dosheroonie

Duck broken at last, albeit with only 1 card to spare before we would have had to settle for a push.
1 win, 1push and 4 losses for -3.25 points with an ROI of -54.17%.

Sampdoria got the most cards so the bet was a winner.
20 wins and 1 push from 29 bets. +10.55 points to advised stakes with an ROI of 37.02%, +10.05 points to level stakes with an ROI of 34.66%

1820.  £50  THRILL SEEKER @11/10 (12.40 Lingfield)

For tomorrow we have Milton Keynes Dons +3.5 Asian handicap corners at Gillingham, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

Back in harness with Ross County –0.5 Asian handicap corners v St Mirren, 1pt at 1.95 with 365.

For this week, Peterborough +1 Asian handicap corners v Ipswich, 1pt at 1.85 with 365.

Kev favouring the split stakes approach again, as we enter the home straight for this season.
West Ham –0.5 Asian handicap corners v Southampton, 0.5pt at 2.0 with 365
Port Vale +4 Asian handicap corners v Bury, 0.5pt at 1.9 with 365

A bit like an unexpected double firing in The Apprentice, Kev has 2 selections for this week, one each in League 1 and 2, both with 365.
Blackpool +4 Asian handicap corners v Barnsley, 0.5pt at 1.95
Port Vale 0 Asian handicap corners v Macclesfield, 0.5pt at 1.9.

Sorry it’s late, but price still there.
West Ham +0.5 Asian handicap corners v Leicester 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

This week we have 1 point on under 5.5 AH cards in A Madrid v Celta Vigo at 1.975 with 365.

Rochdale +1.5 Asian handicap corners v Sunderland, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

For tomorrow, under 5 Asian total cards Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

This week’s selection is Fulham +3.5 Asian handicap corners v Leicester, 1pt at 1.875 with 365.

If you still want to follow I’d say the best options now are 5/6 for <50 points with Paddy or 11/10 <4.5 cards with 888.

For tomorrow we have under 3.5 Asian total cards in Newcastle v Huddersfield, 1pt at 1.975 with 365.

For this week, Under six Asian total cards in Celta Vigo v Levante, 1pt at 1.975 with 365.

Cheers, Harry. +2 is @ 2.3 on Betvictor

Stevenage lose the game 2-0 but thrash Forest Green 7-2 in terms of corner count.
11 winners and 3 pushes from 21 bets, 4.06 points up with an ROI of 20.3% to advised stakes
3.06 points up with an ROI of 14.57% to level stakes.

This week’s selection is Exeter +1 Asian handicap corners v MK Dons, 1pt at 1.9 with 365.

For tomorrow, Stevenage +1 Asian handicap corners v Forest Green, 1pt at 1.925 with 365.

Harry,
Just to add my thanks for your efforts in posting these picks. Appreciate the effort. Now fingers crossed for tomorrow's.
Cheers

For tomorrow, Monaco -1 on corners taken handicap, 1pt at 11-8 with Sky Bet.
Already 10/11, only just had time to look.

Enough shoving for things to come to a push this week! (That sounded funnier in my head.) The 6th yellow came close to the end of 90 minutes and we got through extra time without the bet becoming a loser.
10 winners and 3 pushes from 19 bets, 4.13 points up with an ROI of 22.97% to advised stakes
3.13 points up with an ROI of 16.49% to level stakes.

Bet 1 is Hamilton -1 corner handicap v Dundee, 1 point at 8/5 with Hills
 

@Kengur2017 to Punters Lounge.
I don't know if this will be useful to you or not but I have written down some things that are important to bear in mind if you want to take betting seriously:
 
Psychology
 
 
First of all, if you do not have the correct mentality then you will not be able to develop into a professional bettor.
‘Tilt’ or ‘Gambling rage’ is one of the first major obstacles that needs to be overcome if you are serious about betting. Tilt is a term usually associated with poker but it can apply to any form of betting:
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tilt_(poker)
 
Tilt affects all people to some degree, some only suffer from it mildly and can completely eliminate it with a combination of changes to lifestyle and perspective. At the other end of the scale you have chronically impatient degenerates with no self discipline or perspective, the affects gambling has on these people can be highly destructive.   
 
Ask yourself: “Do I have self discipline? Can I take a loss or a string of losses and still retain my composure? Do I react to losses by making rash or impulsive bets?”.
 
Patience and self discipline are key factors if you wish to become a professional bettor. In my view any professional bettor does not see his or her line of work as a get rich quick scheme. Unless you luck out with some kind of crazy accumulator or long odds punt it will take time to build your bankroll.
 
Hurrying to reach the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow can be a toxic mentality. It’s great to visualise a better future for yourself and creating a plan to achieve that but wanting something and wanting it right now will not aid your quest.
 
Do you enjoy the process of becoming a professional bettor? If you really do not enjoy the process at all then why are you devoting your time and energy to it in the first place? Obviously the goal is to make money but you shouldn’t try to make money from something you really don’t like as it will inevitably compromise your ability to execute the process effectively.
 
You have to enjoy the process of getting there and you have to enjoy the process of learning. Never think you know it all, because believe me no-one does. The road to becoming a professional bettor is a constant process of learning and improving, the path is not smooth and chances are there will be setbacks.
 
If and when setbacks occur can you maintain your self discipline and motivation?
 
