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gurudave

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Posts posted by gurudave

  1. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Adelaide v Sydney Adelaide Win 1 Unit $1.95 @ Bet365 Over 2.5 $1.83 @ Pinnacle Dont know what happened there mate! At 1-0 up it looked bang on and then go to sleep! Tonight Adelaide v Del Piero FC (Sydney) I like Adelaide and Overs. Adelaide are playing a most similar game to Brisbane Roar which Sydney struggled with last week. I think their ball movement and speed is going to be too much for Sydney who just cannot keep up with these teams. They needed to press Brisbane hard but are either clueless or just dont have the fitness. Only concern of course is injuries with Carusca out after some thug challenges from Newcastle. Malik also out which is less of a concern but jeronimo also out on suspension which limits strike power off the bench. I think the starting 11 will have enough to get them a win. They have also kept a few clean sheets in prior games although don't be suprised of course if Del Piero hits one from anywhere. Prediction 3-1 Adelaide.

  2. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Nice result last night :) Lucky Wellington are horrid in converting their opportunities! Strange game tonight. I'm off to the game shortly no bet on tonight for me. Obviously I have a bias towards Brisbane win but the draw looks tasty odds. Newcastle are playing well while Brisbane have grinded out their last couple of wins. Brisbane has only beat Newcastle at home 2 out of 11 games ever so for some strange reason they seem to be our bogey team at home. Good luck to anybody finding value!

  3. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Mariners v Phoenix North Sydney Oval Central Coast are taking this game to North Sydney Oval, the first time an A League game will be played at this ground. Wellington, while coming close just haven't been able to get a win on the board this season while the Mariners are struggling compared to previous seasons. I am not reading much into the 4-0 loss against Adelaide. I just watched a replay and Adelaide play a completely different style to Wellington hackers and were well due to get a good win on the board after playing some very attractive football past few games. Mariners uncharacteristically missed a few sitters but overall their passing game was still solid. They have plenty of good players who coach Moss may switch around for this game but they certainly have more depth than Wellington. Mariners past 4 games before the Adelaide game they won 2/draw 1/lost 1 (Brisbane Roar) and only conceded 2 goals in these 4 games. The only way I see Wellington scoring here is a lucky counter. Last 5 games between these two teams show Mariners 4 wins and 1 draw. Mariners Win 1 Unit $1.61 @ Sportsbet Mariners Win to nil 1 Unit $2.76 @ Sportsbet

  4. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Not too sure what's going to happen tonight. Archie is out for Melbourne but Perth were leaky against Wellington and I dont think Melbourne will be as forgiving. It's a very young Perth side and Melbourne deserve to be favourites but I think they are a bit short. Not confident in putting the money on Perth either. No bet tonight will be interesting to see if Muscat can get the Victory. If he cant the question marks will start being raised! No bet.

  5. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Apologies everyone for not putting up some tips last week or two have of course had some bets but havent had the time for in depth reasoning on here! Good to see plenty of people joining the thread and making some great tips good call on the corners Demma! Back next week for some tips :) Good luck for the rest of the round all.

  6. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 No bets for top of table clash tonight. About to head off to the game. I'm sure Brisbane can get the win but we couldnt get a win against them in 3 games last season so a draw won't suprise against our bogey team! Wanderers have Hersi and Juric out while Brisbane have some core players come back in Franjic, Mckay and of course fire power in Berisha. Predicting 1-0 2-0 or 2-1 Brisbane. Gl all enjoy the game.

