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spreadman

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Posts posted by spreadman

    I can program with BetFair API - just need a decent system.

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: I can program with BetFair API - just need a decent system. :welcome k-f,....wait until you hit a 0-0 match.......that'll sort your £90.75 out!!! :rollin I'm also trading in the Barcelona match.... but I prefer to risk waiting 20 mins. or so, and getting a better lay price.....3.2 or less. The thread running at the moment entitled 'Trading on Soccer Games' in the systems forum may be of interest to you.... GL., :ok

    Trading on soccer games.

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Trading on soccer games. A good system, Danny, with unders trades more often easier to predict than overs, though both markets offer profit potential. Around 75% of my trading used to be spread betting, in running, with less than 5% fixed odds, but I now place at least 90% of my trades in running on the exchanges, usually Betfair, which has greater fluidity than BetDaq. One method is to lay the draw result, prematch, if an early goal is expected, or wait until the lay price is down from, say, 3.5 to 2.95 or less. The first match goal to be scored occurs, on average, between the 36th and 39th minutes. I prefer to trade my first 'lay the draw' bet between the 20th to 28th minutes, there is no hard and fast rule.....that's the whole idea of watching the match at the same time as you trade. Having laid the draw, when the first goal is scored, the 'back the draw' odds will increase, and steady at around, hopefully, up to 4.0 or more. (This trade is also possible in spread betting, by selling total goals pre-match, which is when you will get the best price, waiting 20 minutes, or so, hoping for no goals to be scored, and then trading out after 20-25 minutes of play.) With the odds greater than when you began,this is your opportunity to close the trade for a profit, or risk sitting tight, as the odds, rise as the game progresses, ..... unless ther is an equaliser....in which case you could be facing a trading loss, unless a third goal is scored. Remember, 'lay low' and then 'back high'. Exchange Trading in running is not for the faint hearted. You are basically betting on your ability to correctly judge the likelihood of a future event, and if, or how soon it is likely to happen, in order to obtain the most beneficial price. More general info, and a specific system illustration at: www.inside-edge-mag.co.uk/football/masterclass/106/betting-inrunning.html Good luck....any sensible questions, or for a discussion of your systems that you favour, post here. :ok

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