Puntteri
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Posts posted by Puntteri
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Full start for outdoor season, though at Tampere the match will be indoors. There might be a bit snowing here and there but the pitches are in good enough condition and the snow should not spoil the matches. The winners go to semifinals and to the 7th round of the Finnish Cup directly, the losers of these matches continue their season with the 6th Cup round which will be drawn next week. The winner of the League Cup gets a monetary prize but no European competition spots are available, so the importance of this Cup is not huge in that sense. No extra time will be played, straight into penalty shoot-out if the matches are at draw at FT. Very clear home favourites in the first two matches, two others are much more even. I am planning to take both Honka and HJK, but as usual I will be hunting the optimal time and odds for these. Honka - FF Jaro Honka were the most entertaining club during pre-season, a plenty of goals at both ends in all matches. In the attack they are obviously i form, and as there are no more test defenders any more also the defence is likely to be more tight. Honka have not played in this competition for weeks because they were the first to finish their schedule and go off to a camp in Turkey. Honka are well-prepared and again one of the favourites to win this cup and the League. Jaro played their last match last weekend away at JJK and lost 1-0. Team news at Honka tell about only long-term mf Vasara being missed and there are more than 20 players to choose from. At Jaro there are a few injuries and also some players are playing with the reserves. If Honka have been concentrating at least a bit into defence since the group phase this should be a clear home win. If you think about live betting as I do you have to keep in mind that in the group phase Honka conceded the first goal 5 times out 6, and was even 3 goals behind MyPa and 2 behind Haka. -0.75 @ 1.66 is not what I want to get from this, a bigger hc with bigger odds suits me ok, or the same -0.75 in live betting. Edit: Got it at -1 @ 2 and I am very happy with that. HJK - KuPS HJK will be without mf Yobe who was arrested for manipulating results, but they got Finnish legend Jari Litmanen instead. KuPS have been missing defenders lately and the same applies today as Joenmäki and Holopainen are out, along with midfielders Oravainen and Hynynen. 1st choice gk Vilmunen is a questionmark. KuPS test new striker from Ghana (or was it Guinea?), but under these circumstances home win looks very likely. HJK are at -1.25 @ 1.93 and I took it now as HJK odds usually drop further towards kick-off. I will be there myself today but it might be there is no better chance to take it today even live. HJK have had their problems when in lead, but they have also started the matches well. Edit: Heavy snowing here by the stadion here 4 hours prior to kick-off. TamU - TPS TamU are unbeaten since Lahti Cup final in January vs KuPS, but it tells more about the poor quality of the Northern Group in the cup than of anything else. They have also been linked to this Singaporean match fixer discussed yesterday and perhaps all is not that well at Tampere either? TamU miss a couple of strikers due injury. TPS have lost their last two matches 0-4 vs Inter and Djurgården, and they lack attacking options a lot, but there should be two new strikers at test. Despite being indoors this match smells like a low-scoring affair but depending on who TPS are missing TamU might also raise some interest. Obviously there has been some illness and flu in the TamU camp and they have very little to offer from the bench.n Not touching this before seeing the actual line-ups, and perhaps not even after seeing them. -0,25 @ 2.15 for TamU available which is a good price IF TPS are still without Kolehmainen, Nyberg and Heinikangas. IF they play I will definitely skip this with current odds. JJK - Inter This is the match which shows most clearly the class difference of the two groups. I was hoping for a more even set-up and perhaps I might skip this in the end. JJK defence was in terrible shape in the group phasot e, and as they are missing today Hyyrynen and Wusu from the front it limits their attacking options to Virtanen and Manninen, personally I do see Tommi Kari as a threat to a solid Inter defence. Inter have defender Joni Aho suspended but he will be rather easily replaced. Inter not to lose this one, there is -0,25 @ 1.87 available but I am not all sure of what will be the market reaction in this and this is another match under consideration at the moment. At the moment it looks like Inter odds are on a rise, which would be nice. The odds will move one way or another before the kick-offs as the line-ups will be published one by one. There are so many questionmarks regarding line-ups in most teams that I do not want to recommend any other bets at right now, but as mentioned I will probably take Honka at some point, then Inter and TamU are the next on the waiting list depending especially what kind of team news there are from Tampere. Enjoy your day, it is Saturday!