  7. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Season so far Bet 8 Units Returned 7.45 Units ROI 93% Melbourne Heart v Sydney If Melbourne don't get the win here Aloisi will surely be first coach to go this season? Unfortunately for him I don't think they are going to get the result. Sydney held on well against Melbourne last week with 10 men but will be down two of their defenders Calvano and Warren tonight. This is no big loss imo as they are both very average. Heart had so many chances and hit the woodwork at least 3 times last week against Wanderers so surely against a much poorer defence they will be able to convert a chance tonight? Hopefully they ditch the long ball to midget Mifsud and play the ball along the ground as he looks very quick and dangerous. Sydney looks quite good up front to me compared to their defence and I think they will score as well whether it be from set piece or otherwise. Del Piero is milking some great free kicks close around the 18 yard box pretty much whenever he gets the ball while Garcia looked to find confidence with his early goal last week. Although the games so far this season for the teams suggests unders I think overs here as both teams want the goals and cannot afford to lose. I can't split the teams so I'm taking draw and over 2.5 goals. Prediction 2-2. 1 Unit over 2.5 goals $1.85 @ Sportsbet 1 Unit Draw $3.40 @ Sportsbet

  8. Re: A League Season 2013/2014

    Il be taking Brisbane in some form today' date=' they have looked pretty good in most of their matches so far while the CCM have'nt really impressed me. CCM have Breen back but lose out on McGlinchey and Roux who are off with New Zealand. Brisbane will also miss Liam Miller and Berisha who are big losses but they have coped alright so far without them. Il take Brisbane +.5 @ 1.67 and smaller on straight win @3.35 local bookies.[/quote'] Very nice bet sir. Cracking strike to Yeboah to pull it off a very good game dominated by Brisbane!
  9. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Season so far Bet 7 Units Returned 5.6 Units ROI 80% Unlucky last week :) Let's see if we can pick some results this week! Melbourne Heart v WSW WSW 1 Unit Win $1.85 @ BetVictor The Wanderers played well last week and showed a good fight spirit to get the come from behind win against Adelaide. Melbourne Heart still have not notched up a win and only scored 2 goals now in the first 4 games. Bringing up the rear of the table the pressure is on John Aloisi. Mifsud had some promising looking shots last week against Brisbane but they just couldn't find the net. And after Melbourne pressed for so long in the first half, Brisbane basically took the piss out of them in the second half and were a class above cruising to the 3 nil victory. These teams have met 3 times so far and Wanderers have won all of them. So, Wanderers certainly look to continue being one of Heart's bogey teams with a win here. If Heart, are to score early, Mifsud is a decent shout at $9 for first goalscorer. He was put in good positions at least 3 times last week and put in some solid strikes, a couple just scraping past the post. Sportsbet are offering money back on first goalscorer bets if the game ends in a draw for this round.

  10. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Wow what a game that atmosphere is just getting ridiculous now. Adelaide totally dominated possession and went up 1-0 early in the second half! The last 25 minutes though the same as the Melbourne Victory game. They seemed to run out of legs and the two goals from Juric were cracking! 2-1 Wanderers.

  11. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Western Sydney Wanderers v Adelaide United Big favouritism for Wanderers at home here and little value at under the $1.50 mark for a Wanderers win. I don't think it should be that tight as Adelaide has been ok so far with plenty of good play. The game against Victory in particular they played brilliant passing game until fitness seemed to let them down in the last 15 minutes. I don't think the history between the teams can be looked at as they have only played 3 games (2-1 wanderers) and squads, in particular Adelaide has completely changed since last years high goalscoring games between the sides. The only information I would like to know that I can't get a hold of even a couple of hours out is if Neumann is playing for Adelaide. This makes a big difference to their goalscoring prospects. Signs are he has been training strongly all week and should play? Hersi, Wanderers top player is out which will put a dent in their fluidity. He is a top player and is brilliant in retaining possession and out skilling opponents! While everyone has been raging about Wanderers, the reality is they have had two questionable draws where they could not get across the line and only one win so far against Del Pieroless Sydney Shambles FC which cannot be much read into! Of course they should be favourite at home but I think odds are too good on Adelaide if they can put together a decent performance so I'm taking DNB here. Adelaide DNB 1 Unit $5.20 @ Sportsbet

