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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

vitalyo

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Posts posted by vitalyo

  1. Re: NFL wk. 7.

    No, I took there being u2.5 passers in the game in addition to the Bledsoe bet. If Romo had not attempted a throw I'd have been but the moment he threw the ball the bet lost. Thankfully the Giants o10 and the Bledsoe u34.5 have reapired the damage. Having a good night overall, although the Tiki o36.5 has stalled and the Julius o84.5 looks doomed. BIg one of the night was home straight away with the 1st TD scorer wearing an ODD number jersey. Got 1.57 on that and when you looked at it, just about every likely TD scorer had an ODD number - great bet!! :nana Other than Shockey, Carter or Witten I had just about every other offensive weapon in my 'team' of players
    This is SUCKS U 2,5 passers. I hope Tiki gets another catch or two .he need another 13 yards. GL.
  2. Re: NFL wk. 7.

    Christ, they sent Romo on to trash my bet Despite getting intercepted on the FIRST PLAY, my bet's a loser. I've done that bet twice ever - it's been -200 each time and both times it has lost!!! (Superbowl being the last one - the Hines Ward trick play killed me)
    What are u talking about ??? If u took Bledsoe under 34.5 attempts u should be ok.He started a game and then got replaced.Any book honors bets like that. Never mind what Romo does.
  3. Re: NFL wk. 7.

    1)Oct 22 13:03(uk 18:03)PHL Eagles -5.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5:cheers 2)Oct 22 13:03(uk 18:03)DET Lions +3.5 @ NY Jets -3.5 Ny Jets -3.0(bought half a point):cheers 3)Oct 22 16:18(uk 21:03)WAS Redskins +9.0 @ IND Colts -9.0 WAS Redskins +9.0:wall
    2W/1L Monday night. NYGiants+3.5 @ Dallas Cowboys -3.5 NYGiants +3.5 Value index Dallas by 2.8 Value Ny Giants by 0.7 Recent Meetings 12/4/05 DAL 10 - NYG 17 NYG -3 U 40 10/16/05 NYG 13 - DAL 16 x Push -3.0 U 47.5 1/2/05 DAL 24 - NYG 28 NYG -1 O 38 10/10/04 NYG 26 - DAL 10 NYG 3.5 U 38 12/21/03 NYG 3 - DAL 19 DAL -11.5 U 35.5 9/15/03 DAL 35 - NYG 32 x DAL 7 O 37.5 12/15/02 DAL 7 - NYG 37 NYG -5 O 35 10/6/02 NYG 21 - DAL 17 NYG -1.5 O 35 12/9/01 NYG 13 - DAL 20 DAL 3.5 U 35 11/4/01 DAL 24 - NYG 27 x DAL 10 O 34 The last time Dallas beat NYG by more than 3 pts was three years ago in 2003. In there last 10 meetings with each other the NY Giants have won 6 lost 4 the game or been within 7 points 9 out of 10 times. When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 Underdog - After a non division game - During Week 4 to 8 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in this spot. When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 road Underdog - During Week 4 to 8 - During the month of October 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS in this spot. The G-Men have cashed the winning ticket in four straight in this series and have won three of those four straight up. The Giants are 7-0 ats when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season, 13-4 ats on the "fake stuff", 7-0 ats versus a team that averages 32 or more minutes of possession time per game, 6-0 ats as a short off a straight up win as a short in which they attempted at leat 10 or more rushes more than their season average, they are 38-22 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992, they are 19-8 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992, Giants are 28-8 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Dallas is 2-11 ats off a win by 28 or more points, 0-10 ats as "chalk" off a game in which they had at least 3 more minutes of possession time than their season average, 0-7 ats the week after scoring 34+ points, 16-6 ATS in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since 1992, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game, 39-12-2 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. SYSTEMS: "Play On" any Monday Night underdog that covered their last 2 games. 16-6-2 ATS (73%) since 1994 / System applies to: New York Giants "Play On" any Monday Night team that rushed for 200 or more yards and won by 7 or more points last week. 14-5 ATS (74%) since 1993 / System applies to: New York Giants / The Giants rushed for 259 yards in a 27-14 win against Atlanta last week. Out of the last 5 matchups between these teams in Dallas, the Giants have won 4 of them. The one they lost was ironically by 3 points (what the cowboys are favored by). The 3 teams the cowboys have beaten this year, (Texans, Titans, and Redskins) are a combined 5-14. Bledsoe is throwing as many ints 7 as td’s 7. The pass rush for the Giants should be able to tear Dallas apart as they did with the Falcons sacking Vick 7 times last week. Manning and Barber should be able to get the job done. Being this Big of a division game I just see it being a close one.I'll take the points. NYG +3.5 week- 7-2W/1L NCAA week 1 - 7W/2L NCAA week 2 - 2W/2L NCAA week 3 - 2W/3L NCAA week 4 - 6W/1P/2L NCAA week 5 - 4W/5L NCAA week 6 - 1W/4L NCAA week 7 - 3w/3L NCAA week 8 - 3W/2L NFL week 1 - 1W/2L NFL week 2 - 1W/0L NFL week 3 - 1PUSH NFL week 4 - 3W/1L NFL week 6 - 3W/1L Overall 38W/2P/28L GL.
  4. Re: NFL wk. 7.

