PinPointPrecision
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Posts posted by PinPointPrecision
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December Wolverhampton Wanderers Vs. Sunderland Selection: Sunderland @ 3.23 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I think Sunderland look good value when they play against Wolves in Sunday's late fixture. Obviously results have not been going the Black Cats way this season and Steve Bruce has been fired this week for their struggles. I think the sacking of Bruce will help give the Sunderland team the impetus needed to win while playing against fellow strugglers Wolverhampton. In terms of player quality I favor the Sunderland squad and while both teams are on 11 points in the EPL, Sunderland's goal difference is 10 goals better. It is my opinion that Sunderland are the better team but they have just not picked up the points after a tough fixture list to start the season. Wolves 3-0 drubbing to Chelsea last weekend did little to strengthen my opinion on their chances this weekend. The odds for Sunderland seem to be dropping in the market but Pinnacle are still offering a generous 3.23 for the away win and I shall be taking them on, good luck :hope
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December QPR Vs. West Bromwich Albion Selection: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.02 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I agree with Mustafa that over 2.5 goals looks like a good bet when QPR face West Brom at Loftus Road. Both teams like to play football and are relatively evenly matched so I expect them both to be playing for the win. QPR's recent form shows 4 out of their past 5 game have all ended in overs with a total of 18 goals (3.6 goals per game). West Brom's recent form also has 4 out of their past 5 games ending in overs with a total of 15 goals (3 goals per game). When these two met last year in the championship the scores were 3-1 and 2-2 respectively. I think odds of slightly better than evens for this trend to continue represents good value, good luck :hope
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Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 3-5 December Wigan Athletic Vs. Arsenal Selection: Arsenal -1.5 @ 2.65 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I fancy Arsenal to win by at least a couple of goals when they face Wigan at the DW Stadium. Arsenal rested their first team midweek in the league cup and should be fresh for the trip North. Wigan are coming off only their 2nd Premiership win this season beating Sunderland 2-1. I think it's fair to say that Wigan were flattered by the result with a Sunderland error gift wrapping them the victory in injury time. Wigan have looked defensively vulnerable in many of their games this season and obviously Arsenal have the quality to expose weak defenses. If Arsenal score early then I see an open game resulting in the gunners winning comfortably. I don't see the handicap odds of 2.65 lasting forever so I will be jumping on board before the price changes, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Week 13 Picks Washington Redskins Vs. New York Jets Selection: Under 36.5 Points @ 2.31 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I really don't understand why there is such good value for a low scoring game when the Washington Redskins play hosts against the New York Jets at FedEx Field. Both teams have shut down pass defenses and have been offensively woeful this season. The Redskins don't have any standout offensive weapons while the Jets QB Mark Sanchez has struggled against teams that pass rush well. Washington have won of the best LB's in the NFL with Brian Orakpo looking to put Sanchez under a lot of pressure. With neither team looking good moving the ball I see this being a tense and tactical affair with turnovers being key. With that being said, I think that unders offers excellent value here and I will be backing it at 2.31, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Week 13 Picks Minnesota Vikings Vs. Denver Broncos Selection: Under 36.5 Points @ 2.11 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I don't see many points being scored when the Minnesota Vikings (2-9) play host to Denver Broncos (6-5) at Mall of America Field. The Broncos have been playing a style of high school American Football involving a very simple running game behind QB Tim Tebow. In a brand of football that is torture to the eyes the Broncos have managed to be effective time managers who don't turn the ball over very often and rely on a solid defense. The last 3 Denver games have ended with 30 points or less and I expect much of the same against Minnesota. Rookie QB Christian Ponder has looked decent this season for the Vikes but he may be missing Minnesota's main attacking threat in RB Adrian Peterson. With this being said its hard to see where the points are coming from on other side of the ball so I will be backing unders in this one, good luck :hope
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs. Carolina Panthers Selection: Carolina Panthers 2.7 @ Boylesports Stake: 10/10 I think there is good value on Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers (3-8) beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7) when they meet at Raymond James Stadium. ESPN's 'Intel Report', which is based on thousands of simulations based on historical data, is making Carolina 51% favorites but they can be backed at odds of 2.7 which is as if they had an implied probability of 37.04% to win. The Panthers 3-8 record is a bit misleading this year as they have lost a lot of close games. In QB Cam Newton they have a real star of the future who is backed by a solid run game (RB DeAngelo Williams, RB Jonathan Stewart) and the ability to run the ball himself! Newton has also has been finding success in the passing game with WR Steve Smith also having a very good season. Offensively the Panthers can really put on the numbers and I don't see this trend changing this weekend. Tampa Bay are on a 5 game losing skid and I think they will be outgunned by Carolina's plethora of offensive weapons. Tampa Bay have one of the worst defenses in the leagues (28th in passing yards allowed per game and 30th in rushing yards). This makes me believe that this game will be a real shootout with plenty of points being put on the board. Personally I think it will be Carolina putting more points on the board and will happily back them at odds of 2.7, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Wk. 9.
