of serve either, so taken this one. GL all :ok

  11. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    Hi guys,what you think about tomorrow ...Berdych- Djokovic ? I think Cheh will be able to win that ... he is simply in very good form,got perfect servis and in very good mental condition...your opinion ?
    Tbh I'm gna back djokovic with a handicap and for the win, do more reasoning tomorrow morning when I see the full price list but Berdych was good against Federer but don't make a mistake into thinking he was superb. Federer was struggling and played really badly. Just think about that :ok
  12. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    Not the easiest games today to pick really that are good value, but I will go with these 3. Pironkova +3.5 games handicap- Evens Ladbrokes- 10/10 Gone against the favourite Zvonareva here purely based on what I've seen. Zvonareva is favourite here simply because she is ranked higher, and she has done 'something' and a major event before. To me she doesn't seem that great and although she has beaten some good players, Jankovic, Wickmayer and Clijsters, think she can be vulnerable. Watched Pironkova in doubles action yesterday where she wasn't great tbh, but against Williams she was playing the tennis of her life. She was fast, made Venus run and more than anything, she just wanted it more than her opponent. In the recent head to head match, back in 2009, Pironkova won easily 6-2 6-0, even though Zvonareva was top seed, so the rankings clear don't phase her. Can see her either taking a set here or even facing Serena in the final, but at this price, the handicap looks good. Williams to serve an ace in her first game- 2/3 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Bit of a fun bet this one really but has a good chance of happening. Serena's serving has been good this tournament as it always is, serving quickly and with a lot of aces. She should be quick out of the blocks and should definitely serve an ace or two in her first game, whilist Kvitova adjusts to the surroundings. Only thing I don't like is that Kvitova is 6ft, so it gives her a good reach, but against Sharapova, who is just as tall, if not a couple of inches taller, Serena still managed to serve the aces so will take this one. Melzer/Petzschner to win- 5/6 Ladbrokes- 6/10 Have been good with the doubles over the last couple of days, getting 3/3 correct so will take this one as well. Melzer and Petzchner, both have improved their singles game this year, underlined by Melzer getting to the semis at Roland Garros. His game is perfect for doubles, with lots of serve and volley, which is what gives them the edge. Also, these two won their first doubles event this year indoors which will give them confidence. Their matches in Wimbledon have been pretty straight forward and most of their wins being in 3 sets. Their opponents Moodie/Norman beat the Bryan brothers yesterday which was a massive win but the match lasted a long time, with a few tie breaks. These two are older as well so they might feel the effects of yesterdays win today. Gl all :ok
    LOSS LOSS WIN Ahhhh so frustrating, lost out by 1 game with Pironkova, all after she took the first set. Another smallish loss, got the small bet right only :wall
  13. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    EventVera Zvonareva vs Tsvetana Pironkova
    SelectionTsvetana Pironkova
    Strength10/10
    Date01/07/2010
    Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 3.15 (Back)
    ReasoningI think Zvonareva is massively overrated in this one. Pironkova has to get some credit after demolishing Venus Williams in quarterfinals. Venus made 29 unforced errors but there were times when Pironkova played brilliant tennis and Venus could do nothing about it. The Bulgarian girl will be a nightmare match-up for Zvonareva because she mixes up her game very well not only hits massive balls from both sides but also slices at times and plays short balls. Saw their only meeting last year in Moscow. Zvonareva won just two games in that match and was outsmarted from the first point. I think the same thing could happen here again. My pick is Pironkova win!
    Couldn't agree more with you mate
  14. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Not the easiest games today to pick really that are good value, but I will go with these 3. Pironkova +3.5 games handicap- Evens Ladbrokes- 10/10 Gone against the favourite Zvonareva here purely based on what I've seen. Zvonareva is favourite here simply because she is ranked higher, and she has done 'something' and a major event before. To me she doesn't seem that great and although she has beaten some good players, Jankovic, Wickmayer and Clijsters, think she can be vulnerable. Watched Pironkova in doubles action yesterday where she wasn't great tbh, but against Williams she was playing the tennis of her life. She was fast, made Venus run and more than anything, she just wanted it more than her opponent. In the recent head to head match, back in 2009, Pironkova won easily 6-2 6-0, even though Zvonareva was top seed, so the rankings clear don't phase her. Can see her either taking a set here or even facing Serena in the final, but at this price, the handicap looks good. Williams to serve an ace in her first game- 2/3 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Bit of a fun bet this one really but has a good chance of happening. Serena's serving has been good this tournament as it always is, serving quickly and with a lot of aces. She should be quick out of the blocks and should definitely serve an ace or two in her first game, whilist Kvitova adjusts to the surroundings. Only thing I don't like is that Kvitova is 6ft, so it gives her a good reach, but against Sharapova, who is just as tall, if not a couple of inches taller, Serena still managed to serve the aces so will take this one. Melzer/Petzschner to win- 5/6 Ladbrokes- 6/10 Have been good with the doubles over the last couple of days, getting 3/3 correct so will take this one as well. Melzer and Petzchner, both have improved their singles game this year, underlined by Melzer getting to the semis at Roland Garros. His game is perfect for doubles, with lots of serve and volley, which is what gives them the edge. Also, these two won their first doubles event this year indoors which will give them confidence. Their matches in Wimbledon have been pretty straight forward and most of their wins being in 3 sets. Their opponents Moodie/Norman beat the Bryan brothers yesterday which was a massive win but the match lasted a long time, with a few tie breaks. These two are older as well so they might feel the effects of yesterdays win today. Gl all :ok

