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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Mustafa

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Posts posted by Mustafa

  1. Re: WC > Europe Qualification > 22 - 23 March San Marino play decent football at home and rarely concede many goals. I remeber few years when they played Sweden at home they managed 0-0 draw at half time. England have a difficult away game against Montenegro on Tuesday, so they might not play 100% here. At Wembley San Marino managed to keep a clean sheet for 35 minutes and I think they might be able to keep a clean sheet at home for 45 minutes. HT/FT: Draw/England @ 6.50 ​Bet365 looks like a good option.

  2. Re: Serie A > 16th - 17th March Catania - Udinese Away from home Udinese lost only to the top 6 sides (apart from 0-1 away loss to the 17th placed Genoa). Moreover, out of the last 10 games against Catania they lost only 1, recording 6 wins and 1 draw. Catania has a good home record and haven't lost at home against teams below them, recording 6 wins and 1 draw. I am leaning towards a draw here, but think that Udinese might snatch all 3 points here. Udinese or Draw @ 1.83 William Hill _________________________ Bologna - Juventus Bologna has scored in 13 out of their 14 home games and moreover 71% of their home games produced 3 or more goals. Juventus managed to keep a clean sheet in just 3 out of their 13 away games. Morover, Bologna is not an easy opponent for them and they have managed only 5 wins in the last 10 games against them, while 4 games ended in a draw and 1 win for Bologna. Both to Score bet would have won in 8 out of the last 10 games between these 2 sides. Both to Score @ 1.91 William Hill

  3. Re: Everton v Manchester City > Sat 16th March

    Interesting fact is that out of the last 10 games between these 2 sides Everton won 7 and City won 2' date=' and the last game ended 1-1. Moreover, Everton have beaten Man.City in the last 3 games at home.[/quote'] Moreover, this season Everton have scored in 13 out of their 14 home games. Both to Score @ 1.61 ​William Hill
  4. Re: Manchester United v Reading > Sat 16th March Reading have lost by 3 goals only 3 times this season:

    • 0-3 away against Sunderland (11.12.12)
    • 2-5 at home against Arsenal (17.12.12)
    • 0-3 at home against Wigan (23.02.13)

    Based on that I really like the odds on Reading +3 @ 1.73 William Hill. Moreover, since next week a number of World Cup Qualifiers will be played I think that most of the players will be thinking about their respective national teams and won't be surprised if they don't play at 100%.

  5. Re: Manchester United v Reading > Sat 16th March Like the odds on Both to Score here @ 2.00 with most bookies. Reading have managed to score in 9 out of their last 10 games, including a cup game against Man.United at Old Trafford. With 9 games to go Reading are in relegation zone and have no other option than to go forward and score goals and are capable to do so.

  6. Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March I normally don't bet on corners, but for this game I will make an exception for the following reasons. Barcelona must score at least 2 goals without conceding to take this game into extra time, but should Milan score then Barcelona will need 4 goals to qualify. In my opinion Barcelona have a good front line to do so. Last year Milan won 4-0 against Arsenal, but were outplayed at the Emirates when the gunners won 3-0. Milan will most likely defend with 11 playesr while Barcelona will attack. Generally more attacks mean more shots on goal and more corners. However, Milan will play on coutner attacks and score a fe corners themselves. Over 12 Corners @ 3.00 ​William Hill

  7. Re: La Liga > 1st - 4th March

    Mustafa' date=' these odds reflect the CL games several days after El Classico. Yes, Barca have important match as well, but I think the effect on Real will be much bigger. For Mourinho it is win-or-die situation. If his team gets eliminated by United, the whole season will be utter failure and disaster, and it will be the first major failure in Mourinho's career. While if he wins the CL, it will still be considered a good season. Whereas Barca is winning La Liga and probably will win Copa del Rey. They also won two CLs in the last years, so failing against Milan will be bad, but not a disaster. Moreover, Barcelona almost always plays full-strength regardless of their schedule. [b']While Mourinho is very pragmatic in this respect.
    I will disagree with that point. As long as I remember Mourinho always plays full strenght squad. I remember when he was in charge of Inter he used full squad even in Coppa Itali matches, so I doubt he will rotate the squad against Barcelona.
  8. Re: Chelsea v West Bromwich Albion > Sat 2nd March

    I am wondering if there is any chance for BTTS in this game. I have no doubts Chelsea gonna score one or maybe two goals' date=' but are West Brom capable of scoring against the London side without Lukaku in the squad? Long, Odemwinge and Gera are good players and they are scoring goals but the difference between them and Lukaku is big, he has scored 12 so far and he is the top scorer of WBA, second is Long with 6 goals. So guys what do you think about WBA scoring at least one goal without Lukaku?[/quote'] Chelsea along with Man.City have the best defensive record in the Premier League so far, so Both to Score is a bit risky bet in my opinion.
  9. Re: Swansea City v Newcastle United > Sat 2nd March This game will produce goals in my opinion based on how these two sides play. In League Cup Swansea scored 5 against Bradford, and Newcastle Scored 4 against Southampton in the Premier League. Moreover, 77% of Swansea's home games and 62% of Newcatsle's away games produced 3 or more goals, so I guess Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70-1.80 with most bookies is a good option here.

  10. Re: Serie A > 23rd - 25th February Inter - Milan My favorite bet in this game was always red card to be shown and with Balotelli facing his former side and knowing his temper I think it is very likely that we will see a red card in the match. Normally this bet is priced around @ 2.00 and if it is over than than there is a value in my opinion. Red Card @ 2.37 William Hill

  11. Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Sun 24th February Chelsea are playing good football at the moment and have only lost 1 out of their last 10 games. The Citizens drew at home against Arsenal, Liverpool and Everton and in my opinion Chelsea are a better team at the moment than the said 3 sides that managed to take a point from Ittihad Stadium. The pressure will be on Man.City to get a result, and in that case I think that Chelsea will have a slight advantage and I can't see them losing this one. Chelsea +1 @ 1.83 William Hill

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