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Everything posted by luckotheoirish

  1. Can't find a thread for Johnstone's paint trophy tonight so I put this in here.Ok for me today it's Gillingham -1 AH at 1.625 to beat Yeovil...these two teams have different agendas heading into this game after differing cup fortunes at the weekend.The Gills were dumped out of the cup losing dismally at Stevenage 3-0 on Saturday while the Glovers pulled off heroics at non league Maidstone winning 0-1 with 9 men on Sunday.Gillingham's manager Justin Edinburgh was fuming after his sides display and he says that this game can't come soon enough.He had them back at training on Sunday he was so ang
  2. Re: Sky Bet Championship > Saturday January 17th I'm going to prefix this with 'football's a funny old game' and all that and often when you read fans forums and they all predict a loss for their team somehow it doesn't happen but I'm on Derby 0,-0.5 @ 1.45 bet366....a couple of reasons for me...Derby are the highest home scorers in the league with 27 goals so I think they have a good chance of finding the net tomorrow.Forest have failed to score in 5 of their 12 away games and tomorrow they will be a little light up top with Assombalonga(13 goals) and Fryatt(5 goals) missing.I know it's
  3. Re: Scottish Football > January 16th & 17th Let's get the ball rolling here...Hamilton +2AH @ 1.35 bet366....The thing for me here is that Hamilton score goals,they are the second highest scorers in the league and are the highest home scorers.They have the league's top scorer in Andreu(12 goals) ably assisted by Antoine-Curier and Crawford both with 8 a piece.Of course they haven't got a water tight defense as shown in their 2-3 home loss to Dundee United in their last game but with a two goal head start it means if the 'Accies' score once tomorrow then Celtic need 4 or more for the
  4. Re: Scottish Football > January 10th - 12th The Motherwell price of 5/2 DNB was certainly good value but it's well gone now....the only other one that catches my eye is Aberdeen to beat St Mirren away....granted the 8/15 is nowhere near value and care should always be taken when backing an away team at less than evens so why take a chance on the 'Dons' at a crappy price?Well firstly there seems to be a hunger and eagerness about them this season now that they have their noses in front.They have a decent away record of 7-0-3 13/8.They have the second best defense(overall and away) and hav
  5. Re: Sky Bet Championship > Friday December 26th Leeds 0 AH @ 2.075 bet366....I think this is a great price on the home team not to get beaten today.They have only lost 3 times at home in 11 games and they have the league's third meanest home defense conceding 9....Wigan have won just once away from home this season in 11 league attempts losing 8 on their travels.They have the joint third worst scoring record away with 9 goals scored in 11 games.The latics have just one win from their last 18 and I'm not sure if they should be favourites for this one.Not much on the team news front but Ma
  6. Re: Scottish Football > December 20th & 21st Two scoreless draws so it's money back for me...well done to allthethings on the Queens/Annan draw...Weatherson actually played and Queens hit the post but it sounded like an even game...
  7. Re: Scottish Football > December 20th & 21st In league 2....Montrose will be without their top scorer Garry Wood(5 goals) as he is suspended and Annan's top man Weatherson(7 goals) is doubtful.Queen's park and Albion should win but the prices are a very skinny 4/5 and 1/2 for this league.I'm going to put a small draw no bet double on 4/11 and 1/5 on the home sides....