Philadelphia Eagles 24-30 Chicago Bears It was a close game but the Eagles didn't come up with the big plays when they needed too. :spank Going to be an uphill struggle for Philadelphia to make the playoffs now. :cryPhiladelphia Eagles Vs. Chicago Bears Selection: Philadelphia Eagles - 9 @ 2.10 William Hill Stake: 9/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9. Philadelphia Eagles Vs. Chicago Bears Selection: Philadelphia Eagles - 9 @ 2.10 William Hill Stake: 9/10 I've decided to bet on my team again in tonight's MNF, the mighty Philadelphia Eagles! It is indeed a cardinal sin to bet with ones heart but I've been able to snag a good price at William Hill for the 'alternative handicap' victory. The Eagles 34-7 victory over Dallas last week was very encouraging for the 'dream team' and I'm hoping that the team can come close to that performance tonight against Chicago. The Eagles have one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL with many star playmakers (Vick, McCoy, Jackson etc.). Chicago's defense has been surprisingly suspect this year and is rated 28th in passing yards allowed. If RB LeSean McCoy can find his feet again in this game then I think the Chicago D could be in for a long night. The Bears are a decent team and it would be foolish to completely write them off. I actually rate QB Jay Cutler quite highly and his numbers have been improving now that he is getting better pass protection. RB Matt Forte has been having a good season and could find some holes in the middle of the Eagles D-Line if they continue with their wide 9 stance. Both teams need to win this game so I am hoping we are in store for quite a game tonight. With the Eagles having the crowd on their side though, I'm predicting they will soar to victory, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Wk. 9.
Pittsburgh Steelers 20-23 Balitmore Ravens :@ This was a great game but I'm seriously pissed off with the ending. The Steelers are up 4 and are in long field goal range with 2 minutes to play. The play clock suddenly starts to 'malfunction' and the Steelers are called for a delay of game, pushing them out of field goal range. The Steelers then choose to punt the ball and from the ensuing drive Baltimore score the go ahead TD. Now as a TV viewer they do not show the play clock malfunctioning which makes you question how and why it stopped working. Maybe it's sour grapes on my part but this seemed to be a very strange moment at a critical part of the game. It was one of those moments when you questioned the integrity of the officiating and whether there is such a thing as 'Vegas calling in'. Anyone else watch the game, what did you think?Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Baltimore Ravens Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers - 4 @ 2.15 Pinnacle Stake: 9/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9. Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Baltimore Ravens Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers - 4 @ 2.15 Pinnacle Stake: 9/10 I really like the 6-2 Pittsburgh Steelers in Sunday's late NFL kickoff when they face the 5-2 Baltimore Ravens at Heinz Field. This is going to be a great game between two of the fiercest NFL rivals. However, I'm convinced that Pittsburgh are the in form team and that they will triumph at home in this contest. I am surprised that the odds for Pittsburgh have been rising before kickoff considering that Pittsburgh are on a 4 game win streak and have improved considerably throughout the season. The Steelers have always been associated with having a great defense but I think the offense has really been coming together as well. The Steelers have one of the best WR cores in the game (Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown) and a QB in Ben Roethlisberger who can find them. Put that together with a solid run game and Pittsburgh look like a force to be reckoned with even for the excellent Baltimore defense. I think Baltimore are being overrated in this game because they won the first clash against Pittsburgh on the opening day easily 35-7. However since then they have not improved as a team and are actually playing worse in my opinion. Joe Flacco is a real jeckel and hyde QB and his recent performance against Jacksonville was appalling. Baltimore only put 7 points up in that game and ended up losing to a very poor team. In last weeks performance they just squeaked through 30-27 against the Arizona Cardinals; a team that was easily beaten by the Steelers the week before. I think on current form the Steelers look great value at home on the handicap and I will happily back them at the odds available, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Wk. 9.