  12. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Not a good round! Unfortunately missed the two saturday night games :) Perth Glory suprised but Melbourne Heart looks to continue their horrendous away form. They really did not look dangerous at all and Perth took the comfortable win. Wellington well what do you say! Newcastle started the better but Wellington really got on top in the second half. Many shots hitting the post and many chances but so close no cigar this time round :( Newcastle still with no goals in 3 games! Hopefully next week we can pick some winners! Would be good to see some other people's thoughts as well! Season so far Bet 6 Units Returned 5.6 Units ROI 92.86%

  13. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Let down from Brisbane's keeper Theo for that game with a bad error costing them a 1-0 defeat! Brisbane had some good chances on goal but certainly lacking Berisha's quality up front to convert! Today's games. Wellington v Newcastle Wellington 1 Unit $1.82 @ Unibet This is a bottom of the table clash after the first two rounds. The two teams show different form despite not having a win yet. I'm certainly regretting already choosing Phoenix for the spoon over Newcastle! Wellington has looked good in both of their games with a heart breaker last 30 second loss against Brisbane and came back from a goal down to draw with the strong Wanderers last week away from home. Newcastle on the other hand has been poor with a first up defeat against a poor Sydney side and then again failed to trouble the scorer in a 0-0 bore draw last week against a youthful Perth side. Wellington are almost at full strength now and the squad poses a wealth of attacking talent. Cunningham in particular has proven to be a solid signing and has created plenty of opportunities in the first two games. Hernandez is also looking like he still has what it takes to compete in the A League and has shown some brilliance as well. And of course they have proven goalscorers in Brockie and Huysegems. This is what Newcastle is severely lacking. They are not bad players but just dont seem strong enough to penetrate decent defence so far. Wellington has a good edge over Newcastle with 12 wins to 5 over 19 games (2 draws). Wellington always tough at home although this game will be played in Napier, it will still feel like a home game for them. Of course it is still early in the season and anything can happen but when analysing this game it is hard to see Newcastle coming away with anything. Prediction Wellington 2-0. Perth Glory v Melbourne Heart Melbourne Heart 1 Unit Win $3.62 @ Pinnacle Sports I'm predicting an upset here. Going on form, Melbourne would have to be slight favourites. Of course any team travelling to Perth is in for a tough match with the long travel! Perth I feel have been disappointing in their first few games while Heart have looked solid in defence and capable of troubling the scorers. Scoring two goals against Mariners is no mean feat! To concede no goals from open play against Victory and Mariners shows their defence is working already and without Smeltz I certainly think Perth are going to struggle to find the net! Mclaren to me doesn't quite look like he has the finishing touch required just yet. Melbourne Heart welcome Maltese marquee Mifsud into the starting lineup who will be eager to start his A league career with a goal. Melbourne Heart's away form last season is certainly a drawback with this bet but I feel these are good odds early in the season based on form! Prediction Heart 1-0.

  14. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Round 3 Melbourne v Brisbane Draw 1 Unit $3.50 @Bet365 Such a big build up for this game with Ange's last game before taking on the Socceroos ironically being against his two time champions Brisbane. Brisbane have always found the trip to Melbourne a tough prospect and Melbourne are the only team who since inception have more wins against Brisbane than losses (Wanderers not included)! I feel that while Brisbane has made a good start result wise, we still need a few more games to be certain they should be favourites for the championship. It was a really tough game against an understrength Wellington and I don't believe much can be read into the Sydney result as they are a poor team with a horrible defence. Both sides are now basically at full strength except of course Berisha for Brisbane out for probably two weeks. This means Yeboah or more likely Henrique will be starting up the pointy end for Brisbane. I wasn't convinced with Henrique last week even though he played ok but I think he will struggle to find the net against a better defence/midfield. Meanwhile Barbarousses will probably start for Melbourne. He looked dangerous when he came on around 65th minute last week and helped Melbourne get back to scrape through with a draw. Melbourne played some phenomenal stuff in the second half against Adelaide and Mitch Nichols was instrumental in breaking down Adelaide's defence. I think although both teams will be going for the win, Brisbane will secretly be happy with a draw here and their defence should be good enough to get there. My prediction 1-1. Will post up some more of my tips for rest of round tomorrow night but so far I think we are definitely looking at at least two draws for the round!