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Re: Finland Veikkaausliga August 27th-30th 2010
1-4' date='bet won.....odds were really messed up on this one.Tampere must be really poor.Pity there was no input from our finnish friends.I might have upped my stake.....[/quote'] Yep, TamU are a mess again, but it was more down to Jaro being very good last night. However as the leagues absolutely best player mf Alexei Eremenko Jr transfers from Jaro to Kilmarnock now it will slow down Jaro a bit in the future. Another big transfer is Medo from HJK to Partizan. Highlights in the link; http://www.iltalehti.fi/nettitv/?25835738 -
Re: Finland Veikkausliga August 12th-16th 2010
I know you guys are doing a great job but matches from this championship are a joke. I agree with you' date=' IFK MARIEHAMN were in form, Oulu with missings and bad form but 0-2 is just nightmare. How could you find value in this match for the guests ? Somebody with an explication or just bad match for betting ?[/quote'] Actually Oulu is not in bad form performance-wise. They had a terrible run by results at a losing streak of six matches, but only one of the matches was a poor one and they were basically unlucky during that period. Of course it is impossible to read from the stats or the table. Last night there were also some misleading team news regarding Oulu which originated from the local websites, Ethie for example was not suspended and both important doubtful players Ngambe Ngambe and Hurme did start the game. Agree fully with this league being tough to predict, after 18 rounds there are still more away wins than home wins in the league and one of the public´s favourite candidate for relegation is playing well and fighting for the title - KuPS. Yep, I was with Mariehamn last night too, and TamU. -
Re: Finland Veikkausliga August 12th-16th 2010 Well Haka firepower has pretty much gone with Nam, Hynynen and Ikävalko leaving the economically sinking Haka - as they were responsible for most goals and even the goals scored were from set pieces, so I would not hold my breath waiting for a Haka goal tonight --> which leads to the fact that TamU winning this derby is not at all an impossible idea. From the remaining squad best goal-scorer is center-back Kalle Parviainen with 3 goals, but even he is injured for the rest of the season. From tonight´s starting eleven the best goal-scorers are Kalle Multanen, Mikko Innanen and Regi Nooitmeer with 1 goal in the bag, Jukka Santala has got 2 but he is on a sub´s bench, and it is exactly where he belongs. On the other hand as also the league´s best goalkeeper Janne Korhonen left Haka and joined JJK and the Haka defense is weak as mentioned I would not be too surprised to see the over coming home anyway ;) I guess also the hc mentioned above for MIFK is european, not asian.
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Re: Finland veikkausliiga June 30th-July 5th 2010
I was blaming the translator machine, mate ;)Hello Puntteri. sorry i'm not very good at writing in english.:ok -
Re: Finland veikkausliiga June 30th-July 5th 2010 Off topic, but a good example what google translation can do; "Anthony Useless" - who is originally Antonio Inutile and the translation is just correct, and actually describes this striker at least on a bad day. Both teams have lots of absentees, including away team´s manager Juha Malinen who is suspended, a no bet for me, hosts are favourites for a reason but hardly trustworthy.
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Re: Finnish Ykkonen 17th june Well, what kind of reply do you want then? Before the match the market saw the match as about 50-30-20 and after being there at the stadium analyzing the game and making notes all I can say the market was right and actually you took a bit short price. PK did keep a few key players on the bench, but the market did not know that, and yet they had more chances to win. It was a poor game from them,but they still were 50 % winners at least until the Espoo goal which came from a counter attack. Congrats for the winners.
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Re: Finnish Ykkonen 17th june
1-0' date='bet won.....I guess there was no hidden agenda....[/quote'] It was ok, odds about right as Espoo have overachieved a bit. -
Re: Finnish Veikkausliiga 14th June Well, there is some team news you did miss. VPS gk Kwon is suspended for two matches, and for the first time there is a chance for Alessandro Marzuoli who has not played a single match in the league and this is seen as a huge blow. VPS also do miss Tero Koskela, Pekka Kainu, Antonio Inutile and Jyri Hietaharju plus long-term injured gk Pope and Tuuri who are not important. some good news, Valtter Laaksonen and Jani Tanska return. Henri Lehtonen was indeed banned for the cup game and Inter have their share of injuries as well, but they have been known for long time since they are long-term; Bantamoi, Monsalve, Kauko, Furuholm. VPS always have a chance for a draw and it is what they are looking after but the 3/1 for dnb is not a good price, I would want about 4/1 for it.