Washington Redskins 11-19 San Francisco 49ers :clap The Redskins offense stinks, 11 points flattered them!Washington Redskins Vs. San Francisco 49ers Selection: San Francisco 49ers - 5 @ 2.05 William Hill Stake: 9/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9.
Indianapolis Colts 7-31 Atlanta Falcons :clap Easy pickings for Matt Ryan and yet again the Colts lose.Indianapolis Colts Vs. Atlanta Falcons Selection: Atlanta Falcons - 8 @ 2.28 Pinnacle Stake 9/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9.
Houston Texans 30-12 Cleveland Browns :$ Should have just backed the Texans, annoyed with myself.Houston Texans Vs. Cleveland Browns Selection: Under 39.5 points @ 2.15 Pinnacle Stake: 8/10 -
Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
Fulham 1-3 Tottenham Hotspurs :clap All Fulham in the 2nd half and they deserved a draw at the very least. The score completely flatters Tottenham but it's nice to have some good fortune at times. :nanaFulham Vs. Tottenham Hotspurs Selection: Tottenham Hotspurs + 0 @ 1.69 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9. Houston Texans Vs. Cleveland Browns Selection: Under 39.5 points @ 2.15 Pinnacle Stake: 8/10 I have bet on unders when the 3-4 Cleveland Browns face the 5-3 Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium. Both of these teams are stronger defensively than offensively and I think much will be the same today. Houston are averaging 18.1 points per game (5th in NFL) while the Browns are averaging 20 ppg (8th in NFL). I think Houston will rush the ball a lot in this game as their star WR Andre Johnson will be sidelined. RB Arian Foster will be given a lot of work as an all purpose back and this should help to take time off the clock. Cleveland have even more offensive woes as their first and second choice running backs are out of this game. I don't think the Browns will post many points at all in this game. If this is true I expect Houston to get out to an early lead then run the ball to grind the clock down for a comfortable victory. Better than evens returns for under 39.5 points seems like value to me, good luck :hope
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Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 Wigan Athletic :pukeWigan were really wasteful, frustrating! :wallWolverhampton Wanderers Vs. Wigan Athletic Selection: Wigan Athletic + 0.5 @ 2.00 Pinnacle Stake: 9/10 -
Re: NFL Wk. 9. Washington Redskins Vs. San Francisco 49ers Selection: San Francisco 49ers - 5 @ 2.05 William Hill Stake: 9/10 I've taken the 6-1 San Francisco 49ers on the handicap when they face the 3-4 Washington Redskins at FedEx Field. The 49ers are one of the most complete teams in the NFL and are on a 5 game win streak. QB Alex Smith has not been throwing for a lot of yards but has been able to minimize turnovers. I think the 49ers will find a lot of success on the ground with their excellent running game that is ranked 6th in the NFL in yards per carry. I'm sure RB Frank Gore will be looking forward to the match up against 21st ranked run defense of the Redskins. The best aspect however of SF's game is their defense which is giving up the fewest points per game in the NFL (15.3). The Washington Redskins are coming off a 23-0 shutout loss to the Buffalo Bills. With that being, said I struggle to see how the Redskins are going to put many points on the board when they face the 49ers. Washington have yet to establish a quality QB and will be starting John Beck in this game who only has 1 TD to his name this season. Beck's troubles are mainly a result of awful pass protection that see's the QB either hurried or sacked. Another problem for Washington is the absence of WR Santana Moss who has a broken hand and will not be playing this game. I think the offensive flaws of the Redskins will see the 49ers will make it 6 in a row and I will be backing them on the handicap, good luck :hope
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Re: NFL Wk. 9. Indianapolis Colts Vs. Atlanta Falcons Selection: Atlanta Falcons - 8 @ 2.28 Pinnacle Stake 9/10 I'm going for the 4-3 Atlanta Falcons to continue their good form and defeat the 0-8 Indianapolis Colts when they face them at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Atlanta are coming off a bye week and should have their WR deep threat Julio Jones back for the game. Atlanta have played some decent football this year behind QB Matt Ryan and benefit from having a well balanced offense that can also run the ball with Michael Turner. Atlanta are currently on a 2 game win streak where they have beaten both Carolina and Detroit. The Falcons will look at this game as a must win if they want to secure a playoff birth in the AFC South division. Indianapolis have not been able to cope with the absence of their star QB Peyton Manning and their season is over. Last week they went down to the average Tennessee Titans 27-10 and the week before they were humiliated 62-7 by the New Orleans Saints. I think it's fair to say that team confidence and expectations are currently very low as they have not been doing anything well. Seeing how the Colts may need to replace Payton Manning in the fairly near future I wouldn't be surprised if the general managers secretly want the bad form to continue so they can secure the first round draft pick and Andrew Luck. I think Atlanta will have too much for the Colts this week too and therefore will be taking them on the handicap, good luck :hope
