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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

vitalyo

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Posts posted by vitalyo

  1. Re: CL Quarters Second leg - Tue 10/4 - Wed 11/4

    Going to have a small dabble at the total cards market for the ManU - Roma game. I can see the referee being extra careful with bookings tonight with all the hype surrounding potential trouble in this one. Lubos Michel has officiated 4 champions league games and has only awarded 14 bookings and not once gone over 5. Scholes and Vidic united's joint top yellow card holders won't be playing tonight either so unless Rooney looses it there shouldn't be much problems with them. 4 Roma players are allready on yellows so will be careful and they seem like a side in the Arsenal mould who play good football and don't get stuck in. This leads me to think that bar a glut of timewasting bookings there shouldn't be too many in tonight's clash Total cards under 5.5 @ 5/6 (Bet 365)
    Not if Roma down 1:0 i don't think they will be worry much about yellows. Anyway GL with your bet. I think this is a 2 leg and yhe game can get out of hand fast. I am on bouth teams to score( both teams to score) @ 1.95 bet 365 GL.
  2. Re: CL quarters first leg - Tue 3/4 - Wed 4/4

    Chelsea to win at home against a Valencia side missing a few key players. Chelsea will have to get the advantage in the first leg knowing how strong Valencia play at home. Mourinho seems to be able to get the result that matters when it's needed and will be cautious in play but optimistic in chances ahead of the game. I can see this game being a slow starter with both sides working each other out. Chelsea will end up victors though and due to their cautious nature will likely keep a clean sheet too. I can see either 1-0 or 2-0 win to Chelsea and as has been suggested by another I can see Drogba to score any time. Might try 1-0 and 2-0 Chelsea wins with Drogba the first scorer in both. Also a side bet of Drogba to score any time. Small stakes only as not 100% convinced with these selections and the return on scorecast would make small stakes still give good pays.
    Valencia missing Carlos Marchena and Fernando Morientes. I agree with you on a slow start. My bet is Time Of First Goal, After 29th Minute odds @2.00 bet365 GL.
  3. Re: **Poker Saturday 10th March** i am doing great in 365 5G freeroll. ROYAL FLUSH ** Game ID 1254794046 starting - 2007-03-10 17:13:17 ** $5,000 Freeroll[824896]:Table 555 [Multi Table Hold 'em] (800.00|1600.00 No Limit - MTT) Real Money - ceems sitting in seat 1 with $39179.68 - Baudoin sitting in seat 2 with $12608.20 - Oedsch sitting in seat 3 with $6643.32 - jason72 sitting in seat 4 with $8014.65 - Goodfella888 sitting in seat 5 with $5761.92 [Dealer] - matt233 sitting in seat 6 with $4985.44 - dejanl sitting in seat 7 with $24105.00 - MTLEXPOS sitting in seat 8 with $11172.36 - vitamin99 sitting in seat 9 with $20743.64 - stefmans sitting in seat 10 with $18456.76 matt233 posted the small blind - $400.00 dejanl posted the big blind - $800.00 ** Dealing card to vitamin99: King of Hearts, Ace of Hearts MTLEXPOS folded vitamin99 raised - $1600.00 stefmans folded ceems called - $1600.00 Baudoin called - $1600.00 Oedsch folded jason72 folded Goodfella888 folded matt233 folded dejanl folded ** Dealing the flop: Jack of Hearts, 10 of Diamonds, Queen of Hearts vitamin99 bet - $800.00 ceems raised - $3200.00 Baudoin folded vitamin99 raised - $5600.00 ceems went all-in - $34379.68 vitamin99 went all-in - $13543.64 ceems shows: Queen of Diamonds, 10 of Spades ** Dealing the turn: 10 of Hearts ** Dealing the river: 3 of Clubs vitamin99 wins $44287.28 from the main pot End of game 1254794046 :moon:moon:moon:nana:nana:nana:dude:dude:dude

  4. Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) once again congrats :clap:clap:clap. My self i am doing the old system 4W2L on the day. I bet all of the games that fit in 2W/2L ATS. Case i am making large wagers .I figure i better of to break even on the day or lose some juce , then take a loss . Today i did the same thing with NCAA BK rated teams ONLY, at the end of the day 2W/0L . Tex Tech +13.5 and Virg Tech +15 came through Bouth of them won SU.:lolLOL. I wonder if this system can be applyed to NCCA BK(rated teams only/rated against unrated/rated vs rated) .For now i am gonna keep the truck to my self . I will post the #'s later next week . GL.

  5. Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) Valiant23 I found this article on the same forum that you use for nba stats. This maight help you to improve system. The grind continues in the NBA where all teams have passed the midway point of the season and all but a select few All-Stars can take a few days to relax and kick back in the coming weeks. With this many games having been played the opportunity exists to start to look for profitable situations that can occur. The thoughts turned to are NBA teams motivated to play a road game after losing consecutive home games? The natural inclination would be they are, as coaches and players have to face the local media and explain how the team lost on the home court even if they had back to back games with Phoenix and Dallas. One would expect the competitive juices to flow and return to action with better performances, be it in the role of favorite or underdog. Thus far their have been forty instances this exact situation has happened. Of this number only seven times has any team been favored after dropping a pair of games losing at home. The logic is in position, since the very best teams in the league are unlikely to lose back to back home games. The second tier of teams like Detroit, Cleveland, Houston and Utah are all teams that could be favored after losing at home. Any of the rest of the clubs in the NBA are almost without question going to be underdogs hitting the road given also recent performances. In all, of the forty games played, the road team won 17 times straight up producing a 22-17-1 ATS record. Breaking this down further, a number of things are learned. Starting with the favorites, this would be one area where the road team would figure to shine when favored. In fact though the sampling is small, it still is mediocre. The teams thought to be better are just 3-4 SU and against the spread. Incidentally, twice their have games that went off as a “pick” and both times the visitor off a couple of humbling defeats bounced back and won. Place these same teams in the role of an underdog and this is where they come around and start to show a little more fight. In all 31 games have fit in the 2006-07 season. Here we have underdogs winning 14 times outright and posted a quality number in beating the line maker at 18-12-1 ATS, for 60 percent winners. As compared to those teams favored in this situation who still understand their position of being the superior team, they might not bring the same tenacity to the court because despite minor setbacks, they still have the belief whom the better team actually is. In the case of the underdog, the ever popular “us against the world” mentality can be used and as the results prove, these dogs have plenty of bite left. Not satisfied to accept a good number, the old miners cap goes on to see if even more gold was available. At this juncture the underdogs were broken into two groups, one a relatively small underdog and the other the larger variety. With a standard number of four points placed on the home team for being such, two points were added making our pooch decently well bred, with a chance to win and cover the game presumably at six or less points. The other takes on a motlier mutt appearance being an underdog of 7 or more points, meaning the dog could be expected in many cases to roll over and play dead. In the first category the shorter underdog performed about as expected with 6-8 record and 7-7 ATS mark, which was mildly disappointing. Those feeling were swiftly jettisoned when determining the play of larger road dogs. Here these NBA mongrels were a solid 8-9 SU. What was found was akin to a dog finding a box full of treats under the bed. These seemingly unsightly underdogs were a mouth watering 12-4-1 75% against the spread when catching 7 or more points on the road after dropping two straight home games. The lesson taught is never underestimate the qualities of a dog when backed into a corner, be it in real life or in sports wagering. PS .I made a good money by using your system.Now i am gonna incorporate bouth of them. If you apply your system with one above.It should prevent you from having losing week.(we have yet to see one:ok).It will be hard for bouth of them to collapse. My 2 cents. GL.

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