 
Bankroll Management
 
 
Obviously your betting bankroll needs to be completely segregated from all your other forms of expenditure. Your ability to pay the bills cannot be dependent on how well your betting career is doing – especially if you have a family.
 
Set aside only what you can afford to loose as your initial betting bankroll, then understand and accept that it cannot be used for anything other than betting.
 
Even if you have only set aside a relatively small amount of money for your initial bankroll you must still treat that money with respect. If you want to take betting seriously then a bet must never seem frivolous.
 
One of the first objectives of any serious bettor is to never go broke (loose their entire betting bankroll). The partitioning of your bankroll into individual bets must be sustainable.
 
A sensible way to grow your bankroll over the long term is through compounding:
 
http://www.investopedia.com/walkthrough/corporate-finance/3/discounted-cash-flow/compounding.aspx
 
Partition your results over quarterly or annual periods then incorporate the profits from the latest period into your staking structure.
 
For example:
 
You have an initial bankroll of $5000 which is divided into 40 individual fixed stake bets of $125 (2.5% of total bankroll)
 
At the end of year 1 you make a profit of $1000 so total bankroll is now $6000.
 
Year 2 - Your fixed stake bet would be $150 (still 2.5% of total bankroll)
 
At the end of year 2 you make a profit of $1200 – total bankroll now $7200.
 
Year 3 - Fixed stake would be $180 (still 2.5% of total bankroll)… and so on and so on.
 
By using compounding you can exponentially grow your bankroll in a safe and sustainable way. It will require patience and discipline, especially to begin with, but if you are consistently profitable then I would advocate it as a good way to grow your bankroll.
 
Sustainability
 
 
 
 
When it comes to sustainability as a career, one of the main questions is “Where can I get my bets on?”. Bookmakers are no fools, if you are a consistently profitable bettor then sooner or later you will get limited or banned – nothing you can do as it’s in the terms and conditions you agree to in order to bet with them.
 
One way to negate this problem is to have accounts with lots of different bookmakers and rotate your bets. It’s generally a good idea to have accounts with different bookmakers as you want to take advantage of different offers and prices etc. Despite this, rotating your bets with different vendors could still be problematic in the long term if you are consistently profitable.
 
 
Betting exchanges is the way to go if you don’t want to get banned or limited. On an exchange you’re betting against other bettors with the exchange operating as the middle man who matches up both sides of a bet. The exchange makes its money from charging commission for each bet made, usually between 2-5% (very reasonable in my opinion).
 
The main problems you will face with an exchange are:
 
Does it have the market you wish to bet on?
 
Does the market you wish to bet on have enough liquidity to get your bet matched?
 
Your access to betting exchanges will vary depending on what country you live in. Some of the main ones are:
 
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/
 
https://www.matchbook.com/
 
https://www.pinnacle.com/
 
https://www.sbobet.com/
 
https://smarkets.com/
 
If you’re not sure on who to bet with then ask around on this forum and check bookmaker review sites. Always do your research on the various operators and keep appraised of how they’re progressing. If you want betting to become your business then you have a responsibility to follow the industry at large and pay attention to new developments.
 
Never leave excess money in an online account for longer than you have to. Your bank should be the safest place to store the core of your funds – distribute them to the various exchanges and bookmakers only when necessary. This will help minimise your exposure if an operator goes bust or they inexplicably transfer your funds to bongo bongo land.
 
 
Methodology
 
 
 
From reading your post I suspect this is the area you wish to learn most about. Personally I have no special system to offer you, no low risk to high reward strategy, no promises of gold and jewels untold.
 
The phrase ‘There’s a million ways to make a million dollars’ also applies to betting. The various methods and strategies you could adopt to become consistently profitable from betting are too varied and too numerous to catalogue in a single post.  
 
Ultimately betting is about finding errors in the pricing of an event. If you believe a market has priced something incorrectly you can take advantage of it. Generally speaking, sports betting markets are not stupid. They evaluate outcomes with efficiency but this does not mean they never make mistakes. Your job is to capitalise on those mistakes at every opportunity. This requires diligence and dedication, you must always be on the lookout for opportunities in the market.
 
The more knowledge you have on a sport / subject, the more you can spot the opportunities in the market when they present themselves.
 
Specialising in a particular sport will help you, it should be a sport that you like watching and can watch regularly in order to gain qualitative information:
 
https://www.simplypsychology.org/qualitative-quantitative.html
 
Preferably it will be a sports market which is covered by the betting exchanges with enough liquidity to match your bets.
 
Personally I believe it’s important to develop your own betting strategies rather than follow or rely on other peoples. What if you are following someone else’s betting strategy but you do not really understand it and that person then disappears? You probably wouldn’t have learnt much and would be back at square one. Someone may very well come along on this thread and say “Hey Kengur, I have a great betting system that you might want to follow” and it might indeed be a good system but if you can’t fathom what’s behind it then you’re not really going to advance as a bettor. If you want to be ‘professional’ at something you have to be independent and generate your own ideas. Never rely on others to spoon feed you as it’s not sustainable over the long term.
 
Punters Lounge is a great site in my opinion – use it. I have learnt a lot from seeing how other people do things over the years on here, there’s lots of useful information on these boards. Just don’t expect anyone to wave a magic wand and make you rich overnight – the world seldom works like that.