IAmGooner
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Posts posted by IAmGooner
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Re: ATP Rome Djokovic tb Federer @ 8/11 Heart wants Federer, head says Novak today. He's playing very well recently and is certainly only second to Rafa on the surface at this moment.Has had a great run in recent weeks, reaching the final of Monte Carlo and taking a set off Rafa in the final.Has beaten Robredo,Montanes and Del Potro in straight sets already in Rome and will have more to play for today being defending champ and defending ranking points.Roger has shown some promising signs this week but not enough for me to part with my money.Still question marks over his big weapons when under pressure, and for me novak is playing very solid this week. Nadal -5.5 games versus Gonzalez @ 5/6 Rafa will win in two, its just a question of how competitive Gonzalez makes it.For me his big weapons dont hurt Nadal on hard courts so on clay certainly will not.Rafa was below par against Verdasco yesterday but still won comfortably 6-3 6-3.Small bet at these odds
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Re: ATP Rome Yep just stuck some cash on Wawrinka. Hes been pretty good recently and has done well in Rome before. Del Potro is no mug on clay but he was pretty poor last night against Troicki, and Wawrinka is a deserved fave here. Been tempted by Zverez to beat Simon.No way can Simon's odds be so low.Had Zverez last night to beat Mathieu at a similar price(2/1) but that was mainly because Mathieu had only finished a match a few hours before that match.Might do the over/under market.Have to check the prices..... Wouldnt put anyone off backing Wawrinka here.
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Re: ATP Rome
Bolelli...Lost Monaco...Won,match gone into a third set :cheers Bolelli is soon to be playing womens tennis after winning one game in the final two sets.He's on my black book now!Thankfully Monaco more than covered the loss.Bolelli tb Kohlschreiber @ 8/11 Monaco to win a set against Murray @ 6/4 Bolelli match a coin toss but I'm siding with Bolelli here.Also fancy Monaco to win a set against Murray. He took a set off him on Miami hard courts and is most comfortable on clay. Fancy murray to win but Monaco should at least make it tight and could well take a set Good Luck! -
Re: ATP Rome Bolelli tb Kohlschreiber @ 8/11 Monaco to win a set against Murray @ 6/4 Bolelli match a coin toss but I'm siding with Bolelli here.Also fancy Monaco to win a set against Murray. He took a set off him on Miami hard courts and is most comfortable on clay. Fancy murray to win but Monaco should at least make it tight and could well take a set Good Luck!
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Re: ATP Barcelona April 20-26 Nadal-Davydenko over 18.5 games @ 5/6 Seems value to me.Rafa has had a break after nalbandian withdrew so the only worry is that he blows Davydenko away.But davydenko has looked good since his return,had a good run in Monte Carlo(would have beaten murray in my view had he not played a 3 setter the same day) and had a good win over stepanek yesterday.Assuming rafa will win,should davydenko make it competitive he can cover the the 18.5 games.
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Re: ATP Barcelona April 20-26 Robredo tb Andreev @ 4/6 Pretty even match up here,both decent clay courters.Robredo leads the H2H 1-0 with the matchup on clay two years ago.Give tommy the edge though, he's won titles on clay this year and has home advantage on his side.Expect a tight match though. Side Bet: Having a small bet on a double Verdasco tb Berdych 2-0 x Gonzalez tb Monaco 2-0 @ over 9/4 Berdych has beaten verdasco twice on clay before but verdasco is a different animal now.The slow surface means he should dictate the points and this is bedych's weakest surface. Gonzalez has beaten Monaco every time he's played him(4-0) and also had a straight sets win on clay in Chile earlier in the year. Expect both verdasco and gonzalez to win but hoping for straight sets wins for some value.