  15. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Season so far Bet 3 Units Returned 5.6 Units ROI 46.43% No bets for me tonight. Off to a wedding unfortunately and missing my team Brisbane's first home game. Without looking too much into the games the favourites should come out on top. Brisbane should win but are too short for 2nd round and I like the Mariners to beat Heart but not putting my money on it :) Will have a good look at tomorrows games hopefully if I get time :)

  16. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Round 2 Adelaide V Melbourne Draw 1 Unit $3.50 @ Sportsbet Adelaide were the suprise team in round one with a very cohesive team effort considering so many new players. Melbourne weren't so good and could not find the back of the net against Heart. This will be a completely different game I think. Melbourne welcomes back it's captain and Milligan and new attacking weapon Barbarousses. This will bring some definite scoring ability back into the side. They just seemed to lack the cutting edge to provide Thompson with opportunities last week. Adelaide lose Boogard and Isaiahs due to red cards last week. Both players were influential in their win. Melbourne lose marquee defender Contreras who was solid and an integral part of them keeping a clean sheet against Heart. Adelaide certainly deserve to be slight favourites at home but I see this as an even game and good odds available on the draw. Past stats between the two sides dont mean much here as both teams have new look squads. Melbourne does have an edge over Adelaide overall but Adelaide slightly better when playing Melbourne at home! Both sides will be looking to score and Melbourne will be desperate not to go two games straight with no goals scored while Adelaide will be looking to score freely again this week. I like overs here but will not take a play on it.

  17. Re: A League Season 2013/2014

    What on earth does 'Minor Premiership' mean mate? I saw some of the Victory v Heart and I was very impressed with Victory's style of play, as you said above. They looked very very comfortable on the ball, and reminded of Brisbane Roar under Postecoglou. I was about to say this promises a good season for them, but I've just seen Postecoglou is being touted as the new Australia manager.
    The A League uses a similar format as Rugby League/AFL/Rugby Union competitions and has a finals series. The Champions of the season are the team who wins the Grand Final which is currently seen as the pinnacle of the competition. The minor premiership is the team who finishes top of the table. Many supporters and pundits have called for the champions to be the top of the table finisher but that will not be the case any time soon. The finals series brings too many $$$ to the game and draws many bandwagon supporters who dont go to regular season fixtures eg.. Brisbane's average crowd is about 14,000. Both grand finals were sellouts of 50,000. Yes Victory looked ok and I think when Barbarousses and Milligan are back they have the potential. I highly doubt Postecoglou will be given manager of Australia before the world cup. I believe they will choose a foreign coach and after this world cup, one of Postecoglou, Arnold or Popovic will be given the job. Highly likely Postecoglou.
  18. Re: A League Season 2013/2014

