Jump to content
** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

sensibleboy

New Members
  • Posts

    1,539
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by sensibleboy

  1. Re: Newbury 25/11...

    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.05 Newbury
    SelectionInglis Drever
    Strength10/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceLadbrokes @ SP (Back)
    ReasoningHow Zaiyad is favourite for this today I dont know. Inglis Drever is a top class staying hurdler and 1 poor run and people seem to have forgot about him. Howard Johnsons stable was also in poor form last season and are now in much better form. This horse runs well fresh and if over his injury he really should walk in today. Tony Dobbin is a great booking and 9/4 for the Inglis is printing money imo.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.40 Newbury
    SelectionIdle Talk (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 3.00 (Back)
    ReasoningRan a great race at Cheltenham 2 weeks ago when just going down to My Will. This stamina sapping trip will bring out the best in him yet again and with 4 places on offer, 2/1 for him to place is great value considering he races off the same mark.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.40 Newbury
    SelectionTurpin Green (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.42 (Back)
    ReasoningWon easily last time and the form has been franked since. Very good horse last season and has strenghtened up again this year. Could go to the very top and prove a different calibre from these rivals today. Just under 6/4 to finish in the first four looks value in my eyes and should be snapped up. Ground and trip is fine.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.40 Newbury
    SelectionIdle Talk
    Strength5/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 10.00 (Back)
    ReasoningIm already on the place and will be having a small win bet on him aswell. As I said, he stays really well and looks very nicely handicapped. Will have come on for his last run and should run a big race now Tom George is finding a few winners.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.40 Newbury
    SelectionTurpin Green
    Strength5/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 8.40 (Back)
    ReasoningVery classy horse who would have beaten Star De Mohaison at Aintree had he jumped the fences good enough. Seems to have improved over the summer though and will come on for his canter at Carlisle a few weeks ago. Should take the beating and 15/2 is a decent enough price considering.
  2. Re: The Toon (Newcastle for folk that don't know) 25/11...

    SportHorse Racing
    Event12.55 Newcastle
    SelectionCheating Chance
    Strength5/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 9.00 (Back)
    ReasoningEllerslie George and Skippers Brig are the two horses with experience in this race and should go close. However at this price, Cheating Chance represents massive value. He won a point very easily last season and Richards thinks the world of him. 8/1 to make a winning debut is very good value and is worth a small bet.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event12.55 Newcastle
    SelectionCheating Chance (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date25/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.50 (Back)
    ReasoningEllerslie George and Skippers Brig are the two horses with experience in this race and should go close. However at this price, Cheating Chance represents massive value. He won a point very easily last season and Richards thinks the world of him. Ive backed him at 8/1 but at 6/4 to place, its worth having a strong saver.
  3. Re: UEFA Cup - (Nov 23)

    SportFootball (Euro Cups)
    EventAuxerre vs Rangers
    SelectionAuxerre (Lay)
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.00 (Lay)
    ReasoningRangers have been playing really well in Europe this season and its only their domestic form that is struggling. The SPL is very underrated and is tougher than it looks and Rangers are getting it together of late though. A 1-0 win away to Hearts at the weekend should have boosted morale again whereas Auxerre are struggling and sit below mid table in the french league. A 3-2 away win at Livorno is very impressive for Rangers and it shows their away form is well upto holding up in France here. They are the better team and I cant see Auxere winning.
  4. Re: Taunton 23/11

    SportHorse Racing
    Event3.25 Taunton
    SelectionSlick (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.08 (Back)
    ReasoningFrustrating last season but looked a bit quirky. Finally won last time when readily skipping clear in a weak handicap. Step up in trip will suit and needs to improve again but thats not out of the equation. Looks a very well handicapped horse off a mark of 88 and can go close again today.
  5. Re: Taunton 23/11

    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.25 Taunton
    SelectionCyd Charisse (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 4.80 (Back)
    ReasoningRan well first time out when finishing 4th and stayed on well. Step up in trip ought to suit today and looks very overpriced. There is a few well fancied horses in this field but they have proved nothing yet and this horse has the form in the book to go close with a clear round. 4.8 for a place is an insult and should be snapped up.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event2.55 Taunton
    SelectionXellance (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.80 (Back)
    ReasoningConsistent enough sort who is now well handicapped on some of his previous form. Has switched stables and ran well when 2nd last time but well beaten. This is a dreadful race today and with conditions to suit this fella should go very close for his inexperienced jockey. Ever More is the danger but apart from that I cant see anything keepin him out the first two.
  6. Re: Uttoxeter 23/11

    SportHorse Racing
    Event1.05 Uttoxeter
    SelectionPort Of Mogan (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 1.35 (Back)
    ReasoningTwo fancied runners have been taken out this race and it leaves the door open for the Port Of Mogan who should win now. 8 runners and 3 places and 1.35 for this horse to place is buying money. There is absolutely no way he cant be involved judged on his recent form compared to that of the rest here.
    SportHorse Racing
    Event1.35 Uttoxeter
    SelectionThe Painkiller
    Strength10/10
    Date23/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.58 (Back)
    ReasoningThis is not really a competitive race and the only rival to The Painkiller is Hold The Bid. 3m on very soft ground requires plenty of stamina and this horse showed he had that at Worcester last time when finishing 3rd and rallying at the end of the race. Sure to come on for that and looks in a different league from his rivals today.
  7. Re: Champions League Wednesday 22 Nov