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Re: Haka - Jaro
Thanks, always trying my best!Nice post Puntteri. :clap -
EDIT: FT 4-3. A good example what an early can do to a game! Haka - FF Jaro kick-off 18.00 CET No dramatic team news since yesterday. Center-back Toni Kuivasto is confirmed not to play for Haka, and from the visitors side suspended Eremenko Jr. and long-term injured Sara and Sarajärvi are certain not to play. Also Janne Vellamo, center-back Heikki Aho and mf Papa Niang are unavailable. Haka have gotten two draws against the league favourites TPS and HJK, but both points should be given to the gk Janne Korhonen who took several match winning saves in both matches. The 1-1 result away at HJK could not be more misleading, the official match stats show that HJK won the corners 15-3 and shots 21-4. Haka´s new signings for this season are all more or less disappointing, Traore, Osei, Santala, Gela, even the striker Nam seem to be unaware of their role or just lack the physical skills needed. Defense is quite well organised when Kuivasto is in match-fitness, playing forward their attacks usually stop before the half-way line, and the midfielders have a lot of catching up to do. Key players Innanen and Hynynen have not been in full fitness, but also have suffered from the ever-changing experiments in the squad, and the inexperience of the coach Sami Ristilä. Winger Sebastian Strandvall who was even dreaming of a european transfer after a rather succesful last season is not even a regular starter anymore, and one of the best Haka players so far has been mf Xhevdet Gela, a young player with only Ykkönen experience from Atlantis 2009! All is definitely not well in the traditional footballing city Valkeakoski. There has been a lot of talk about Eremenko´s absence and many seem to see it as crucial because Eremenko Jr is the shiniest star of the whole League, but it should be remembered that only 6 weeks ago no one at Jaro even dreamed of such quality players as Eremenko Jr. And Zézé ever to play for Jaro, and their loan deal from Ukrainian Metallist Harkov in March was only possible because of the good connections of the manager Aleksei Eremenko Sr! In that sense Jaro is now stronger than they were in most of their league cup matches, including the one vs. Haka which they won 2-0 at home back in February. Jaro did weaken after last season - at least on paper – but the coach Alexei Eremenko Sr. took over the position midway last season and has started building a team of his choice using the limited resources allocated to him. It has already been seen, that despite experience of coaching on top level he is a good leader and an excellent tactic with deep insight into the game, which is no surprise given his education to the football in the good old Soviet Union. Eremenko Jr´s role as the maestro and a playmaker has also diminished the role of another midfielder Sebastian Mannström, who has tonight an excellent opportunity to step up and show what he is made of, also Ymer Xhaferi probably returns to the playmaker spot and is responsible to feed fast and skillful Zézé on the right wing, but I expect Mannström to take a more active part of creating the goal chances. Jaro do miss Eremenko, but in the best scenario they have a chance of getting more options to their attacking play tonight, and as Haka as a home team and a favourite should at least try to control the match Jaro have a good chance for counters in the expense of Haka midfield. Both teams need to make some changes in their line-ups, Haka should really bench at least striker Jukka Santala and mf Quincy Osei, but the problem is that there are not any significantly better options available. Jaro need to replace Eremenko jr. , and whether they keep the same formation or try something new remains to be seen, but Niangs likely absence narrows down the options a bit. No change in initial estimation, Niang would had probably started from the bench anyway. Goalwise this could get a bit shy, but that is also what the market expect. Probable market moves might go Haka´s way, depends on how dig deal will be made of case Eremenko who is an excellent player, but yet just one player. The market moves are quite big in this league, and it is a good idea to check both early prices and the latest prices just before kick-off for proper value. Personally I am looking for a price of 5 % higher than these, but 10 % is not rare. Especially the late moves are often big, for no proper reason except adjusting to the pressure from the market. Some other team news; FC Lahti won TamU last night in the cup, there was some light at the end of the TamU tunnel, but not yet a good performance by any means. HJK´important mf Medo will need to go under surgery for hand injury next week and will miss several games, doubftul for Monday´s VPS away. Line-ups: Haka: Korhonen, Nooitmer, Parviainen, Joenmäki, Juuti, Osei, Innanen, Gela, Traore, Ikävalko, Nam. Jaro: Teles, Lody, Vasiljev, Grove, Björkstrand, Mannström, Kronholm, Matrone, Zeze, Xhaferi, Sundqvist. Asian handicap price limits:
30.04.10 Haka Jaro -0,75 2,67 1,6 0,75 -0,5 2,17 1,85 0,5 -0,25 1,81 2,24 0,25 0 1,54 2,84 0 -
Re: Finland Veikkausliiga 23-26 April Sometimes? Nah.. they happen in every league and it is a good thing. What would the world be like if the better and bigger team always win.