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Re: ATP Barcelona April 20-26
:clap Didnt like the card today,so back tomorrow with a few more hopefullyLopez tb Nieminen @ 5/6 Both players the same price here and in truth both are not in form at all.But as poor as Lopez has been,Nieminen has been worse.Lost in the Monte Carlo qualifiers and to Schuettler on Miami hardcourts.Lopez was beaten pretty easily by Ferrer in Monte Carlo but if ever there was a time to back him it is in his home country against a player who seems to be struggling on all surfaces. Lapentti tb Mathieu @ evens Lapentti did well enough last week for me to back him here.Mathieu is one of those players who I never back as a favourite.The Ecuadorian is a good clay courter and beat youzhny,stepanek and safin only losing to Rafa in straight sets in Monte Carlo.He's beaten Mathieu on clay before and though taht was a few years back I'm hoping he can repeat that success today Good luck -
Re: ATP Barcelona April 20-26 Lopez tb Nieminen @ 5/6 Both players the same price here and in truth both are not in form at all.But as poor as Lopez has been,Nieminen has been worse.Lost in the Monte Carlo qualifiers and to Schuettler on Miami hardcourts.Lopez was beaten pretty easily by Ferrer in Monte Carlo but if ever there was a time to back him it is in his home country against a player who seems to be struggling on all surfaces. Lapentti tb Mathieu @ evens Lapentti did well enough last week for me to back him here.Mathieu is one of those players who I never back as a favourite.The Ecuadorian is a good clay courter and beat youzhny,stepanek and safin only losing to Rafa in straight sets in Monte Carlo.He's beaten Mathieu on clay before and though taht was a few years back I'm hoping he can repeat that success today Good luck
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Re: ATP Monte-Carlo & WTA Charleston/Barcelona,April 13-19
:okwell done nikolay I see murray is playing davydenko later today and on a normal day I'd lump on davydenko on clay.But seeing as he's just back from injury and had a 3 setter today with nalbandian(compared to murray finishing off his second set),I think I'll leave that one.Some good match ups today and the ones that look like good value are the nalbandian/davydenko and ferrer/verdasco matches.Both are coin flips and really a case could be made for either to win.I'm going for: Davydenko tb Nalbandian @ 5/6 Watched parts of nalbandians match with granollers and he looked very poor at times and his serve was letting him down.Both players were breaking each other at will.David's fitness is a concern and he looks out of shape right now.Nikolay is only back after injury and may not be up to speed yet and while he only beat karlovic who is not as dangerous on clay,it's still quite a tough match.Neither player are on top form but my gut tells me davydenko might do it today. I'm very tempted to go with ferrer aswell over verdasco.Ferrer looks really good and fernando doesnt usually do well in monte carlo.of course he is now a different player,he's still not playing as well as he was in the Oz open.But i think I'll stick with davydenko for today Good luck everybody -
Re: ATP Monte-Carlo & WTA Charleston/Barcelona,April 13-19 Some good match ups today and the ones that look like good value are the nalbandian/davydenko and ferrer/verdasco matches.Both are coin flips and really a case could be made for either to win.I'm going for: Davydenko tb Nalbandian @ 5/6 Watched parts of nalbandians match with granollers and he looked very poor at times and his serve was letting him down.Both players were breaking each other at will.David's fitness is a concern and he looks out of shape right now.Nikolay is only back after injury and may not be up to speed yet and while he only beat karlovic who is not as dangerous on clay,it's still quite a tough match.Neither player are on top form but my gut tells me davydenko might do it today. I'm very tempted to go with ferrer aswell over verdasco.Ferrer looks really good and fernando doesnt usually do well in monte carlo.of course he is now a different player,he's still not playing as well as he was in the Oz open.But i think I'll stick with davydenko for today Good luck everybody