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Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
:$ Queens Park Rangers 2-3 Manchester City Half loss here, QPR played well but City did enough to get the 3 points.Queens Park Rangers Vs. Manchester City Selection: Manchester City - 1.25 @ 1.85 Pinnacle Stake: 9/10 -
Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Chelsea :cryHaven't watched the game but based on the statistics it was a pretty even affair. Supposedly Gael Givet hit the bar for Blackburn minutes before the final whistle, too bad.Blackburn Rovers Vs. Chelsea Selection: Draw @ 4.69 Pinnacle Stake: 8/10 -
Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
Manchester United 1-0 Sunderland :clap Manchester United were very lucky to be a goal up before the break as they created very little in the first half. The second half Utd played better and I think the result of 1-0 was a fair reflection of the game.Manchester United Vs. Sunderland Selection: Sunderland + 2 @ 1.70 Pinnacle Stake: 9/10 -
Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6
Newcastle United 2 - 1 Everton :clap Newcastle were hanging on in the 2nd half but thankfully got the win. I think Everton should have had a penalty for a handball but I'm not complaining. :pNewcastle United Vs. Everton Selection: Newcastle United + 0 @ 1.68 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 -
Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6 Newcastle United Vs. Everton Selection: Newcastle United + 0 @ 1.68 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 Here's another match that I will be placing a bet on a DNB basis. Newcastle have made an impressive start to the season and seem overpriced this weekend when they face Everton. Newcastle are sitting 3rd in the EPL and are 4-0-1 in their last 5 EPL games. The Magpies good form has been built on a solid defense that has conceded only 7 goals so far this season, the fewest in the EPL. Newcastle have also been helped by the scoring exploits of Demba Ba who has scored 8 goals in 9 league games. Everton conversely have made a relatively poor start to the EPL season sitting in 16th place. Everton are finding points hard to come by and their recent EPL is not good with them being 1-4-0. While Everton have had a tough run of fixtures I don't think they are looking very strong this season. Therefore I think there is good reason to bet on Newcastle this weekend but will take them on a DNB basis to reduce the risk, good luck :hope
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Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6 Fulham Vs. Tottenham Hotspurs Selection: Tottenham Hotspurs + 0 @ 1.69 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I've placed a bet on Tottenham this weekend (DNB) when they make the journey south of the Thames to take on Fulham at Craven Cottage. Both teams will have taken part in Thursday's Europa League matches but substantially Tottenham fielded a complete B team while Fulham has gone with their first XI. Seeing as the match is on Sunday this will only give the Fulham players 2 days of full rest to recuperate for the match. Tottenham have been looking good in the EPL and last weekend were able to dispose of another London club away beating QPR 3-1. Tottenham have gone 4-0-1 in their last 5 EPL games. Fulham meanwhile have made an inconsistent start to the season sitting 15th in the league. Fulham are 2-2-1 in their past 5 games in EPL. While I don't think it will be easy for Tottenham to get all 3 points I like the look of backing them with a draw voiding the bet, good luck :hope
England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 10-12 December
in Championship Predictions
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Re: England > Weekend > Barclays Premier League > 10-12 December Bolton Vs. Aston Villa Selection: Aston Villa @ 3.11 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I'm surprised to see Bolton as favorites when they Aston Villa at the Reebok Stadium. Bolton have really struggled this season and are sitting 19th in the premiership. Bolton are also coming off a 3-0 defeat to Tottenham. Admittedly they were unlucky to have Gary Cahill sent off in that match but I think they would have been comfortably beaten by Spurs even if they had 11 men. Bolton are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have a poor recent H2H record against Villa at the Reebok, 1-2-5 in their last 8 games. Admittedly Villa did not look good against Man Utd last weekend where they fell tamely to a 1-0 loss. However, there is a big difference in quality between this weekends opposition and last weekends and I think we will see more commanding performances by their star performers. Darren Bent and Gabby Agbonlahor are due a breakout game and I think they will be looking forward to playing against a leaky Bolton defense. The Villans will be without Shay Given for this tie but I still think they will have enough prevail. At odds of 3.11 I think Villa are worth a punt, good luck :hope