    SportFootball (Euro Cups)
    EventLiverpool vs PSV
    SelectionLiverpool (Lay)
    Strength10/10
    Date22/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 1.89 (Lay)
    ReasoningLiverpool are just stuttering lately meanwhile PSV are a team on fire. They beat Galatasaray 2-1 in their last Champions league game away from home and are a pretty consistent team. Liverpool are a ridiculous price as always here and PSV are being overlooked. I predict a pretty boring game but the lay of Liverpool looks safest to me.
  8. Re: Horseracing - Building The Bank

    SportHorse Racing
    Event6.20 Wolverhampton
    SelectionSynonymy (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date21/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.14 (Back)
    ReasoningLooks a progessive 3yr old stayer and won over course and distance a few starts ago. Was below par on turf last time but the return to this track should suit and is only 2lbs higher than when winning here last time in what was a stronger race. Odds against for him to place looks one of the bets of the day and its hard to see him not being involved in the finish.
  9. Re: Wolves 20/10

    SportHorse Racing
    Event4.00 Wolverhampton
    SelectionWood Fern (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date20/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.24 (Back)
    ReasoningConsistent enough sort who places more than wins. Trip of 9 furlongs probably abit short for him but this is an absolute dreadful race and I cant see how he will not be involved in the finish. Tends to finish his races well so I expect to see him flying late in the day to grab 2nd or 3rd and I wouldnt be surprised were he to win.
    3rd. :ok
  10. Re: Wolves 20/10

    SportHorse Racing
    Event4.00 Wolverhampton
    SelectionWood Fern (to place)
    Strength10/10
    Date20/11/2006
    Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 2.24 (Back)
    ReasoningConsistent enough sort who places more than wins. Trip of 9 furlongs probably abit short for him but this is an absolute dreadful race and I cant see how he will not be involved in the finish. Tends to finish his races well so I expect to see him flying late in the day to grab 2nd or 3rd and I wouldnt be surprised were he to win.
  11. Re: Hexham 15/11 Haitch do you know what your talking about matey?? First of all, horse has had two runs at Hexham. Tell me why the jockey booking is inexperienced though? Brian Harding is an inexperienced jockey??? I dont think so. And you should know Tony Dobbin doesn't ride for Lungo anymore. Bad run last time out but the trip wasn't too far, it needs 3miles and 2m4f is a bit on the short side. Just a bad run as stable wasn't in form.

  12. Re: GET ON! - King George (Boxing Day)

    RACE VIDEODATERACE CONDITIONSWGTRACE OUTCOMEJOCKEYORTSRPR
    FULLFIN22Apr06Ayr20GdCl1G2NvCh,23K11-71/54L, Le Volfoni[2/7F] 11-3 Tony Dobbin— 123 160
    FULLFIN14Mar06Chl16GSCl1G1Ch,79K11-72/141¼L, Voy Por Ustedes[8/1] 11-2 Tony Dobbin— 155 165
    FULLFIN08Feb06Crl16SftCl3NvCh,6K11-101/6dist, Been Here Before[2/7F] 11-0 Tony Dobbin— 138 145
    FULLFIN06Nov05Ayr16SftCl3NvCh,7K11-31/49L, Darkness[2/5F] 11-9 Tony Dobbin— 98 150
    FULLFIN07Apr05Ain25GSCl1G2H,34K11-101/91L, Mr Ed[11/2] 11-2 Tony Dobbin155 115 159
    FULLFIN26Feb05Kem25SftCl1G2H,23K11-122/53½L, Crystal D'Ainay[11/2] 11-12 Tony Dobbin156 142 157
    FULLFIN29Jan05Chl24GSCl1G2H,34K11-85/1110½L, Patriarch Express[14/1] 11-0 Tony Dobbin144 121 157
    ——11Dec04Chl22GdCl2H,12K11-75/632L, Lough Derg[8/11F] 11-4 Tony Dobbin144 77 123
    ——19Nov04Wdr20GSCl1G2H,23K11-01/74L, Monkerhostin[11/4] 11-8 Tony Dobbin— 49 140
    ——22Apr04Per25GSCl3NvH,7K11-81/510L, No Picnic[EvensF] 10-11 Tony Dobbin— 116 134
    ——01Apr04Ain20GdCl1G2NvH,29K11-02/131¼L, Garde Champetre[7/1] 11-0 Tony Dobbin— 115 140
    ——11Mar04Crl20GdCl4NvH,4K11-101/1514L, Kidithou[4/9F] 11-7 Tony Dobbin— 12 117
    ——01Nov03Kel23GdCl4NvH,2K10-131/112½L, Sands Rising[4/7F] 10-13 Tony Dobbin— — 116
    ——23Feb03Ayr16GSCl64-6yOpenNHF,2K11-41/18½L, Dark Character[7/2] 10-9 Tony Dobbin— — 109
    Just look at its two runs at Carlisle. I predict a 20L victory on Sunday. :lol
×
×
  • Create New...