    Round 1 Sydney FC v Newcastle Newcastle Win 1 Unit $3.75@Sportsbet :cry Sydney are rightly favourites however Newcastle I think are a chance of an upset. First round and Sydney has 7 players on the sidelines with injury/international duty, the majority from the starting 11. Combined with a new look team and poor trial form I think there is every chance a stable Newcastle side can jag a result and perhaps net a few goals through a leaky Sydney defence. I know I've harped on it in my season preview but I just really am not a fan of Sydney's backline, especially with Boschart out injured. Newcastle took out the same fixture last season 3-2 albeit with Heskey debuting. Melbourne Victory v Melbourne Heart No Bet Should be brilliant game although hopefully not marred by Victory supporters boycott/protests. Looking at a 45k crowd and great way to start the season. These derbies are always impossible to predict. I lean towards Victory but would like to see both these teams play before I start backing them. How Heart are going to perform this season is a complete mystery to me! Both teams are affected by players on international duty. Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane FC Brisbane Win 1 Unit $2.10 @ Sportsbet :nana Brisbane have shown no problem travelling across the ditch in previous seasons with a formiddable record against Wellington. This game presents a massive opportunity for a big win to start the season. Wellington is crippled with International duty with half the starting team missing. Brisbane is only missing Matt Mckay on international duty and should be able to continue strong preseason form with a comfortable victory here. I wouldn't be suprised to see a blowout and definitely leaning on overs here. For the record, Wellington has beaten brisbane twice in twenty games since the A League began! Central Coast v WSW No bet Grand final replay. I predict a draw here but not going to make a play on it. I feel both sides defence is solid and maybe a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline will be grinded out. Both teams have plenty of new players will be a great game and insane atmosphere with RBB travelling to Gosford! Adelaide v Perth No bet Happy also to sit and watch this one without making a play. Always a fiery encounter and looking forward to seeing how Adelaide's "barca" style play is implemented!
    Interesting start to the season. A lot of the top teams were shown up as perhaps not having the edge expected but of course not too much should be read into from the first round. The most disappointing team of the round was Newcastle. Sydney did defend better than I expected but realistically, Newcastle barely had a chance on goal. Sadly, Heskey returning in a months time won't be enough to propel them into the top 6. Suprise packet of the week was Wellington missing 6 of their starting 11 who took it to Brisbane in the first half. Brisbane was lucky to jag a goal in the end but that's what the good teams do nut out the tough results! Adelaide also were impressive and were team of the round for me. Season so far Bet 2 Units Return 2.1 Units ROI 5%
  19. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Round 1 Sydney FC v Newcastle Newcastle Win 1 Unit $3.75@Sportsbet Sydney are rightly favourites however Newcastle I think are a chance of an upset. First round and Sydney has 7 players on the sidelines with injury/international duty, the majority from the starting 11. Combined with a new look team and poor trial form I think there is every chance a stable Newcastle side can jag a result and perhaps net a few goals through a leaky Sydney defence. I know I've harped on it in my season preview but I just really am not a fan of Sydney's backline, especially with Boschart out injured. Newcastle took out the same fixture last season 3-2 albeit with Heskey debuting. Melbourne Victory v Melbourne Heart No Bet Should be brilliant game although hopefully not marred by Victory supporters boycott/protests. Looking at a 45k crowd and great way to start the season. These derbies are always impossible to predict. I lean towards Victory but would like to see both these teams play before I start backing them. How Heart are going to perform this season is a complete mystery to me! Both teams are affected by players on international duty. Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane FC Brisbane Win 1 Unit $2.10 @ Sportsbet Brisbane have shown no problem travelling across the ditch in previous seasons with a formiddable record against Wellington. This game presents a massive opportunity for a big win to start the season. Wellington is crippled with International duty with half the starting team missing. Brisbane is only missing Matt Mckay on international duty and should be able to continue strong preseason form with a comfortable victory here. I wouldn't be suprised to see a blowout and definitely leaning on overs here. For the record, Wellington has beaten brisbane twice in twenty games since the A League began! Central Coast v WSW No bet Grand final replay. I predict a draw here but not going to make a play on it. I feel both sides defence is solid and maybe a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline will be grinded out. Both teams have plenty of new players will be a great game and insane atmosphere with RBB travelling to Gosford! Adelaide v Perth No bet Happy also to sit and watch this one without making a play. Always a fiery encounter and looking forward to seeing how Adelaide's "barca" style play is implemented!

