Jono333
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Posts posted by Jono333
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Re: Flat Racing Thursday 16th of August 16:45 Beverly Nearly A Gift - Been in drastically poor form this year but is a very good price for the following reasons. Firstly the horse is unexposed, secondly it's racing at its optimum conditions (Gd/frm and 5f) and most importantly it is ridiculously well handicapped. Last year after some impressive maiden form it started its handicapping career at a mark of 82. Today it races off 60 which is 22lbs difference compared to this time last year. At that time it raced very well in a class 2 race finishing second and it looked like it was going to be a good horse. Sadly it hasn't been able to live up to that, but today it races in a relatively weak class 5 race of a ridiculously low mark. It looked like it needed its last race and actually ran quite well and I think it has good EW potential Nearly a gift 1pt e/w at 17/1
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Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 14th of August Hi guys, haven't posted on here for a while, but been in a rich vein of form lately (won 16/21 horses in the last week) so thought I'd share my selection in the hope we can all beat the bookies. 7:35 Yarmouth - Play Street Since the step up in trip has been winning wonderfully. Absolutely hacked up in a strong Class 4 race two starts ago and LTO bolted home without getting out of 1st gear. Today sees it''s hardest test yet in what looks to be a competitive race. The Cecil horse will relish the step up in trip and there are few other horses that have shown decent form thus far. However, if Play Street travels like it has done lately I believe it can defy its 7lb penalty and Bentley's 3lb claim helps. Play street 10pt win
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Re: Placepot! please read! Clear some PM space Erhaab :)
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Re: Placepot! please read! My selections came nowhere but nevermind! Cheers anyway pal
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Guys sorry for creating a new thread on this, but I don't want to get my hopes up if it won't be that big of a return. Can someone just quickly try and calculate roughly how much I'll get back on the placepot here, these are my selections: Race 1: Sentrail and lethal force (Sentrail places SP 5/1) Race 2: Chicamadee and Nahrain (chicamee places SP 4/1) Race 3: So you think and Carlton house (Both place, 4/5 and 7/2 SP) Race 4: Prince of Joanne and Mull of Killough (Prince of Joanne places 16/1 SP) Race 5: Jubille Diamond and Mironica Race 6: Duntle and Ladys first I've put on 20p a line which equated to about £12 Thanks!!
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Re: Blue Square Premier
you're getting as bad as liverpool fans now' date=' every year you say, 'this is it, we will go up this season', also got to add, your trust won't be profiting for a very long time, after what you've got to pay out, you'll be in play offs at best.[/quote'] How will be be 'play offs at best' when we're retaining the same playing budget for this season and thus the same squad? Obviously we won't be profiting this year with a suspected loss of over 700k dependant of whether the Uni lets us have the ground rent free for a year. That doesn't affect the relevance of the the original post, and we are still great value to win the league. Now go an do one and enjoy your Vodkat league or whatever it is you're in -
Hello guys. Just wanted to let you know of a decent tip. I'm a long standing Wrexham fan and I have to say that we look absolutely terrific this year. Some of our players could genuinely play in the Championship (Lee Fowler being one) and as a result of the off field troubles and the rectification of them, our squad has never felt a better connection with each other or the fans. We have accumulated 10 points out of 12 and currently sit joint top in the league. Now that our Supporters Trust is taking over the club tomorrow this squad unity can only get better and considering other teams such as Luton and Fleetwood do not look like they are going to 'Do a Crawley' I think we genuinely have a shot at the top here. We are still 12/1 on Victor Chandler!! On an asider bet, Jamie Tolley is usually fantastic odds for us to either score first or anytime (I had 5/1 anytime and 16/1 fgs against Lincoln which he duely obliged) so make sure you keep a track on his odds Cheers
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Re: Placepot
Ah yes that makes complete sense actually. The dividend for Warwick was £100 before deductions. So that means I would have only won back about £25 (30% of £85). A bit pointless really!No, the odds don't affect the individual payout. It's just if the well-fancied horses aren't placed, less tickets win so the dividend is greater. Say you have 10p a line and you have 6 races, and say 2 of your horses place in every single race you get: 2x2x2x2x2x2 = 64 so you would multiply that by the cost of a line so your payout would be £6.40 related to the divident which is for £1. So essentially you'd get whatever the dividend is multiplied by 6 and a bit. You would only have got 30% of the dividend because you only had 1 horse placing in each race. Say you had a winner in every race but 2 (in which you had 2 horses placing) you'd have: 1x2x1x2x1x1 = 4, so 4x30 = £1.20 so you'd get a shade over the £1 dividend. I think that's how it works but someone may well tell me otherwise - I rarely do them myself. -