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Re: Road to Rolland Garos
It's not my work' date='but it's really good:ok[/quote'] I would never have known.should have taken the credit for it:D -
Re: ATP Monte-Carlo & WTA Charleston/Barcelona,April 13-19
:ok Thank god,had 50 squid on safin there and he really puts you through the mill.Hewitt had 2 break points at 5-5 in the second but marat came through.Hewitt deserves credit for showing great fight despite being jetlagged and looking injured.Safin tb Hewitt @ 5/4 A nightmare match for punters but with the circumstances I'm going with safin.Hewitt literally walks off the plane and on to court,and surely fatigue will play a part.Had a win in Houston last week,but it wasnt exactly a strong field and the clay is alot different than that in monte carlo.The other side of that is safin hasnt played since he choked against monfils in miami hard courts so may start slow.Neither player is what they once were,safin was a better suited to clay in his time and he serves and returns as well as hewitt.Lleyton was struggling with his serve last week big time and hopefully will be punished today.Will be a struggle more than likely and hoping marat doesnt break any racquets today...... -
Re: Road to Rolland Garos meant to re-phrase it as so-called good claycourters who really only achieve results on the surface but fall short against the top players.verdasco might do well,cilic doesnt move well enough to hurt nadal or fed for me just seen simon got walloped by beck,disgraceful serve percentages
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Re: Road to Rolland Garos Fantastic work RePunt. My only hope for the clay court season is that nadal at least gets some competition.The players who I see as troubling him are federer,djokovic and nalbandian.Fed has the all-round game but never plays aggressive enough or uses any variation in his game.Start coming to the net a bit more and take your break point chances.Novak has a good clay court game and Nalbandian is one of those guys that can outplay anyone on his day. Then theres the usual clay courters like almagro who are good but not good enough to trouble the big boys.Not sure about murray,looking forward to seeing him against Hanescu which could be a tricky match
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Re: ATP Monte-Carlo & WTA Charleston/Barcelona,April 13-19 Safin tb Hewitt @ 5/4 A nightmare match for punters but with the circumstances I'm going with safin.Hewitt literally walks off the plane and on to court,and surely fatigue will play a part.Had a win in Houston last week,but it wasnt exactly a strong field and the clay is alot different than that in monte carlo.The other side of that is safin hasnt played since he choked against monfils in miami hard courts so may start slow.Neither player is what they once were,safin was a better suited to clay in his time and he serves and returns as well as hewitt.Lleyton was struggling with his serve last week big time and hopefully will be punished today.Will be a struggle more than likely and hoping marat doesnt break any racquets today......
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Re: ATP Houston,Casablanca & WTA Marbela,Ponte Vedra 6-12 April Chardy tb Garcia-Lopez @ 2/5 Fancy chardy to go far this week,had a convincing win over Jesse Levine and the conditions seems to suit him.Odds are a little short but i'll be taking them. Ferrero tb Starace @ 2/5 Ferrero is not the player he once was and injuries are hampering him in recent years.But he's reached a couple of quarter finals recently and has the beating of starace on clay(3-1 H2H).Starace is having a poor year and I'm hoping ferrero records a win here
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Re: CL - 7th & 8th of April Going for: Liverpool to keep clean sheet against chelsea @ 6/4 Usually cagey affairs and liverpool tend to strangle games against chelsea at Anfield.They have also hit some form and when they are on song they give little space especially on big european nights.
