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Wiltshire Shot

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  1. I'm on three games in the WPL. I'm ignoring short priced Connah's Quay and TNS; both should win comfortably but haven't really convinced me enough this season to be that short (one-off 1-10 results aside ). I'm also ignoring Druids v Carmarthen as they only have one win between them so no form to speak of; I'd fancy the Druids with home advantage but think the price is slightly short. If I was braver I'd go for the draw. I hope to be at Caernarfon; I've got a few bob on the home side for an added interest. I'd have thought both promoted teams would be okay as from what I've seen of the north feeder the better sides look good enough to hold their own in the Premier, but that's not how its turned out and like Stevie I expect Caernarfon to win. (3/5, general). I'm also on Bala at Newtown (6/4 general); despite them letting me down when I last backed them I still think Bala will have a good season. Newtown should be okay this year, but I expected Bala to be shorter so I've gone for them. I'm also on Barry (23/20, general at Airbus). Like Penybont, Airbus have struggled since coming up, while Barry are undefeated in second, with their two draws coming against better sides than Airbus. I don't know much about either side so this one is based on stats and I'd happily take evens or better.
  2. I've been impressed by Bala this season. They've made some signings that on paper looked promising, and this has transferred onto the field and I can see them pushing hard for a Europa League place. They play Connah's Quay tonight, no mugs themselves, but form hasn't been great since shocking Kilmarnock. Connah's Quay have only scored twice this season, and Bala's strength in going forward should cause their visitors problems at the back. I can see this being a hard-fought match, and I think it'll be closer than the 21/10 Betway are offering for a home win.
  3. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Dec 28 I've taken a risk on Luton -1EH (Paddy, 2/1). They're putting out a strong side, and at the moment are good going forward. Kiddie are struggling for form, and I'd expect Luton to score at least once, meaning Kiddie will have to go forward at some stage and maybe open up. (It'll be 0-0 now)
  4. Re: England > Boxing Day > Skrill Premier Dec 26 An early take for me is Woking at Sky's 11/8. Woking are running into a bit of goalscoring form, while Salisbury are stalling after a bright start. Salisbury's away form hasn't been particularly good even when they were higher-flying; while they've had a difficult away fixture list so far I think there's enough in the price to go with Woking who have six win in seven, including notable scalps of Kidderminster and Nuneaton.
  5. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Dec 21 I've gone for Brett Williams (Aldershot) anytime goalscorer at 365's 7/5. Tamworth aren't particularly solid at the back, and Aldershot do most of their scoring at home. Williams this season has scored in just over half his home games; I'd have this at slightly nearer evens.
  6. Re: England > Midweek > Skrill Prem, N & S, Northern, Southern, Ryman Nov 25-27 I can't bring myself to bet against Aldershot tonight; I appreciate that Braintree are better than Southport (who were, frankly, awful on Saturday) and the other well-reasoned arguments, but despite our injuries I think we played well enough going forward to have caused most Conference sides trouble. However, our back four will be makeshift so I've gone for over 2.5 at evens. Given how 'disappointing' Southport were, backing Luton at -0.75 (3/8, Bet365) isn't particularly imaginative, but I am anyway.
  7. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Nov 23 Yup, I'm not going to enjoy losing a bet more than I did today!
  8. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Nov 23 I agree with the analysis of Aldershot v Southport; we're (Aldershot) not at our best at the moment, and are missing key players through injury. Southport just look too long at 3/1 or even longer. Because of the game's importance and both side's struggles in front of goal I fear I could find myself watching a bore draw (despite both sides brining in strikers on loan) so I've opted for Bet365's Southport +0.25 at 27/20.
  9. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Nov 16 I'm with addpea on Halifax and Welling for the same reasons which I won't repeat :ok , except to add that Aldershot are missing a few experienced pros through medium term injuries and our manager admitted in our Fans' Forum this week that the youngsters making up much of the team are struggling. My third punt is Luton (available at slightly longer than evens), who are running into form after a slow start (7 wins, 3 draws from their last ten) against Chester. Although Chester are slowly improving, they still have only one win against a top half side, and in their recent draw against Aldershot (wasn't there but read reports etc) neither side looked particularly strong enough to repel the better sides.
  10. Re: England > Midweek > Skrill Prem Nov 12 My other pick other than Cambridge is Lee Gregory to score anytime for Halifax (21/20, Bet365). I hadn't realised how prolific he is (nine goals already this season and loads last year); against a team who know how to concede I'd have him a little shorter.
  11. Re: England > Midweek > Skrill Prem Nov 12 We (Aldershot) are definitely going through a rough patch, but on our day we can defend doggedly - we've only conceded five on our travels, and are undefeated in three away in the league. Cambridge looked better than us in the reverse fixture too, but not by a great deal. Cambridge are obviously favourites - although I wonder how their first defeat of the season will effect them. I've had some of BetVic's 20/23 on Cambridge, but I don't think I'd go as short as 8/13.
  12. Re: England > Midweek > Skrill Prem, South, Northern Prem & FA Cup Oct 14-17 I've gone under 2.5 on the Macclesfield/Southport game at the general evens. I saw Macc at Aldershot a while back, and they looked solid(ish) at the back, but lacked a threat up front. I accept though that scorelines suggest they may have opened up a little in recent games. Souhtport don't score many on their travels, and I can see this ending in a low scoring stalemate or Macclesfield win.
  13. Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Oct 12-13 I think this looks a decent bet, too. Possible downsides are that Luton are apparently without four-goal Mark Cullen, and that their defence can be vulnerable - Aldershot's modest attack managed three in midweek, and they've conceded six in heir last two. That said, Hyde's attack is probably even more modest than Aldershot's :p