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Wiltshire Shot

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About Wiltshire Shot

  • Birthday 09/17/1962

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    Snowdonia

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  1. There is a full programme in the Welsh second tier on Tuesday, and Bet365 for one have priced several games. Of a betting interest to me is Bangor at home to Llandudno. I'm biased because Bangor are my Welsh team, but I have them as most likely champions. Llandudno are sitting mid table, roughly where they finished last time a season was completed. There is a clear difference in ability as you go lower down the table. So far this season Bangor have dominated their three games, although in a couple of matches the chances created to goals scored ratio has been disappointing. That will give Llandudno hope, as will a credible draw against reigning champions Prestatyn (although having lost a lot of their league winning players and having to rebuild Prestatyn are a bit of an unknown quantity as far as I'm concerned). While on paper this should be a routine home win Llandudno might just get something, but I think there evens on Bangor is a touch long - I'd expected 4/5 or 5/6, so I think there's some value here.
  2. The Cymru North (Wales level 2) wasn't started last season, was curtailed in 19/20 with positions decided on PPG, and we're only on the third round of games this season. So, any bets are tentative but there are a couple that have caught my eye with Bet365. Conwy take on Llanidloes and are 10/11 to win. Conwy finished upper mid table last time, and I expect them to be equally comfortable this time. Their visitors were promoted last season which often means a year or so to adjust. Conwy were evens last night so I'm obviously not the only one looking at a home win. The big game is Airbus v Bangor, two sides I expect to be in the mix for the single promotion place. Airbus fought valiently in their last campaign but were eventually relegated from the Premier. Their start has been good with two wins, not against the strongest opposition, but a healthy goal difference shows a statement of intent. Bangor changed manager half way through their last season, results improved, and they've built on that with their signings over the last year. I generally find it difficult to judge signings in this league because I don't know the players well enough but Bangor are my Welsh team so I try to keep a closer eye on them. They've dominated both their games so far (according to their Twitter feed, anyway), losing against the run of play to Buckley then winning at Penrhyncoch despite a first half dismissal. Bet365 have an Airbus win at 9/20 which is too short for me, possibly based on league position rather than quality unless there's something I don't know about. No double chance available so I like a Bangor draw and win, both at 15/4 and around 2/1 overall. Airbus may well win, but I struggle to make them this short so I see some value.
  3. Thank you @Mindfulness, Corals now say I've self-excluded for six months which is why I can't get into my account, not because it's a duplicate. (I haven't self-excluded - at least not knowingly and I assume it's difficult to do by accident.) Fortunately I've kept all emails and screnshots of my chats which confirm I'll have full access to my funds in six months which isn't ideal but better than losing my funds which was my main concern when I was told it was a duplicate.
  4. I need some advice please. I have an online account with Corals who have closed my account on the grounds that it's a duplicate. It 100% isn't and I don't know anything about a second account. However, Corals is refusing to discuss with me saying my account must be closed and I must use the other active account. I have no idea about the 'other' account, its username, password etc except that customer support say its pretty active and 'I' made a deposit recently. I've tried live chat but Coral refuse to discuss with me on the grounds the decision is made and irreversible and have closed down the chat. Does anyone have any advice on what I can do?
  5. Nothing for me this weekend. Partly the prices look about right, and partly because the season has been so disjointed I find it hard to read. There might be a little value in Barry and Haverfordwest, but I'm not putting my money where my mouth is.
  6. Just one for me; Penybont to win at Hills's 5/6. Penybont have established themselves as a top half side this season after fighting against the drop last, as a recent double over Barry shows. Flint were promoted after finishing a distant second to Prestatyn last year when Prestatyn were denied promotion due to ground grading so their struggle isn't a major surprise; they have lost all three since the restart with their only points in their last eight coming against Aberystwyth who were going through their own rough patch at the time. My own price is nearer 4/6 and I can't find any team etc news to suggest why Penybont are shortening. One possible problem might be that Penybont aren't prolific scorers and stats suggest Flint seem to have improved defensively, so I fear a low scoring draw - the odds for under 2.5 or a home win to nil look generous given both sides' recent results, but I'm happy taking the home win at what looks to me like a bit of value.
  7. Bala are rightly strong favourites although at the price it's not for me.
  8. Mid-table Haverfordwest would normally appeal at the price at bottom club Aberystwyth, but after such a long hiatus I'm not confident enough to invest in anything until the weekend at the earliest.
  9. Nothing from me for a week or two. During the hiatus I've not kept enough of an eye on player movements, friendly performances etc to hit the ground running. There might be some value in Caernarfon and Cardiff MU and possibly Flint but I'll not invest, just noting them so I can bask in glory if they come in.
  10. Nothing from me tonight, partly because I'm keeping a watching brief after the hiatus, and partly because I think the prices are right so I don't see any value in the game. And yes, it's great to see football in Wales again.
  11. Aberystwyth v Newtown is off. Presumably the Barry/Penybont game will be postponed too given the suspension of non-profesional Welsh football.. If I was certain it was on I'd planned to back Penybont/draw at the general 5/6. I think the game is priced on reputation, not form which sees the visitors with a higher PPG (if my maths is correct). I'd price Barry avoiding victory at 4/6.
  12. Nothing for me tonight. I might take Penybont of they drift but in general the prices look about right.
  13. Yes, Barry could have gone better. I'm backing them this weekend, to win at Caernarfon at the general 7/5. Before winning at bottom club Cefn Druids last time they had only two points in seven games. Barry's form hasn't been much better in fairness, but they have had a very tough run of fixtures. On paper the visitors look stonger and have yet to lose to a side below them. I'm also on Haverfordwest to win at Cefn Druids at Unibet's 8/5. Druids are bottom, with six points from their thirteen games. Their visitors are safely mid table and have picked up most of their points on their travels. Their last hame by coincidence was the reverse fixture which ended in a draw,, bit I'm still happy to take them at the price.
  14. Wales on Saturday... No punts for me as I think the prices are about right, although I'll keep an eye on Barry to see if they lengthen any more before kick off. They are rightly favourites, and given they usually keep it tight, @StevieDay1983's suggestion of winning to nil at 13/5 might e tempting. I was also going to back Penybont, but they've come in, so it might be a case of watching the first half hour on the box before switching to the radio for the big Aldershot game. Great news that tier 2 and possibly 3 look like restarting, although not being able to go to games I've lost 'feel' for football this season which is reflected in my betting returns.
  15. The Friday game is Connah's Quay's trip to Aberystwyth. Aber have struggled a bit this season and find themselves in the bottom half, although I think they've got more than enough not to need to worry about the drop. While home form has been disappointing, they do have a home draw against TNS to their name and can argue that the fixture computer hasn't been kind to them, and that they've played few home games. Connah's Quay are champions and sit in second place. There is a bit of a gulf between the top two (and arguably Bala) and the rest of the league, with their only defeat being an unlucky (at least that's what the stats said) loss against TNS. Connah's Quay should come away with a routine win, although I think the 2/5 is about right and I won't invest in this match.
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