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Re: Finland Veikkausliiga 23-26 April Inter look as strong as usual, but they need the only decent striker to play - Furuholm - who is injured way too often. Jaro are black horses in everyones mind, so that is no darkhorseness anymore.. ;) matches are naturally already under way.
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Re: Finland Veikkausliiga 23-26 April FT 0-2. No balls, no imagination, no nothing except players afraid of doing anything at Tampere United. I would be really worried if I were in their shoes.
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Re: Finland Veikkausliiga 23-26 April Quiet here nowadays. Here is my preview for today I have posted elsewhere. Tampere United – JJK Jyväskylä April 23rd 2010 18.00 CET TamU started the league season in the same way they finished the league cup, playing badly and getting no results from their trip to Oulu (3-0). They received another big blow when striker Aleksei Kangaskolkka got injured early in the game and their already weak and thin material got a bit thinner. Is there any light at the end of the tunnel? There is some relief tonight for the hosts. Striker Jonne Hjelm who got stuck in his travels because of the icelandic volcano eruption is back, fit and available, Brazilian midfielder William De Mattia ( Dema from now on) has returned from Brazil and will probably start if the license is in order, and a long-term TamU work horse Jari Niemi finally signed a contract with TamU and will strengthen the midfield significantly. The injury list of TamU is still long, but compared to the last week´s game the situation is a way better. Toni Järvinen, Aapo Lappalainen, Jesse-Juho Kuusisto, Jari Nikkilä will be joined by Kangaskolkka, and according to the manager Ari Hjelm there are also some players in doubt, including midfielder Tuomas Haapala. Kangaskolkka is an important absentee, and Haapala would do well if he was let to do what he knows best, being the hard-defending anchor man. JJK have not played since the league cup final, in which they got a ft goalless draw with FC Honka but ended up losing the penalty shoot out. Their first match at Vaasa was postponed because of bad pitch conditions, and they have had time to concentrate on the season opener. It remains to be seen whether it has done them good or bad having a longish break between matches. The league cup success was a good sign of the improvement of the JJK side who were below par last season but were saved by the fact that there was an even worse team in the League, RoPS, but as usual the stats and success do lie. JJK played in the worse league cup group - 6 best teams were in the other group - and they also had lady luck on their side in both 1/8-finals against TPS (2-2, won the penalties) and away at Jaro (0-1), where the hosts were constantly bombarding the visitors. Their luck – and good effort - continued in the final where Honka were not at their sharpest in front of the goal. JJK do have a good goal-keeper in Szerovay, the defense line is strong and experienced at least in the center with Juha Pasoja and Jarkko Okkonen, and Touko Tumanto is a useful all-round midfielder. Up front they have Mikko Hyyrynen who is the only one to cause trouble for the defence and can create something himself, Tommi Kari is more annoying than effective and is Mika Lahtinen is a prototype of a Ykkönen side striker. Not bad as such, but not good enough for the league. The bad news is that Mikko Hyyrynen is injured and will not play, and the midfield lacks strength and skill. Young midfielder Patrick Poutiainen is back from injury, but the combination of a soft and uneven pitch and hard TamU men Sakari Saarinen and Jari Niemi is not ideal for young Patrick. Despite the shortcomings of TamU lately and the fact that they are suffering from their yearly crisis they still are the better of these two lower mid-table teams, and with the home advantage they are 45 % favourites in my books to win this low-scoring Friday night encounter. Early price for TamU -0,25 @ 2.08 was @ Sbobet, but Newsletter customers this morning and other enlightened individuals have dropped to price now down to 1.87. Check from the table below what the limits are.
