Mustafa
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Posts posted by Mustafa
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Re: Newcastle United V Arsenal > Sunday 19th May
In the beginning it was 2.62. I don't know how they do their calculation, but they offer Newcastle to score first @ 1.30.wow Mustafa this is very generous to get 2.1 for Arsenal to score first. Good luck -
Re: Newcastle United V Arsenal > Sunday 19th May
Yes' date='you have guaranteed profit.You are not missing anything[/quote'] No the only thing is to find large amount of money for this :) -
Re: Newcastle United V Arsenal > Sunday 19th May Hi, can someone tell me if the below described formula guarantees profit or I am missing something. My local bookie offers Arsenal to Score First @ 2.10, while most online bookies have it @ 1.44-1.50 Bet365 has Newcastle to Score First @ 3.00 William Hill offers Correct Score 0-0 @ 21.00 - So if let's say I place $100 on Arsenal to score first, possible winnings $210 - Then I place $80 on Newcastle to score first, possible winnings $240 - I also place $10 on 0-0 Correct Score, possible winnings $210 So if Arsenal score first or game finishes 0-0 my profit is $20; and if Newcastle score first my profit is $50 Did I miss anything?
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Re: Serie A > 4th - 5th May
Nothing determines result of future matches for sure, otherwise bookies would have gone bankrupt :)Does past matches determine the result of the futures matches? No well?. :) -
Re: Serie A > 4th - 5th May
I don't think "safer" and "unpredictable"' date=' together are a valuable argument. :)[/quote'] In the last 4 Juventus home games against Palermo, Juventus won only the last one, while Palermo beat them in the remaining 3. -
Re: Serie A > 4th - 5th May
But Mustafa' date=' why would BTTS be a "safer" option?! Juventus have the best defense and the highest number of clean sheet in Serie A, while Palermo, despite their good form lately, have one of the worst attacks. I am not saying Juve will necessarily win this, but I don't see any safety in the BTTS market, and in fact, if we trust stats, this shouldn't be a wise choice. Anyway, as I said, Palermo are on a great run lately. But I don't remember Juve being given 1.50 at home against a side below top 6. Usually they would get such price (even smaller) against teams like Roma and Lazio.[/quote'] But teams fighting against relegation are unpredictable. -
Re: Serie A > 4th - 5th May
Good point. Since 1 point will be enough for Juve I don't see them risking too much in the last minutes if let's say the score is level. To be on a safer side I would go with Both to Score, since the draw is most likely outcome here.Maybe so but Juve only need 1 point now to seal it and Parlemo are on the brink of going down and fighting to stay up. Watching Torino-Juve last week I was really frustrated all game by them playing chess with a team they could have just overwhelmed. This dance went on for 80 mins and then hallelujah Vidal smacks one in!!! I was happy just to get my stake back - was on Juve -1 AH @ 2.05 - then as if just for me Marchisio thunders one in from close range. Was thinking of backing Juve this week but can't bear to watch that crap again. -
Re: Fulham v Reading > Sat 4th May 65% of Fulham home games and 59% of Reading away games produced 3 or more goals. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 Bet365
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Re: La Liga > 3rd - 6th May Valencia - Osasuna Valencia has been scoring plenty of goals recently. In their last 4 games they have scored 2 against Real Sociedad and Valladolid, 3 against Espanyol and 5 against Malaga. However, their defense is not that impressive and they have conceded 16 goals in their last 10 games. Last 4 home games at Mestalla between these two sides ended as follows:
- 2013: Valencia 2-1 Osasuna
- 2012: Valencia 4-0 Osasuna
- 2010: Valencia 3-3 Osasuna
- 2010: Valencia 3-0 Osasuna
Valencia & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05 Bet365
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Re: Manchester United v Chelsea > Sun 5th May I think goals is the best option here. Man.United will be relaxed, while Chelsea will be after 3 points. Moreover, apart from the last game between these 2 sides which Chelsea won 1-0, the last 7 games between these 2 sides produced 3 or more goals and Both to Score bet won in all of the said games. Over 2.5 is priced @ 1.70-1.80, while Both to Score is priced @ 1.57-1.60. Both are good selections in my opinion.
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > Sun 5th May Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 7 out of their last 10 games. Moreover, they have scored at least 2 goals in last 6 games against Everton. Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.83 Bet365 looks like a good pick.
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Re: Serie A > 4th - 5th May In Chievo - Calgiari and Parma - Atalanta games draw is priced at around @ 2.00. Really strange.
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Re: Queens Park Rangers v Arsenal > Sat 4th May
Good post and as Arsenal supporter myself I will most likely add on of these bets into my Saturday accumulator or maybe take a single one if the odds are good :ok Arsenal -3 @ 7.50 and if you want to take a risk Arsenal -4 @ 17.00 (both at William Hill) might be another good options.I think the bankers here are: Arsenal to win Arsenal to score first Arsenal over 1.5 Arsenal over 2.5 Arsenal race to 3, 5, 7, and 9 Arsenal clean sheet if the odds are good enough (only dodgey one really). Good luck chaps! -
Re: Queens Park Rangers v Arsenal > Sat 4th May Guess backing Arsenal is a type of bet you include into an accumulator. After taking only 1 point against Man.United they must win their remaining games to ensure Champions League football. Any other mistake and Tottenham will leapfrog them and Arsenal manage to get points when they need them.