    Like I said, I'm not disputing the theory behind it all...I agree completely that TB were the play based on the movement... ...but be careful where you get you numbers. At some smaller places 90% might well mean 18 on one side and 2 on the other. You really want to have a large sample to make things more accurate. SD coming up well short :@ Hopefully the Panthers' D keeps doing the trick.
    TY for your valueable advice!!! Now go check vegasinsider!!!They still have the #s .Right on the front page. http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/betting-trends/[email protected]/date/10-22-06/time/1300/linechanges/y As i said before.My play is according to the stats.NOT the line movement. END of story.
  5. Re: NFL wk. 7. from wagerline consensus details. Philadelphia 110 -4.5 Tampa Bay 34 +4.5 Philadelphia 1273 -5 Tampa Bay 482 +5 Philadelphia 1215 -5.5 Tampa Bay 541 +5.5 Philadelphia 393 -6 Tampa Bay 273 +6 Looks like -6.0 level the # of wagers . I took TB at +5.5.And i don't use wagerline for my %. GL.

  6. Re: NFL wk. 7. Look at this. Philadelphia - Tampa Philly is taking in over 91% of the wagers here, however the books seem to be comfortable keeping the line at 5 or 5.5. LOL. WAS Redskins +9.0 @ IND Colts -9.0 .Line open -10 Colts(8.5/9.0 at the present) 49% wagers on Colts 51% on Redskins No doubt the Big money is on Tampa and Washington.

  7. Re: NFL wk. 7. 1)Oct 22 13:03(uk 18:03)PHL Eagles -5.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 Wow can't believe I am getting these many points @ Home here. Especially considering that Philadelphia's defense has been struggling this year. Look st these totals.. Giants 30 SF 24 Dallas 24 NO 27 Teams are scoring alot of points on this team.. Now let's look at TB. Are they really that bad of a team?? Look at their last 3 Games.. Car 26 TB 24 TB 21 NO 24 Cinc 13 TB 14 Are the Bucs that bad?? I'll take the home dog in here. Tampa Bay is 10-2 ATS as home dog last 12 instances. 2)Oct 22 13:03(uk 18:03)DET Lions +3.5 @ NY Jets -3.5 Ny Jets -3.0(bought half a point) The Lions are garbage this year barely won their first game big deal it was @ Home vs the Bills oooh.. Bills are complete shit on the road so are the Lions. The Jets aren't complete shit and should win this @ Home.. All I hope is the Jets win by more than 3.. I just don't see how Det can put together two in a row. Hopefully Piece of shit Detroit don't get all the breaks and somehow win this one or cover good luck!!! 3)Oct 22 16:18(uk 21:03)WAS Redskins +9.0 @ IND Colts -9.0 WAS Redskins +9.0 This line is dropping as we speak.Most of the books have this line at +8.5. Bet365 +9.0 @ 1.86. Wouldnt be that much of a surprised to me if the skins won this game because they have been so inconsistant all season. they blew games at home vs vikings and titans then blow out texans and put up 36 vs the jags. this team is obviously playing below expectations. This is pretty much the season on the line for the skins. If you hear them talking during interviews they all know that this is it for them. I feel more at ease knowing that the team im putting money on is going to be working harder than ever. that doesnt guarantee a win but it guarantees an effort. The colts arent untouchable. They barely beat the jets and the titans almost beat them in indy as well. Skins should be able to easily cover the 9 pts if they can keep drives going and finish them. That is where they have been struggling all season. Clinton Portis will get the most touches of all running backs this week and thats because he has to. They should be able to be more physical than the colts wearing them down and keeping peyton and company off the field. Skins just have to stop the big plays on defense when peyton does come in. I remember a couple years ago the skins gave the patriots their first lost during their big winning streak so the skins have done this before . GL. NCAA week 1 - 7W/2L NCAA week 2 - 2W/2L NCAA week 3 - 2W/3L NCAA week 4 - 6W/1P/2L NCAA week 5 - 4W/5L NCAA week 6 - 1W/4L NCAA week 7 - 3w/3L NCAA week 8 - 3W/2L NFL week 1 - 1W/2L NFL week 2 - 1W/0L NFL week 3 - 1PUSH NFL week 4 - 3W/1L NFL week 6 - 3W/1L Overall 36W/2P/27L