Tomorrow MyPa host AC Oulu, and I am not saying that I like the looks of MyPa too much, but MyPa -0,5 @ 2.09 at Sbobet but most likely is not going to last.23.04.10 TamU JJK -0,75 2,73 1,58 0,75 -0,5 2,22 1,82 0,5 -0,25 1,8 2,25 0,25 0 1,51 2,96 0 -
Copied this from my blog.Why not paste it? Venue - Finnair Stadium Helsinki, HJK home ground It will be stated as a neutral venue, but it is far from it for FC Honka. Honka did play their home games there last season until their own stadium was under reconstruction, they do play most of their European competition matches there and it is also the venue for the Finland Cup finals where Honka have played two years in a row - and lost. Not to mention that it is only 7 km away from their own home ground whereas JJK will travel 300 kilometres. I am not sure if JJK have ever played there, last season´s away match at this HJK home stadium was played at nearby Pallokenttä. The stakes The winner of the match is the League Cup winner, and not much else. There is a small monetary prize, but there are no European competion spots. No one wants to lose the final ever, but as the league starts next week no risks involving injured players are taken. Class difference Honka is one of the best teams of the League, JJK were lucky to escape relegation last season. This season they have a chance for midtable position, but might face relegation worries again. Transfers Honka - Important mf Joel Perovuo left for Djurgården, Jarkko Värttö signed with FC Lahti but was not important, though a quality defender and a future promise. No new signings, the team is virtually unchanged but gained a year in experience which is a good thing for a young side. JJK have signed four key players for their starting eleven and are much stronger now than last season. Some dead wood have been thrown overboard, but Korean striker Nam would have been welcomed to stay. Coaching staff Mika Lehkosuo has stayed at Honka for years and has been praised often, Honka play attractive football and have gained results, still chasing their first big win. Kari Martonen did go to JJK from FC Honka for this season, and no one knows the home team better than he does after staying with Lehkosuo for all the latest four seasons. This is his first assignment as the head coach on top level, but the results in the League Cup have been excellent. Injuries & suspensions Honka will be without Rasmus Schüller and Markus Paatelainen, but they have been unavailable for a long time. Hermanni Vuorinen has been rested lately and might start from the bench. Rami Hakanpää did not play vs. Inter. Young mf Patrick Poutiainen is doubtful from the visitors. H-to-h 3-0-0, but JJK was not the same team last season it is now and no emphasis should be taken on last season´s performances. The form Honka have failed in scoring lately in the absence of Hermanni Vuorinen, but they are playing their trademark football with controlling the ball and keeping it in the ground. Inter got beaten 2-0 by two late goals on Wednesday, and the only loss Honka have suffered was on their travels, 1-0 at MyPa. JJK started the cup well and have continued it succesfully, but there has been also luck involved in their latest matches vs. Jaro 0-1 and TPS 2-2. In the group phase in the far easier group JJK lost vs KuPS and AC Oulu. Key factors Midfield battle. Honka midfielders are talented and skillful, but young and fairly unexperienced and physically lightweight. JJK are at their weakest at midfield, they do not get the ball forward fast enough and yet they often also fail to help the defense. The speed of Honka wingers Demba Savage and Nicholas Otaru might make the crucial difference. JJK defense will be under pressure throughout the match, but a goal by JJK´s Mikko Hyyrynen would not be a big surprise. Media coverage Live on Urho TV. Streams? Available in Finnish on internet radio. The verdict? No one will question who is the favourite, the question is how big favourites Honka really are? There is no need for a win with a big margin, but with the supremacy on the pitch it is also possible. Asian handicap estimations below. A betting guide If the real market prices are bigger than the ones in the table we are talking about a value bet. The odds move quite a lot in this particular market, and it is advisable to wait for a value of at least 5 %, but it is not uncommon to find 10% value then the odds start moving, though this match is not the best example as it is a cup final and there are not even odds open yet. An example, I have estimated that Honka -1.25 should be at least 2.08 to be value. If the market price is bigger then it should be taken, but it is up to you which risk or value level you want to take. If neither of Honka -1.25 @ 2.08 or JJK + 1.25 @ 1.92 is reached then no bet should definitely be taken. I have a couple of % bigger raw estimation for Honka than the european market, the difference comes probably from the League Cup results, I am more interested in performances and class. EDIT: Took myself Honka - 1 @ 1.90 & over 2.5 @ 2.03. Sometimes I wait live for totals, especially overs, but Honka tend to start the matches very strongly at home, and this is a home match.