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 @ RePunt:yeah i'll just stick with federer to win the match.my hatred of djokovic can cloud my judgement sometimes.Fed win looks good. @TQD: quality match.unbelievable for nadal to lose when up a double break in the third.even at match points down,i still fancied him.thankfully no money on the match.credit Del Potro,who has struggled against the top guys but kept his head any views on Murray/Del Potro and serena/Azarenka? am thinking Murray but these two have some history.surely JMDP cannot cause another upset.Murray wasnt serving great against Verdasco but still a great win,even if his opponent was struggling.And serena should win.have to have a look at the prices
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 Dunno lads,fancy murray to win but thought his price would be a little higher considering verdasco is much improved and has the weapons to hurt murray.Expect a tight match here,so will go for the over/under market: Murray vs Verdasco: Over 22.5 games @ 5/6 (William Hill) Also tomorrows match between federer and djokovic is a certain fed win for me.likely to be a day match and novak is unbackable for me.playing quite well but struggles with the heat and his breathing.if tsonga was on top game he surely would have won the second set last night and it was clear djokovic wasnt up to another set.Fed is not the invincible figure he once was,and lost a set to Roddick but in fairness he's having a very good year and was in his home country so a good win for Federer.Odds a little short but will be definitely on a fed win and possibly 2-0. Federer tb Djokovic @ 2/5 (small punt on 2-0 Federer @ 11/10)
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 Ferrer tb Del Potro @ 5/4 Looks to me like ferrer is getting back to some form.watched his match with cilic last nght,and he was very aggressive and came through in 3 sets.had a good run in Dubai and pushed roddick at IW.overall i think he's a better player than Del Potro who doesnt seem to have a plan B at times.movement wise he is not the best and ferrer could move him around the court. Roddick tb Monfils @ 2/5 Monfils is one of the most frustrating players on the tour.super talented but incredibly inconsistent and struggles mentally at times.a nightmare to back.I had him against Mathieu in Marseille and he won the first set then choked.this week safin had him and had a few set points to finish him which he blew.Roddick is in-form and beat him in Doha this year.also playing at home,i expect roddick to come through.tempted to do roddick 2-0 to bring up the price but might just stick with a straight win.
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 Alrite lads and lasses.having a good week so far but the amount of short price favs is making it difficult to back anyone.thats why i hate doing accumulators filled with short priced favourites.cilic had me sweating last night and really could have lost had delic been serving as well as he can.anyway he came through and had a look at todays matches and a few catch the eye: Blake vs Berdych Pennetta vs Mauresmo Zheng vs Cornet Pennetta tb Mauresmo @ 5/6 bookies have both at even prices,but i fancy pennetta to come out on top here.she beat amelie at the US open last year and the Fed Cup last month and has the beating of her on hardcourts.Mauresmo had a mini-revival in paris,but was poor at IW and so have to side with pennetta here.may go the distance though have thought about the other matches.very tempted by berdych as blake is woeful right now and berdych can match anyone on his day(led federer 2-0 at AO).also like zheng and expect her to win but i'm going to do just the one today:pennetta Good luck
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 Cheers mate.you win some,you lose some.had a good day though,also had pennetta in the womens draw so took a bit off the bookies.hopefully the luck holds up but at first glance,there are very few evenly priced matches today.having a few punts today on: Wawrinka x Cilic double @ 7/10 Wawrinka beat seppi at IW comfortably and though seppi has a slight lead in H2Hs,mostly were on clay.only one winner here for me Cilic should have too much for qualifier delic.having a good year and could overpower delic here,who has done well but seems to be hit and miss at times. Tipsarevic tb Melzer @ 5/6 one of the few evenly priced matches.could make a case for both as neither are playing great.tipsa had a match here already beating acasuso,and this can sometimes give a player the edge.
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Re: ATP & WTA Miami,March 25-April 5 First post lads,couple of tips for tomorrow: Simon tb Hewitt @ 4/6 I think the bookies have made a mistake with the odds here.simon has slightly struggled recently by his standards and lost to Ljubicic surprisingly last week.but he's reached the latter stages of pretty much every tournament he's played.good to see hewitt winning matches again.however,he is struggling against pretty mediocre players.similar styles but i fancy simon to come out on top and will have money on him. Kiefer tb Santoro @ 4/7 had money on santoro yesterday and he came through against bellucci,who in general is a claycourter.very difficult player to play against but kiefer is known as a fighter and pushed an inform roddick at IW.i think if he gets in front,he'll beat santoro.the odds are not fantastic though Dent tb Almagro @ 5/6 bookies cant split these two but i think home advantage can give dent the edge.almagro is a claycourter and has done well in recent weeks on clay.however this is a different kettle of fish.dent played well against mello and has a great chance to beat almagro here.find it very difficult to back almagro on hardcourts Good luck
ATP Rome
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Re: ATP Rome Yep good luck mate.It really is a coin toss between the two. But after Fed lost to Novak in Miami I think, I still have doubts over his mental toughness. Not something Djokovic is renowned for either but he looks solid this week, Anyway should be a great one!