  20. Re: A League Season 2013/2014 Minor Premiership Melbourne Victory 1 Unit $5.50 @ Sportsbet Ange has had a year with Melbourne now and I feel like he has had the time to shape and mould his squad as he did with Brisbane. The new look midfield is exciting and they have a potent attack in Thompson, Pain and Barbarouses. The only potential worry for me is defence. Contreras should prove to be a valuable signing and with Leijer stripped of the captaincy he can now focus more on his own game! Melbourne’s trial results haven’t been the greatest but of course the coach uses these games to experiment. In watching the youngsters play against Liverpool I was very surprised at how good they were holding the ball with nice quick passing and movement. Liverpool probably weren’t heaping too much pressure on them but regardless it was a promising sign for me. Brisbane Roar 1 Unit $6 @ Sportsbet I do have slight bias being a Brisbane supporter but also gives me an advantage as I attend most trial games and get a lot of information on the club. Preseason form has been phenomenal and I think Brisbane will be somewhere near their championship form from previous seasons. The midfield of Broich, Mckay, Miller and Brattan is just mouth watering and the service that Berisha was lacking last season has improved drastically in pre season leading to a free scoring Berisha. The defence is super tight with two Socceroos Franjic/North and captain Matt Smith back from injury. Add Hingert, Donachie and Brown, all youngsters who did a tremendous job last season and veteran Steffanuto the defence has truly enough depth to cover any injuries and an attacking element in Brown and Franjic who can play up front. Only issue with Brisbane is if Berisha sustains an injury. In this case I would not be confident in taking top position on the ladder although Yeboah and Petratos have showed great signs in preseason. Brisbane needed to sign a back up striker imo! In any case, most definitely worth the odds on offer. Reasons why other teams will not win the minor premiership: Wanderers – Will come closest to Brisbane and Melbourne. Second season jitters will play a part. On paper the squad looks good but I think their attack is still not where it needs to be and they will struggle to score enough goals to get them to first place. I liked the role Kresinger played for the team and I think they will learn after the first couple of games the role he actually played despite hardly troubling the scorers up front. It will take them time to adjust against A League opposition. Mariners – Solid squad once again but 5 of last years starting 11 gone. Massive changes in squad and will take time to gel. Should be top 4 finish. Perth – Smeltz back from injurty. Should make top 6. Since A League’s inception they cannot win enough games away from home to take out minor premiership. That won’t change this season. Sydney FC – Basket case club. Garcia and Carle are the only players that can save them this season. Del Piero cant stop all the goals conceded. Worst defence in the league were shown up numerous times last season. Signing Matt Jurman as a starting defender should be a sign that a team is not a premiership contender. Adelaide United – Toughest to predict. New coach Gombau trying to emulate “Barca” style of play. New crop of players. Potential to finish top 3 but more likely mid table finish or bottom four if the system just doesn’t work. In any case, will take too long to gel to be a threat for minor premiership. Melbourne Heart – A couple of decent signings but one ageing Socceroo won’t turn them from a bottom table team to Premiers. John Aloisi’s last chance to prove himself as a coach, I think they will struggle to make top 6. Newcastle Jets – Squad simply not good enough. Wellington – Cannot win away from home. 2 wins from 11 last season away from home. Cant win minor premiership only winning at home! Championship I see no value in backing any of the top 4 for the championship. Will the winner likely come from WSW, Mariners, Brisbane, Melbourne? Probably, but the odds on offer are terrible. The league is such a strange format that anything is possible. With a top 6 out of 10 teams making the finals in a knockout format, I’m seeing value in Adelaide and Perth with possible lay off opportunity. Adelaide 1 Unit $12 @ Sportsbet Adelaide could be the suprise packet this year. I like their squad on paper but I think it could take up to 7 or 8 rounds for the team to click. It really depends on the two Spanish imports. They have good depth and at their best will trouble all teams. All it takes is make the top 6 and win two games and it’s grand final time. Perth 1 Unit $15 @ Sportsbet For the same reasons as Adelaide. Perth I’m positive will make the top 6 and from their could quite easily go on to the grand final as in the season before last. Their inconsistency away from home due to travel during the season is what rules them out of the minor premiership but for some reason the bookies see them as a $10 shot for the minor