Honka JJK -1,5 2,4 1,71 1,5 -1,25 2,08 1,92 1,25 -1 1,84 2,19 1 -0,75 1,68 2,48 0,75 -0,5 1,54 2,86 0,5 -
Re: Finland League Cup 20th March In general the stats of matches played indoors in this cup were shocking, Oulu is not alone with this indoor home advantage. Of course the stats lie as always and in most cases the home team was also deservedly the favourite. Only TamU lost at home when played indoors, and they have other serious issues of their own. The other matches today are played outdoors unless it starts raining men.
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Re: Finland League Cup 20th March True, at first glance the price looks good but in fact it is not, my limit for Honka win is @ 2.08. Huge home advantage in the indoor arena, Honka is a bit shy visitor and Oulu is more or less unchanged from last season which also explains their good results in the league cup. The spirits are high in the Oulu camp. Agree with the class difference, but for instance last week Honka top scorer and key man Hermanni Vuorinen was not playing because of a minor knock and if he is still out today there is no way to take Honka at evens. Finnish bookie offer 2.05 for Honka win, and with their winning margins it tells a story of its own. My limits below;
AC Oulu FC Honka -0,25 0,25 0 0 0,25 2,34 1,74 -0,25 0,5 1,92 2,08 -0,5 -
Re: Finland League Cup 20th March
Postponed due heavy snowfall.What happend with this game ??? -
Re: Finland League Cup 20th March the feedback was so kind that I will give the price limits as well ;)
KuPS Tamu -0,5 3,57 1,39 0,5 -0,25 2,97 1,51 0,25 0 2,54 1,65 0 0,25 2,07 1,93 -0,25 0,5 1,75 2,33 -0,5 0,75 1,53 2,87 -0,75 VPS AC Oulu -0,75 2,25 1,8 0,75 -0,5 1,92 2,08 0,5 -0,25 1,58 2,71 0,25 0 1,35 3,89 0 0,25 -0,25 0,5 -0,5 0,75 -0,75 JJK FF Jaro -0,75 2,43 1,7 0,75 -0,5 2,04 1,96 0,5 -0,25 1,69 2,44 0,25 0 1,45 3,23 0 0,25 -0,25 0,5 -0,5 0,75 -0,75 Inter MIFK -0,75 2,33 1,75 0,75 -0,5 1,96 2,04 0,5 -0,25 1,61 2,63 0,25 0 1,37 3,69 0 0,25 -0,25 0,5 -0,5 0,75 -0,75 -
League Cup Finland 20th March 2010 Table The group is nearing the end in the league cup, four teams go to quarter-finals which will be played 31.3, the semifinals 7.4 and the final will be played right before the Leagure start 10th of April. The winner gets a bit of glory and a small money reward, the main emphasis in this competition is getting semi-important pre season matches for all teams and nothing is risked. KuPS - Tampere U klo 13.00 CET KuPS are far from that bad team as the table suggests, and for last week´s game vs. Haka they welcomed back last´s season sensation and by far the most important player for their team in the League – a Nigerian striker Dickson. Also Ollo came back to strenghten the midfield, and with a solid pre-season, some new signings and experience from last season´s survival battle KuPS is not at all doomed for relegation battle even people in general seem to think so. It is worrying that they have not scored even once in their 4 league cup games, but last time was the first encounter with almost the best starting eleven, and they were the most unfortunate team that I have seen in a long time and lost 0-1 after having three goals disallowed. KuPS have best possible squad to choose from, some players are with the U17 – national team and some others with the reserve team, the only injury is defender Miikka Turunen but he would had been bench material. Tampere United usually suffer a lot of injuries during pre season but this year it looked a lot better, until last week when two of their starting 11 defenders Jari Nikkilä and Sakari Saarinen got injured. TamU won the Lahti Cup in January but since then their performances have been very disappointing, and not getting to the quarter-finals from this weak group would be shameful. I am not usually suggesting totals too often, but there have been too much overreaction for the KuPS results and not scoring and I would be suggest here over 2.5 unless it was not snowing quite heavily today in Kuopio. Asian handicap price limits here, take a look at your own bookie if there is anything of value. There are often quite big market movements during the last hour before the kick-off, and usually there are no grounds to it so never follow the market in Finnish football league matches. Never. VPS - AC Oulu klo 13.00 CET VPS need to win to get to the play-offs while AC Oulu have surprisingly already secured their place, a goor achievement by the newly promoted club. This is the only match that is played indoors this round, and in the indoor matches the home advantage is far bigger than usual which favours