Re: Placepot
Thank you for your response mate! Does it go by odds then? How does the odds affect the pay out, and how do you get people winning thousands off them? ThanksIf it were 30p per line then 30% of the dividend is what you'd have got back I think? Which is what? About 80 quid. -
Hi everyone, I know this is a bit cheeky but I was wondering if someone would be able to help me workout how much I would have won on the placepot. Only one race let me down so it would have been interesting to know my potential outcome. I did a placepot at Warwick, and according to the Totesport placepot information at Warwick http://club.totesport.com/totepoolLiveInfo/Java/index.htm the total pot was £39,586 the number of "Winning units" (Does this mean tickets?) was 287.50. The bets I had were Leg 1: Blue Deer (SP 5/2) *PLACED* and Vintage Grape (SP 12/1) *Did not place* Leg 2: Our Picadilly (SP 14/1) and Memphis man (25/1 sp) both did not place :( Leg 3: Emkanaat (Sp 4/9) *Placed* Leg 4: Knocker Knowles (SP 9/2) *PLACED*, Surrey Spirit (13/2 sp) *Did not place* Leg 5: Lupo Durgo (SP 8/1) *PLACED*, Mite Mouse (3/1) *Did not place. Leg 6: Into the wind (Sp 9/2) *PLACED*, Supa Seeker (N/R) - I guess this means it went onto Into the wind possibly who was JF? and Hint of Honey (10/1 sp) Who did not place** Overall I put on £14.40 which I guess is about 30p per line? Would anyone be able to work out how much I would have won approximately based on this information. I would be eternally grateful. Thanks a lot Jono
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Re: Place Bet Ah right, cheers. Surely it is affected by the odds of the horse though? The higher the odds the more payout? I just don't understand how
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Re: Place Bet
PlacepotAre these individual place bets or is this a placepot?? -
Hi everyone, I really do not understand how place betting works at all, despite researching it! Would someone please be able to give me an estimate on what I would win if my place bet came in today? I've put a five bound place bet at Newton Abbot: Leg 1 - Ramses De Marigincy to place (Currently 3/1) Leg 2 - Bid Art to place (Currently 4/1) Leg 3 - Advancement to place (Currently 11/2) Leg 4 - Thunder Child to place (Currently 5/1) Leg 5 - Glan Lady to place (Currently 2/1) Leg 6 - Brilliant to place (Currently 16/1) I've only done those selections and put £5 on. Thank you everyone
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Re: Best bet of the day 13th Aug 2:20 Sandown Francis Walshingham - Looks a decent punt in this small field. Came a decent 4th LTO in a decent race over 6f LTO and previous to this came 4th in another good race over 6f. Drops down to 5f today at Sandown and with this drops a couple of pounds to 73. The trainer has recently hit decent form and the horse has a very good jockey in Drowne on board. The draw may be a concern over this track. However, I believe with the favourite perhaps too high in the handicap and not much else on show it will be able to overcome this. Francis Walshingham @ 5/1 (Skybet)
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Re: BBOTD Sun 21/6/09 2:40 Pontrefract Sorry to go the same as Flintron but It's the only selection I'm quite confident of today! Quite a hard days racing: Luck Will Come - Only a 2 lb rise for his 2nd LTO in a competitive class 4 race. Jack Mitchell is on board and considering how poor the rest of the field are I'm going to side with Luck Will Come at quite a moderate price. Will love the ground and trip and is certainly better than his current handicap mark 1pt WIN
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Re: Newmarket 20th June 14:10 Newmarket Mastoora is much better than a class 4 horse - although this race is pretty competitive - and is better than his current mark. Despite only having 2 races thus far, on his debut he absolutely laughed at the field and won by 3 and a half lengths without breaking a sweat. On his second run in a class 1 it came out of the stalls very slow and was given a rather poor ride. If it becomes more prominent it should have a chance. 1pt win Mastoora
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Re: Best bet of the day 20th June 2:25 Ayr Come and Go E/W. I like 3 in the race but have gone for the best value at 17/1 Come and Go ran in a class 2 LTO over this distance and came a decent 5th. The reason it didn't run that well LTO was because it reared at the start and was playing up. It then started the race slowly away but made decent headway from 1f to go into 5th. It has a decent draw tomorrow so a more prominent ride and hope that it dosen't mess around at the start may see it go close. Although it seems to like softer ground more it can run on faster ground, evidenced by its 3rd LTO on the ground. The stable are in some decent form with an impressive 4 win streak a few weeks a go. It made the cut over Spinner's End and Green Agenda just hope I made the right choice! At 17/1 it is a decent E/W shout. I did this last night so the price is now 11/1 but still has a good chance.