  8. Re: NCAA Fotball week 8 (oct21/06)

    I am just gonna go with a value calculator it worked before like a charm. 1)Oct 21 12:03(uk Oct21 17:03)Louisville -17.0 @ Syracuse +17.0 Louisville by 28 / Louisville -17.0:wall 2)Oct 21 12:03(uk Oct21 17:03)Illinois +18.0 @ Penn. St -18.0 Penn. St. by 7.5 / Illinois +18.0:cheers 3) Oct 21 15:33(uk Oct21 20:33)Texas Tech -2.0 @ Iowa ST +2.0 Texas. Tech by 14 /T.Tech -2.0:cheers 4)Oct 21 17:03(uk Oct21 22:03)Boise state -21.0 @ Idaho +21.0 Boise st by 31.3 / Boise -21.0:wall 5)Oct 21 19:48(UKOct22 00:48)Georgia Tech +7.0 @ Clemson -7.0 Clemson by 18 / Clemson -7.0:cheers
    NCAA week 8 - 3W/2L :beer NCAA week 1 - 7W/2L NCAA week 2 - 2W/2L NCAA week 3 - 2W/3L NCAA week 4 - 6W/1P/2L NCAA week 5 - 4W/5L NCAA week 6 - 1W/4L NCAA week 7 - 3w/3L NFL week 1 - 1W/2L NFL week 2 - 1W/0L NFL week 3 - 1PUSH NFL week 4 - 3W/1L NFL week 6 - 3W/1L Overall 36W/2P/27L
  9. Re: NFL wk. 7. GL .popandpops There is two Buffalo teams one is at home and the other is on the road. Last 2 games Bills played on the road i bet against them. Wouldn't go against them at home. If i would have to pick New England for sure but i'll stay away from this game. GL nice write ups. I'll post my picks 5/6 hours before the kick off.

  10. I am just gonna go with a value calculator it worked before like a charm. 1)Oct 21 12:03(uk Oct21 17:03)Louisville -17.0 @ Syracuse +17.0 Louisville by 28 / Louisville -17.0 2)Oct 21 12:03(uk Oct21 17:03)Illinois +18.0 @ Penn. St -18.0 Penn. St. by 7.5 / Illinois +18.0 3) Oct 21 15:33(uk Oct21 20:33)Texas Tech -2.0 @ Iowa ST +2.0 Texas. Tech by 14 /T.Tech -2.0 4)Oct 21 17:03(uk Oct21 22:03)Boise state -21.0 @ Idaho +21.0 Boise st by 31.3 / Boise -21.0 5)Oct 21 19:48(UKOct22 00:48)Georgia Tech +7.0 @ Clemson -7.0 Clemson by 18 / Clemson -7.0 GL. NCAA week 1 - 7W/2L NCAA week 2 - 2W/2L NCAA week 3 - 2W/3L NCAA week 4 - 6W/1P/2L NCAA week 5 - 4W/5L NCAA week 6 - 1W/4L NCAA week 7 - 3w/3L NFL week 1 - 1W/2L NFL week 2 - 1W/0L NFL week 3 - 1PUSH NFL week 4 - 3W/1L NFL week 6 - 3W/1L Overall 33W/2P/25L

  11. Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006

    You are right.As I live in Bulgaria I know a lot about bulgarian football's quality.I agree Levski will be hammered tomorrow I am thinking of putting all my bank on Werder as 1.22 is a huge gift from bookies.
    LOL. According to his amazing record.We should bet Levski. Now i am a bit scared .No kidding!!!I have Bremen with ManU to win. He is all over Bremen:sad.I wish i didn't know his record!:sad I am thinking of putting my whole bankroll on Levski.:rollin GL.
  12. Re: NFL Wk. 6.

    Sorry I didn't get a chance to post any plays this weekend. I was only able to get a couple bets in...hate it when real life gets in the way of cashing in. Looks like everyone did pretty well...Congrats!!! MNF: Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals My Pick: Da Bears -11 @ -112 (Pinny just now). Line is 13.5 most places Playing DD chalk in the NFL can be tough, but I just can't find any reason the Red Birds cover tonight. Matt Leinart (2 TDP) enjoyed some early success vs. K.C. in his debut. But his challenge now virtually triples as he faces the voracious Chicago defense. The Bears have been relentless and nearly merciless TY, giving up only 7 ppg. Gotta side with Chicago's offense intelligently generating 31 ppg and Thomas Jones running with previously-unseen determination. Count on Brian Urlacher & Co. to keep Zona’s WRs (No Fitz) out of the end zone. While they may not talk about it, the idea of running the table has to be on the mind of all the Bears and there's no way they let the Cards stop their win streak tonight.
    GL sdsponger .No shit you had no time.Because of new law that was signed.I would find a hard time to post.What a bull. GL go Bears
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