here the home side with more motivation. However, VPS have big problems in their squad up front as there is only striker available, and he is unexperienced but talented youngster Kim Böling. Jussi Aalto, Valtter Laaksonen and Antonio Inutile are unavailable for this match. AC Oulu have no big injury worries, Juha Majava, Tommi Kauppinen and Joonas Pennanen have missed training this week and Joni Mäkelä is on U-17 international duty. Oulu are testing two players, experienced mf Mika Hänninen and Cameroonian Ngambe Ngambe. VPS are never a goal machine and the missing strikers do not help at all, but the motivation and form and big home indoor advantage talk in favour of VPS, but personally I never have backed them too easily if they need to score, their defense is solid but as favourite they are not my cup of tea. JJK - FF Jaro klo 13.00 CET JJK were lucky to escape relegation last season but this time there should not be such worries. They signed a good coach from Honka – Kari Martonen – and four key players for defense (Okkonen, Pasoja, Tumanto, Hyyrynen) midfield and attacking departments are they are at least safe, probably somewhere in the midtable after the season is over. They are again testing Eetu Muinonen for midfield and in my understanding they are only talking about money, the midfielder is definitely good enough. JJK have started the league very well to a surprise of the big audience but not to me, and they are definitely favorites against FF Jaro, who is again estimated to be in the bottom four. Before signing Alexei Eremenko and ZéZé from Metallist Harkov they lacked a bit of material, but Eremenko is a top class player and the probably the best in the league when fit and motivated, and there is all the reason to be more happy in the Jaro camp again. FF Jaro had â€frozen†the 14 shirt that had been worn by Alexei Eremenko Sr – the current head coach and the father of the Jr, but they have decided to â€melt†it now and the Junior will wear the legendary number 14 again. ;) Against Tampere Utd the material was obviously wide enough at the Jaro bench, but this time the things have improved a bit and Jaro have their chances. Sarajärvi, Matrone and Papa Niang will miss the game from Jaro, the only absentee from JJK is defender Tuomas Latikka. The temperature is at 0, there is some snowing at the moment in Jyväskylä. FC Inter - IFK Mariehamn klo 16.00 CET The winner goes for the play-offs. Inter miss both goalies again (Bantamoi and Monsalve), defenders Aho and Sanevuori and striker Grot, but the key striker Timo Furuholm is available. IFK Mariehamn will test Frenchman Médoune Gueye and Russian Maxim Krychanov for the center-back position. Inter are again slightly improving as the season is getting closer, and at home their solid defense should have no big worries with IFK strikers, and their 3rd choice goal-keeper Eemeli Reponen has been good enough for the league cup matches. The motivation of IFK away remains a mystery, they do not admit it, but it looks like they could not care less how they play away from home and they have done quite a lot of experiments and testing. Inter is the favourite, but because of their goal-scoring problems and some missing defenders and unexperienced gk I can not give them more than 51 % chances for a home win. Outdoor match at 0 temperature. Value in Tampere Utd - 0,25 @ 2.25 (limit 1.93) and VPS - 0,5 @ 2.05 ( limit 1.92)
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Re: Finland Cup 19-20 February Saturday´s matches feature only bottom teams and there is no real urge to back any of them. I came up with the following asian hc price limits however, which could be right or wrong as this competition is a friendly-like testing pre-season occasion. AC Oulu - Haka Oulu -0,25 @ 2,36 Oulu 0 @ 1.97 Oulu + 0,25 @ 1.70 Haka + 0,25 @ 1,73 Haka 0 @ 2.03 Haka - 0,25 @ 2,43 FF Jaro - KuPS Jaro - 0,25 @ 2.38 Jaro 0 @ 2 Jaro + 0,25 @ 1.72 KuPS +0,25 @ 1.72 KuPS 0 @ 2 KuPS - 0,25 2,38 Nothing at the total markets that I would fancy.
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Re: Finland Cup 19-20 February Funnily the odds moved a bit and I took HJK -1 @ 2.11 & TamU - 0,25 @ 2.04 which both were worth a try. More market moves to be expected.
Links for scandinavian footy >>>> Useful !!
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
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Re: Links for scandinavian footy >>>> Useful !! I guess my humble effort has not been mentioned here yet? There are occasional previews and stuff regarding Finnish football leagues on the FT Finland website with no strings attached.