  15. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    Good schedule today, looking forward to watching it, gone for a few today as well. King/Shvedova to beat Peschke/Srebotnik- 6/4 Ladbrokes- 5/10 Shvedova is turning into one of my favourite women players atm, she's great to watch, singles and doubles and she wins matches, despite often being the underdog. Her and King have a good doubles team going, beating good players to get to this stage. Last round they knocked out the number 3 seeds, Nadia Petrova and Sam Stosur, who are ranked 3rd, before this they beat Pe'er's team, so they are clearly on a high with lots of confidence. They are playing the number 6 seeds, who have done okay but not brilliantly. Just about got through their last round match in straight sets, but for this one, I expect King and Shvedova to have a bit too much. Federer -5.5 games handicap- Evens Ladbrokes- 10/10 Hard to see Federer not getting this handicap if he wins the games comfortably which I see him doing. We all know he didnt have the best of matches in the first two rounds but seems to have got back on his golden path through beating Melzer and Clement. Wouldn't have taken Roger if the handicap was any higher I don't think but I feel this is a faily good one for him to take without any problems. Berdych didn't have it all his own way against Brands, losing the first set and needing a tie break in the 2nd set to put him on his way. If he plays anywhere near the level he did in the last round, Federer will love that and really dominate the rallies and the match, Murray -4.5 games handicap- 5/6 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Yet to drop a set, playing well, don't see a problem for Murray here. Tsonga, always have a doubt in my mind about his matches, as he's either good or sooo poor. Last match against Benneteau, needed 4 sets and he didn't play brilliantly but didn't play that badly, but the similiar case arises as Berdych, if Tsonga plays as he did, Murray will win this in 3 easy sets. Tsonga has been relying on his serve thus far, but with Murray being one of, if not the best returner on the tour, Tsonga will even be struggling with that aspect of his game, leading to a few double faults I reckon. Murray played fairly well against Sam Querrey, although as with all his matches so far, takes a bit of time to get his game going. His serve hasn't been all that convincing in my opinion, but have to favour the British boy here to get this handicap. Murray V Tsonga, under 41.5 games- 4/7 Ladbrokes- 10/10 The Bookies had a few total games bets but I chose this one. This pretty much covers any 3 or 4 set match really, and I don't feel it will be a 5 setter to be honest. If Murray comes out all guns firing, it could be a fairly quick match, with the quality of Murray prevailing. This bet really goes hand in hand with my Murray handicap, and if one comes through, the other is likely to also, so hopefully Murray can step it up a bit and dispatch Tsonga. GL all :ok
    WIN LOSS WIN LOSS Ah made a small loss today for the first time during the whole of Wimbledon. Federer was just compeltely outplayed, but Murray had match point to win me my under 41.5 games and Tsonga produces one of his best forehands ever. So lost it by 0.5 of a game, annoyed to say the least. Good day of tennis though :beer
  16. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Good schedule today, looking forward to watching it, gone for a few today as well. King/Shvedova to beat Peschke/Srebotnik- 6/4 Ladbrokes- 5/10 Shvedova is turning into one of my favourite women players atm, she's great to watch, singles and doubles and she wins matches, despite often being the underdog. Her and King have a good doubles team going, beating good players to get to this stage. Last round they knocked out the number 3 seeds, Nadia Petrova and Sam Stosur, who are ranked 3rd, before this they beat Pe'er's team, so they are clearly on a high with lots of confidence. They are playing the number 6 seeds, who have done okay but not brilliantly. Just about got through their last round match in straight sets, but for this one, I expect King and Shvedova to have a bit too much. Federer -5.5 games handicap- Evens Ladbrokes- 10/10 Hard to see Federer not getting this handicap if he wins the games comfortably which I see him doing. We all know he didnt have the best of matches in the first two rounds but seems to have got back on his golden path through beating Melzer and Clement. Wouldn't have taken Roger if the handicap was any higher I don't think but I feel this is a faily good one for him to take without any problems. Berdych didn't have it all his own way against Brands, losing the first set and needing a tie break in the 2nd set to put him on his way. If he plays anywhere near the level he did in the last round, Federer will love that and really dominate the rallies and the match, Murray -4.5 games handicap- 5/6 Ladbrokes- 10/10 Yet to drop a set, playing well, don't see a problem for Murray here. Tsonga, always have a doubt in my mind about his matches, as he's either good or sooo poor. Last match against Benneteau, needed 4 sets and he didn't play brilliantly but didn't play that badly, but the similiar case arises as Berdych, if Tsonga plays as he did, Murray will win this in 3 easy sets. Tsonga has been relying on his serve thus far, but with Murray being one of, if not the best returner on the tour, Tsonga will even be struggling with that aspect of his game, leading to a few double faults I reckon. Murray played fairly well against Sam Querrey, although as with all his matches so far, takes a bit of time to get his game going. His serve hasn't been all that convincing in my opinion, but have to favour the British boy here to get this handicap. Murray V Tsonga, under 41.5 games- 4/7 Ladbrokes- 10/10 The Bookies had a few total games bets but I chose this one. This pretty much covers any 3 or 4 set match really, and I don't feel it will be a 5 setter to be honest. If Murray comes out all guns firing, it could be a fairly quick match, with the quality of Murray prevailing. This bet really goes hand in hand with my Murray handicap, and if one comes through, the other is likely to also, so hopefully Murray can step it up a bit and dispatch Tsonga. GL all :ok