  8. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > Saturday December 20th Gillingham +0.5,+1 @ 1.475 bet366....I think Chesterfield are over-rated today and I think there is value to be had on the home side.The Gills have only lost twice at home in the league this season and Chesterfield have only won twice away.The home side could actually go level on points with the Spirites if they win today so I would have priced the two teams a little closer.On the team news front Kedwell(4 goals) seems to be back in the fold after some talks with the manager and hopefully he's found his focus.For the away side Morsy(18 app,1
  9. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > Saturday December 20th Barnsley 0 AH @1.9 bet366...I'm taking on Leyton Orient again and I've found in the last couple of weeks they've been over-rated by the bookies.Today their price is a little bit more realistic but the O's could be missing 5 strikers,Dagnall(3 goals), Henderson(5 goals) and Lisbie(1 goal,only played 3 games) are definitely out while Mooney(3 goals) and Plasmati(2 goals) are doubts.Barnsley aren't exactly setting League one on fire but they are the 6th top scorers and the third home top scorers.Unfortunately the tykes defense has been their und
  10. Re: Johnstones Paint Trophy > Saturday December 6th Gillingham +0.5,+1 @1.475...bet366...I've taken on Orient a few times this season and I'm willing to do the same today.The bookies make the O's favourites today just as they did a couple of weeks ago when these teams met in the league.Gillingham came out on top on that occasion and I think the 11/5 for a home win today is very much on the generous side.The league game seemed to be a pretty even affair and the Gills have only lost 2 of their 10 home league games this season.Orient have won 3 out of 10 away and they could miss 4 strikers
  11. Re: Sky Bet Championship > December 5th & 6th Derby 0,-0.5 @ 1.575 bet366....Only Watford have scored more goals at home in the league than the rams.They have lost only once on home soil in 9 and I think this coupled with Brighton's 1 away win in 9 gives the home side a good chance of taking the 3 points tomorrow.Squadwise Derby also have the advantage and I think they pose more of a goal threat especially with Lualua(2 goals) and Colunga(2 goals) missing for the seasiders.Both sides could be missing their skippers with the ever present Keogh struggling for the Rams and Greer(2 goals
  12. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > Saturday November 22nd Fleetwood 0 Asian handicap @ 1.775 bet366....There are only two teams unbeaten at home in the league,leaders Bristol City and Fleetwood.They are 4-4-0 11/6.Walsall have only won once away in 8 games going 1-3-4 5/6.They have just come through a 4 game spell in 10 days and by all accounts they looked a little tired on Tuesday night.So far their manager has resisted the temptation of rotating the players,sticking basically with the same 11,fitness and suspensions permitting.Tomorrow Dean Smith has intimated that there may be a few changes.A wor
  13. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > November 14th & 15th I also agree with Neubs on Oldham even though the price is a little on the skinny side...Crawley will probably have no recognized striker and they'll have to make the long journey north early for the 1pm ko...Oldham have only lost once at home and Crawley have only won once away so I would fancy a home win...
  14. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > November 14th & 15th Swindon vs Bristol City BTTS @ 8/13 with bet366....the price here doesn't hold any value and I think the bookies have done their job quite well but sometimes you have to balance price with the chance of winning and going by the stats this bet has a good chance of coming in...City and Swindon are 1st and 3rd respectively and are the two top scorers in this league with 33 and 32 scored in 16 games.They can also concede however with 17 and 19 let in.The Robins have played 8 games at home scoring 18 and conceding 11 and the other Robins have pl
  15. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > November 14th & 15th If Jay Simpson doesn't make it for Leyton Orient tomorrow they will be very short of firepower.I think the 5/2 for Gillingham holds a bit of value and if the team news is favourable before ko I might take the gills with some kind of handicap.I'd be interested to hear Hastgills take on this one...
  16. Re: Conference North/South November 1st/2nd 0-2,bet won....
  17. Re: Conference North/South November 1st/2nd Yeah I'd prefer if Ebbsfleet were in better form but sometimes teams can go into a poor streak for no apparent reason. Both teams are on a poor run,Staines more so but if I was to pick one of these teams to break the streak then it would be Fleet. I think they have the better defence by some way and with Sheringham and Bricknell up front they are more likely to out score the home the Theophanusless home side. The price isn't great though and I will be taking a bit of draw cover...
  18. Re: Conference North/South November 1st/2nd Ebbsfleet @ 10/11 bet366....The fleet have the 2nd meanest defence in the league with 9 goals conceded in 13 games.They will be looking to get back to winning ways today after 4 games without a win against bottom of the table Staines. Staines have the worst defence in the league shipping 29 goals in 13 games losing their last 7 league games. They have scored the same number of goals as Ebbsfleet but for this game(and a big reason for my bet) they will be without their top scorer Theophanus(8goals) who has joined Farnborough and Brendan Kiernan(1go
  19. Re: Sky Bet League 1 > October 28th & November 1st Coventry +0.5,+1 @ 1.525 bet 366....the price has started to come in a little on this one. Orient in my opinion are too short for this and I would give the sky blues a chance to get something from this game. Coventry though have a poor away record with no wins from 7 away games 0-2-5 6/13. This however is matched by Orient's poor home form of 0-2-5 4/11. To make matters worse for the O's they will have a few injuries/suspensions to contend with today.Already out are Lisbie,Mooney,Sawyer,Vincelot,Legzdins and James.They are joined tod
  20. Re: Sky Bet League 2 > October 25th & 26th Stevenage won 1-0....
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