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Re: Best bet of the day - Sat 6/6/09 9:10 Newcastle Dispol Kylie is back on a winnable mark and will enjoy the ground, however at a better price I'm going for Rosset Rose in the 9:10 Newcastle. Last couple of runs can be forgiven due to the ground. It is now back on good/soft ground and back on a winnable mark. The drop down in trip to 5f's should suit it better than the extra furlong and the rider D Allan is a very decent jockey. Trainer looks like he's starting to come into form and there are question marks on a lot of the horses here due to the ground and their handicap mark. Looks a decent bet at 12/1 E/W
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Re: Shop Managers Hi Billy, Don't know much about shops as I never use them. But it is unbeliveable they are quite happy to take money off "poor" punters but ban good punters. That's like saying Ronaldo can't play football because he's too good!? I can't believe they didnt pay out in your row with them as well because they did not have any money (the other story). Did you eventually get your deserved winnings? What did you have to do to get it mate? Jono
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Re: Best Bet Of The Day - Tuesday 02/06/09 Ripon 3:00 Spirit of France LTO at Redcar it came a very nice second over this ground and trip. However the most striking thing was the fact it made very nice headway from 3 furlongs out in the race. That was in a class 5 which it is back in tomorrow but the best thing about it is that it has been dropped a huge 5lbs in the handicap!. I'm not sure why to be honest, I would have bet on it even if it hadn't gone down in the handicap. But considering this huge drop in the handicap and the fact that the trainer and jockey are in decent form. 1pt WIN
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Re: Ripon 02/06/09 15:30 Ripon Excuse Moi looks set to run a big race in this decent class 3 handicap. He loves Ripon winning 2/3 starts their. Won LTO at Beverly very comfortably in a class 2 and is only increased 3lbs for that decent win. Looks a class above the rest of the field and looks good for a double. Currently 3/1 2pt Win Spirit Of Sharjah looks a decent E/W bet as well. Held up quite badly LTO at Beverly over 5f in a class 2. Drops down in class but stays on the same handicap and will hopefully go close. Currently at 8/1 1pt E/W 16:00 Ripon I may be missing something here, but the underdog of the race may run a big race. I noticed its low handicap and it being a whole 9lbs better off than the next weight. I passed it off due to thinking this will be too good a race, however I've had a look at the other horses and actually it's not that competitive a race. So many questions for the other horses in the race. Although it came 8th LTO in a class 5 it showed some promise and only faltered due to its high handicap. It now races in a weak class 4 a massive 8lbs better off than its last run. It has raced in better races than this and showed good signs as a two year old. Seems HUGELY overpriced to me at 25/1. My N/B - 25/1 1pt E/W Another in this race I like is Anthrology. Although in contrast top weight, ability wise it is probably the best horse in the race. As I've already said, this is a poor race for a class 4 and Anthrology seems currently the best handicapped horse in the race for its ability. 14/1 1pt E/W
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Re: Ripon 02/06/09 Forgot to add it is a course winner and will love the ground and trip (Spirit of France)
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Sorry it's a bit early but quite excited about the 3:00 at Ripon 3:00 Ripon Spirit of France is my super NAP for tomorrow in the 3:00 at Ripon. Got some money on at 4/1 now and going to hope it drifts tomorrow. Really confident about this selection but you never know with racing, but yeah definitely my NAP. LTO at Redcar it came a very nice second over this ground and trip. However the most striking thing was the fact it made very nice headway from 3 furlongs out in the race. That was in a class 5 which it is back in tomorrow but the best thing about it is that it has been dropped a huge 5lbs in the handicap!. I'm not sure why to be honest, I would have bet on it even if it hadn't gone down in the handicap. But considering this huge drop in the handicap and the fact that the trainer and jockey are in decent form it is my super NAP. 10pt win Spirit of France (currently 4/1) Also Tinitus for the placings. Seems a decent handicap and is 5lbs lower than the next best rated horse. Been running well lately and will hopefully come in a place with the trainer in form. 1pt E/W
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Re: Windsor (eve) 1/6/09 Spirit of Adjisa to me. Despite carrying top weight is well handicapped and will love the ground. Also a small E/W on Annambo
Flat Racing Tuesday 21st of August
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 21st of August 4:05 Yarmouth Mrs Greenley 3/1 Boylesports I genuinely can't believe the generous price on offer here for this horse. Firstly the horse has won 2/2 starts at Yarmouth with the very latest win over the course being in an arguably better race than this one despite it being in a class 5. Anton Chigh can be evidence of that, having come 6th in that race and looking a bit one paced it then subsequently won its next outing easily and has since finished 2nd in two class 4s looking like a decent horse. Even My Own Way Home who finished 10th in this race has since won a class 5 and did not digrace himself in a class 4 in its latest run. In Mrs Greenley's latest outing at Newmarket it was given a terrible ride at the back my Ted Durcan, in which in the last half furlong absolutely bolted to come from last to 4th. Today sees the depolyment of Carson who has already won on the horse at Yarmouth. With it's experience and love of the track and ground, the fact it's very low in the handicap for its ability and unexposed it seems to me to be a great bet. 10 pts win p.s Imedla Mayem is very overpriced as well (12/1 at bet365) and I have gone for a cheeky forecase of Greenley/Mayhem at 37/1