  17. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon

    Don't fancy the women's singles today so gone for 2 mixed double matches, the back to the men's tomorrow. Knowle/Shvedova to beat Soares/Hsieh- 8/13 Ladbrokes-10/10 Like the pairing of these two, in particular Shvedova who has really shown some decent from in both Wimbledon and Roland Garros, but had unlucky draws. She partners this year with the Austrian Julian Knowle who knows what to do in doubles. Is 36 now but reached the semis in the French open mixed doubles and was a finalist back in 2004 in Wimbledon. Fully expect them to win this one, purely based on quality and experience. Melo/Stubbs to beat Nestro/Mattek-Sands- 5/4 Ladbrokes-5/10 Ranked 10th for the competition and came through their first round match very comfortably in straight sets. Melo got to the semis at Wimbledon in the doubles back in 07 and the quarters at the French Open a few weeks ago. Subbs is experienced being 39 and was once ranked first in the world for doubles. Beaten finalist last year in London for the women's doubles, she is one of the best doubles players around, despite her age. The two they play just about got the better of Bob Bryan and Lindsey Davenport, both legends of the game but only played for a bit of fun really. They only won in the third set 11-9, so expect the combination of Stubbs and Melo to win this one. GL all :ok
    Both bets won, not a bad morning :beer
  18. Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Don't fancy the women's singles today so gone for 2 mixed double matches, the back to the men's tomorrow. Knowle/Shvedova to beat Soares/Hsieh- 8/13 Ladbrokes-10/10 Like the pairing of these two, in particular Shvedova who has really shown some decent from in both Wimbledon and Roland Garros, but had unlucky draws. She partners this year with the Austrian Julian Knowle who knows what to do in doubles. Is 36 now but reached the semis in the French open mixed doubles and was a finalist back in 2004 in Wimbledon. Fully expect them to win this one, purely based on quality and experience. Melo/Stubbs to beat Nestro/Mattek-Sands- 5/4 Ladbrokes-5/10 Ranked 10th for the competition and came through their first round match very comfortably in straight sets. Melo got to the semis at Wimbledon in the doubles back in 07 and the quarters at the French Open a few weeks ago. Subbs is experienced being 39 and was once ranked first in the world for doubles. Beaten finalist last year in London for the women's doubles, she is one of the best doubles players around, despite her age. The two they play just about got the better of Bob Bryan and Lindsey Davenport, both legends of the game but only played for a bit of fun really. They only won in the third set 11-9, so expect the combination of Stubbs and Melo to win this one. GL all :ok

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