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton > Sat 4th May I think goals is the way to go here. All Southampton away games against top 6 sides produced 3 or more goals. Tottenham are not so strong defensively at the moment, they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 9 games, conceding 18 goals. So my suggested bets would be Over 2.5 Goals or Both to Score.
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Re: Queens Park Rangers v Arsenal > Sat 4th May Like the price on Arsenal here. In my opinion most of QPR players will be thinking about their future and I doubt they will have any motivation to play in this game, while Arsenal are fighting for the Champions League spot. If it was earlier in the season I wouldn't have backed QPR on some sort of handicap since they managed to get points at home against Man.City, Tottenham, Chelsae and Everton. Guess it will be just a routine win for the Gunners.
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Re: Chelsea v Swansea City > Sun 28th April With Tottenham dropping points yesterday I guess both Chelsea and Arsenal will take their respective games as a major step towards securing Champions League football next season. Swansea are without a win in their last 5 games, while Chelsea are on a good run at the moment and @ 1.40 is a good price in my opinion.
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Re: La Liga > 26th - 29th April
Both bets were part of my 3-Fold accumulator :beerA.Madrid - Real Madrid In 8 out of their last 10 games real Madrid scored at least 2 goals. Moreover, they have scored at least 2 goals in the last 4 games against A.Madrid (in out 8 of the last 10. Real Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.30 William Hill _______________________________ A.Bilbao - Barcelona 94% of Barcelona away games produced 3 or more goals. The only one game that produced less, was 1-1 away draw against Valencia. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 William Hill -
Re: La Liga > 26th - 29th April A.Madrid - Real Madrid In 8 out of their last 10 games real Madrid scored at least 2 goals. Moreover, they have scored at least 2 goals in the last 4 games against A.Madrid (in out 8 of the last 10. Real Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.30 William Hill _______________________________ A.Bilbao - Barcelona 94% of Barcelona away games produced 3 or more goals. The only one game that produced less, was 1-1 away draw against Valencia. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 William Hill
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Re: La Liga > 26th - 29th April Quite like the odds on Levante here. It is obviously isn't based on their home form, but rather on Celta away from, which reads 1 win, 1 draw. and 14 losses. With their only away win coming against bottom placed Zaragoza, back in November 2012. Another good bet is Over 2.5 Goals in A.Bilbao - Barcelona game, which is simply based on the fact that 94% of Barcelona away games produced 3 or more goals. Odds on Real Madrid look quite tempting as well, considering that they won last 9 games against A.Maddrid, but in my opinion goals would be a better option, since Real Madrid is poor defensively at the moment, while A.Madrid failed to score only once at home this season.
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Re: Everton v Fulham > Sat 27th April Everton won their last 4 home games and have beatne Fulham in the last 5 games at Goodison Park.
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Re: Newcastle United v Liverpool > Sat 27th April
Agree with Over 2.5 Goals, since 71% of Newcastle home games and 76% of Liverpool away games produced 3 or more goals. Head to head stats are also in favor of this bet, with only last 2 out of the last 10 between them producing less than 3 goals.Over 2.5 goals 1.8 @ Betfair - I can see this game going over 2.5 goals. Although Suarez is not playing for Liverpool, Sturridge is still a quality player IMO. On the other hand I'm not really convinced by Liverpool defensively, especially away from home and Newcastle have players who can hurt them with the likes of Cabaye, Sissoko, Gouffran, Ben Arfa and Cisse so we should get goals in this one. -
Re: Chelsea v Swansea City > Sun 28th April
Chelsea need to win for Champions League place' date='Swansea nothing to play.their season finished whit League Cup's win,even whit this i'm not so sure about Chelsea win,these two team played League Cup's semifinals and it could be a factor.i remember problems between players...do you think will Chelsea win easy?[/quote'] I think that Chelsea is too short @ 1.36. Might be some value in backing Swansea on a handicap. -
Re: Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid > Wed 24th April I agree that both to score is a good bet here, but want to add some statistics from uefa.com • Dortmund have the best home record of the four sides still standing in this season's competition, having won all five of the matches on their own turf. • Madrid's 3-2 defeat at Galatasaray AŞ in the quarter-final second leg was their third loss in 17 UEFA Champions League away fixtures under José Mourinho (the other two came in Germany) – and they have scored in all of them. • Madrid have prevailed just once in 24 previous visits to face German opposition, losing 17 times. B. Dortmund & Both to Score @ 4.50 William Hill
Champions League Final > Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund > 25th May
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Champions League Final > Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund > 25th May
But Benfica was also unstoppable this season until it came to final stages in their domestic league and Europa League Final.