premiership. I fail to see the thought behind this. They should finish mid table and have a good shot at making grand final from this spot. Top Goalscorers for Clubs Archie Thompson Melbourne Victory 1 Unit $2 @ Sportsbet I feel Archie’s odds are pumped up a little due to Barbarousses returning to the A league to play along side him! Archie is a proven goalscorer every season sinc e the A League began and has been a rare solid performer for the Socceroos lately. He may miss a game here and there from Socceroos duty but shouldn’t hinder him taking top spot. I think this is great odds for Melbourne’s number 1 striker. A Del Piero Sydney FC 1 Unit $1.83 @ Sportsbet 14 goals last season in 24 appearances. He is first choice penalty taker. Sydney’s newest attacking addition is Corey Gameiro. A good player in youth teams so far but not realistically going to threaten too much at this level. Del Piero will once again shoulder a lot of his teams goal scoring responsibility. He should bag 7 or 8 alone from set pieces and penalties. Jeronimo Neuman Adelaide 1 Unit $2.25 @ Sportsbet Neuman will get his chance this season starting for the team. Last season he made many appearances from the bench in what was a debacle of a season with coaches for the Reds. With Bruce Djite out injured and not in form before this anyway, Jeronimo can cement his spot up the pointy end. Only threat is new signing Cirio who has a similar strike rate for his previous club but I think he will find the A League a suprise step up in quality from the Spanish third division. In a two horse race, happy to take the proven goalscorer here. Kwame Yeboah Brisbane 1 Unit $17 @ Sportsbet No value in Besart Berisha @ $1.33 so I’m throwing 1 Unit away in case of an injury to him. Yeboah has shown really good goal scoring ability in pre season and if Berisha were to be injured, I’d back him to step up. He may not quite have the poaching ability of Berisha but is developing nicely as a player and certainly capable of putting some in the back of the net. Johnny Warren Medal Marco Rojas took out this award last year which is voted on by the players. He doubled the vote of Del Piero who is a clear favourite this year. I think depending on how bad Sydney FC is will depend on whether he takes the award. It just feels as though even before the season begins, he well and truly deserves it for everything he has brought to the league. I’m going to take one unit on him as cover and try a few smokies I think are the other potential winners in case he doesn’t take it. 1 Unit Del Piero $5.50 1 Unit Hersi $19 1 Unit Broich $19 1 Unit Nichols $51 Hersi was my favourite player last season. He was unluckily red carded a couple of times but it seemed like without him the Wanderers couldn’t win. His ability to win the ball and get around opponents in first class. Broich of course has been considered the hardest player in the league to play against for the last few seasons. He is the most fouled player and won this award the season before last. With a rejuvenated midfield and his old partner Mckay back I think he will be back to his strongest. Nichols has made the move from Brisbane to follow old coach Ange Postecoglue at Melbourne. He has massive potential but his attitude has let him down in the past. If Ange can get the most out of him it could be his best season yet. He has also been on the radar of Socceroos coach Oseik and played in some Asian Cup games for the Roos where he was one of the lone performers. Big smokey! Season starts in 48 hours, really looking forward to it J Busy with work but If I have time will post up some match bets, I haven’t had a chance to even look much into the games yet. Usually first round is of course impossible to predict but there lies some value as well! Good luck all.

  21. Finals start tonight with blockbuster Rabbits v Melbourne in Sydney. I'm leaning towards Melbourne with no real certainty but like the $2.05 on offer for Melbourne in the first week of finals. I just have the feeling Souths are going to choke after watching them the last couple of weeks and Melbourne are just a machine in finals footy. Main reason for starting the thread this week was to ask people if they are taking advantage of refund offers all the bookmakers are throwing around at the moment. I did it at Origin time but going to look into it more over the next couple of weeks and work with it next season. For tonight I've worked out with the NRL finals refund offer from sportsbet you can lock in a profit. Somebody let me know if I'm incorrect on this but I did it with Origin and it seems the same here. Only thing is you can't lay it off on Sportsbet as in the terms the offer is for recreational gamblers only and members deemed to be using the offer not in the spirit will not receive a refund if their team loses. Bet up to $100 max refunded on head to heads if team loses by 10 points or less. *************Buggered up the calculations dont have time to fix atm. Good luck everyone.

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